AVAX-USDT | 4H | TECHNICAL CHARTHello traders, AVAX has completed its first 5 waves, and now it's time for the completion of the ABC wave. Right after the completion of wave C, I combined harmonic patterns and made an analysis of both. I marked my target with yellow arrows on the chart after the completion of the harmonic pattern.
If you want me to keep my analysis up to date, please don't forget to like this post.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Zigzag
Bitcoin - more crash is coming! -21%Bitcoin crashed significantly, as I warned you in one of my previous analyses:
What now? Is the crash over? I don't think so! The halving event is in a few days, and huge volatility is expected. The problem is that below the current price, we have a double bottom pattern, and there is a lot of liquidity that whales need for their huge buy orders. It's really very likely that the market is going to go down! What's more, we have a fair value gap below the current price as well, and usually these gaps tend to be filled sooner rather than later.
It's always important to do an Elliott Wave analysis before making such statements. If we take a close look at the price action, we can see that the impulse wave 12345 was completed and we are in a corrective phase. We need to complete this ABC correction before going higher to an all-time high! Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
GOLD → There's no limit to the bulls' activity. Support retest FX:XAUUSD is trading exclusively in a bull market. Quick and temporary reactions to the news are quickly exhausted and buyers regain the upper hand on the metal's price.
Yesterday the price made another retest of the support at 2330, which has the status of an intermediate bottom. This area held the price and after that the market returned to its true direction. On the background of activity of dynamic buyers the price tests 2390 and forms correction to the support. From 2365 the continuation of growth within the uptrend is also expected. Today from the news only the speech of the head of the Fed at 17:15 GMT.
Support levels: 2365, 2330
Resistance levels: 2390, 2400
Technically, a retest of the support is forming on the background of the uptrend. The 2365 area plays an important role, as the market earlier emphasized the presence of this area. A false breakdown before further growth is possible.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → CPI ahead. What should we prepare for?FX:EURUSD is testing 1.0864 for a breakout. The price is heading towards downtrend resistance. Unpredictable CPI ahead, but technically the currency pair could bounce back down.
All eyes are on the consumer price index today. Traders expect a strong decline in the CPI from 0.4% to 0.3%, which generally indicates the state of inflation and is a strong lever for the Fed when making interest rate decisions. Dollar index continue to decline amid news expectations, which makes the euro strengthen towards resistance. There is a high probability to see neutral-positive CPI data, which may support the trend of the currency pair.
Resistance levels: 1.08643, channel resistance, 1.09374
Support levels: 1.08027, 1.07365
Technically, on the background of the news, the price may test the resistance of the downtrend and after capturing liquidity to continue the decline to the targets indicated on the chart.
Regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → The price is not falling on the US news. Target 2450?FX:XAUUSD is showing strength as a hedge asset. The price continues to indicate to us that it intends to go even higher. The market is cleaned up after the shakeout and the big player continues to play his game.
(Idea from Apr.16: GOLD → There's no limit to the bulls' activity. Support retest)
Bulls form another intermediate bottom at 2365, building a limit support area. The price bounces and strengthens almost to 2400. Gold shows itself as a safe asset and finds interest from investors.
On H1, the price breaks local resistance and heads towards 2400. At the moment, the market's target is to break 2400 and reach the liquidity area of 2431.
Resistance levels: 2431, 2400
Support levels: 2371, MA-50, 2365
Technically, this is a strong bull market. It is worth looking for strong support areas to buy or strong resistance areas to trade on a breakout. Potential target is 2400, 2430, 2450.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin is ready for a 15% crash! (to 58k)Bitcoin may look pretty bullish, but do not get distracted. The price is forming a bearish distribution pattern inside a bearish parallel channel, as you can see on the chart. Right now, the odds are in favor of another crash. I am not saying this only because of the price action, but also because of the Elliott wave theory: as per my wave count, I am expecting bitcoin to finish wave (C) with a 1:1 Fibonacci extension level. Also look at previous waves, and waves (B) at this point look like an ABC bearish pattern.
Why is 58K important? We have a major swing low from March 5, 2024, and clearly there is a lot of liquidity and orders from retail traders. The whales need to consistently go for strong liquidity levels, as that's their only chance to buy bitcoin with a large amount of money. What they want to do is buy as much Bitcoin as liquidity allows and then send the price to the moon.
Right now, I really cannot be bullish on Bitcoin, but let me know your opinion in the comment section! I will be very glad. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Bitcoin - Buy the DIP! Ready for 80k.Bitcoin is definitely ready to go higher, and it's a really good time to buy the dip after the previous crash! We can see that the price is making higher lows on the daily chart, which is a strong sign of an uptrend. The price is currently still inside this symmetrical triangle, so we are waiting for an explosive move, probably to the upside. The trend is your friend until the end, and the trend is still intact bullish. 17% profit if you buy at the current price is very possible in the next few weeks! With 20x leverage on futures, it's a 340% profit.
Where to take profit? I recommend the 0.382 Fibonacci extension from the start of wave (1) to the end of wave (3) and to the end of wave (4). But if you are not sure about that, you can still take profit at the top of the ascending parallel channel! But Fibonacci tools are a must-know when trading Bitcoin; they give you a massive advantage over other retail traders. Fibonacci techniques are popular among huge banks, hedge funds, and institutions.
Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Ethereum - is ready to go higher! +32% this monthEthereum is still very bullish, so there is no reason to expect lower prices at this moment. We can see that the price broke out of this ascending parallel channel and retested it. Usually you want to wait for a retest and then enter a long position, which is happening right now! You can place your stop loss below the previous swing low (inside the ascending channel).
On the chart, you can see my detailed Elliott Wave count. We are in the bull market, so we can expect an impulse wave to form. In this case, we are still missing the fifth wave to the upside, which gives us another reason to open a long position.
Where to take profit? For this, we always need to use the Fibonacci extension tool. In combination with Elliott Wave theory, we can use the fibonacci extension tool from the start of wave 1 to the end of wave 3 and to the end of wave 4. The target for the fifth wave is 0.382 FIB or 0.618 FIB. Both log scale and linear scale are valid as profit targets.
Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
GOLD → How will CPI affect gold? Growth, slowdown or correction?FX:XAUUSD continues to grow. Since the opening of the session the price has been testing 2350 but has not been able to update the maximum yet, having formed a correction to MA-50. CPI is ahead and the market stops and goes into a waiting mode.
There is a huge imbalance in the market. The news can provoke strong sell-offs, provided that the price breaks through at least one zone of liquidity, for example 2338-2328, then the activation of orders will provoke a strong impulse to these areas. But, the news may also provoke the continuation of growth to 2400.
Fundamentally, traders are waiting for the CPI to drop to 0.3% and this is a rather sharp decline amid the speeches of the Fed representatives. Technically, gold is still strongly bullish and continues to attract interest.
Resistance levels: 2354, 2375, 2400
Support levels: 2328.4, 2303.7
Today all the attention is not on the technical component of the market, but on the fundamental one. Gold may react either by continuing its strong growth or by temporarily slowing down and going into a state of consolidation.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Fundamental reasons for growth. Target 2400?FX:XAUUSD has been reaching 2354 since the opening of the session amid strong excitement. The price is leaving the trend boundaries and continues to form new bullish ranges.
Strong bullish trend is realized on the background of important geopolitical news, related to the crisis in the Middle East, Eastern Europe, as well as a huge interest in hedge gold. World Central Banks continue to buy gold in record volumes.
Technically, gold is forming a small correction after updating the high on the back of bullish momentum from the opening of the session. There is a high probability that the growth will resume from the nearest support area or formal channel boundary.
Resistance levels: 2354, 2375
Support levels: 2328.4, 2303.7, channel boundary
Technically, the situation is complicated, as it is difficult to identify strong reversal zones, as the price is trading in a rally. In such a situation it is worth paying attention to support levels with the purpose of growth continuation, as well as local resistance areas with the purpose of upward breakout
TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! MCX:GOLD1!
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - 14-day plan! (must see)Bitcoin has been going sideways in the past weeks. Why? If we take a look at the chart, we can see that the price is inside this symmetrical tightening range. The only thing we can currently do is trade the range (sell high, buy low). Otherwise, we need to wait for the tightening range to show us the direction! Will it break up or down? Let me know in the comment section what you think about it!
If we break down, I have prepared 2 strong levels for you! These levels you can use to take profit or to enter a long position. The first level is 58547 USDT (liquidity sweep), and the second level is the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the previous impulse wave at 51985! I believe we will see a strong reaction from these levels. 51985 could also be the ultimate bottom, so keep that in mind! I will keep you updated, so make sure you follow my account.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, we can be in the ABCDE triangular formation or in the 1-2-1-2 formation (nest). It's good to wait for more confirmation to confirm our bullish / bearish scenario. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
EURUSD → How can NFP affect the currency pair? FX:EURUSD is unfolding within the framework of the downtrend. The price fails to reach the key support and gains a buyer amid the correction of the dollar index. The market is waiting for NonFarm Payrolls
Chart on D1 - price has no clear global trend, the market is in neutral flat. A false breakdown of the ascending support line is formed, after which the market gets a buyer. The market is expecting NFP today, Traders want to see 212K relative to the previous 275. On the back of a slight rise in Initial Jobless Claims NFP all may be a bit higher than 212K, which may increase volatility a bit. Channel and range resistance at 1.08975 is worth watching.
Support levels: 1.07958
Resistance levels: 1.08643, 1.08975
Technically, if NFP is worse than expected, the currency pair may try to break the trend resistance and head towards 1.10. But, there is a high probability to see NFP above 212K, which will have a negative impact on the currency pair.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Reached 2300. What's next, going higher or correction?FX:XAUUSD breaks records and updates the high to 2305, but technically, the implied target is still not reached. Today Initial Jobless Claims before NFP is published and the market may go into a consolidation phase.
On D1 we see the dollar declining after a false break of the resistance at 104.94 as well as the downside resistance. Ahead of Initial Jobless Claims, in general, traders are waiting for neutral-negative data, the situation is still complicated, but Powell is trying to keep the market from Panic with his statements.
Obviously, after the release of PMI and JOLTS data the Fed will not change the policy based on Q1 data. What is happening in the market now is emotion, but many people take it seriously. Still, we should wait for more important and factual data than just words in the air.
The inflation rate in January-February was higher than in 2023, which was the reason for the panic "inflation will be even higher and rates will be held for longer". But, the latest data doesn't change the situation significantly.
2300 may become a key psychological level for gold and cool down the market a bit, which may form a correction. There are still some areas of imbalance that the market maker may test before resuming the rise to the resistance level formed on the monthly timeframe.
Support levels: 2288, 2265, 2253
Resistance levels: 2300, 2325, 2337
Technically, a small correction to liquidity zones may start before further rsoot towards psychological levels
COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:DXY
Regards R. linda!
GOLD → A correction before further growth?FX:XAUUSD has been forming a small correction towards liquidity zones since the opening of the session. On the background of strong bullish trend it is quite logical scenario before the news publication.
The dollar index is testing a strong resistance before the news and a correction is possible, which will only strengthen the growth of gold. But, it is impossible to determine in advance what kind of news it will be (bullish or bearish for the dollar). Traders expect bullish: ADP NonFarm, ISM PMI, and bearish: SP PMI. Also, the big question is what Powell will say tonight....
Technically, gold is still in a bullish trend. And it may continue after a correction.
Resistance levels: 2288, 2300
Support levels: 2265, 2253, 2228
Technically, the market is bullish. A retest and false breakout of one of the above areas could strengthen the price again. But, the structure may break when the channel resistance (as support) or 2228 is broken, in which case the correction will be prolonged to lower zones.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPJPY → Correction on the background of a bullish trend FX:GBPJPY forms a false break of trend resistance, after which the market enters the correction phase. The technical event coincides with the fundamental one - the Central Bank starts to regulate the currency policy of Japan more strictly.
Even against the background of rising interest rates in Japan, traders are still bearish. The currency pair as a whole is declining on the background of the pound sterling falling while the dollar is growing, but the Japanese Yen is standing still, but the candlestick setup on D1 hints at the soon beginning of the fall, which can strengthen the currency pair.
A retest of the trend support or one of the strong levels before further growth is possible.
Resistance levels: 190.5, 191.32
Support levels: 189.69, 188.82
Technically, the bullish trend may continue after the correction ends. The area of 189.7 - 188.82 may again have a bullish influence on the currency pair.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → A false break of $2265 will lead to a retest of support FX:XAUUSD has been reaching 2265 since the open. The price is moving out of the ascending price channel, which indicates a strong bull market. But, there is a huge imbalance area forming below, which can be liquidated before further growth.
The dollar is also strengthening and the market is waiting for bullish news on the index today. In this case it may give a small correction wave for the gold market. Moreover, there is a huge area of imbalance at 2265-2222, in which case it would be logical to expect a retest of the previously broken channel resistance or even key support before a further rise.
Resistance levels: 2265
Support levels: channel resistance 2245, 2222
Technically, we can expect a correction after the rally. The trend may continue from these support zones.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → The pair is ready to continue the bearish trend FX:EURUSD is not going to change the global trend yet, continuing to break support zones with the aim of further declines on the back of the dollar index growth.
The dollar index is preparing to strengthen further. The price is breaking the trend, which is generally negative for the currency pair. Today the market is waiting for PMI. In general, the data is expected to be better than in the previous period, but it is worth paying attention to the actual data in relation to the expected data.
Technically, price consolidation below 1.07958 will form a bearish potential and further momentum towards 1.0700.
Resistance levels: 1.08597
Support levels: 1.07958, 1.0703
The currency pair is ready to continue the trend. Consolidation of the price below this level may be the beginning of the impulse.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Previously untouched terrain. Correction or growth?FX:XAUUSD is a pioneer. The price is testing new highs in a new, previously untouched zone. High interest in the metal, rumors and crisis leads to the fact that the growth of gold outpaces the growth of the dollar.
Dollar Index (D1) Breakout of resistance and news
The dollar is also rising. The price of the index has been supported by regulators for an extended period of time. The price is moving into a new range. What is interesting is that against the background of USD appreciation, gold is also rising in price. But this has its own reasons: the expectation of a rate cut, according to Powell, 3 rate cuts are expected in 2024. High interest to gold as a hedge asset, as well as the huge buyout of metal by central banks, which only fuels the price to strengthen.
Gold (H1). Key levels and technical situation
Technically, gold is at its highs. On D1 the price is testing the exit from the existing price channel. The closing of the session on Friday indicates that the market will try to move higher.
The only thing that confuses me is the price going outside the global channel on the background of distribution, the metal, from the technical point of view, has no potential to overcome this boundary from the first time. A pullback or consolidation is possible.
It is worth paying attention to two price levels: 2235 and 2222. A breakthrough of the upper boundary with the subsequent consolidation of the price above this level will continue the growth. The expected target in this case could be 2250.
A break of the lower level may activate the liquidation of buyers, which will form a correction to 2212, 2200
Regards R. Linda!
Education chart - SIMPLE ZIGZAGS in WXY DOUBLE ZIGZAGI started to assemble own ibrary of ElliottWave patterns and rules.
Here simple zigzags occured in: wave W and wave Y of WXY double zigzag
Zigzag 1 - wave W
Wave A - leading diagonal
Wave B - double zigzag
Wave C - ending expanding diagonal ending at the top line of the parrallel channel
Zigzag 2 - wave Y
Wave A - impulse
Wave B - double zigzag
Wave C - ending expanding diagonal ending at the middle of the parrallel channel
-----------------------------------------
## Rules for Simple ZigZag
- Subdivide into three waves.
- Wave A is always an impulse or leading diagonal (expanding or contracting)
- Wave C is always an impulse or ending diagonal (expanding or contracting).
- Wave B is any corrective pattern.
- Wave B never moves beyond Wave A start
- Wave B always ends in Wave A territory
- Wave A and C cannot be both diagonals of the same type (contracting/contracting or expanding/expanding), other combinations are possible
## Norms
- Waves A and C are frequently impulse waves but even more often they alternate between impulse and diagonal modes. Waves A and C may occasionally alternate between contracting and expanding diagonals
- Waves A and C cannot be diagonals of the same type
- Wave C must travel past Wave A's top. In Elliott Wave Theory, failure to do so is referred to as truncation
- Wave C should not go below 90% of Wave A
## Guidelines
- Wave C is typically equal to 0.618 (occasionally 1.618 or 2.618) of wave A
- Wave B typically retraces 38-79% of Wave A
- in case B is a triangle it retraces **38-50%** of Wave A
- in case B is a running triangle, the retracement can be **10-40%**
- in case B is zigzag, the expected retracement is **50-79%**
- The parallel channel that connects Wave A's start and Wave B's finish may provide a hint of where Wave C might conclude by extrapolating the other line from Wave A's end
- If waves A and C are both strong, wave C will reverse at the channel's top line
- If wave C appears weaker than wave A, it may reverse at the channel's middle
- If Wave C performs stronger than A, a double channel will be used as a target of the reversal point.
## Occurs in
Wave 2
Wave 4 (unless happened in wave 2)
Wave W, Y of WXY double zigzag
Wave W or Y of a combination
Wave B of ABC flat
Waves 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 in contracting diagonal
Wave B of ABC zigzag
Wave X of WXY double zigzag
Been trying to find the bottom and KRL and this might be it.A falling wedge pattern shows that this might be the nearing the end of this consolidation phase.
In that case we can expect a decent push for $KRL towards it's all time highs and further for this bull run.
Still considering the fact that the project is building on AI capabilities, we can expect a boom based on fundamentals as well given the tokens small market cap status on Coinbase and its low supply token.
#btc #eth #KRL
AUDUSD → Price is getting ready to break support FX:AUDUSD is forming a downtrend amid the growing dollar index. The currency pair is under pressure from sellers.
Support level 0.64039 is forming on D1, which continues to hold the market. But, the buyers' urge may be broken, as the price continues to squeeze to the support and is gaining potential for this. On the background of the rising USD and weakening Aussie, the sellers have high chances. The target in this case will be the area of 0.6443 and 0.6352.
Resistance levels: 0.6540
Support levels: 0.6504, 0.6443
Technically, the currency pair has a negative background and most likely the decline will continue. A break of this support will give a bearish impulse.
Regards R. Linda!
What to eat while trading Bitcoin? (2025 target)Trading Bitcoin doesn't have to be hard. With proper food, we can increase the probability of our trades. There is no secret that a large part of the Bitcoin community is on a carnivore diet (a meat-based diet). They believe meat, especially red fatty meat, is essential for human health and brain function as it contains hundreds of yet-undiscovered vitamins that cannot be found in plants at all. Meat is extremely easy to digest and does not cause any allergic reactions; in other words, meat is easily accepted as a fuel for our daily activities. Brain function is important in our daily lives, especially when it comes to trading. I will share with you the top foods that are best to eat while trading Bitcoin. It's important to not overcook your steaks, as nutrients get destroyed with heat. That's why many people prefer to eat medium-rare steaks. The carnivore community prefers to eat beef or lamb on a daily basis and they refuse to eat fruits or vegetables.
1. Japanese Wagyu - Wagyu beef is rich in these essential fatty acids, which help reduce inflammation, support brain health, and boost overall wellness. Wagyu beef boasts a higher concentration of CLA, a fatty acid known to assist in fat loss, improve lean muscle mass, and support a strong immune system.
2. Tomahawk / Rib Eye Steak - As a high-fat and high-protein food, a bison tomahawk ribeye steak is a good source of certain nutrients, including protein, iron, and B vitamins. It's an excellent source of protein and fat.
3. Liver - Liver is a super food no one talks about. Liver contains complete mineral and vitamins profile, so you don't need to take any other supplements if you eat it. It's recommend to eat liver on a weekly basis to support your body with all micro and macro nutrients. Liver is not an allergen, so it doesn't cause any issues to the human body. Liver is the most nutrient food that you can eat, especially in raw form.
Let me know your thoughts, what is your favorite food?
Bitcoin - Relief rally soon, but then crash to 50k!Bitcoin is going down, as I was expecting in my previous technical analysis of Bitcoin (see in the related section below). What now? Markets always move in waves, and that's why it's always good to do an Elliott Wave technical analysis. My Elliott Wave count suggests that wave (A) will soon be completed and we will see a relief rally back to 66k. A lot of alts are going to pump during this relief rally, so make sure you have some.
On the day down, we have 3 strong supports. The first support is at around 59340 USDT because of the previous significant swing low. Also, 20% corrections are classic in the stock market. The second support is at 53080 (fair value GAP) and the third support is liquidity below wave (4) at 50585. We are most likely going to hit the 50k level sooner or later, so be prepared!
Then we can start a new bull market and reach levels above 100k later this year. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.