USD/ZAR is breaking out of a critical channelOANDA:USDZAR is breaking out of a critical parallel channel
We have been short the Rand (i.e Long the USD/ZAR pair) since it broke out of the previous parallel channel, however the Rand is gaining strength against the dollar.
We closed the position once the rand hit the 1.618 fib extension target at R18.38/$.
We have switched to a long position on the ZAR due to the following (i.e short position on the USD/ZAR pair):
1) There are multiple bearish divergences that was flashing at the R18.38/$ target
2) We have now closed 5 daily candles below the 50day SMA
3) Rejection at the 1.618 Fib extension target
4) Daily close below the parallel channel that has been in place for a good portion of the 2022
Targets are as follows:
1) R16.8/$ - This is the strongest support and one should close majority of the trade at this target
2) R15.87/$
3) R15.2/$
Good luck
ZAR
USDZAR Short-term Sell signal and long-term level to watch.The USDZAR pair continues to confirm our break-out trade strategy as by breaking above the previous Resistance Zone we discussed on September 06, while holding the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support, it activated our buy signal and hit the -1.0 Fibonacci target and the 2.0 Fib extension (green dotted line) of the long-term Channel:
We will continue this successful approach, which right now gives a new short-term sell signal targeting roughly -7.00% from the recent top, below the 1D MA50 at the bottom of the Channel Up (green) that started on the April 13 Low. This is around 17.300.
If however the MACD on the 1W time-frame makes a Bearish Cross as on January 17 2022, we will use the 1D MA50 as Resistance and target even lower the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Take profit when the MACD makes a Bullish Cross.
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Bullish Harami - FSRA Bullish Harami has formed on JSE:FSR which is a bottom reversal signal. It has triggered our long position and we have a target at around the 64.40 level. There is however, a gap that needs to be closed at around the 61 level. Be aware of this, as it may close the gap and come down instead of continuing upward.
USDZAR Critical Resistance. Levels to buy and sell.The USDZAR pair broke above its former Resistance Zone since our last analysis on June 29:
The 1.382 Fibonacci extension target was hit and yet another break-out approach turned out to be successful. With the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) supporting since August 17, we will continue to adopt a break-out trading perspective. A 1D candle close above the 17.4400 High, will be a break-out buy signal yet again, targeting the -1.0 Fibonacci extension, which happens to be on the 2.0 Fib of the Channel. As you see, after every High break-out, the pair has always reached (or came close to) the -1.0 Fib ext.
On the other hand, a break below the Channel Up that started after the April 12 Low, will be a sell break-out signal towards the 0.0 Fib level, i.e. the bottom of the long-term Channel.
See how the MACD on the 1W time-frame remains bullish, having a sequence similar to that of June - November 2021.
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