Zb
Yields / Fed Funds / Rates / Inflation / 007s / TLT / ZN / ZBYou can't fix silly.
You can't fix stupid.
The Bond Market isn't going to fix anything, it assures ruin.
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Buy the Dip hasn't quite worked out.
TLT will head to Sub 52.
You were warned long ago exactly what is happening would.
And explained in no uncertain terms exactly why.
DX back to 125?
Yeah... it's how you end up in ruin. Europe first.
TNX Yield times 2.81 - follow along or lose.
TNX ZN TKT ZB - 10Year / 20Year / 30YearSh_t Mixed remain Bonds... every flight to Safety has been utterly and systematically
crushed.
It will be again and again as our Bond Market losses its Pillars of which there are 4.
One by one these are failing.
Longer-term, the lose/lose proposition will compound.
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Short term, we'll see how YCC and an overall Market Panic can trend Yields.
The Fed has permitted the Bond Market to generate the necessary adjustments.
Strenght - historically has been in control of only the short end.
Operation twist is no longer relevant, the FED can simply clip coupons and trend into
expiration of Holdings while reinvesting across the entire Curve.
Sadly, engaging in Yield Curve Control (YCC) crossed the Rubicon.
My thesis has been proven entirely correct - instability by design.
ZN - 10 Year Note 2 HourNews this coming week will impact Markets in a broad fashion.
ZN can see a larger RT to overhead POs as can ZB (30Yr) should
The FED engage in larger YCC interventions, and I believe they will
intervene heavily.
Macro Data Ahead:
MONDAY, MAY 16
8:30 am Empire state manufacturing index May
TUESDAY, MAY 17
8:30 am Retail sales April -- 0.8%
8:30 am Retail sales excluding vehicles April
9:15 am Industrial production index April
9:15 am Capacity utilization April
10 am NAHB home builders' index May
10 am Business inventories (revision) March
WEDNESDAY, MAY 18
8:30 am Building permits (SAAR) April
8:30 am Housing starts (SAAR) April
8:30 am Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index May
THURSDAY, MAY 19
8:30 am Initial jobless claims May 14
8:30 am Continuing jobless claims May 7
10 am Existing home sales (SAAR) April
FRIDAY, MAY 20
8:30 am Advance services report Q1
TNX - 10Yr Yields Sell Offers and Bond VX / Trouble
Bond Bagholders just never learn - this Secular Cult is doomed to extinction.
The two-year Treasury yield posted its biggest single-day jump since the
market volatility of March 2020.
Of course, this was after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell promoted
the Policy Flip Flop that the Fed will raise rates in March, and left the screen
porch door open for a quicker than-anticipated pace of rate increases.
The Dot Plot is wiggling in excitement.
IN reality, the FED will begin to Temper expectations.
It is what they do - Lie Cheat Steal / Delay.
10 Yr Yields have seen another fantastic ROC-driven Spike which advanced
well ahead of the Pre-Spring Meltup in 2021.
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TNX will provide a very large indication as to how the preset Wedge on the ES/NQ
resolve, likely this week...
Keep it in purview at all times, sudden violent reactions are to be expected.