Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Momentum Title: Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Momentum
Type: Bullish Momentum
Resistance: 680.00
Pivot: 667.50
Support: 661.75
Preferred Case: On the H4, the overall price is bearish. In addition, the price is below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bear market. Price has broken through the Pivot at 667.4, which corresponds to the previous swing low. Price also rebounded from the first support and rose above the first pivot. Price may maintain its short-term bullish momentum and move towards the first resistance level at 680.0, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is located.
Alternative scenario: The price could reverse and head back down to the first support level at 661.75, where the -27.2% Fibonacci expansion is located.
Fundamsentals: There is no major news.
Corn
Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum Title: Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 6.900
Pivot: 667.50
Support: 6.310
Preferred Case: Overall price is bearish on the H4. To add on confluence, the price is also below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bear market. Price has broken through the 1st resistance at 6.900 where the 161.8% and 127.2% Fibonacci extension lines are. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to continue heading towards the 1st support at 6.310 where the larger 78.6% Fibonacci line lies.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, the price may go back up through the 1st resistance and head towards the pivot at 7.630
Fundamentals: No major news
Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumTitle: Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 679.25
Pivot: 667.50
Support: 660.00
Preferred Case: Overall price is bearish on the H4 with a retail double top formed. Price is also below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bear market. Price has broken through and closed the pivot at 667.4 where the previous swing low is. Expecting price to continue this bearish momentum and head towards the 1st support at 660.0 where the 127.2% Fibonacci extension line is.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, the price may reflect off the pivot back up towards the 1st resistance
Fundamentals: No major news
Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum Title: Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 679.25
Pivot: 667.50
Support: 660.00
Preferred Case: Overall price is bearish on the H4 with a retail double top formed. Price has broken through the 1st resistance at 679.25 where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is. Price could possibly retrace back up towards 677.6 where the 38.2% Fibonacci line and 1st resistance lie before heading down, breaking the pivot at 667.5 and then moving towards 1st support at 660.00 where the 127.2% Fibonacci extension line is.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, the price may continue heading down towards the pivot before bouncing back up towards the 1st resistance.
Fundamentals: No major news
Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumTitle: Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 698.50
Pivot: 667.50
Support: 679.25
Preferred Case: Price has reflected off the first support level at 698.50 on the H4 and appears to be descending again to test it. watch for the price to cross the first support level and go toward the pivot at 667.50, which is where the previous swing low lies. The chart appears to be constructing a double top with equal highs along the first resistance, which adds another confluence to this bias.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, the price may bounce off the first support and continue moving back up toward the first resistance.
Fundamentals: No major news.
Corn Futures (ZC1!), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseTitle: Corn Futures (ZC1!), H4 Potential for Bullish Rise
Type: Bullish Rise
Resistance: 710.4
Pivot: 699.4
Support: 679.25
Preferred Case: On the H4, the price has bounced off the second support at 668.25 which is at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement line, and went above the first support at 679.25. Price has also gone above the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bullish bias. Looking for price to continue bullish to hit the first resistance at 710.4 where the -27.2% Fibonacci expansion lies.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, the price could bounce back down from the pivot structure and drop to first support to 679.25, where the 50% Fibonacci retracement line sits
Fundamentals: No major news.
ZC Potential for bearish momentumType : Bearish Drop
Resistance :681.75
Pivot: 688.00
Support : 668.25
Preferred Case: On the H4, with the price reflecting off the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement line and the price being inside ichimoku cloud, we have a neutral bias on corn. price could back to 668.25 where the previous swing low is.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price might go back up towards the pivot line at 688.00
Fundamentals: Top farming and food firms could lose up to a quarter of their value by 2030 if they do not adapt to new government policies and consumer behavior tied to climate change, United Nations-affiliated campaigners said in a new report. (Farm and food investors face $150 bln loss on climate change)
It's Corn! - Long and juicy for upsideCorn future is looking almost perfectly ripe for the picking.
Cup and Handle forming nicely and just waiting for the breakout.
RSI broke out of its downtrend bearish divergence and has bounced on the new support - showing more upside to come.
Then will be an easy long (buy) to hold.
Stop loss will be just under the Handle and the take profit will be 2X risk...
It's corn!
Corn Shortage! Blah Blah BlahThis week has brought about news on the projected corn yields dropping marginally, which in turn, is pushing this beast into higher territory. As we check out the chart we can see we have a significant golden pocket that will act as the Berlin Wall for corn. Prices below the golden pocket will act as East Berlin, controlled by the soviets during the Cold War. Trapped in a descending trend. If corn manages to push past the golden pocket + trend line resistance, corn will now be on the west side of the Berlin Wall. Free to explode into the June highs of $7.5.
In this analogy, I personally think that the soviets will maintain control and rule over corn until harvest is over. Corn harvest has started in the south and will continue into Nov. As we harvest we will have more corn in the bins and ready to use. Which will lead to lower prices IMO. Simple supply and demand.
Based off of the chart technicals, I am even more confident in saying that corn will be rejected because of where the GP and trend resistance lays. Once price reaches those levels I am expecting to see a bearish divergence on all three oscillators, and then I will go short big time. This could be a multi-month trade. But as always take profits on your way at key targets.
Major short target: $5.70-$5.30
ZC / Corn futures ZC / CORN FUTURES
About FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS.
---We are now in the corn-demand zone and there are many factors supporting the buying.
1-The Ukrainian war.
2- - dehydration.
3-The rise in the price of oil will lead to a rise in the price of transportation.
About TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
--- we look at (" Sell VOLUME ") and ("Sell pressure") is in decreasing , Volume drives all markets.
About Psycho-
--- The short sellers start to take their money from CORN market because of a psycho- demand zone.
Corn sentiment is turning bearish - GrainStats.com CommunityCorn price sentiment is turning bearish according to the GrainStats.com community. They have been bullish for the past 6 months and have been right. The question is if the bear trend is here to stay and will it continue into the harvest months. Time will tell, until then a crop still needs to be made for bears to capitalize on bearish positions.
CORN FUTURES SELL CALL OUT BY JOHN THE FOREX GUY!NB Watch the video I published on corn sell I explained my trade in more details.
I will give you an IDEA/EXAMPLE how I am taking this trade lets base this on a $100 account:
(A) Open 1x position SELL
(B) Stop loss -$5.50 (5.5% loss of $100)
(C) Take profit +$25.00(25% profit of $100)
Disclaimer I not a financial advisor I am simply a retail trader sharing my trade where I entered, plan to exit loss and profit so always do your own research before committing/investing your money.
Continuous Corn - WeeklyContinuous Corn - Weekly: **The big red bar down this week is a bit exaggerated as this chart has rolled to chart against the Sep with a 1.20+ inverse. Nonetheless, corn is still down .50 +/- for the week. The 6.16 low hit the trendline, time will tell if this holds. Should we see a bounce from here the first test will be at 7.05 to 7.20. Primary targeted area at 7.72 to 8.00. Extended potential above 8.24 at the 8.50 area. IMO, we will need the reality of production cuts to see new highs, not just a weather forecast.
Corn: Pitch forks at playContinuous Corn – Weekly: Up trending vs Down trending Pitchforks – Continued from 6/2/22…
Up until two weeks ago it appeared that cash corn was going to follow the green bars up with the up trending pitchfork. The July/Sep inverse was a big challenge and the move lower just killed the chance for the continuous chart to maintain upward momentum. Currently the Sep corn leading the continuous chart and is looking for support against the median line in the 6.00 to 6.08 area. If we can catch a bounce look for resistance against the lower level blue line up into the upper level red line. Retracements in the 7.00 to 7.50 area will match up against the pitchfork resistance zones.
Below the median line offers support around the 5.45 area
Corn spreadsContinuous Charts: Top – Front month to next deferred month Spread Underneath is Front Month continuous
Rule 1: Carry spreads have limits, Inverse spreads have no limits…
In the past 25-30 years we have seen 6 very strong inverted markets. Each inverted market lasted between 3-6 months and often times carried a bullish market reaction. When the inverse disappears, usually the corn market loses it’s bullish strength… None of the above inverses lasted past September. So on one hand history is strong to say that Dec/March spreads should be safe to hold some carry. But on the other hand, inverses have no rules. Risk-Reward: Don’t look to be a hero on Dec/March spreads, waiting to pick up another .05 - .07 of carry may not be worth the risk when there seems to be potential for .20 to 1.00 inverses on the table.
Technical Update for July CornCorn (July)
Technicals: July corn futures were able to chew through significant resistance during yesterday’s session, which has opened the door for an extension towards our next resistance pocket, 769-773. This pocket represents the lower high from the end of May, as well as the 50-day moving average. If the Bulls can keep the momentum going and chew through this resistance pocket, a retest of the psychologically significant $8.00 handle wouldn’t be out of the question.
Bias: Neutral
Previous Session Bias: Neutral/Bearish
Resistance: 769-773 ½***, 789 ½-790 ½**, 800-803 ¾**
Support: 747-753****, 729-733**, 716-720 ½****
Crude oil, Dow Jones, and Soybeans: Many things are currently driving the bullish Ag markets. Oil/energy are heavily weighted in providing this bullish enthusiasm. The supply and demand for Corn and beans will be directly and indirectly impacted by Oil/energy markets. Energy Markets have the potential to react hard and fast on diminishing economic data. A strong economy should keep Oil and Ag Markets elevated to potentially extremely high levels. A soft economy (using DJI as a gauge) moving into recessionary mode, will kill oil demand and take down Ag markets for some time as well (as it did in 08’). I don’t know for sure what to expect for our economy, sensitive and volatile ahead… 23’ Corn and Beans are in Pickle. Inputs are expected to rise considerably so naturally we want today’s Cash prices (or better) for a more expensive 23’ Crop. It’s hard to price something (23’ crop) that is $1-$3 below the current Cash Market. But when this drops, the markets won’t ask you for your costs of production before dropping… Don’t fall asleep on multiple crop years, especially if we see “Blow off Top” activity in Oil and old Crop Ag markets.
Corn (Central Banks can't print Food)View On Corn (6 June 2022)
We are seeing some possible bottoming signs, and we shall see a lot higher price pretty soon.
So, it is better to buy in slowly and accumulate them.
Tip and Toe.
Let's see
DYODD, all the best and read the disclaimer too.
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