December 2023 CornDecember 23 Corn - Weekly: The market structure is difficult to try and define at this stage, we remain in a very sensitive marketplace. Price and Time targets can be fluid, but for now, I like the above targeted areas with the percentage sold as labeled. We do need to be ready to pivot earlier this year to get hedges on against the targets above. **Be ready to sell or protect at lower targets earlier this year. Notice on the above Continuous Corn chart that risk is identified as low as the 4.50 area into Harvest timeframe in 23”.
**If we are moving out of a bullish (inverted at times) overall Market structure and into a sideways or bearish (contango/carry) market, very seldom does the new crop contract move much higher than it’s previous year’s high. Often times the new crop contract marks it’s high against the 78%-88% retracements. That area (6.50-6.64) may need to be looked at being more aggressive with physical sales and/or Put Targets.
ZCZ2023
Corn - December23 WeeklyUsing the last week of February for high to low retracement targets, 6.42 becomes the Primary target on this next leg higher. Support is the last swing high at 6.03. Volume of support just under 5.50
There are some fairly bullish charts out there, but the big question is how do ag and energy markets react should the equity and financial markets move lower…
A strong volatile move higher in Grains and Energies against the backdrop of a slowing economy would be tough on the deferred grain and oilseed contracts. I do think it is wise to keep an eye on 23’ crops… Don’t hesitate to layer in some small percentage targets…. Targets 5.95, 6.42, and 6.65