Corn
Wheat, Soybeans, and CornWhy Wheat and why now. What about Soybeans and Corn.
Looking across the Ags, it seems that Wheat is enjoying the most upside. Why is this. In keeping with my focus on the DMI and ADX, I think you’d have start by looking at the monthly chart of the 3. One of the key tenants of DMI/ADX is that best trades seem to originate when the ADX is below 20 for an extended period of time. And, for Wheat, that has been since June of 2013. Since then, it has moved between a couple of lines and for the most part, remaining below the 13 period EMA of the high.
As an aside, in my previous articles, I used EMA’s on the close of price but have moved to a 13EMA on high, 26EMA on low and 20EMA on close with the intent to use them as a channel for pullbacks based of ADX action.
June of last year, the downtrend line was sharply broken but before that, the DMI made a significant move when the +/-DI swapped. Although this had happened several time during the past 4 years, what eventually became important is that the low of this candle was never broken while the high was continually tested and broken with the last time starting the recent uptrend. Also, note that during this time that the +DMI continued to make higher highs will not making lower lows. With the ADX moving above 20 in May of this year, a strong signal was given that the market was ready to move up.
Now, consider the same discussion for ]Soybeans :
Notice the size of the candle that caused the last swap. I’ve included a possible consolidation pattern.
And for Corn :
With Corn the interesting thing on recent action is that the DI’s changed dominance but did so where the swap was to -DI but with a green candle. I don’t see this too often but seems to give mixed signals.
Previous Target hit. 1D Channel Down continuation. Short.The TP = 372.20 has been hit and the 1D Channel Down (RSI = 37.956, Highs/Lows = -0.2679, B/BP = -1.4820) continues to deploy on a standard manner. Next TP = 337.20 which is the November 13, 2017 bottom and a very likely candidate for a rebound. If it breaks then 320.40 is next.
Tiempo de Partiro My horizontal support line and upper bound of the July Channel is being broken as I write this - not surprised and was expecting at least a wick below it. W
What I wasnt expecting is such low volume on this break. I think most of the community is somewhat surprised by the lack of volume, but maybe people are getting smarter. This means lower lows are to be expected - we're gonna break the 2/6 low.
I suspect we hit 6.2k on 4/13 (blue arrow), with a wick going into the 5.5 (green). If a wick breaks that trendline, then I think we will see more bear market down to 4k.
CORN - Strong trend continues...Hi TViewers,
CORN is continuing it's solid trend from it's break above the 3.40(ish) mark and is looking very strong.
As you can see on the chart it has pushed through it's previous minor resistance points at about 3.70 with excellent volume which would lead us to believe it will continue.
We could look to buy here if you weren't already long. Those looking for more assurance could look at the possible crossing of the 50/200 day SMA as entry point. This "Golden Cross" will be a big bullish signal and if it get's solid volume it will be another excellent sign for CORN.
This is not financial advise.
Please don't invest more than you can afford to lose.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments below.
Seasonal Swing In CORNIt must be thanksgiving and Christmas because CORN has been looking ready to pop for some weeks now. December/January is a typical bullish swing for CORN.
I expect price to move up into the 3.68 level in the coming week or two. Beyond that will be hard to say. There is some strong Bearish market structure lurking around.
Note: All ideas expressed here are presented solely for learning and educational purposes only. Any gains or losses assumed by trading ideas presented by The Bad Panda are done so at your own risk.
Corn Preparing to Turn?Corn has been decelerating for quite a few months now and is currently rejecting key resistance (monthly 200ema/200ma + monthly fibs) with a high-test.
Price action seems to be hinting at a turn from here in the near future down to $302.00, the September '09 low that sent us into an enormous rally to form the '12 highest high. I'm watching for a rejection of this 09' level over the next year or two that should align with the bottom in wheat. I expect a HUGE rally following that bottom to retest $746.00
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Thanks!!
Corn setting a base for up trendThe monthly cornusd chart looks like it is setting up a base for a new uptrend to begin.
October '15 new resistance->support line at 3.502. Price has closed and held above this line for past 4 months.
+DI up and ADX is rising though still below 0
TRIX divergin with price since 2014 with 3 points of focus
Stoch coming off oversold and moving up
Weekly
3.644 last key resistance->support with price currently sitting on it.
Though below 20, +DI and ADX beginning to trend up. The TRIX near 0 but remains positive
Daily
In all 3 time frames, ADX and DMI are not that strong but positive. TRIX put in a sup->res line at 3.648. Price is currently spinning on this point and will be key to hold if price is to move higher from here.
Corn: Bear Flag Under the TrendlineLooks like a flag to me.
My indicators do not yet align with the idea on this time frame...I will update using lower time frames below.
Also note the bearish 2618 set-up which completes @ 393.
If you have any comments or feedbacks on this idea or your own view on Corn, please share!