ZAR
GOLD UPSIDEWith 10year treasury yields under pressure, high inflation, with expectation of a higher inflation print this coming Thursday, together with a weak dollar, this inverse head&shoulders pattern (hourly graph) has a very high potential of taking gold even higher.
Together with the ZAR that has reached a short-term bottom, I am bullish on gold miners having another bull run.
EURZAR bounce over a monthly support 🦐EURZAR on the 4 chart test the monthly support and start to trade to the upside.
The price is testing a minor resistance zone and according to Plancton's strategy if the market will break above we will set a nice long order.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
Barloworld short if trendline brokenJSE:BAW is showing downward momentum based on the stochastic, MACD and EMA's that have just crossed. However, it has been trending upwards since the 26th of March and I will wait for a convincing breakout through the upward trendline before considering a short. If this breaks, we could be looking at a move down towards at least the lows formed at the beginning of the upward trend.
Short on BHPJSE:BHP is looking good for a downward move based on the momentum indicators (Stochastic, MACD and EMA's). If this short plays out and it reaches the support level around 41000 this would mean a Head and Shoulders pattern would form.
Once this Head and Shoulders forms and the neckline is broken, we could potentially see a move downwards all the way to the taregt around 33000. This is all dependent on whether the H&S forms and the neckline is broken, though.
Northam - Short The stochastic, MACD and the 2 EMA's have all turned downward on JSE:NHM - all signaling a short position. It has, however, been in an uptrend since end of Jan, so we might only see a retracement before a continuation upward. If it does go down, I dont think it will go much further than the support area around 23000.
AMS - EMA crossing could be signaling a shortThe EMA's on JSE:AMS have finally crossed downwards after the stochastic and MACD have been showing downward momentum for some time. It might struggle a bit at the 200000 level, but if it breaks through that, I think we could potentially see it go to around the 180000 support level.
Cup & Handle on CapitecJSE:CPI has formed a great cup and handle pattern on the day chart. It goes all the way back to December 2019 with the top of the cup being formed on the all-time high that was reached in December 2020. If we successfully break this high, I think we could see a really nice upward move from there.
Kumba moving down after a strong upward moveAfter a very successful long position (link attached below), JSE:KIO has bounced off of the strong resistance level at around 67000 and seems to be on the way down. This is being confirmed by our momentum indicators, the stochastic, MACD and potentially the EMA's with today's move. If it confirms, potentially, we could go down to around 58000 - 59000 area.
Downward Momentum on ARIJSE:ARI is showing some good downward momentum with the recent downward crossing of the 3 and 15 period EMA's as well as the crossing downward of the stochastic and the MACD. If this momentum continues, we could see a possible downward move towards the support level at around 24000.
Emerging Currencies Gaining Strength??As we zoom out and look closely at the South African Rand, we see many signs of strength that have been building for some time now. I believe the ZAR and many other emerging currencies are all showing similar signs of strength and in the process of a reversal. While this may provide a great long trade and a short-term boost to the Peso, I fear it will have long-term negative effects.
These are the things that lead me to continue to believe the dollar will continue to devalue. Emerging market currencies have consistently gained strength against the dollar. If the ZAR closes above the 13-year historical resistance by the end of this month, it will be a decent confirmation of a trend change. Unless we see some BIG power moves come from the dollar, I believe this is likely to continue. Not to put to be dramatic, but "IF" this does play out, it will be VERY difficult and drastic for most people's current financial circumstances in the U.S. If the US dollar loses that much purchasing power in relation to the rest of the world, it will affect people in many ways. If it now costs most companies a certain amount to purchase products, then the stores in the US will raise their prices significantly, at least to make up for the lost purchasing power, which means many will have to settle with less to provide for themselves. This may seem good for the emerging currencies and their economy in the short term, but I believe we are seeing a global financial shift that will affect everyone negatively, not just the U.S. economy.
The U.S. produces very little in comparison to the rest of the world, so we will suffer because of this. IMO, the U.S. has sat on its laurels of being the biggest economy far too long, and it's caused us to have an economy that is far too reliant on other countries because we "had" the money to pay for cheap labor. I believe the U.S. will suffer a great financial loss because of our short-term approach and being far too prideful because we had more financial liberties compared to others. Essentially, The U.S. became conceited... This money printing has seriously backed us into a corner. Very similar to many ancient empires in the past. I honestly hope I'm wrong about this, the effects of this kind of macro shift could be devastating for many. When things like this happen, it's typically best to look into hard assets like Gold/Silver and even Bitcoin. Please don't take my brutal honest the wrong way, but I believe it's important to see the global shifts that are in place and consider taking the proper precautions. We're entering uncharted territory for the global economy and this will likely create unstable conditions for all.
SASOL - Upward Channel HoldingJSE:SOL has been trading in an upward parallel channel since October 2020.It has made numerous unsuccessful attempts to break out of the trend since then but the upward channel has held. With the break of the previous highs last week, I think we can continue to see an upward rise in the price all the way to the resistance level at around 28000