ZB A VERY HIGH PROBABILITY SIGNAL ON THE DAILY CHARTDear Investors, my analysis of ZB price movement has finally shown what might be the signal of the year, this whole 2 months of June and July knew a nice up trend before the following signal.
for more information contact me I'll be happy to help you with your investments.
ZB1!
T-BOND QUICK ANALYSIST BONDS Understandable monthly analysis for everyone , after /21\ years of uptrend now we have a decisive moment nobody can predict what's going to happen next.
as a professional trader, I see we have 3 probabilities either the market will break out, or the market will return uptrend, and either will be a trading range.
33,3% breakout.
33,3% return up.
33,3% trading range.
only GOD knows what is next
Potential Bearish Divergence forming in $DXYWith interest rates climbing steeply, the dollar has been strengthening against the $DXY currencies and has made a forceful move to the upside. As of the present date (4/12/22), there's a considerable Bearish Divergence forming. Its certainly possible that if Dollar could gain momentum over time - but it could also set up some nice trading opportunities if it doesn't.
As is often the case, the Dollar has been exhibiting a negative correlation to the S&P for most of this year. Therefore, S&P products could be a good place to take long trades on this idea in the near term. Other ideas could include being long bonds - either with futures or a product like the TLT, and or long the Euro - either with currency futures or the EURUSD FOREX pair.
This is something I'll be watching closely over the days and weeks ahead.
$TLT, Bonds long ideaAfter the whole round trip that started when covid hit, I think we are getting closer to a big, long position in bonds. The price range on the chart is where I will start buying and expecting to see seller exhaustion and trouble pushing it down further. Sentiment is really weak and you have people late to party trying to short right now to pick pennies in front of a steamroller. As an ideal target for $TLT we are talking $150 at least, so, due to the magnitude of the move, we are talking about a long term position or around 6 months out. Obviously seeing the volatility in this period and the little liquidity in markets I could be wrong, meaning the move much quicker. GL
ZB1! (10 Year T-bonds ) , H4 Bearish dropType: Bearish drop
Resistance: 152'02
Support: 155'27
Pivot: 154'22
Preferred case: With price moving below the ichimoku cloud , we have bearish bias that price will drop from our pivot of 154'22 in line with the horizontal pullback resistance to our 1st resistance of 152'02 in line with the horizontal swing low support and 161.8% Fibonacci extension .
Alternative Scenario : Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and head for 1st support at 155'27 in line with the horizontal pullback resistance.
Fundamentals: With the uncertainty of the RUSSO-UKRAINE conflict and the implications on the US economy due to increase increase sanctions. Bond prices will continue to increase as increase frequency of rate hikes seems more unlikely. As fundamentals and technicals align, ZB1! might be a good opportunity to look into.
Title :ZB1! ( 10 Year T-bond) , H4 bullish continuation Title :ZB1! ( 10 Year T-bond) , H4 bullish continuation
Resistance: 159'26
Pivot: 155'19
Support: 154'11
Preferred case: Price is near pivot level of 155'19 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement and can potentially go to the graphical swing high level of 159'26 in line with 100% Fibonacci projection. Our bullish bias is supported by the ichimoku cloud indicator.
Alternative scenario: Price dip to the support level of 154'11 in line with 1272% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Fundamentals: With the uncertainty of the RUSSO-UKRAINE conflict and the implications on the US economy due to increase increase sanctions. Bond prices will continue to increase as increase frequency of rate hikes seems more unlikely. As fundamentals and technicals align, ZB1! might be a good opportunity to look into.
10 year T-Bonds (ZB1!) , H4 Potential for bullish bounceTitle : 10 year T-Bonds (ZB1!) , H4 Potential for bullish bounce
Type: Bullish bounce
Resistance: 159'16
Pivot: 156'16
Support: 155'01
Preferred case: Price near buy entry level of 156'16 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Price can potentially bounce from this level to the resistance level of 159'16 in which is also the graphical swing high level. Our bullish bias is supported by the ichimoku cloud indicator.
Alternative scenario: Price dip to support level of 155'01 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Fundamentals: With the uncertainty of the RUSSO-UKRAINE conflict and the implications on the US economy due to increase increase sanctions. Bond prices will continue to increase as increase frequency of rate hikes seems more unlikely. As fundamentals and technicals align, ZB1! might be a good opportunity to look into.
10 year T-Notes (ZB1!) H4 potential for bullish bounce Title : 10year T-Notes(ZB1!), H4 potential for bullish bounce
Type : Bullish bounce
Resistance: 159'04
Pivot : 156'05
Support : 155'02
Preferred case: Price is near pivot level of 156'05 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Price can potentially go to the 1st resistance level of 159'04 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Our bullish bias is supported by the stochastic indicator as it is at support level.
Alternative scenario: Price dip to support level of 155'02 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci projection
Fundamentals: With RUSSO-UKRAINE conflict escalating , Treasury prices may increase as investors look into safe haven assets. As fundamentals and technicals align, it is a good opportunity when looking in to ZB1! .
10 year T-note Futures ( ZB1! ) , H4 potential for bearish dipTitle: 10 year T-note Futures ( ZB1! ) , H4 potential for bearish dip
Type: Bearish Dip
Resistance : 161'08
Pivot : 160'11
Support : 156'19
Preferred Case: Price is near pivot level of 160'11 which is also the graphical overlap resistance. Price can potentially dip to the support level of 156'19 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Our bearish bias is supported the stochastic indicator as it is at resistance level,
Alternative scenario: Alternatively price go to the resistance level of 161'08 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Fundamentals: The US has repeatedly stress that US troops will not be directly involved in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. However, the ramifications faced by the US due to heavy sanctions on Russia is not fully realized. Prices of bonds may continue to increase as investors continue to flee to safe haven assets. As technicals and fundamentals do not align , there is a risk on factor when looking in to ZB1!.
10 year T-note Futures (ZB1!) , H4 potential for bearish dip Title: 10 year T-note Futures (ZB1!) , H4 potential for bearish dip
Type: Bearish dip
Resistance: 157'08
Pivot: 156'19
Support: 154'13
Preferred case: Price is near pivot level which is also a key graphical overlap resistance. Price can potentially dip to the support level of 154'13 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Our bearish bias is supported by the stochastic level as it is at resistance level.
Alternative scenario: Price can break this key graphical overlap level and go to the 1st resistance level of 157'08 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Fundamentals: With RUSSO-UKRAINE conflict escalating , Treasury prices may increase as investors look into safe haven assets. As fundamentals and technicals do not align, there is a risk on factor when looking in to ZB1!.
10 Year T-Note Futures ( ZB1! ) , H4 | Potential for dropOn the H4, with price approaching the resistance of the RSI indicator, we have a bias that price will drop to our support at 152'01 in line with the horizontal swing low support from our pivot at 154'10 in line with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and horizontal overlap resistance. Alternatively, price may break pivot and head for 1st resistance at 156'06 in line with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
10 Year T-Note Futures (ZB1!) , H4 potential for bounce Title: 10 Year T-Note Futures (ZB1!) , H4 potential for bounce
Type: Bullish bounce
Resistance : 154'10
Pivot: 152'09
Support : 151'08
Preferred case: Price has recently bounce from pivot level of 152'09 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci projection. Price can potentially go to resistance level of 154'10 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Our bullish bias is supported by the moving average as price is trading above it.
Alternative scenario: Price can potentially dip to the support level of 151'08 in line with 127.2% Fibonacci projection.
Fundamentals: With the Russo-Ukraine conflict escalating to an all out war, prices of bonds will continue to increase as investors flock to safe haven asset. Technicals and fundamentals align, thus ZB1! may be a good opportunity to look into .