Zawacapital
The fear side is fading. But, the monetary side is still thereAnalysts are suggesting that safe heaven currencies are unlikely to make any significant moves unless there is a big geopolitical spark and more monetary tight.
U.S. equities fell from record highs Thursday after fresh concerns emerged over the likelihood of a trade deal with China, a factor that could continue to support safe heaven currencies like CHF and JPY.
4hr Time-frame 61.6% Fibo. limits nearby upside Issues related to Brexit, the China and U.S. traded dispute, Iran, North Korea, and U.S. domestic political friction all are proving to be supportive of safe heaven. In addition there is slowing global growth, causing an increasing number of investors to move toward safe haven assets
Fundamental Strengthen CHF Bullish Market Sentimentthe current trade war between the United States and China which has been shaping CHF bullish sentiment for quite,The trade war has had the net effect of slowing global economic growth, and in turn that slow economic growth is forcing the hand of central banks worldwide as they return to a much more monetary policy by lowering interest rates, and adding liquidity to the market.
EURUSD bears taking over ahead ECB StormFocus is turning to the monetary policy meeting of the European Central Bank on Thursday, at which time the ECB is expected to only very slightly cut interest rates,Analyst are expecting EUR/USD to the upside move before pushing further into negative territory . The Federal Reserve meets next week and is expected to cut U.S. interest rates by 0.25%.
DOLLAR Index had every opportunity to break lower!!dollar index had every opportunity to break lower e.g we had FED cutting rate ,ECB cut rates about everybody cutting rates everybody said dollar will collapse in that environment but it didn't, we have see pause in trade issues but that didn't cause the dollar to go lower, i cant see anything that will going to make dollar go lower than present range of 96.00.
USDCHF could reverse south:CHF could depreciate against the US Dollar within the following trading hours. But it is unlikely, that the price for USDCHF could rise more than 0.98200 mark due to the Risk Sentiment Hit As China Hikes Tariffs On US Goods, which makes safe heaven currency to gain strength.
AUDUSD TRADE IDEA
Although the Aussie economy is being squeezed from both domestic and international sides as global growth slows in the face of an escalating U.S.-China trade war, Australia is now running like the largest current account surplus ever which is a very bullish signal. Also iron ore price is at five year all time high.