XAUUSD H1The price retest and broke through they level 2050.
if the bulls hold the level, the price will continue to rice towards 2150.
I'look for a pullback to the rang zone. I think the price can go up. because it is gaining bullish momentum.because formed a rally at the end of last week and broke the resistance of the downtrend. my goal is the resistance and liquidity zone at 2070.
Zigzag
NTRN is going parabolic, best altcoin for fast profit?NTRN is in a strong uptrend and it looks like we can go even higher. 207% profit is the next target for this coin because it is the 1:1 FIB extension. Currently the price is breaking out of the rectangle pattern on the weekly chart, which is also a good opportunity to trade the breakout. I am bullish on this coin. There is almost none bearish volume, also a good sign. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
NTRN is one of the most secure cross-chain smart-contracting platforms. It combines the security of a top 10 blockchain by staked capitalization with bleeding-edge cross-chain infrastructure to enable DeFi applications to securely scale across a growing network of 51+ interconnected blockchains.
GOLD → Why could the metal's price rise continue? FOREXCOM:XAUUSD closes the trading week above the opening, which is quite a positive sign, as the market has obvious reasons for the rally, which can continue up to 2150.
We are living in a time of a 30 year record number of armed conflicts with over 180 clashes. This is all affecting the market, including gold. A recent reason for gold's rally was the military operation against the Houthis in Yemen by the U.S. and the Great Britain for the freedom of the sea route. As part of the rally, the price is overcoming bearish resistance and forming further preconditions for a possible rise.
There is not much fundamentally significant news in the coming week, the world is focused on the war in the Middle East, which is still ongoing and the new armed conflict in Southwest Asia. This is pre-determining the medium-term outlook for gold. The dollar has been receiving bullish news for the last two weeks, but continues to consolidate without any bullish reaction under the resistance level of 102.6. The market is probably waiting for downside signals. Gold on the other hand breaks trend resistance, which temporarily detaches the correlation between the assets, hence the format of technical and fundamental analysis changes a bit.
The coming week may see a retest of local support before a further retest. Now all eyes are focused on the resistance of the global range 2050-2070 and it is likely that in the medium term gold may break this level and start to form a new global range.
TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1!
Regards R. Linda!
BTCUSD → A "sell the news" scenario? What happened?BINANCE:BTCUSD tested a new high of 49K amid increased volatility due to positive news for the asset. But, as we can see, what many did not expect was a strong sell-off.
I have been talking about sell-offs from the 48250 level for a while now, since mid-November 2023, the moment BTC entered a new range.
The 48250 area is a strong resistance with a huge pool of liquidity and it is quite logical to see a false breakdown followed by sell-offs.
In addition, strong bullish news related to SEC approval of applications for spot BTC-ETF forms the opposite direction to the expected price movement:
At the moment, the "Sell The News" scenario is developing - this maneuver includes a possible price correction of 10-20-30%.
It is logical that the price cannot grow all the time and the asset pricing includes corrections to maintain adequate liquidity in the market.
At the moment the price is testing the nearest strong support 41639 and forms the third retest ( false breakdown ) of the support. In the TA format, the price can form a rebound, which we see. At the moment we should pay attention to the level of 42850 from which growth or a small rebound may follow and then fall to 40659 - this is a strong level, which is a risk zone and liquidity pool. A false breakdown may be formed before further growth.
Support levels: 42850, 41639, 40659
Resistance levels: 44490, 45500, 47280, 48250
Regarding technical nuances ( resistance, false breakout ) a correction is forming. The price may test one of the mentioned support and liquidity zones to free the market from unwanted participants. Fundamentally, BTC is strong enough to continue its growth both in the medium and long term.
Regards R. Linda!
ENS - downtrend ended, important coin for EthereumENS is one of the most important altcoins for Ethereum. We can see that the uptrend is starting, and 2024 is going to be huge for this coin. We can see that at the bottom of the downtrend, we have a pretty long accumulation of whales. The price should not go into this range ever again. We have only 2 resistances on the way up: 0.5 FIB + major swing high and the previous all-time high. I think we are going to go much higher in 2024, but I will make updates later. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Ethereum Name Service (ENS) is a distributed, open, and extensible naming system based on the Ethereum blockchain. ENS converts human-readable Ethereum addresses like john.eth into the machine-readable alphanumeric codes you know from wallets like Metamask. The reverse conversion -- associating metadata and machine-readable addresses with human-readable Ethereum addresses -- is also possible.
The goal of Ethereum Name Service is to make the Ethereum-based web easier to access and comprehend for humans - similar to how the Internet’s Domain Name Service makes the internet more accessible. Like DNS, ENS also uses a system of dot-separated hierarchical names called domains with domain owners fully controlling their subdomains.
ENS launched with a highly successful retroactive airdrop in November 2021 that rewarded users who had registered addresses before the project launched its token. However, in February 2022, it faced criticism over apparently homophobic tweets by its director of operations.
Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
LDO hit a new all time high! Buy nowLDO looks absolutely strong. It just hit a new all-time high, and this is serious. What you want to do is buy coins that have reached an all-time high for massive profits. What is the next target? The 1.618 FIB extension is 500% far away, which is good; take profit here. Strong Elliott Wave combos (1)(2)(1)(2) provide a solid trade setup. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Lido DAO is a decentralized autonomous organization (DAO) which provides staking infrastructure for multiple blockchain networks.
Most notably, the platform provides a liquid staking solution for Ethereum, allowing users to stake their ETH and receive stETH (Lido staked ETH) tokens in exchange, which represent the user's staked ETH and staking rewards.
Lido DAO is secured by a mix of decentralized governance, audited code and smart contracts. The Lido protocol runs on Ethereum with help from smart contracts that process user deposits and distribute staking rewards, among other functions. Several third-party security firms have audited Lido’s smart contracts in order to identify and address potential vulnerabilities.
The platform’s native token is LDO - which also serves as the governance token for Lido DAO. Holders can participate in governance proposals and vote on key decisions such as board adjustments, new integrations and platform updates. LDO holders have the right to determine the development and operation of the platform.
Lido currently supports staking for Ethereum and Polygon only with the recent sunsetting of Solana. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Algorithmic Identification and Classification of Chart PatternsWelcome to the world of technical analysis, where chart patterns play a pivotal role in shaping trading strategies. This is an ultimate guide designed to help users objectively identify the existence of patterns, define the characteristics and classify them. In this discussion, we will mainly concentrate on the patterns formed by trend line pairs. This includes wedges, triangles and channel type patterns.
🎲 Basic Principle of Identifying the Pattern
It is very important to apply definitely set of rules when identifying the patterns in order to avoid biases or fitting patterns to our opinions. The dangers of overfitting the patterns to our bias is documented in the idea
To identify the patterns objectively, we need to set some ground rules or follow a well-defined technique to derive the patterns. Here is the technique we follow to identify chart patterns.
🎲 Only Indicator Required - Zigzag
Tradingview has plenty of free community scripts for Zigzag indicator. For this demonstration, we are going to use our Multi Timeframe Recursive Zigzag implementation.
Once the indicator is loaded on the chart, go to indicator settings and perform these modifications.
Disable the Labels : The Labels contain information that is needed for this exercise.
Set the Highlight level to 1 or 0 : We can iteratively increase the level and check next levels on the go.
You can also adjust Zigzag Length and Depth Parameters.
🎲 Scanning and Identification of valid Pattern
We can either use 5 pivots or 6 pivots for pattern identification. 5-Pivot based scanning will generate more patterns than 6-Pivot based scanning. 6 pivot patterns are geometrically more accurate however, there is no proof that 6-Pivot based patterns produce better trading outcome.
🎯 Step 1 - On each level of zigzag, mark the last 5 or 6 zigzag pivots.
Since we are using Multi Timeframe Recursive Zigzag implementation, we can gradually increase the zigzag level from 0. This means that on every level, we can check if there are any patterns.
On each level - consider only the last 5 or 6 pivots and mark them on the chart.
Markings on Level 0 would look like this for 5 and 6 pivot scanning
🎯 Step 2: Draw Trend Lines
As part of this step, draw two trend lines.
The first trend line will join pivots 1 and 5 marked in the previous step.
The second trend line will join pivots 2 and 4 marked in the previous step for 5 pivot scanning. For 6 pivot scanning, the trend line joining pivots 2 and 6 will be marked.
🎯 Step 3: Inspect the validity of trend lines
A valid trend line is the one that confirm to below two points
Touches all the alternate pivots. For example, the trend line drawn from pivot 1 to 5 should also make contact with the candle of pivot 3. In case of 6 pivot scanning, the trend drawn from pivot 2 to 6 should also make contact with the candle of pivot 4.
All the candles from the starting pivot to ending pivot of the zigzag should be confined within the trend line pairs. Meaning, no candles should completely go above the upper trend line and no candle should completely go below the lower trend line.
Please note that while verifying the above points, minor adjustments in the alignment of the trend line can be made. Start and end of the trend line does not need to be on the high/low points of the candle, it can also be placed in any of the wick positions.
After adjusting the trend lines, in both type of scanning, we can see that the trend lines confirm to the above-mentioned rules. Hence, we have arrived with valid patterns in both types of scanning on the level 0 zigzag.
🎲 Classification of Patterns
Once the patterns are identified, they need to be classified into different types. We need to apply predetermined rules to objectively classify patterns into what they are. Everyone can build their own rules.
🎯 Properties of Derived Trend Lines
Before classifying the trend lines, we need to understand below properties of the derived trend lines.
▶ Direction of Individual Trend Lines
Both the trend lines needs to be individually classified among these categories
Rising - Trend Line is sharply rising up.
Falling - Trend Line is sharply falling down.
Flat - Trend Line is flat across the pivots.
Bi-Directional - Trend Lines are moving in opposite directions
Please note that, it is less probable for trend line to absolutely flat. Hence, allow angle to have certain degree of threshold to be considered as flat. For example, +- 10 degrees can be considered as flat.
Also, the angle of the trend line can further subjective based on how compressed the chart is. It is recommended to use either log/auto-scale or a specific formula based on ATR to identify the angle.
▶ Characteristic of the Trend Line Pairs
This parameter defines how both trend lines are aligned with respect to each other. Possible options are:
Converging - Trend Lines are converging and when extended towards the right will intersect at a visible distance.
Diverging - Trend Lines are diverging from each other and when extended towards the left will intersect at a visible distance.
Parallel - Trend Lines are almost parallel to each other and may not intersect to either right or to left at a visible distance.
To objectively identify the intersection distance, we further need to use some standard. Here are few options
Fixed Number of Bars : If the trend lines do not intersect to either left or right within X bars (Lets say 100), they can be considered as parallel. Otherwise, they can be classified as converging or diverging based on which side the intersection happens.
Relative to the Length of Pattern : If the length of longest trend line is X bars. The trend lines should converge within 1–2 times the X bars to be considered as converging or diverging. Or else, it can be termed as parallel channels.
🎯 Geometrical Shapes Classification
Following are the main geometrical classifications based on the characteristics of the trend lines and the pair.
Channels - Trend Lines are parallel to each other. And hence they both move in the same directions.
Wedges - Trend Lines are either converging or diverging from each other. However, both trend lines move in the same direction. Both trend lines will be either up or down.
Triangles - Trend Lines are either converging or diverging from each other. But, unlike wedges, upper and lower trend lines will have different direction.
🎲 Types of Patterns
Once we identify the direction and characteristics of trend lines, we can go on and classify the pattern in following categories.
Details below. Please note that examples are generated programmatically.
🎯 Rising Wedge (Contracting)
Rules for Contracting Rising Wedge are as follows:
Both Trend Lines are Rising
Trend Lines are converging.
🎯 Rising Wedge (Expanding)
Rules for the Expanding Rising Wedge are as follows:
Both Trend Lines are rising
Trend Lines are diverging.
🎯 Falling Wedge (Contracting)
Rules for the Contracting Falling Wedge are as follows:
Both Trend Lines are falling
Trend Lines are contracting.
🎯 Falling Wedge (Expanding)
Rules for the Expanding Falling Wedge are as follows:
Both Trend Lines are falling
Trend Lines are diverging.
🎯 Contracting/Converging Triangle
Rules for the Contracting Triangle are as follows
The upper trend line is falling
The lower trend line is rising
Naturally, the trend lines are converging.
🎯 Rising Triangle (Contracting)
The rules for the Contracting Rising Triangle are as follows
The upper trend line is flat
The lower trend line is rising
Naturally, the trend lines are converging towards each other
🎯 Falling Triangle (Contracting)
The rules for the Contracting Falling Triangle are as follows
The upper trend line is falling
The lower trend line is flat
Naturally, the trend lines are converging towards each other
🎯 Expanding/Diverging Triangle
Rules for the Expanding Triangle are as follows
The upper trend line is rising
The lower trend line is falling
Naturally, the trend lines are diverging from each other.
🎯 Rising Triangle (Expanding)
The rules for the Expanding Rising Triangle are as follows
The upper trend line is rising
The lower trend line is flat
Naturally, the trend lines are diverging from each other
🎯 Falling Triangle (Expanding)
The rules for the Expanding Falling Triangle are as follows
The upper trend line is flat
The lower trend line is falling
Naturally, the trend lines are diverging from each other
🎯 Rising/Uptrend Channel
Rules for the Uptrend Channel are as follows
Both trend lines are rising
Trend lines are parallel to each other
🎯 Falling/Downtrend Channel
Rules for the Downtrend Channel are as follows
Both trend lines are falling
Trend lines are parallel to each other
🎯 Ranging Channel
Rules for the Ranging Channel are as follows:
Both trend lines are flat
Naturally, the trend lines are parallel to each other.
MOVR is breaking out! 1237% profit is possible?MOVR is extremely bullish; we have a bullish flag and a strong uptrend. We have 2 possible profit targets: the first is the 1:1 FIB extension, and the second is the 1.618 FIB extension. This coin is really hot when it comes to interest from retail traders. The ABC correction is complete, and I do not see any reason why we should go down from this point! A break of 30 USDT will lead to a massive pump to 111 USDT. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
As a decentralized smart contract platform, Moonriver requires a utility token to function. MOVR is central to the design of Moonriver and cannot be removed without sacrificing essential functionality. The Moonriver token uses include:
Supporting the gas metering of smart contract execution
Incentivizing collators and powering the mechanics around the creation of a decentralized node infrastructure on which the platform can run
Facilitating the on-chain governance mechanism, including proposing referenda, electing council members, voting, etc.
Paying for network transaction fees
Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
GOLD → It's a stalemate. The market can grow FOREXCOM:XAUUSD reaches our target, but after a false breakdown of support 2016, the market quickly buys back all the fall. Now the price is heading towards a strong resistance
The most interesting thing is that three times in a row the US market received fundamentally bullish news. The TVC:DXY has been in the same place for 10 days now and cannot pass through resistance, which speaks volumes about the state of the index and the mood of the market. The market is overheated and in all likelihood the index is preparing for a decline. Gold is not so eager to react to bearish news and at any opportunity the market tries to buy back the fall.
At the moment the price of gold is heading to the resistance of the ascending channel, from here two scenarios can develop:
1) False breakout may lead to a pullback, within which the price may break through 2031.8. Consolidation below this level will continue the correction phase and within the descending channel the price may head towards 2016
2) False breakout will form a small correction to 2030-2031. But, the fundamental background will play its role and the price will start forging resistance retests for a breakout. Breakout of downside resistance and 2038.9 level is a signal and price consolidation above these areas will be confirmation
Support levels: 2031.8, 2025
Resistance levels: MA-200, 2038.9
I think that the chance is higher towards the resistance breakout than towards further decline. We follow the price reaction beyond the mentioned zone and wait for confirmation of one or another scenario to open trades
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD Big Support For Corrective Drop Is At 1.07 - 1.08Euro turned up at end of 2023, it recovered with a sharp reaction higher up to 1.1 area where pair slowed down and turned lower into a pullback that is now in progress. Ideally, thats wave (A) of a new higher degree correction that can represent even wave 2 so be aware of some more weaknesses or sideways price action, but eventually, new buyers will show up still later this month.
Some nice support is at 1.08-1.07 area.
Also, after the latest strong US jobs and US CPI data suggest that speculators can be looking for too much of the FED cuts this year, so market can do some "repricing" and dollar can rally further.
GBPUSD → A technically weak dollar will strengthen the pair FX:GBPUSD continues to form consolidation in the ascending triangle format. Bulls are gaining strength and trying to break through the resistance zone 1.2780 - 1.2800.
The currency pair is in a global uptrend and according to a number of prerequisites this direction may continue.
If we pay attention to the TVC:DXY , we can see that the index does not react to bullish news at all and apparently due to the overheated condition the index is ready to decline. In this case, this maneuver will be favorable for the pound sterling, which can strengthen the pair.
On the chart we see an ascending channel and a pre-failure consolidation in the format of an ascending triangle. The resistance 1.2780 - 1.2800 plays a key role. Breakout of this zone and price consolidation above the level will form a bullish potential, which will confirm the breakout of the level.
Support levels: 1.2715, 1.2615
Resistance levels: 1.2780, 1.2888
I expect a breakout of resistance under the pressure of buyers on the limit resistance zone.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → How might today's news affect gold?FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is trading in a range, as evidenced not only by trading between levels, but also between moving averages. The reason for this is the controversial fundamental environment.
The market is reacting weakly to bullish news for the dollar because fundamentally it is already overheated. Speculators react very strongly to negative news than positive news and in the current environment this is worth considering.
Important news is being published today. In general, analysts are expecting bullish CPI data and bearish Initial Jobless Claims data. Bad data for the $ will push gold up, to the point where the price could change its local trend. But good news for the $ may continue to form an actual range for gold 2015 - 2050.
It is worth paying attention to the strong resistance on the dollar 102.6, technically, the index is ready to go down and very strongly (This should have a positive impact on the price of gold), but I wonder what will show today the funamental market.
Support levels: 2030, 2020, 2015
Resistance levels: 2039, 2049
On the news, the price may test strong zones. At the moment, there is no clear understanding of the strength of the news we will receive, but according to a number of assumptions we have a chance to strengthen the price of gold
TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin sell the ETF news. 20% crash is comingBitcoin is crashing after the BTC ETF launched on Nasdaq - iShares (ticker IBIT on TradingView). This is not looking good; the crash looks really strong on the 1-minute chart. Everyone bought into the ETF News, and now the whales are taking advantage of it and want liquidity at approximately 39k. Why 39? We can see multiple swing lows in this zone. I turned bearish on Bitcoin today. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Bitcoin is the first decentralized, peer-to-peer digital currency. One of its most important functions is that it is used as a decentralized store of value. In other words, it provides for ownership rights as a physical asset or as a unit of account. However, the latter store-of-value function has been debated. Many crypto enthusiasts and economists believe that high-scale adoption of the top currency will lead us to a new modern financial world where transaction amounts will be denominated in smaller units.
The smallest units of Bitcoin, 0.00000001 BTC, are called Satoshis (or Sats in short), in a nod to the pseudonymous creator. At Bitcoin price now, 1 Satoshi is equivalent to roughly $0.00048.
The top crypto is considered a store of value, like gold, for many — rather than a currency. This idea of the first cryptocurrency as a store of value, instead of a payment method, means that many people buy the crypto and hold onto it long-term (or HODL) rather than spending it on items like you would typically spend a dollar — treating it as digital gold. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
APTUSDT → Potential for further growthBINANCE:APTUSDT forms support 8.08 and pre-breakdown consolidation, within which it breaks the trend resistance.
After breaking the resistance, the market forms a local high of 11.1 after which it tests the previously broken trend resistance and the support of 8.08. The market is trying to change the trend and it is logical on the growth of the total market capitalization. Technically, the coin has a good enough potential to catch up with other coins in growth.
It is worth paying attention to the zone of 9.220 - 8.08. The bulls are trying to hold this area, increasing their volume. It is worth waiting for the price to consolidate above this area to confirm the bullish potential. The moving averages are supporting the market, and the false break of MA-50 gives a good signal.
Resistance levels: 10.9, 12.67
Support levels: 9.22, 8.08
It is worth considering the potential for buying at the moment. A price consolidation above 9.22 will give a good place to open a trade.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Bounce to 2050, or consolidation 2030-2040FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is trading within a descending channel, from support the price is heading towards resistance, while the dollar continues to consolidate in anticipation of tomorrow's news.
Gold price after another false breakdown of support and retest of the liquidity zone forimizes the rally and tests 2040. Most likely the target for the market is embedded higher, around 2048-2050
Pay attention to the dollar. The price is in consolidation for 6 days near the level of 102.6. Important news is published tomorrow, the market is probably waiting for bad news for the dollar, as the bears are forming a strong resistance zone.
Gold may enter the risk zone (resistance area) before the news, but if the price does not pass the 2040 area, the price will form a consolidation until tomorrow waiting for the fundamentals.
Support levels: 2030, 2023
Resistance levels: 2039, 2049
The price is strengthening towards the resistance, the target for the market is the area of 2050. But if the price does not pass through 2040, the market will start to form consolidation 2040-2030
TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
ETH → The market is preparing to overcome 2300 and riseBINANCE:ETHUSD is trading within the boundaries of the 2383 and 2136 range, but at the same time the price continues to test 2300, which plays an important role in the medium-term perspective
On the high timeframe we see consolidation after breaking the resistance of the ascending channel. Consolidation is formed at the intersection of the strong 2300 level and the resistance of the ascending channel, which can be interpreted as a period of struggle between market participants. The bears are trying to hold the 2300 resistance area, while the buyers (bulls) continue to actively test this zone for a breakout, as the ethereum fundamentals look much more promising for buyers.
Moving averages indicate strong accumulation, price consolidation near a strong resistance level indicates a fairly strong bullish potential.
Resistance levels: 2300, 2383, 2447
Support levels: 2200, 2136
The price is likely to continue testing 2300 as the market is in a bullish trend. Consolidation at some point will lead to distribution, this trigger could be price consolidation above this level.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → False breakout leads to counter-trend correctionFOREXCOM:XAUUSD within the descending price channel forms a false break of support after which we see the strengthening, which began yesterday.
On the background of the downtrend the price forms a false breakdown of the level of 2031.8, after that during several hours the price fixes above this level, which forms a bullish position in the market. Within the current counter-trend correction, the price may reach the resistance of 2048 range or trend resistance. There are no important news that can affect the price today, most likely the price will continue its direction to the zone of interest, because above 2049 there is a large enough pool of liquidity. It is too early to talk about the trend change.
Support levels: 2030-2031
Resistance levels: 2039.3, 2049.3
The counter-trend correction may reach the mentioned trend zone. Further we should watch the price reaction to the mentioned resistance area as well as to the fundamental reasons, which can both break the trend and continue it
TVC:DXY COMEX_MINI:MGC1! COMEX:GC1!
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The downtrend continues to form FOREXCOM:XAUUSD has been declining on the basis of fundamentals since last week, which is what I was preparing you for. The price makes a false break of resistance and decreases by 1.8%.
Yesterday we analyzed the situation from both fundamental and technical points of view. Gold, as we expected, is declining towards the support. The price is heading towards the lower boundary of the trend, from which a small correction to the resistance may follow. If the fundamental background ( TVC:DXY ) does not change in the next few weeks, the price may test the levels even lower in the future.
Technically, now we expect a correction from the 2023-2020 area to one of the nearest resistances. BUT, if the channel support is broken and the price forms a consolidation below 2023-2020, the decline will start without a pullback, the target in this case will be the area of 2015, 2010, 2000.
Support levels: 2030, 2015
Resistance levels: 2039, 2049
The price may continue to be inside the descending channel, having formed a bounce from support to resistance. Technically and fundamentally, the price is preparing for a decline.
Regards R. Linda!
EURJPY → False resistance breakdown and a weak euro FX:EURJPY is forging a false resistance breakout amid a global bearish trend. Bearish volume is forming in the 158.38 zone
Based on the fundamental background and strengthening of the Index dollar ( TVC:DXY ), the euro ( FX:EURUSD ) may lose ground. In such a case, on the background of euro weakening, Japanese yen ( FX:USDJPY ) may strengthen.
Globally, the currency pair stands in the range of 158.5 (157.9) - 154.0. In such a case, from resistance, within the range, the price may head towards flat support.
Technically, we have a local ascending channel and a false breakdown of the resistance area. The price consolidation below 158.38 and the break of the support at 157.5 will form the market decline to 155.0
Resistance levels: 158.38, 159.0
Support levels: 157.5, 156.3, 155
I expect the price decline within the channel to the support of 155.0. Fundamentally, the euro, as well as the yen are unstable, so the market can behave unpredictably and stand still for a long time
Regards R. Linda!
USDCAD → NFP may strengthen the currency pairFX:USDCAD is forming a local resistance level at 1.3364 and pre-breakdown consolidation before the news. There is a chance that price could consolidate.
On D1 we see the formation of a global sideways range. Hence, we are using a range trading strategy in the global perspective. A false break of support forms a signal that price is now heading upwards.
Yesterday, the TVC:DXY received fundamentally positive data that could strengthen the price, and also this data (Initial Jobless Claims, ADP NonFarm EC) is a prerequisite that today's Nonfarm Payrolls will also be bullish for the dollar.
In this case, the currency pair may break the nearest resistance at 1.3364 and continue its growth.
Support levels: 1.3315
Resistance levels: 1.3364, 1.3487
There is an empty space up to the target, therefore, if the nearest resistance is broken, the price will easily and quickly reach 1.3487
Regards R. Linda!