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Bitcoin - Why is everyone wrong + Magic Moving AverageWe have so many warning signs that Bitcoin is going to crash significantly in 2025/2026. One of them is this magic 20-weekly moving average. As we can see, the price always respects this dynamic level, and if the price falls below it, it triggers a sell signal. On the other side, if the price rises above it, it triggers a buy signal. The price is currently below it, so this is a bearish signal. The next bad signal is this Elliott Impulse wave. What we can see here is a perfect textbook impulse wave that has been completed. If you are an Elliott Wave trader, you already see that this is a big problem. After such a wave is complete, we are always looking for an ABC correction with a fibonacci retracement tool. Use only these 3 Fibo levels, others do not work properly! Specifically, 0.618 FIB, 0.500 and 0.382 FIB. Bitcoin loves the 0.618 FIB, so there is a pretty huge chance of going down to 32k. But expect a very strong bounce from the 0.382 FIB as well, which is at 52k. Set up your buy orders here, and thank me later! What we can also see on the chart is an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 34k and 28k. Often the price loves to come back and test these important price actions. This is a great buying confluence with the 0.618 FIB because the FVG is inside this Fibo level. The last thing I want to talk about is this huge blue ascending channel on the weekly chart. This is a representation of this whole uptrend (bull market). You may say that Bitcoin is bullish until this channel holds, yeah, but what we do here is we predict future price action and give you technical analysis. I am giving you this information in advance so you can prepare for the future! Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Xanrox
61
GOLD → Tense fundamental environment and retest of 3025FX:XAUUSD is forming a correction within the descending channel. The situation is becoming complex and confusing. The focus is on the channel resistance and on the support at 3004.9. Further price movement depends on the fundamental data... The problem is the uncertainty around the US tariff policy and the outcome of talks between Russia and the US on ceasefire in Ukraine. The market is focused on US consumer confidence data and comments from Fed officials. The rise in the dollar, supported by Bostic's hawkish statements and strong PMIs, is pressuring gold, but the lack of clarity on tariffs and geopolitical tensions are limiting its further decline Technically, the situation is simple in that it all depends on the resistance of the current channel. A break and consolidation above 3025 will trigger growth. A false break of the channel resistance will provoke a continuation of the decline both to 3004 and to 2980. Resistance levels: 3024.6, 3038, 3056 Support levels: 3004.9, 2987, 2981 Based on the difficult fundamental environment, which is far from any positive decisions, the tensions in the Middle East, and the tariff war, I can conclude that gold will try to strengthen once again, as we have technical support: a strong bullish trend, a strong 3004 level, and a cascade of locally rising lows. A failed breakdown will be false and in this case, a price consolidation under 3017 will trigger a fall to 3004. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
LAYERUSDT → Far retest of key resistance at 1.400BINANCE:LAYERUSDT.P is forming a realization within the uptrend. The coin is stronger than the market, but the initial reaction to the strong resistance at 1.400 may be in the form of a false breakout and a pullback to 1.275 or 0.5 fibo Since the opening of the session, LAYERUSDT has passed the daily ATR, but after reaching the resistance, the coin may not have the potential to continue rising. Liquidity above the 1.400 level may hold this area and prevent the coin from breaking through this zone the first time around. Bitcoin is testing trend resistance at this time and could likely form a rebound or a continuation of the decline, which could affect altcoins accordingly! Resistance levels: 1.400 Support levels: 1.2932, 1.2747, 0.5 fibo BUT ! Everything depends on the price reaction at 1.400. A sharp and distributive approach with 90% probability will end in a false breakout and correction to the mentioned targets. But, if LAYER starts to slow down and consolidate in front of the level, an attempt of breakout and struggle above 1.400 is possible and further movement will depend on it. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
12
GOLD → Long squeeze (false break of uptrend support) FX:XAUUSD within the liquidation the price is testing the key support at 3004.9 and forms a false break of support. The trend is generally bullish as the geopolitical situation remains tense and carries high risks. Friday saw a liquidation phase relative to the consolidation at 3024-3045. Reason: the White House is expected to revise tariff policy, easing measures against key trading partners. Negotiations over the conflict in eastern Europe, where the U.S. is a key link, also support the positive sentiment. On Monday, market attention will focus on Russia-US talks, as well as preliminary PMI data that could affect the global economic outlook. The focus is on the current consolidation and the 3024 level. If the bulls hold their defenses above this level, gold will continue to strengthen. Resistance levels: 3045 - 3056 Support levels: 3024, 3004 The growth within the bullish trend may continue. The price is forming a consolidation between trend support and resistance at 3024. The emphasis is on 3024, if the bulls hold the defense over this zone, gold may head for a retest of the high (the initial reaction to ATH may trigger a pullback down) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
5
EURUSD → Price is in consolidation. Emphasis on false breakdownFX:EURUSD is forming a correction within the consolidation that was formed on the uptrend. The reason for the consolidation is the halt in the movement of the dollar index... The dollar is forming a counter-trend correction due to political and econmoic data, but the general background is bearish. But, the fall of the dollar, to which the index may soon return, may strengthen the growth of the currency pair. EURUSD consolidation within the uptrend (against the background of the dollar index correction). The zone of interest is the support at 1.078 and the imbalance area Resistance levels: 1.078, 1.074 Support levels: 1.0936.1.1009 The price has not tested the support and is forming a correction to the imbalance zone 1.087 - 1.09 from which the price may return to the downward movement to 1.078. The emphasis is on the range support from which we should wait for a false breakdown before further growth. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
IPUSDT → Exit from the triangle may trigger a distribution ofBINANCE:IPUSDT.P is forming positive preconditions for possible growth. Bitcoin slightly revitalized the market after positive news related to SEC and XRP (the crypto community did not miss this fact) The IP coin was in consolidation for a long time - a symmetrical triangle. Rising lows, consolidation, breakout of triangle resistance give positive signs of readiness for distribution (realization of consolidation). Ahead is the key resistance at 5.6297 separating the market from the free zone Resistance levels: 5.6297, 6.631 Support levels: 5.116, 4.783 Price has been sticking to triangle resistance for the past few days and is gaining potential for breakout and realization. Numerous intraday retests of the area indicate the market's interest to break beyond this zone. A breakout of 5.6297 and price consolidation above the triangle will be a good signal of readiness to go up. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
Bitcoin - This bear flag will send BTC to 72,000! (sell now)The whole crypto market and Bitcoin are crashing, and it looks like 2025 will be a very red year! From a bitcoin cycle's perspective, bitcoin has entered a bear market. Let's look at the latest technical analysis on the 6H chart. Bitcoin hit a new all-time high on January 20, exactly the same day as Trump's first day in office. Thereafter, Bitcoin has been crashing. Currently, the price prints a bearish flag on the 1H chart and a descending channel on the 6H chart. As long as Bitcoin is inside this descending channel, we have to stay bearish and trade with the trend until the end. This bear flag is also a problem because you would rather not see such patterns in a bull market in general. My next target is 72k, from here we could expect a bounce. Why 72k? Because it's the Fibonacci retracement of the previous major wave from 49k to 110k. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Short
by Xanrox
96
BITCOIN → Flag (consolidation) before falling to 78-73KBINANCE:BTCUSD is consolidating after a short-squeeze relative to 85-87K. A bearish set-up is being formed, the break of which may strengthen further decline to the key target of 73K A symmetrical triangle is forming within the downtrend on D1, a breakdown of this structure may strengthen the decline. Locally, within the channel a flag - bearish figure is formed (on the local TF false uptrend, the crowd enters to buy from the support or at the break of local resistance, at accumulation of the necessary potential the big player removes the limit order and releases the price, which is dispersed by liquidation of traders), regarding 85K-86.6K the liquidity capture is formed and the price returns to the selling zone. Consolidation below 85K may trigger a breakdown of the figure support and further fall to 80K-78K Fundamentally: the market sells off any positive news very quickly (negative background is created): crypto summits, (Trump said nothing new at the second summit) positive resolutions of problems (for example between SEC and XRP, or removal of restrictions from local exchanges) crypto reserve The only nuance, bitcoin's dominance index is still high despite the price drop... Resistance levels: 85150, 866700, 89400 Support levels: 82K, 80K, 78200 There are no positive signs for growth. The zone where we can consider a trend reversal ( if something supernatural happens ) is 89-91K, but it is very far away. But now I would consider a breakdown of the flag, or 83.5 - 82.5 and price consolidation below this zone with the purpose of further fall to the local important level 78173. Then another consolidation or correction is possible before a further fall to 73.5K Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RLinda
41
GOLD → Consolidation (correction) before growth to $3100FX:XAUUSD is going into consolidation after strong growth on the back of dollar correction. The metal may test deeper support areas before attempting a new high Gold is correcting, but remains in an uptrend The decline in quotations may be seen as a buying opportunity, given the economic uncertainty due to Trump's tariffs and expectations of Fed rate cuts. The Fed reiterated its forecast of two rate cuts in 2025 despite Powell's cautious comments. Gold is further supported by rising inflation risks and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Resistance levels: 3045, 3057 Support levels: 3024, trending, 3004 Reaction to support is weakening, even amid the uptrend. Gold may stay in this consolidation until the middle of next week, or it may try to break out of the consolidation to retest deeper support zones, such as the rising trend line or the 3004 imbalance zone, from which the growth may resume. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10
EURJPY → False breakout of key resistance ...FX:EURJPY is forming a false breakdown of resistance and draws us a reversal pattern against the upper boundary of the descending price channel, as well as the pressure on the market creates the correction of the dollar... On the daily chart the structure is bearish. After the false breakout of the global resistance a correction is formed, within which the price can test the imbalance zone or the previously broken resistance and continue its fall after the liquidity capture. The global trend is neutral and in this case it is worth considering local support levels as targets Resistance levels: channel boundary, 162.3, 163.0 Support levels: 160.84, 158.9 A retest of the channel resistance or the area of 162.4 - 163 is possible. But any return of the price under the resistance of the descending channel and consolidation of the price in the selling zone may provoke further decline Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
GOLD → Fading out before the news. Possible long-squeezeFX:XAUUSD continues its bullish trend, but locally, the movement is in a very narrow channel (wedge). To form a potential for further movement, the price may form a long-squeeze before or at the time of news... Fundamentally, gold remains a bullish asset due to the Fed's rate cut forecasts and economic risks associated with Trump's tariff policy. Gold hit a new high on Wednesday after the Fed reiterated plans to cut rates twice this year, raised its inflation forecast and worsened growth and employment estimates.The price is further supported by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with Israel announcing the resumption of ground operations in Gaza. Gold is forming a bull market. Before further growth (before the news) the price may enter the liquidity zone (fvg, 3028, 3024), after which it will continue to grow. Dollar enters local correction before the news, which creates pressure on gold Resistance levels: 3046, 3051, 3056 Support levels: 3038, 3030, 3024 Price is forming a retest of the wedge support, which increases the chances of a breakdown. If the support fails to hold, the price may go down to the above support before rising further. But! If gold bounces from 3038 and consolidates above 3044, the growth will continue without a deep pullback Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
22
Bitcoin - This indicator is always right! Crash to 40k in 2026.What we can see on the chart is Bitcoin cycles. We can statistically predict Bitcoin moves with this simple chart, because it's always right and never wrong. What can we say with certainty? Statistically: Bitcoin's bull markets last for 742 to 1065 days Bitcoin's bear markets last for 364 to 413 days Correction is every time weaker, but still huge The recent uptrend on Bitcoin started in December 2022 and ended in January 2025 (791 days). We know that statistically bull markets last for 742 to 1065 days, so this indicator tells us that the bull market ended! This indicator was never wrong, so do your own research. It's always like this. Moon boys calling for 300k, 500k, or 1M in 2025 do not follow my TradingView profile because otherwise they would know this strong fundamental fact. The market cap of Bitcoin is already too big, so forget about 500K or 1M in the short term because the market cap would be higher than gold. Gold is the number 1 asset in the world. Statistically, Bitcoin crashes every 4 years by 86% to 77%. The market cap is getting bigger as institutions step in, so this time I expect a weaker crash (around 65%). Still, it's a huge crash, and many investors will sell at a loss as usual. Knowledge of the Bitcoin cycles will save you a lot of money. Bitcoin halving is coded to occur once every 210,000 blocks, or roughly every four years, and will continue in this fashion until the final supply of 21 million BTC is reached. It is assumed that the last BTC will be mined in 2140. After that, transaction fees are supposed to be the only source of block rewards for miners. Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by Xanrox
133
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of Fed rate meeting...FX:XAUUSD goes into consolidation 3038 - 3024 before the news - Fed rate meeting. The situation is generally predictable, but gold is reacting to rising geopolitical risks. Gold is stabilizing before the Fed decision , markets are waiting for the data. The regulator is expected to keep rates, but Powell's forecasts will determine further dynamics. “Hawkish” tone of the Fed may lead to the strengthening of the dollar and gold correction. “Dovish” signals about economic risks will support the growth of metal prices. Geopolitical tensions and Trump's tariffs continue to have an impact.The market is preparing for high volatility on the background of the Fed's decision and events in the world Resistance levels: 2038, 2045 Support levels: 3024, 3015, 3004.9 Several scenarios can be considered for trading: Breakdown of resistance 3038 - 3045, consolidation of the price above the level with subsequent growth to 3050 - 3060. Or wait for the reaction to the news and with a possible breakdown of support to look for strong levels to trade a false breakdown, for example 3024, 3015, 3005. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
19
USDJPY → Resistance retest (wedge) before the Fed meetingFX:USDJPY is forming a correction to trend resistance as part of the dollar index consolidation. An interesting situation is forming which could be a continuation of the downtrend. Fundamentally, today is an important day. The FED interest rate meeting is ahead. Traders are waiting, the dollar is consolidating at this time. Most likely the rate will remain unchanged, but in this key everyone is interested in Powell's comments on monetary policy and their future actions. USDJPY at this time is forming a correction to the bearish trend resistance, before the news the currency pair may test the resistance conglomerate: a wedge, 0.79 fibo, or an orderblock located outside the channel Resistance levels: 150.16, 150.95 Support levels: 148.92 False breakout of the resistance zone can provoke a fall, as well as breakdown of the support of the “wedge” with the subsequent consolidation of the price in the selling zone. The price may test the zone of interest at 147.6, 146.54. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
What is Gold Waiting For? Is This the ATH 3045? In our group, we secured profits in two rounds when gold hit an all-time high of $3045. Currently, we are still focusing on selling at $3040-$3045, as this is the liquidity grab zone for sellers. I believe we can still trade within the sideway range, and be cautious of the two liquidity sweep zones as I have marked in the image. Sell Liquidity 3040-3045: We can place Sell Limit orders in this area. Buy Liquidity 3020-3025: We can place Buy Limit orders in this area. The reason for this sideway phase of gold is that the market is awaiting the Fed meeting at 1:30 AM tomorrow, March 20th. After that, a strong trend will emerge. My plan is still leaning towards the Buy side, as the market is currently concerned about a potential economic recession in the US. Therefore, we can focus on making small profits during this sideway period and wait for the next upward wave. Thank you for your review, and I hope you'll stay longer by pressing Follow.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RioNguyenCFD
GOLD → Consolidation for continued growth. 3025?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating between 2981 - 2993. After strong growth there is no hint of a possible reversal, and consolidation above the channel boundary indicates readiness to continue growth The gold price remains below the record $3,005 but is supported by the trade war, geopolitical tensions and expectations of Fed policy easing. The escalating US conflict with Yemen, the escalation in Gaza and possible talks between Trump and Putin are boosting demand for defensive assets. China's stimulus is also supporting prices. U.S. retail sales data may influence the dollar and further gold movement, but investors are cautious in anticipation of the Fed meeting. Resistance levels: 2993, 3008 Support levels: 2891, 2956 Consolidation is being formed, regarding which, against the background of the bullish trend, two strategies can be considered: 1) resistance breakdown and consolidation above 2993 with the purpose of growth continuation 2) false breakdown of support 2981 and further growth after liquidity capture. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
26
OMUSDT → Paranormal behavior. Rally readinessBINANCE:OMUSDT as a whole looks stronger than the market. After a strong rally a correction in the format of a bearish wedge is formed, subsequently the price broke the resistance and is trying to consolidate above the key support Against the background of a weak market OM coin has good prospects as technically someone is interested in this project and the coin as a whole behaves strongly and looks stronger than the market. A breakout of the bearish wedge (consolidation pattern within the correction) is forming. If the bulls keep the coin above the previously broken figure resistance and above the base of the 6.752 reversal pattern, the growth may continue in the short to medium term Resistance levels: 7.39, 7.98 Support levels: 6.752, 6.51 One of the few coins that is rising while bitcoin is falling. Focus on the previously mentioned support levels, as well as on the local resistance 7.05, the break of which may provoke a prolongation of growth Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
GBPUSD → Consolidation after a trend breakout. Long-Squeeze?FX:GBPUSD may test the local support amid the pre-news correction of the DOLLAR. Traders are waiting for inflation data, high volatility is possible The fundamnetal situation is predisposed in favor of the pound sterling, which has an advantage on the back of the falling dollar, which is likely to take a medium-term position on the back of the Trump administration. Technically, GBPUSD is consolidating above the key support zone of 1.286 - 1.280 below which a huge pool of liquidity has formed which could be tested before the trend continues. Important news ahead. Traders are waiting for CPI data. High volatility is possible Resistance levels: 1.2938 (trigger) Support levels: 1.2868, 1.281, 1.2728 Bulls may be aggressive and keep the price from correcting downwards. In this case, price consolidation above 1.2938 could be a good entry point for the continuation of growth. But because of the upcoming news, I would prefer to wait for a retest of the liquidity zone 1.2868 - 1.281 before taking action to open a position. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
NZDJPY → Attempting to change the downtrendFX:NZDJPY is trying to get out of the downtrend by breaking the channel resistance. Against the background of local strengthening of the dollar, the currency pair has all chances. Technically, buyers are starting to gain momentum and support the market, it can be seen on the background of locally growing minmiums, which gradually leads to the breakout of the channel resistance. The trigger in our case is the resistance 85.240 - a key level that divides the market into 2 planes. If the bulls are able to consolidate above 85.240, an impulse to 86.13, then 86.88 may be formed in the short-term. Support levels: 84.500, 84.00 Resistance levels: 85.240, 86.13 Initial testing of the trigger may end in a small pullback due to liquidity formed above. The pullback may be directed towards the previously broken channel resistance. But the emphasis is on price consolidation above 85.240, as this will be a prerequisite that the bulls are holding the market in the moment and are ready to keep going up. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
EURAUD → False breakout & Pin-Bar on W1FX:EURAUD is testing important resistance from the weekly timeframe. A false breakout is formed after liquidity capture. There is no potential for continuation of growth and the chart is drawing everyone's favorite “pin-bar” After the price exits the consolidation, the resistance of which was the level of 1.6787, a distributive pattern is formed, the target of which was the liquidity behind the weekly resistance of 1.7196. The target has been reached and the price is consolidating below the base of the reversal structure and thus preparing to continue falling. It is possible formation of liquidation or downward impulse to 1.71 - 1.70. The forex market has been behaving calmly since the opening of the week and the market can work out technical nuances calmly, until the fundamental factors are connected. Resistance levels: 1.7196 - 1.7304 Support levels: 1.7107, 1.7016 Zones of interest are located behind the local lows, but from a technical point of view, the market is most interested in liquidity beyond 1.6787 and there are all chances to reach this zone, as there are no obstacles below 1.7016. Accordingly, when the support at 1.7016 is broken, a free zone will open up Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
Gold's Crazy Run: New All-Time High of 2994 - Reaching the TopFirst off, congratulations to those who entered a Buy order following yesterday's plan that I posted earlier. Gold is currently forming a small sideways range around the 2980-2990 area, and I believe there will be another upward push to grab liquidity from those entering SELL orders around this zone. This will create market panic, reaching a peak where no one dares to participate anymore. At that point, Gold will experience a strong correction. Therefore, today's Asian and European sessions will likely see a sideways range between 2980-2990, and the beginning of the US session will see an upward push to grab liquidity above the 3000 USD/oz level. The US session will then conclude with a price drop. If Gold's scenario plays out as expected, we can anticipate a profit-taking day from investors next Monday Thank you for your review, and I hope you'll stay longer by pressing Follow.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RioNguyenCFD
BITCOIN → Short-squeeze 86-89K before falling further to 75KBINANCE:BTCUSD continues to form a downtrend after breaking the bullish structure on the weekly timeframe. There is no bullish driver yet, and technically, the price is heading to the global imbalance zone of 75-73K The past crypto summit and any other talk of cryptovalt support cannot support the market. Such events end with further market decline. Technically, the market continues to form a downtrend (global counter-trend), based on this alone, we can say that the price is now going against the crowd and this is generally logical behavior. Globally, the zone of interest is located in the following zones - 75K, 73K and order block 69-66K Locally, I would emphasize the nearest liquidity zones, located at the top, which can be tested before the further fall: 86697, 89.397 Resistance levels: 85135, 86678, 89397 Support levels: 79987, 78173, 73512 After the false break of 78K support there is no strong reaction, the market is forming a struggle for 84-85K zone, which generally indicates buying weakness. Before the further fall there may be a short-squeeze relative to the above mentioned zones of liquidity, which may lead to a further fall Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RLinda
32