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Bitcoin Drops 27% from Record High Amid Market SelloffBitcoin fell to $78,000 on Monday, down 27% from its all-time high, as crypto and stock markets lost a combined $6 trillion. Crypto market capitalization dropped 4% to $2.67 trillion, its lowest since November 9, shedding $1.2 trillion since December 17. Bitcoin hit a multi-month low, falling from its January peak of $107,000. Stocks mirrored the decline, with the S&P 500 losing $1.4 trillion—its worst single-day drop since 2022. The sharp selloff reflects a shift from risk assets, with the Fear and Greed Index plunging to 14, a two-year low, signaling extreme risk aversion. This contrasts with last year’s post-Trump election rally, where the index peaked at 92. Technically, the first support for BTC is at $78k, with subsequent levels at FWB:73K and $65k. On the upside, the initial resistance is at GETTEX:89K , followed by $95k and $100k.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ChartMage
Trade Uncertainty and Fed Stance Keep Silver Prices ElevatedSilver held at $32.50 per ounce after a 4.4% weekly gain, as trade tensions and U.S. inflation data kept investors cautious. Uncertainty grew after Trump warned of new tariffs on Canadian dairy and lumber, following a U.S. delay on 25% tariffs for Canadian and Mexican goods. Canada upheld retaliatory measures, while China’s tariffs on U.S. agriculture took effect. Concerns deepened after Trump avoided recession and inflation questions in a Fox News interview. Fed Chair Powell signaled no rush for rate cuts despite rising economic risks. If silver breaks above $32.75, the next resistance levels are $33.15 and $33.80. On the downside, support is at $31.00, with further levels at $30.20 and $29.75 if selling pressure increases.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Gold Strengthens on Trade Tensions and Safe-Haven DemandGold prices climbed toward $2,900 per ounce on Tuesday, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and rising safe-haven demand amid economic uncertainty and escalating trade tensions. President Trump acknowledged recession risks after the U.S. delayed 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, while China imposed new tariffs on U.S. agricultural goods. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell cited economic concerns but ruled out immediate rate cuts. Investors are now awaiting U.S. inflation data for further guidance on the Fed’s policy outlook. Key resistance stands at $2,923, with further levels at $2,955 and $3,000. Support is at $2,860, followed by $2,830 and $2,790.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
UK Budget Forecasts and GDP Data Set to Shape Pound’s Next MoveThe pound hovered around $1.29, staying near a four-month high as dollar weakness persisted amid U.S. economic concerns and tariff risks. Sterling remained supported by expectations that UK interest rates will stay high, with traders adjusting BoE rate cut forecasts to 52 bps for 2025. Investors now await January GDP data for economic insights, while the UK’s budget watchdog will release updated economic and borrowing forecasts on March 26, potentially influencing market sentiment. If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2920, the next resistance levels are 1.2980 and 1.3050. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2760 and 1.2660 if selling pressure increases.
by ChartMage
EUR/USD Flat Amid Market Uncertainty and Recession FearsThe EUR/USD pair remained stable on Tuesday, showing little movement as traders entered a data-heavy week in the U.S. markets. On Monday, global equities experienced a sharp sell-off, driven by rising recession fears, leading to broad market declines. However, EUR/USD traders are taking a cautious approach, awaiting key U.S. inflation data before committing to any major moves. Key resistance is at 1.0850, followed by 1.0900 and 1.0950. Support stands at 1.0730, with further levels at 1.0700 and 1.0650.
by ChartMage
Safe-Haven Yen Gains on Economic Risks, BOJ Policy UncertaintyThe yen rose to 147 per dollar, its strongest in five months, as US recession fears fueled safe-haven demand. Trump acknowledged economic risks, while Japan’s GDP growth was revised down to 2.2% from 2.8% due to weak consumption. The BOJ is expected to hold rates in March but may hike later this year. Finance Minister Kato warned of the real-world impact of FX volatility. Key resistance is at 149.20, with further levels at 152.00 and 154.90. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00.
by ChartMage
Dollar Decline Propels Silver Above $32Silver extended its rally beyond $32 per ounce in early March, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar. The U.S. imposed new tariffs on Canadian, Mexican, and Chinese imports, prompting Canada’s 25% counter-tariffs and China’s additional levies of 10%-15%, along with export restrictions on select U.S. entities. Investors now focus on Friday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for clues on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy outlook. If silver breaks above $32.75, the next resistance levels are $33.15 and $33.80. On the downside, support is at $31.00, with further levels at $30.20 and $29.75 if selling pressure increases.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Policy Volatility Keeps Gold at $2,900Gold hovered around $2,900 per ounce, set for a weekly gain. While Trump temporarily paused 25% tariffs on most Canadian and Mexican goods, Canada’s retaliatory tariffs remain, and China’s countermeasures take effect next week. U.S. labor data showed mixed signals as layoffs hit a 2020 high per the Challenger report, while jobless claims fell more than expected. Investors now await the non-farm payrolls report for further labor market insights and potential Fed policy impact. Key resistance stands at $2,923, with further levels at $2,955 and $3,000. Support is at $2,860, followed by $2,830 and $2,790.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
GBP/USD at 1.2880, Awaits NFP ReportGBP/USD holds modest gains around 1.2880 in Friday’s Asian session, recovering from the previous decline as investors await the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) extends its five-day decline, pressured by falling Treasury yields, with the 2-year at 3.94% and the 10-year at 4.24%. Markets increasingly expect the Federal Reserve to adopt a more aggressive rate-cutting stance due to economic growth concerns. Analysts at MUFG Bank suggest the Fed may shift focus from inflation control to economic growth, especially amid tariff uncertainties. Consumer confidence has weakened, reflecting rising household concerns. In the UK, expectations for BoE rate cuts in 2025 have dropped below 50 basis points. BoE’s Catherine Mann stated that gradual rate changes are ineffective in volatile markets, advocating for larger cuts to provide clearer policy signals. If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2920, the next resistance levels are 1.2980 and 1.3050. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2760 and 1.2660 if selling pressure increases.
by ChartMage
Euro Surges Above $1.08 on ECB Rate CutThe euro rose above $1.08, hitting a four-month high after the ECB’s expected 25bps rate cut. The central bank signaled a less restrictive stance but hinted at a pause in further cuts, shifting its rhetoric away from "restrictive policy." Markets now anticipate one or two more 25bps cuts this year. The euro also gained support from expectations of increased government spending. EU leaders are meeting for a special defense session, where Commission President Ursula von der Leyen proposed an €800 billion plan, including €150 billion in loans, to strengthen defense capabilities despite budget constraints. Key resistance is at 1.0840, followed by 1.0900 and 1.0950. Support stands at 1.0730, with further levels at 1.0700 and 1.0650.
by ChartMage
Yen Benefits from Dollar's Broad RetreatThe Japanese yen held around 149 per dollar, its strongest in five months, benefiting from the dollar’s decline on a stronger euro and Trump’s tariff policies. His selective tariff exemptions and retaliatory measures weakened the dollar further. Domestically, BOJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida suggested possible rate hikes if economic projections align but emphasized that Japan’s monetary conditions remain highly accommodative, with only minimal reductions in government bond holdings. Key resistance is at 152.00, with further levels at 154.90 and 156.00. Support stands at 147.10, followed by 145.80 and 143.00.
by ChartMage
Precious Metals Gain as U.S. and China Exchange New TariffsSilver surged past $32.5 per ounce in early March, fueled by a weaker dollar and safe-haven demand amid escalating trade tensions. The U.S. imposed tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and an additional 10% on Chinese goods, raising China's total tariff to 20%. In response, Canada levied a 25% tariff on $155 billion of U.S. imports, while China announced 10%-15% tariffs on U.S. goods starting March 10 and new export restrictions. Traders now await Friday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for Fed policy signals. If Silver breaks above $32.75, the next resistance levels are $33.15 and $33.80. On the downside, support is at $31.00, with further levels at $30.20 and $29.75 if selling pressure increases.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Safe-Haven Demand Lifts Gold Amid US Tariff UncertaintyGold rose above $2,920 per ounce, nearing record highs, as a weaker dollar and trade uncertainty drove safe-haven demand. Trump granted US automakers a one-month exemption from 25% Canada-Mexico tariffs and hinted at more changes. A US official suggested lifting the 10% tariff on Canadian energy if trade conditions are met. Meanwhile, China filed a revised WTO complaint in response to new US tariffs. Investors await the non-farm payrolls report for Fed policy signals. Key resistance stands at $2,923, with further levels at $2,955 and $3,000. Support is at $2,860, followed by $2,830 and $2,790.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
Pound Surges on BoE Policy OutlookThe British pound climbed to 1.289, its highest since November 12, increased by a weaker dollar, US economic concerns, and tariff effects. Expectations of prolonged high UK rates also supported the pound. BoE Deputy Governor Ramsden warned of persistent wage-driven inflation but noted rate cuts could accelerate if needed. The pound appears less exposed to US tariffs after Trump hinted at a possible UK trade deal. If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2920, the next resistance levels are 1.2980 and 1.3050. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2760 and 1.2660 if selling pressure increases.
by ChartMage
ECB Rate Cut Expected as EU Unveils €800B Defense PlanThe euro neared $1.08, a four-month high, as increased defense spending and borrowing strengthened Eurozone optimism. Germany’s CDU/CSU and SPD agreed to exceed 1% of GDP in defense spending and create a €500 billion off-budget fund. EU plans to mobilize €800 billion for defense, with €150 billion in loans and more fiscal flexibility. The ECB is expected to cut rates for the fifth time this week. Key resistance is at 1.0840, followed by 1.0900 and 1.0950. Support stands at 1.0760, with further levels at 1.0700 and 1.0650.
by ChartMage
Yen Steady Near 149 as BOJ Hints at Possible Rate HikesThe yen held near 149 per dollar, its strongest in five months, benefiting from a weaker dollar amid a stronger euro and Trump’s tariffs. While Trump eased tariffs for some automakers, retaliatory measures pressured the dollar. BOJ Deputy Governor Uchida signaled potential rate hikes if economic forecasts hold, noting financial conditions remain loose with minimal JGB reductions. Key resistance is at 152.00, with further levels at 154.90 and 156.00. Support stands at 148.60, followed by 147.10 and 145.80.
by ChartMage
Silver Faces Resistance After Recent RallySilver remained above $32 per ounce on Sunday after recent volatility, supported by a weaker dollar on soft US economic data and easing global trade war concerns. On Friday, silver hit a three-month high, driven by strong industrial demand, particularly in electrification and manufacturing. Reports showed China added 357 gigawatts of solar and wind power in 2024, boosting industrial silver use. Meanwhile, India’s Oil and Natural Gas Corp pledged INR 1 trillion for renewable energy, and Indonesia aims to add 17 gigawatts of solar capacity. Key resistance is at 33.15, with further levels at 33.80 and 34.50. Support stands at 31.40, followed by 30.90 and 30.20.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Gold Extends Gains as Trade War Fears MountGold climbed above $2,900 per ounce, extending its gains for a second day as fears of a global trade war fueled demand. Concerns over President Donald Trump’s proposed reciprocal tariffs added to market uncertainty, increasing gold’s appeal. However, hawkish Fed comments capped further gains. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman reiterated caution on rate cuts due to inflation risks, while Governor Christopher Waller suggested delaying reductions until inflation eases. Investors now await Wednesday’s Fed meeting minutes for more policy insights. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions persist as markets watch for updates on a potential Russia-Ukraine ceasefire. Key resistance levels are at $2,949, $2,975, and $3,000. Support is at $2,880, with further levels at $2,830 and $2,760.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
GBP/USD Rises on Strong UK GDPGBP/USD climbed to 1.2595 in early Asian trading on Sunday, driven by strong UK GDP data and weaker US retail sales. January retail sales dropped 0.9%, the steepest decline in nearly two years, after a revised 0.7% rise in December, far below the expected 0.1% dip. However, year-over-year sales grew by 4.2%. Meanwhile, the UK economy expanded by 0.1% in Q4 2024, beating forecasts and strengthening the Pound. Key resistance is at 1.2600, with further levels at 1.2650 and 1.2700. Support stands at 1.2340, followed by 1.2265 and 1.2100.
by ChartMage
Fed Talk Lifts Dollar, EUR/USD Under PressureEUR/USD hovers around 1.0455, while the dollar index rebounded to 107 on Tuesday, snapping a three-day losing streak. The recovery followed remarks from Federal Reserve officials signaling a pause in rate cuts to focus on inflation control. Fed Governor Christopher Waller suggested holding off on cuts unless inflation trends match 2024 levels, while Governor Michelle Bowman stressed the need for more evidence before easing policy. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker also supported maintaining current rates amid economic strength. Markets now await this week’s FOMC minutes for further rate guidance. Last week, the dollar weakened due to mixed US economic data and reduced tariff concerns. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent noted that currency manipulation is now a key factor in trade strategy. Technically, resistance stands at 1.0515, with further barriers at 1.0600 and 1.0650. Support lies at 1.0350, followed by 1.0275 and 1.0220.
by ChartMage
Yen Dips After Strong Japan GDP DataThe Japanese yen slipped to around 151.8 per dollar, reversing a three-day rally as the dollar gained strength after Fed officials signaled reluctance to cut rates due to inflation concerns. Japan’s Q4 GDP grew 0.7% quarter-on-quarter, up from 0.4% and beating the 0.3% forecast. On an annual basis, GDP rose 2.8%, aligning with expectations and improving from 1.7% in Q3. These figures support a more hawkish outlook for the Bank of Japan, though uncertainty remains over a potential rate hike in March, with further increases expected later this year. Technically, resistance is at 154.90, with further levels at 156.00 and 157.00. Support stands at 151.25, followed by 149.20 and 147.10.
by ChartMage
Silver at $32.90, Asian Demand Fuels RiseSilver jumped to $32.90 on Friday morning, fueled by increased demand for safe-haven assets amid rising trade tensions and geopolitical risks. Additionally, strong demand from China and other Asian markets has further supported silver prices. From a technical perspective, $33.15 is the first resistance level, with further targets at $33.80 and $34.50 if the price breaks higher. On the downside, $31.40 serves as the first support level, followed by $30.90 and $30.20 if selling pressure intensifies.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Gold Steady, Set for Seventh Weekly GainGold traded at $2,930 per ounce, maintaining its position for a seventh weekly gain. On Thursday, President Trump instructed federal agencies to explore ways to align U.S. tariffs with those of other countries, though without immediate implementation. While the delay eased some concerns, fears of escalating global trade tensions persisted, driving investors toward gold. Meanwhile, U.S. producer inflation exceeded expectations, following strong consumer inflation data earlier in the week. This reinforced the view that the Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates soon. Despite this, gold remained resilient, supported by trade war uncertainties and a weaker dollar, which made the metal more affordable for foreign buyers. The first resistance is at $2,949, with further levels at $2,975 and $3,000 if the price moves higher. On the downside, $2,885 is the first support level, followed by $2,830 and $2,760 if selling pressure increases.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage