ZC
ZC1! Potential For Bearish ContinuationOn the H4 chart, the overall bias for ZC1! is bearish. To add confluence to this, price is below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. Looking for a sell entry at 676.75, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 685.25, slightly above where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is located. Looking to take profit at 632.00, where the 50% Fibonacci line is.
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ZC1! Corn Potential For Bearish ContinuationOn the H4 chart, the overall bias for ZC1! is bearish. Furthermore, the price is trading below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Price has reached our sell entry point at 661.75, which is also the 23.6% Fibonacci line. The stop loss will be placed at 685.25, just above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement line. The 50% Fibonacci line will serve as the take profit point at 632.00.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Soybean Futures ( ZS1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumTitle: Soybean Futures ( ZS1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 1484.50
Pivot: 1409.75
Support: 1431.50
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is crossing under the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to possibly continue heading towards the Pivot at 1409.75, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up to retest the support at 1431.50, where the 50% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Corn Futures ( ZC1!), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum Title: Corn Futures ( ZC1!), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 672.50
Pivot: 677.25
Support: 661.50
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is under the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. Overnight price had bearish momentum downwards with price currently trading at 666.50 at time of writing. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to possibly head towards the support line at 661.50 where the previous swing low and 100% Fibonacci lines are located.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and head towards the 1st resistance at 672.50 where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Corn Futures ( ZC1!), H4 Potential for Bullish Momentum Title: Corn Futures ( ZC1!), H4 Potential for Bullish Momentum
Type: Bullish Momentum
Resistance: 698.50
Pivot: 661.20
Support: 680.25
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bullish bias. Overnight price had a bullish momentum and went above the 1st support line at 680.25 where the 50% and 38.2% Fibonacci lines are located. Expecting price to continue bullish and head towards the 1st resistance at 698.50 where the previous high and 2 x 100% Fibonacci lines are located.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back down and close below the 1st support level and head towards the pivot at 661.50, where the previous swing low is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Corn Futures ( ZC1!), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum Title: Corn Futures ( ZC1!), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 680.00
Pivot: 661.20
Support: 671.50
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, the overall bias for ZC1!, corn is bearish. To add confluence to this, price is below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. Price has tapped on to the 1st resistance at 680.00 where the 50% and 38.2% Fibonacci lines are located before closing underneath it. Expecting price to continue its bearish momentum towards the support at 671.50, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is located.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and close above the 1st resistance level.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum Title: Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 680.50
Pivot: 661.40
Support: 669.50
Preferred Case: Corn fell below the first resistance level at 680.50, where the 50% and 38.2% Fibonacci lines are placed. If the bearish trend continues, price could reach the first support level at 669.4, which is nearby the 78.6% Fibonacci line.
Alternative scenario: Price may retrace back up to the first resistance level at 680.4.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum Title: Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 691.0
Pivot: 661.40
Support: 675.60
Preferred Case: The overall price on the H4 is bullish. Furthermore, the price is above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating that the market is bullish. Price attempted but failed to breach the first resistance level at 691.00. Price responded with a massive rejection wick. Price could potentially reverse back down to the first support level at 675.6, which also happens to be the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement line.
Alternative scenario: If bullish momentum continues, expect price to move towards 705.6, which contains the -27.2% Fibonacci expansion line and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension line.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Momentum Title: Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Momentum
Type: Bullish Momentum
Resistance: 6.900
Pivot: 667.50
Support: 6.310
Preferred Case: On the H4, the overall price is bearish. In addition, the price is below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bear market. Price attempted but failed to break through the Pivot at 667.500 overnight. Price could potentially reverse up to the first resistance level at 6.900, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is located.
Alternative scenario: If bearish momentum persists, expect price to continue falling towards the first support level at 6.310, where the larger 78.6% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There is no major news.
Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum Title: Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 679.25
Pivot: 667.50
Support: 660.00
Preferred Case: Overall price is bearish on the H4 with a retail double top formed. Price has broken through the 1st resistance at 679.25 where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is. Price could possibly retrace back up towards 677.6 where the 38.2% Fibonacci line and 1st resistance lie before heading down, breaking the pivot at 667.5 and then moving towards 1st support at 660.00 where the 127.2% Fibonacci extension line is.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, the price may continue heading down towards the pivot before bouncing back up towards the 1st resistance.
Fundamentals: No major news
Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumTitle: Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 698.50
Pivot: 667.50
Support: 679.25
Preferred Case: Price has reflected off the first support level at 698.50 on the H4 and appears to be descending again to test it. watch for the price to cross the first support level and go toward the pivot at 667.50, which is where the previous swing low lies. The chart appears to be constructing a double top with equal highs along the first resistance, which adds another confluence to this bias.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, the price may bounce off the first support and continue moving back up toward the first resistance.
Fundamentals: No major news.
Corn Futures (ZC1!), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseTitle: Corn Futures (ZC1!), H4 Potential for Bullish Rise
Type: Bullish Rise
Resistance: 710.4
Pivot: 699.4
Support: 679.25
Preferred Case: On the H4, the price has bounced off the second support at 668.25 which is at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement line, and went above the first support at 679.25. Price has also gone above the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bullish bias. Looking for price to continue bullish to hit the first resistance at 710.4 where the -27.2% Fibonacci expansion lies.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, the price could bounce back down from the pivot structure and drop to first support to 679.25, where the 50% Fibonacci retracement line sits
Fundamentals: No major news.
ZC Potential for bearish momentumType : Bearish Drop
Resistance :681.75
Pivot: 688.00
Support : 668.25
Preferred Case: On the H4, with the price reflecting off the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement line and the price being inside ichimoku cloud, we have a neutral bias on corn. price could back to 668.25 where the previous swing low is.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price might go back up towards the pivot line at 688.00
Fundamentals: Top farming and food firms could lose up to a quarter of their value by 2030 if they do not adapt to new government policies and consumer behavior tied to climate change, United Nations-affiliated campaigners said in a new report. (Farm and food investors face $150 bln loss on climate change)
Corn Tests Significant Resistance Corn
Seasonal Trends in Play: Short September corn from 6/13-7/27. This has been profitable for 13 of the last 15 years with the average gain being roughly 33 cents, or $1,650 per one 5,000-bushel contract.
Fundamentals: This morning’s weekly export sales report showed net sales of 140,900 MT for 2021/2022--a marketing-year low--were down 50 percent from the previous week and 45 percent from the prior 4-week average. Net sales of 138,900 MT were reported for 2022/2023
Technicals: Corn futures are marching higher in the early morning trade, taking prices back to the top end of the recent range. A breakout and close above here could spur another run back at and above the psychologically significant $8.00 marker.
Bias: Neutral/Bearish
Previous Session Bias: Neutral/Bearish
Resistance: 789 ½-790 ½**, 800-803 ¾**, 809-810 ¼***
Pivot: 776-778
Support: 769-773 ½**, 747-753****, 720-726 ½****
Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Expected Key Points Corn /ZC 17 May 2022CORN /ZC Futures 17 May 2022
The daily expected volatility is around 1,86%
With an 82% accuracy based on the historical data, we can assume that the price of NDX/NQ today is going to be between
TOP 823
BOT 792
All of this taken into account with the opening price of today which was 808*
Soybeans: Close to a buy signal once again...The last time we had a perfect storm situation to buy grains, we had a monster rally in both corn and beans. We are now in a similar situation, with the recent surge in Nat Gas affecting fertilizer prices. Weather in Brazil is problematic and China is struggling to produce grains locally...We are once again nearing a situation where reward to risk for buying into grains is tremendous. I'm long Corn futures already for a couple days and waiting for the daily chart to trigger a technical buy signal in Nov Beans to go long as well.
The last weekly signal expires by next week, as a failure, price hit really oversold levels and reached monthly support (see green shaded area). Implications are a retest of the weekly down trend mode (as shown by the arrow on chart), at least, which can then evolve into a new weekly uptrend, once the daily trend turns up. And potentially trigger a new monthly signal similar to the one we had before...This is an interesting juncture to enter long term positions in grain futures.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.