USDCAD → Trend change, bullish mood, but...FX:USDCAD is forming a trend change. The completed correction, recovery and formation of a pre-breakout set-up hint at the continuation of growth. But, how will the price behave during the news?
A global trend is forming on D1, which indicates neutrality in the market. The price is moving mainly from the borders of the global range. A reversal pattern is forming against the support and the market is heading towards the resistance area. Bulls are interested in the blue area.
On H4, the level of 1.3528 is formed, a pre-breakdown consolidation is formed relative to the level. Earlier the price overcame the key boundary at 1.3487, which confirms the change of the pattern and the breakdown of the structure. The consolidation of the price at 1.3528 will favorably influence the continuation of growth to 1.3629.
Support levels: 1.3487, 1.3422, 1.3350
Resistance levels: 1.3528, 1.3629
An ascending pattern of price movement is formed locally. The chart indicates a bullish mood and local zones that are worth paying attention to for trading
TVC:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
Zigzag
EURUSD → Will the change in trend be confirmed?FX:EURUSD is forming an attempt to change the uptrend amid the strengthening of the TVC:DXY . The price is testing the resistance at 1.0888 in the correction phase.
Pic: Dollar index consolidation between MA-200 and MA-50
If we pay attention to the dollar index, we can see that it has been standing still during the week. Most likely, tomorrow's news: Initial Jobless Claims, GDP, CDGO may push the index to start moving. But, in any case, the medium and long term potential is determined by the Fed's decision on the interest rate, which at the moment they do not dare to lower.
The currency pair is breaking the trend support, testing the low and forming a correction. For the market, from a technical point of view, the target of 1.0756 has appeared. The currency pair is likely to test the resistance at 1.0888 - 1.095 before further falling to the range support.
Resistance levels: 1.0888, 1.0950
Support levels: 1.083, 1.0756
Correction after a trend change is a standard formation. The price can test the area in the format of a false breakout and after maintaining the liquidity to direct the price to a new target.
Regards R. Linda!
EURJPY → Consolidation. What's next? Growth or decline?FX:EURJPY tests resistance and forms a false breakout, but now the price is stuck inside the range and forms consolidation on which the further scenario depends.
On D1 the price stops at one of the intermediate resistance levels - 161.4. Euro as well as Japanese Yen are getting weaker against the general background, the strong fall of Japanese Yen will squeeze the currency pair and apparently the growth of the pair after the correction may continue.
On H4 the price tests resistance and forms a false breakdown, after which it forms a range between resistance 161.4 and the downtrend line (blue dotted line). It can be assumed that consolidation will continue until the price goes beyond it. Thus:
1) against the backdrop of the rising trend, we have a chance to see a retest of resistance from the previously broken trendline, which could lead to a breakout of 161.4 and further strengthening of the pair.
2) As the price has returned to the channel boundaries, the correction may extend all the way to the uptrend support, but after the breakout of the zone: 160.0
Support levels: 160.0
Resistance levels: 161.4
The further scenario at the moment depends more on who wins the market as part of the fight within the consolidation. The bulls should consolidate above 161.4 to continue rising and the bears below 160.0 to continue the correction.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Retest of resistance inside the range at the downtrend FOREXCOM:XAUUSD continues to consolidate in the range of 2035-2020. It is likely that tomorrow's news may revitalize the market.
Today the market continues to stand still, this can be seen in both the dollar and gold. Consolidation continues as the market is still uncertain with the future outlook, this could continue until tomorrow as tomorrow's news is Initial Jobless Claims, GDP , and the strength of these factors could determine the medium term outlook.
Technically, GOLD is still in consolidation, but within a downtrend. For now, we continue to emphasize the in-range trading strategy (buy and sell from consolidation boundaries or strong levels). Let me remind you that the global trend is neutral and this is an ideal nuance for intra-range trading. And the local downtrend indicates the approximate market mood.
Resistance levels: 2035, 2038, 2039.4
Support levels: 2025, 2020, 2018
A false break of support defines a local target in the form of resistance. A test of range resistance can form a sell signal. As long as the price does not break the trend or the range boundary, trading within this framework will continue
TVC:DXY COMEX_MINI:MGC1! COMEX:GC1! TVC:GOLD
Regards R. Linda!
Ethereum - best plan for the next 30 daysEthereum is going down, but soon it will approach strong support. There is something missing on the chart, and in my opinion, it's this right shoulder of a head and shoulders pattern. It's pretty likely that Ethereum is going to go sideways for the next 30 days, but what you can do is buy low in the range and sell high in the range. After we complete the head and shoulder pattern, the price will decide which way it's going to go. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
What Is Ethereum (ETH)?
Ethereum is a decentralized open-source blockchain system that features its own cryptocurrency, Ether. ETH works as a platform for numerous other cryptocurrencies, as well as for the execution of decentralized smart contracts.
Bitcoin will continue to crash to 33 500, then pump to 100 000Bitcoin is crashing, that's clear, but will this downtrend continue? It is very likely that it will. Why? We can see that the price already touched the top of the parallel ascending channel on the weekly chart and got rejected from it. What's more, we complete the impulse wave, and we are already in the corrective ABC pattern, which should be a zig-zag style. There is still an unfilled fair value gap between 30k and 34k.
How deep can Bitcoin dive? It is always good to take the Fibonacci retracement tool and look for the 0.382 and 0.618 levels. We need to take into consideration a support trend line of the ascending channel, which is a dynamic support that changes over time, but it's near the 0.618 FIB. Also near the 0.618 FIB, we have the end of the specified FVGAP.
January is usually not the best month for the price of Bitcoin. Usually the big pumps start in April; we have more than 2 months of possible downtrend. Currently, I am very bearish on Bitcoin and expect lower prices.
GOLD → Global trend is neutral, local trend is downward FOREXCOM:XAUUSD continues to stand still, as does the dollar. The market is uncertain due to many different nuances, mainly fundamental and political factors.
On D1 we can see that gold does not have any definite trend at the moment, on H1 there is a downward range, but it plays a mediocre role. Since for now gold is in the range of 2052 (2035) - on top and 2018(2009) - on the bottom , in our case it is better to look for strong support or resistance levels to trade the strategy inside the range. There are no prerequisites for a breakout of the boundaries at the moment, so with a high degree of probability the market will continue to forge price movement within these boundaries.
In the medium term, the further direction will be determined only by the breakthrough of one of the range boundaries, because now it is impossible to say clearly, as a symmetrical triangle is forming globally. Yes, there are prerequisites for both further growth and decline, but we need to wait for actual indications.
Resistance levels: 2035, 2050
Support levels: 2025, 2020, 2018
The moving averages indicate sideways movement, which is what we see. An intra-range trading strategy (from strong levels or range boundaries) is recommended. The global trend is neutral and the local trend is downward.
TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! CAPITALCOM:GOLD COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Another retest of support could yield a breakout OANDA:NZDUSD is testing strong support at 0.6086, but the market is not forming a logical bounce or reversal. The price continues to test the support, which reminds us of the "Flag" pattern, the essence of which is the continuation of the movement.
On the daily timeframe I marked the key level 0.61038. A false breakout is formed and there is no logical reaction relative to the level (no growth after a false breakout). Buying power is weakening on the back of the rising dollar. Strong bears are forming a pre-breakdown consolidation relative to the 0.6100 level. The dollar index is strengthening as regulators are further delaying a possible rate cut, which could technically strengthen the index, and that would negatively impact the forex .
The moving averages, reversal pattern, retest and pre-breakout consolidation of 0.6100 - 0.6086 suggests a possible breakout of support and a decline in price towards 0.61000.
Resistance levels: 0.6134, 0.6208
Support levels: 0.6100, 0.6084
I expect that on the background of pre-breakdown consolidation another support retest will be formed, which may break this line and the market will start to form a bearish impulse.
Regards R. Linda!
I ideas for XAUUSD 1H gold On H1 there is a downward rang , but it is better to look for strong support level at 2024.6 and resistance level. because now it is impossible to say clearly as. a symmetrical triangle is forming globally.
Resistance levels: 2035-2048-2050
Support levels:2025-2020-2018
My goal is 2025
GOLD → Retests of global support. Where can it lead to?OANDA:XAUUSD opens lower on Monday and is testing 2025 for a breakout. Technically, gold is weaker than the dollar as regulators continue to support the index. Fundamentally, the gold market is only watching the dollar's behavior.
The dollar index is consolidating after a micro rally, but both technically and fundamentally the index may strengthen. The market sentiment is changing: traders are now betting that the Fed will not start cutting rates until May, while earlier it was March.
Gold is in a key consolidation range: 2052 - 2018 (the boundaries are marked on the D1 chart). Anything can happen in relation to the boundaries (false breakout, rebound), as the market is trying to gather the necessary amount of liquidity by any means. But, if you look closely, you can see that the price is forming a retest of the ascending support line. The chances of the support being broken continue to rise.
The trigger zone is below 2018. A break of this support and the formation of consolidation below this level could finally turn the market around and direct the accumulated potential towards a bearish distribution.
But! Since gold is currently in a range, we have a resistance level, a break of which could give the market an opportunity for growth: this is the 2025-2030 area.
Resistance levels: 2025, 2030, 2035, 2050
Support levels: 2018.5, 2016, 2004
Technically, a bearish trend is forming, on d1 price continues to test support for a breakout on the back of a strengthening dollar. I think such preconditions may hint at a possible fall
TVC:DXY CAPITALCOM:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Counter-trend correction and a target of 2050FOREXCOM:XAUUSD looks quite strong and on the background of growing dollar index does not give up its positions much. Consolidation in the range of 2069.8 - 2029.6 continues.
The dollar index feels overheated but still supported by the US FED & FOMC. Regulators are carefully trying to control the situation and stop any possibility of early interest rate cuts. As we can see, the dollar price is actively reacting to such comments. The index is squeezed between MA200 and MA50 and, in all likelihood, from the support may continue to rise in January-February to the trend resistance, which will have a corresponding effect on the forex market and gold.
Gold is trading within the descending price channel and on the background of unstable geopolitical situation, the price is trading calmly inside the range. The logical price reaction to a false break of trend support is a technical reversal is formed and we see a counter-trend correction to resistance. On D1 gold is forming a strong resistance zone formed by several highs ( 2150, 2085, 2070, 2063 ), on the global timeframe, technically and fundamentally the asset looks promising. The current geopolitical situation is affecting the gold price to the upside, but the market is correlated with the dollar index and as long as the latter is strengthening, gold will still react to it.
Gold may continue to rise at the beginning of the week for several reasons:
- the attacks on Yemen and the response to US vessels continued over the weekend
- dollar index closed Friday's session in the correction phase
- On the hourly timeframe, gold ended Friday's session with the end of the correction in the 2025 area. The price has consolidated above the psychologically and technically important level, respectively, it will favorably affect the price growth.
TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Why might the price drop to 34K before halving?BINANCE:BTCUSD has been rising for 124 days without any meaningful correction since September. Within a strongly bullish distribution, the price tested the strongest liquidity zone of 48K and made a false breakout, which is a strong sign for the start of a correction.
Technically, BTC is in a stalemate situation, between two channels, more precisely in the range between 43K and 40K. The consolidation may last an indefinite amount of time, as fundamentally bitcoin is quite strong, and all the selling that is taking place is related to ETFs. The next halving is expected on April 7, 2024 . Statistically, the market goes into a significant correction phase before this phenomenon and there is a logic in this - to form more favorable positions before the strong rally that everyone is waiting for.
At the moment, technically, the price is restrained by the resistance 43118 and the price has chances to rise, but for that the market will have to overcome this resistance and hold the level.
From below we have the support at 40181, which is a risk and panic zone. When the price approaches this area, many buyers and sellers have adrenaline levels, as some are eager to open trades and others are afraid of reaching the stop-loss.
Within the current situation, we have two scenarios:
1) Shortsqueeze in the format of a false breakout relative to 0.382 fibo, rise, breakout of 43118, consolidation above the level and subsequent rise to 50K, but at the moment, for the reasons I stated above, this scenario doesn't have much of a chance
2) Breakout of 0.382 fibo, the market gets rid of unnecessary passengers (knock out stoplosses), then - the key fibo area in the medium term - 0.618 fibo. Test of the area may occur in February - March and become a strong support before further growth after halving.
Support levels: 40181
Resistance levels: 43118
Fundamentally the flagman is doing quite well, but technically there are reasons why the market should lower the price before the growth
Regards R. Linda!
ETH vs BTC Technical analysisIs it better to hold Ethereum or Bitcoin? If you are interested in such question, you probably want to see the ETHBTC chart. My analysis is on the weekly chart. What we can see is that the ETHBTC formed a WXY Elliott Wave corrective pattern with a 1:1 FIB extension. If this pattern confirms, ETHBTC could reach a new high and pump massively. But the price is still below the main trendline and below the main horizontal line. I recommend waiting for these 2 lines to break to confirm the bullish bias. Otherwise on the weekly chart price makes lower lows and lower highs, which is a sign of a downtrend. Also, what we need to consider is this local expanding triangular formation. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
GOLD → Trading within the descending channel GOLD confirms the lower boundary of the channel, forms a false breakdown of 2010 and reverses to form a counter-trend correction.
Gold manages to grow on the background of the growing dollar index. Today there is no news that can somehow change the direction. Technically, gold, within the descending range, is heading towards the resistance area of 2042-2048.
On the background of the correction, the price is breaking through MA-50 and the strong level of 2025. Ahead is MA-200 and no less important resistance zone 2035 from which a correction may follow with the aim of retesting 2025.
Thus, within the range we should focus our attention on the area: 2035, MA-200. Breakout of this zone and price consolidation above it will form a potential for further growth to the previously mentioned target: liquidity and resistance zone 2042-2048.
But if the bears sell the price, forcing a breakout of 2025 and consolidation below the level, then in this case, against the background of a rising dollar, gold may head towards the support area of 2004.
Support levels: 2025, 2029
Resistance levels: MA-200, 2035
As part of the intra-range trading strategy, the price may reach the trend resistance and test 2048. But, still we have a strong dollar and strong sellers in the market. If the price goes back to 2025, we should be ready for further selling
COMEX:GC1! TVC:DXY COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
AUDUSD → Change of mood and retest of a strong level FX:AUDUSD broke the uptrend earlier and is testing the strong historical level of 0.65800. Against the backdrop of a rising TVC:DXY , the Aussie could lose ground and head towards downside targets.
The dollar is strengthening and may show growth for the second week in a row thanks to the signs of stability of the American economy and cautious comments of central bankers' representatives on rate cuts, the index is seeing a clear recovery phase, which negatively affects the currency pair.
Technically, AUDUSD breaks the level of 0.65800 and tests it as resistance. There are 2 scenarios that can develop in relation to the level: the first one includes the continuation of the correction if the price breaks 0.65800 and consolidates above it. The target will be the resistance at 0.6666. And the second scenario is the bears' task to hold this level against the background of changing market sentiment. From 0.65800 a decline to 0.6523 is possible with the subsequent breakout and fall to 0.6352. Moving averages show a downward signal.
Resistance levels: 0.65800
Support levels: 0.6523
The trend is changing, bears are more serious, which may affect the pair's pricing. With greater probability I am waiting for the realization of the second scenario.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Price returns to the descending range OANDA:XAUUSD is declining and testing local lows. The market has stopped paying attention to the conflict in the red sea, which is surprising, and focuses its attention on the comments of the Fed representatives, who are quite a lot of speakers and will speak this week.
Of the news today, Core Retail Sales at 31:30 gmt is worth waiting for. Analysts expect unchanged data, but Bowman (FOMC) will speak at 14:00 and Williams (FOMC) will speak at 20:00, most likely to comment on the situation around inflation and further interest rate situation. Overall, the regulator is not ready to give up yet and may continue to keep the dollar strong.
As for gold, the price is still in a neutral consolidation phase. A breakout of one of the boundaries may determine the outlook and it could be a support breakout. In general, gold is returning to the descending range and testing support levels for the possibility of further decline. Most likely, bears will try to hold their zone, in this case gold may test 2013 within the bearish trend in the nearest future. And in the medium term, target 1994, where there is a huge pool of liquidity.
Resistance levels: 2024, 2030
Support levels: 2017, 2013, 2010
As the time horizons are determined both technically and fundamentally, gold may test local lows on the back of a rising dollar
COMEX:GC1! TVC:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Fundamentally, the dollar is strongerFX:EURUSD is declining and forming an attempt to break trend support. Fundamentally, the TVC:DXY is strengthening on the background of the Fed's position, which negatively affects the base currency - EUR.
On the high timeframe we see that the dollar continues to strengthen after a long consolidation. The Fed is not going to give up and is trying to insure itself before a possible interest rate cut, which may come in spring-summer 2024. This scenario may strengthen the dollar to local highs, which will have a negative impact on the currency pair.
EURUSD broke 1.088 testing the trend support, technically, the breakout has already occurred, the price may take a small correction and retest the support, after which it may head towards the lower boundary of the range - 1.0756. Consolidation of the price below the trend support will confirm the bearish position, which will be a favorable scenario for sellers.
Support levels: 1.078, 1.0756
Resistance levels: 1.0888, 1.10
Fundamentally, the dollar is stronger than the euro, which will obviously have a negative impact on the currency pair. We expect confirmation of the scenario (consolidation below the support) for further opening of sales.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Consolidation after support breakoutOANDA:NZDUSD continues to consolidate in a narrow range as uncertain sentiment is also seen in the dollar index amid a challenging fundamental environment.
The TVC:DXY has been consolidating below resistance for two and a half weeks, which in standard practice is a strong downside signal as resistance cannot be broken.
NZDUSD pair broke uptrend support earlier and consolidation is forming in the selling zone between 0.6250 and 0.6208. But, it is important for us to wait for the confirmation of the sell signal, which will be the breakout of 0.6208 and the subsequent consolidation of the price below the level, which will open for us the target in the form of support at 0.6086. Moving averages also indicate consolidation, which may be followed by a distribution phase.
Resistance levels: 0.6250, 0.6366
Support levels: 0.6208, 0.6180, 0.6086
There is a high probability that the currency pair on the background of the subsequent weakening of the dollar index can still break the support and head towards the target indicated by us.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPCAD → Waiting for the price to start rising FX:GBPCAD is forming a bearish trend change attempt. The Canadian dollar index is declining, while the GBP index is in consolidation against the background of the uptrend.
The growth of the currency pair may continue after retesting the support at 1.6977 and forming consolidation above this zone.
What confuses us is the false breakdown of the 200-hour moving average, but what is interesting is that there is no strong fall. The market is in a correction phase and apparently the price is set to test the previously broken resistance (support at the moment). After consolidation, the market may move into the realization phase (distribution), where the price is capable of reaching 1.7275 in the medium term.
Support levels: 1.6977, 1.6898
Resistance levels: 1.7050, 1.7132
I expect growth after the end of the correction phase. It is worth paying attention to the above support, because it is from this zone that the price can start the strengthening phase
Regards R. Linda!
XRP - Best time to buy is right now, here is whyXRP is currently sitting on the main support of the ascending parallel channel. This is definitely a great opportunity to buy cheap XRP. We have a leading diagonal wedge as wave (1) followed by a sharp correction wave (2). Wave (3) should be in progress. You can be sure that XRP is a big deal for huge institutions such as banks. They are already investing a lot of money into implementation of this cryptocurrency. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Unlike Bitcoin or Ethereum, the XRPL uses a unique Federated Consensus mechanism as its method of validating transactions. Transactions are confirmed on the XRPL through a consensus protocol, in which designated independent servers called validators come to an agreement on the order and outcome of XRP transactions. All servers in the network process each transaction according to the same rules, and any transaction that follows the protocol is confirmed right away. All transactions are public and transparent, and anyone can operate a validator. There are currently over 150 validators on the ledger, operated by universities, exchanges, businesses, and individuals around the world.
Through the Federated Consensus mechanism, all verified transactions can be processed without a single point of failure as no single participant makes a decision independently. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Beam, consolidation is coming to the end, buy now (151% profit)Beam Rank #69 is a very good-looking coin from a technical perspective. We had a strong pump of 500% In November 2023. Now the price is going sideways, but it is time for another pump. It's good to buy this coin right now, as it can skyrocket anytime soon. We have a strong Elliott Wave combo Impulse + ABC correction. 1.618 FIB extension is the next profit target, but I believe we will go much higher than that! Make sure you buy the right BEAM coin, as there are 2 with the same name. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Beam allows financial counterparties to make safe, stable and reliable transactions. This helps eliminate the problem of user data mismanagement, keeping the system cleaner and more secure. Beam’s blockchain was built on the C++ programming language from scratch.
User addresses are kept confidential at all times and are never disclosed to any third parties. Users have total access and control over their privacy, deciding who can access their information and what they are allowed to see.
Beam supports custom transactions of different types, such as escrow, atomic swaps and time-locked ones. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
STX is one of the best performing high-caps. Buy now?STX is a very important coin for Bitcoin. STX is a Bitcoin Layer for smart contracts. Why do I think you should buy this coin? We have to take a look at the price action first. We see that we have multiple similar swings high at around 1.75, which is a very bullish sign. From the Elliott Wave perspective, we see that we have a strong combo of (1)(2)(1)(2). The previous all-time high is the next stop, but I believe we will go much higher this year. You can hold it for the long term as well. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Stacks is a Bitcoin Layer for smart contracts; it enables smart contracts and decentralized applications to use Bitcoin as an asset and settle transactions on the Bitcoin blockchain.
Bitcoin is the largest, most valuable, and most durable decentralized asset. The Stacks layer unlocks $500B in BTC capital using the Bitcoin L1 as settlement for decentralized applications.
Stacks has knowledge of the full Bitcoin state, thanks to its Proof of Transfer consensus and Clarity language, enabling it to read from Bitcoin at any time.
All transactions on the Stacks layer are automatically hashed and settled on the Bitcoin L1. Stacks blocks are secured by 100% Bitcoin hashpower. In order to re-order Stacks blocks/transactions, an attacker would have to reorg Bitcoin. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!