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BTCUSD retraced its trend down of mid January LONGBitcoin has retraced the trend down from the January 11 pivot high. The retracement is 0.5 Fib level. The zero-lag MACD and dual TF RSI both show bullish momentum. I believe BTCUSD may consolidate here and then at least by the Luxalgo Echo indicator bullish continuation will restart. I see a good entry at 43800 with a stop loss below the 0.5 Fib level at 43250 which would be about 1.25% My target at the second upper VWAP band line is 47800 or about 8% upside. This is confluent with the 0.618 Fib extension. The reward to risk would be 4000 / 550 or about 7.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
GE Buy the Pullback ( Flip the switch) now LONG I previously published the idea of shorting GE. It has now pulled back more than 4% on the retreacement. The short idea paid well using put options to profit from the pump of earnings expectations. Earnings were great but the run up was too much for traders. GE has now retreated and is ready for a long entry. Price is now in the undervalued range of both the short and intermediate term VWAP bands. The target is $99.99which is basically the price immediately before the earnings report. Confirmation is tbe zero lag MACD where the K/D lines crossed under the histogram and are heading together to cross over the zero line while the histogram flipped from negative to positive. Call options in the money expiring 5/5 are considered.
NYSE:GELong
by AwesomeAvani
4
Can NFLX trend higher ? LONGIn its past NFLX got through the Covid downturn with only a 10% correction, then went through a rise into a year of consolidation and finally another big trend up which reversed badly in Winter 2021. After a business model adaption and modification of subscriptions and password/account sharing protections, price has made great gains. On the weekly chart, a trend upward has been in place since July 2022. On the weekly chart, bigger ranged candles have been put in for two weeks. It seems that from here, while NFLX could rise heading toward a new all time high. On the other hand, just as it did in 2020 at a similar price level ( marked as # 1 and an oval around the price action), it could get range bound or consolidated ( # 2 marking the present.) The mass index indicator gives a hint that the trend will continue and not reverse. It is fluctuating in a mid-range without a hint of rising into the threshold and trigger zones. Notably in the 2021 downturn, the RSI and MACD ZL) signaled the reversal before the mass index. Those two indicators in the present show no hint of bearish divergence so far. Accordingly, for the time being, NFLX continues to be a long trade with 20% upside into the level of the all-time high ( discounting any effects of inflation and dollar devaluation in any of this which is very important overall but generally ignored).
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by AwesomeAvani
DogeCoin Ready to Rise ? LONGOn the daily chart. DOGEUSD appears to be at the support line of a symmetrical triangle pattern with about 30% upside to the pivot high in early December. The RSI lines are stable and flat sideways in the 40-45 range. The zero-lag MACD shows lines near to the horizontal zero level. The Fib tool suggests that a retrace to 0.09 is a reasonable target level. Accordingly, an upside of 30% is forecasted for the next bullish spike. I will wait for a cross of a shorter MA line over a longer MA line as a "golden cross" sign of bullish momentum and take a position there .
EASYMARKETS:DOGUSDLong
by AwesomeAvani
UROY Uranium finance lease mining play LONGUROY does royalties foe uranium mining ore to refined et cetera. On the 60 minute chart, it has been on fire this week picking up 30% in market cap showing explosive volumes at 5X and sustained. The past two days have been rest and recuperation in consolidation. The zero-lag MACD suggests there is more upside in the near term with a line cross under a histogram rising from zero. The advanced RSI indicator shows a relative strength pullback from 80ish to about 65 and surprisingly the linear regression lines suggest an oversold state at present. I will take a long position here which may be risky at nearly 2 standard deviations above a rising mean VWAP and extended from the POC line of the volume profile but the supertrend indicator is showing a stepped rise and that is good enough for me. I have a new position in UEC a penny energy stock in the uranium subsector.
NASDAQ:UROYLong
by AwesomeAvani
5
SIRI is pulled back for a LONG entryOn 1 120 minute chart, SIRI is now well positioned having tested the support of two sets of VWAP bands anchored back two earnings periods and so 3 months apart. The mean VWAPs are confluent and so form strong support. I expect the price to return to the early December high and test that level. In the past day a buying volume aberrant spike was printed. The MACD lines have been crisscrossing under the histogram signaling support of the cons9olidation of price with a series of Doji candles before the final engulfing green dandle. Of interest, the next expiration of the options is February 16th. On that date the dominant option strikes are %5.00 , %5.50 and $6.00 $5.00 is the present level for the strong support of the confluent mean VWAPs aforementioned It is in this range that I will join the options activity for the time being. I will take a few calls at each strike level as they are presently priced at $ 12- $ 32 per contract. I will also take 10-20 shares of stock in a short position to provide a little risk-off hedging.
NASDAQ:SIRILong
by AwesomeAvani
BYND is signaling a reversal LONGBYND on the 15 minute chart has been in a VWAP band breakdown finally slowing down with the ranging of the candles transitioning from wide body candles into ones more narrow. Earnings were a very mild beat in the thick of the fall as apparently traders expected more. The zero-lag MACD has crossed lines under a red histogram that flipped green. The dual time frame RS Indicator shows low green TF and higher black TF low in the range but holding over 20-25. Relative to the fall of price this is hidden bullish divergence. My analysis is that this is BYND at the near term bottom awaiting my long reversal trade. I will target 15.4 and 16.3 from the upside VWAP lines. If you are interested in my idea for a call option trade please leave a comment. If you find the idea helpful please leave a like or even a follow.
NASDAQ:BYNDLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
Can NFLX rebound from the down turn after earnings?NFLX started a good trend up about June 25 and then pulled back in the day after the earnings report. Although the earnings beat expectations, price continued to drop in a VWAP breakdown shown here on a 2 hr chart. Over the 2 days that followed, price has continued down at a slower rate and candle ranges are diminished. Importantly, the zero=lag MACD shows a line cross under the histogram which has changed from red /negative to green/positive. The lines have inflected upward. I see this as demonstrative of bullish divergence and predictive of a reversal. Overall, I see NFLX rebounding with a potential 15% upside. My target is 480 in consideration of the swing high on July 18th with a stop loss of 415 the swing low of late June.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
BOIL ( 3x Nat Gas ETF) Reverses to UpsideOn shown on the 15 minute chart with a VWAP band/line setup anchored to the July 1st pivot high. BOIL is in a VWAP breakout since bottoming mid-day July 17th. Confirming the reversal are the Price Volume Trend Oscillator printing a green histogram and an upgoing signal line as well as the zero-lag MACD with upgoing parallel lines crossing the zero-horizontal line. Price has crossed over the mean VWAP. On the dual time frame RSI indicator both the lower and higher RS lines ( blue and black) are above the 50 level and the lower time frame is higher highlighting bullish momentum. I will take a long trade targeting based on the VWAP lines first $65 and then $68. I will open equal amounts of call options striking the targets with expirations on July 28th. I seek a 100% ROI in the next 6-8 trading days. On an intraday basis, I may enter a low DTE call option at the low of day ( typically mid-morning) and exit at the high of day the same or next day.
BLong
by AwesomeAvani
TMF - Long Term Leveraged Treasury ETFOn this 4H Chart TMF has rallied in the past week about 9% as the reports of the impetus of inflation has diminished. On the zero-lag MACD, the lines are staying above the histogram which has not converted from negative to positive. The dual time frame RSI showing low 1 hour TF in blue and daily TF in black has the lower crossing over the higher both at the lows on July 10th and now both over 50 with the low 1 hour TF still above the higher daily TF. This confirms bullish momentum. Price is on a VWAP breakout ascending from the support of the 2nd negative mean anchored VWAP to above the mean anchored VWAP with a retest as well. Price is now above the POC line of the volume profile demonstrative the dominance of buying pressure over selling pressure. On the ADX indicator, a positive trend is rising while down trend is dropping proportionately with the intersection and cross occurring on July 12. Positive ADX is staying above 20. Overall I see this as an excellent setup for a long swing trade targeting 8.05 in the area of the values of the highs of June. A higher target would be about 8.3 where there were some recent pivots If the fed does an about-face and pauses rate hikes, a significant rally could ensue.
AMEX:TMFLong
by AwesomeAvani
3
Is JD a Chinese economy equity setting up a reversal?JD on the long term weekly chart appears to be in a descending wedge pattern which would generate a bias for a breakout upside. Price is now supported by the one standard deviation line below the VWAP bands anchored to 2019. The analysis of the ultralong term volume profile is that the Point of Control is just below price and that the vast majority of trading volume has been above the current price. I can readily presume that JD is at or near a bottom and most certainly the 1, 2, and 3 year lows. Analysis on higher time frames such as the weekly are more likely to be accurate with good signals. On the MACD signals have crossed in mid-May and now ascending in parallel toward the zero line while price is bouncing around at what I will call the bottom. Said another way, the MACD is showing bullish divergence. The upside here over a long term could be as much as 250% and much much more with a long expiration options contract. I will open a long trade here in a small position with a stop loss below the POC line and DTA into it over time whenever there is a pivot low on the weekly chart. I am confident that the Cinese economy with supposedly zero inflation will be an excellent backdrop for Chinese stocks to run higher in due time.
NASDAQ:JDLong
by AwesomeAvani
4
GLD is the high volume EFT that is tracking the gold bullrun which started two weeks ago on July 3rd after a downtrend for two months starting on May 2nd. This is not a leveraged ETF as so a bit less volatile than JNUG or GDXU. On the 2H chart, I have added a VWAP band line setup anchored into the pivot high. On my analysis: 1. GLD is ascending through VWAP band lines in a VWAP breakout. 2. Volume is steady 3. The Price Volume Trend Oscillator went from a diminishing negative/red histogram into green on July 5th. 4. On the zero-lag MACD, the lines crossed while under the histogram reversing a descent on July 17th and marking the end of a minor correction of the uptrend then confirmed by those lines crossing the zero-line the following day. I conclude that GLD is set up for a long trade. While others might simply take a trade of stocks I will use call options to take a long position. My target is $190 between the second and third positive standard deviations of the mean VWAP. I will purchase 50 options contracts for about $37 each expiring August 4th. I will hold all of them until July 27th and liquidate half of them at the high of day on that Thursday expecting Friday to be a down day. The remaining 25 contracts will be sold at the rate of 6 contracts per day until the overall position is closed. Overall, I expect to realize 200% in profits over the 12-13 trading days in the trade. I plan for a 15% stop loss and expect the trade to be above break-even with the first stop loss advance which I expect will be on Friday.
AMEX:GLDLong
by AwesomeAvani
Will JPM higher after earnings ?JPM is in an uptrend since earnings the morning of July 14th at the end of the trading week. On the 1H chart with VWAP band lines anchored to a week before earnings as a dynamic support and resistance reference shows a rise from below the first standard deviation above the mean VWAP to above it with a pullback after the earnings and then a continuation at the depth of the pullback today July 17th. The two-time frame RSI indicator shows the lower TF blue line moving lower despite the uptrend today. This is suggestive of bearish divergence. The zero-lag MACD shows a cross of the lines above the histogram suggesting a reversal as does the green to red and positive to negative on the histogram. As a result, I will watch JPM for reversal and a put option or short sell stock trade.
NYSE:JPMShort
by AwesomeAvani
KOLD drops with Natural Gas RisesOn the daily chart KOLD has been testing resistance since February with a single touch in February , a head and shoulders in April and a double top in early May. It is now retracing due to the rise in natural gas prices in the past 10 days. A support line from a prior retracement in early March is drawn at 41.45. This analysis is further supported by the zero-lag MACD oscillator. I will take a trade of put options but short selling is another alternative. Once in the trade, a signal to close will be the red zone outside the bands as was the case in late February. The actual sell signal being the thick MACD black line inflecting from moving downward to upward. KOLD could drop 80% from the present price down to the POC line of the volume profile at about $ 12.50. If leveraged with put options this could represent a 5X profit or better. Any sustained rebound in natural gas prices will lend heavy support to this idea. IF a trader wants to capture smaller moves albeit at the risk of getting into a chop zone, a smaller time fram such as 30-120 minutes could be used.
AMEX:KOLDShort
by AwesomeAvani
1
UNG retracement complete- to uptrend again.UNG as shown on the 15-minute chart had an untrend for a week culminated by the very steep finish to the uptrend into resistance followed by a very rapid bounce down and retracement. A standard 50% Fibonacci retracement is now complete. UNG appears to be bounding off the POC line of the volume profile which coincides with the 0.5 Fib level. UNG tracks the natural gas futures, especially the leading month. It appears now ready to resume an uptrend. This is a directional bearing on the trend for any instrument based on natural gas prices including XNGUSD on forex.
AMEX:UNGLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
KRE Is a reversal underway?KRE the regional bank ETF is down about 50 % YTD, with a couple of bank failures leading the way. The question that arises is whether there is more downside. Faith and trust in the the banking system is at risk. The big banks came in their rescue on First Republic. A run on the little banks can hurt the big banks even Goldman Sacks. Holding treasuries with fixed rates lower than current rate sucks for sure. The fed will clean up this mess and will do it right and has started that process. KRE chart with the fisher transform indicator and the zero-lag MACD tells me that KRE is now " reverting to the mean" & dropped below the Fibonacci bands of the basis EMA. Line crossovers on the indicators are confirmatory. I will seize the situation and add to my long position. Due you agree that this is picking low laying fruit?
AMEX:KRELong
by AwesomeAvani
1
PANW Is this bank stock reversing or a correction?PANW as a stressed back stock has been trending down. However as seen with the regional banks at large ( KRE as an example ) the bear market had a bullish rally the past couple of trading days. So, is this a reversal to trade or merely a pullback of the trend down good for a short entry? On the 15 minute chart price has ascended to outside the Fibonacci bands (EMA 42 2.618 bands) where mean reversion may soon apply. The fisher transform lines are approaching the redline above where reversal is statistically likely. On the zero lag MACD, the lines have crossed and are about to cross the zero line. Overall, the chart suggests to be that PANW and perhaps the regional banks in general are merely taking a break from the trend down. I see this as an entry opportunity to join the continuation of the trend and will take a short position.
P
by AwesomeAvani
1
NIO REVERSES within descending parallel channelOn the 30-minute chart, I have drawn the upper (red) and lower (green) trendlines of the descending parallel channel. While it had been riding the upper edge of the Fibonacci/ EMA channel, it has reversed and headed toward the base EMA with the candles green to red. The zero-lag MACD indicator lines crossed above the histogram while the True Strength Index oscillator has had a line cross in the supply / resistance zone for further information. I conclude it is time to close long positions in profit and cross the aisle into short positions. I will take a put option trade for the expirations of 5/19 @ $ 9.50 but a less risky trade would be a longer exiration by 1-2 weeks ( while at the same time decreasing the reward potential.)
NYSE:NIOShort
by AwesomeAvani
ERX Energy Leveraged ETF LongERX is a bullish leveraged ETF for the energy sector similar to XLE. On the 30 minute chart, the supply and demand zones are displayed from the Luxalgo indicator. The midline between them is the red line which is confluent with the POC line of the volume profile. On the prior down trend last week, price got support from that line and bounced back to the supply zone above. On the present down trend price broke the line which has now become resistance. At present it is sitting on the demand zone and bounced off it into a reversal this morning. The Zero Lag MACD confirms this with rising K and D Lines crossing the zero line and the histogram flipping positive. My long trade is targeting the redline between supply and demand zones @ $ 60.25 while the stop loss is at the top the demand zone at $ 58.15 From an entry of $ 59.15 this is $ 1.00 of risk for a targeted reward of $ 1.10 making the R/R essentially 1:1 I see this as a safe long trade with low risk and low reward.
AMEX:ERXLong
by AwesomeAvani
GM General Motors Pre Earnings LONGGM is on a 4H chart. Fundamentally, the last earnings were good. GM is challenged by the adoption of electric vehicles and the transformation of its core business. Small EV companies ( CANOO, RIDE, WKHS, FFIE, MULN) are mainly undercapitalized noise. The competition is really TSLA and Ford. Earnings upcoming are April 25th Technically, the price has been trending also a support of the lower standard deviations of the anchored VWAP originating on the date of the last earnings. Recently price has moved from -2 STD VWAP band to the higher -1 STD band. Price is now sitting on the support shown by the Luxalgo indicator with the earnings report due The VWAP bands are quickly losing slope as earnings report day of April 25 approaches. the zero lag MACD has lines crossing under the zero line and the histogram has just turned positive. These serve as confirmation entry signals. I see this as entry time for an earnings play. Entry is by market order with a stop loss below the demand zone. Targets are VWAP ( purple line), the midline between the demand/supply zones, and then the final target is the +1 STD above VWAP ( downsloping stepped black line). Overall a reward for the risk of about 4X. I may opt to play this with call options striking $35.00 expiring on 5/5 and currently priced at FWB:112 per contract.
NYSE:GMLong
by AwesomeAvani
Harley is having a spring sale HOG LONG ?The chart shows HOG to have reversed above its intermediate-term support. Price is just below the near-term POC line of the volume profile and 30 % below the intermediate-term POC line where increased volatility could result in a rejection bounce or alternatively a push higher into the low-volume area above. The zero-lag MACD shows the lines crossed under the histogram and crossed over the zero line. The Bolliger Bands indicator shows a buy signal with a price near to the lower band. Overall, this is a good place to take a long swing trade of stock or even a call option of 4 weeks duration mindful that it might be strategic to "ride" the anticipation of earnings on April 25th but close out the option contract or stock position a few days before the earnings report. For the stock trade, stop loss and target are drawn onto the chart.
NYSE:HOGLong
by AwesomeAvani