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ZAR

USD/ZAR LongUSD/ZAR pair has been moving bullish over the last few weeks. Looking at the daily time frame. It is now consolidating in a bull flag right in the middle of the channel at resistance after retracing to the 0.618 fib level. With a good breakout of the bull flag resistance should be broken and become support. I am looking to enter upon the break out and close above BOTH the flag and the 16.1148 resistance level. Doing this would make it highly probable to complete its move to the top of the channel which is the 0.618 fib extension at just over 17.500.
Long
by Just_Jacqs
Is the South African Rand forging its own path against the USD?The exotic pair of the U.S. Dollar to South African Rand (USD/ZAR) has not correlated strongly with other USD pairs since this year. In fact, the USD is down 1.3% against the ZAR since the beginning of the year, all the while, the USD index has been super bullish, up 6.1% YTD. While performing better than the GBP, EUR, and other major partners, the USD is still trading just under last November’s high. With the seasonal tendency of the USD to weaken over the Northern hemisphere’s summer months in combination with the strong trend-bucking Rand, Is it looking unlikely that the USD will take out those highs over the coming months? A main reason for the ZAR’s strength is the interest rate hikes emanating from the South African Reserve Bank (SARB). Just last Thursday the SARB raised rates to 4.75% with a 50 basis point hike, which is the highest single increase South Africa has seen since 2016. It appears that the announcement was already priced in to the USDZAR since there was little volatility that followed. Several more aggressive rate hikes are expected from the SARB with at least another 50 basis point rise over 2022, and 100 basis points over 2023. USDZAR technical perspective On the charts, we can see the pair is floating just below the high created in November 2021. Just this month we've seen a new range created, to which the Fibonacci tool is anchored. There is also an Elder's Force Index (EFI) indicator on the bottom window. This indicator is concerned with the previous day’s opening and closing prices in relation to volume. Overbought and oversold conditions can be ascertained when the indicator moves above or below the zero line. At the time of this writing, the USDZAR is sitting above on the 78.6% retracement level, with the EFI below the zero line. If the price is going to take out last November’s high, then we will need to see a sustained support at this level. Ever the contrarian, the USDZAR may disregard the oversold EFI confluence and continue on its path below the 78.6% level..
by BlackBull_Markets
USDZAR Pull-back in Summer but bullish end-of-yearThe USDZAR pair is replicating the previous Cycle of 2016-2019 and right now is at the final Accumulation Phase before the rally to a blow-off top. What the comparison suggests, based also on the 1W RSI (attention the price action is on the 1D time-frame though), is that we may soon see a pull-back towards roughly 15.100 to September and then a strong finish to the year above 17.000. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
by TradingShot
2
USDZAR South African Rand - oops!!??It looks like the #USDZAR South African Rand will test R16.70 in the very near future. If this happens, brace yourself for even a weaker Rand. However, slide in Rand is also because of falling commodity prices. This fall may be at a turning point right now with the dollar that might have reached a top which will boost commodity prices. Thus, short term forcast for Rand to weaken to R16.70 levels. Keep your eye on the DXY and commodity prices for better view on direction of Rand.
by chsmit