ZB1 weekly analysis
ZB1 continues to trend lower, with a brief respite after finding support liquidity on Tue 03 Sep '13. This occurred alongside a favorable market environment following a drop in inflation. However, after Q1, the Fed announced that interest rates would remain fixed until 2025. This has led to a continuous decline in ZB1, targeting lower lows and aiming for short-term support liquidity around 107'05. The subsequent target, if the price continues to drop, would be 103'22.
In technical analysis, we observe the market absorbing liquidity before rallying to reach the order block for a liquidity purge.
Zb1!short
ZBZ3Shorted in Sept shorting in Oct.
Another 30 year T-bond short most effective day to open over the last 15 yrs is 10/2 missed it but opening today. Will want to hold this open until the 24th of October. Look at the December Contract as the front running contract for this trade. Futures = Calender spread back date the long side to the March contract. Options... I am torn safe bet is to sell for the premium like a credit spread. But if your willing to chance it and pay the premium a debit spread could be worth it.
"Take a wild guess what im shorting in Nov. you'll never guess it." - KewlKat
Bonds showing signs of a serious risk off scenarioThe rapid decent of Bonds from 129 was telling. Yet while most think that we have reached the bottom there are indications that this is not the case.
WE are currently here:
ZB is making a retracement, I think we can see a price rebalancing up to 120'22
The potential Highs at 121'31 will lure Buyers, yet a rejection of these levels will have serious indication that investors are in for a rough patch, yields will be higher on the bright side. 🤷🏻♂️
ZBBonds are gross and so is this trade....
Short Trade (Naked no Spread)
Entry Sept 3rd, exit Sept 15
Tick Size: 32nds of a point ($31.25/ contract) rounded up to the nearest cent per contract.
Margin Maintance:4290/3900
Contract Size:$100,000
Have fun with this one................................................
"Wait until the kids get a load of this......... and their college fund is gone."
-KewlKat
ZB Shatters Resistance Level on 15-Minute ChartHello Traders,
There is a big potential bearish opportunity in the ZB market! The 15-minute time frame just showed a break in a key support level, indicating a potential downtrend. With this technical signal, combined with current market conditions, it's possible that we may see a further decline in the ZB price. Keep an eye on this market and follow me for more updates on potential trading opportunities!"
Tell me what you think
Regards,
The Mehdi
2008 LEVEL ARE CLOSE - COULD IT BREAK IT - WAIT - ZB1! - WEEKLY30 years US Dollar Future could be going back to its 2008 level.
Potential probability exists to see it going even lower.
Market price have failed to break its 2020 down trending resistance.
The potential historical resistance, illustrated with the horizontal upper line, shows that the market have tried to go in the long direction but have failed several times.
The recent acceleration of the price sinking have possibly revealed a waiting zone pictured by the rectangle.
It can be a potentially perfect zone to enter long but here the fundamental analysis need to be thoroughly done.
For the time being, this idea will flag it as being bearing until the 2008 level is touched.
At the 2008 level, potential pullback up could be interesting.
See previous analysis on the ZB1!, linked to this idea, pretty interesting!
Huge Volume 08/25/2022, and an important level was brokenMBK method is very interesting, this is an important level that was broken on 08/25/2022, in zn and also in zb. The t bonds markets are tending to go down with this interesting configuration. this level was tested Three times, on 8 July, 11 July, and 21 July.
TREASURY BONDS CREATING LIQUIDITY BEFORE MOVE UP?Hello my beauties.
The bonds seem to be in a strong downtrend, and the volume profile suggests that the most liquidity is actually clustered around the upwards trendline area. I suspect the price will be directed there to generate enough liquidity for the next move up.
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Peace.
Luca, TrickleDownFX