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Bitcoin Seasonality - Best Month (October) and Best Day (Monday)It's very important for every Bitcoin trader to know its seasonality because this will significantly increase the probability of successful trades. I have been trading Bitcoin for almost 10 years, and I successfully use seasonality patterns to predict Bitcoin price movements. For example, you don't want to go long on Bitcoin during August or September; that's probably a very bad idea. The biggest market crashes usually happen in September. But you definitely want to go long in October or April, as these months are the most promising. Knowledge of these patterns will give you an advantage over standard retail traders. Every trade matters. Average return by Month (%) January: +5.1% February: +12.1% March: +4.8% April: +18.7% May: +14.2% June: +4.4% July: +6.1% August: -3.1% September: -8.4% October: +22.2% November: +17.9% December: +7.3% Average return by Weekday (%) Monday: +0.63% Tuesday: +0.18% Wednesday: +0.54% Thursday: +0.40% Friday: +0.37% Saturday: +0.45% Sunday: +0.10% Currently I am bullish on Bitcoin as the price is in an uptrend and the bear market is not confirmed; I expect Bitcoin to hit 115k probably at the end of February/March. What I also expect is an alt season - alt season is starting right now! So it's time to buy some altcoins. Ethereum should outperform BTC in the next weeks as well. Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Long
by Xanrox
54
GOLD → Price is confirming the flat. Emphasis on 2905FX:XAUUSD within the 2% correction that happened on Valentine's Day confirmed that one should not fall in love with the market. Technically the market is still bullish, the price is inside the range of 2880 - 2940 Investors are waiting for the meeting between Trump and Putin, which may influence the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and reduce geopolitical risks. Additional support for gold is provided by expectations of Fed rate cuts after weak US retail sales data. At the same time, the markets are watching the escalation of the tariff confrontation between the US and the EU. High volatility is possible in the coming days due to holidays in the USA and speeches of the Fed representatives The key figure is the ascending support, relative to which a false breakdown and the range of 2880 - 2940 is formed. If the price holds in the buying zone, under the bullish support, we can still see the growth. Resistance levels: 2904.7, 2922.6 Support levels: 2893, 2880 A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming around 2904.7. If the resistance is broken and the bulls can keep the defense above this zone, the gold may continue its strengthening. I do not exclude a retest of the support at 2893 - 2880 before further growth. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17
USDCHF → Struggle for the 0.900 zone. Trend change?FX:USDCHF earlier broke the uptrend when the fundamental background changed and the dollar went into correction. A set-up appears on the chart, which can strengthen the maneuver Fundamentally, the situation is complicated because of the tariff war, which was organized by Trump, and European countries are reciprocating. Economic risks are on the rise. In addition, after Trump and Powell's hints about possible rate cuts, the dollar went into correction, which has a favorable impact on forex. Technically, the 0.9000 level plays an important role as it is quite a strong zone. If the bears are able to keep the price below this mark, in the selling zone, it will be a confirmation of the trend change and the price will be able to head down. Resistance levels: 0.9000, 0.9045, 0.9065 Support levels: 0.89157 I do not exclude the fact that the price may return to the range and test 0.5 Fibo, but the technical and fundamental background hints at a possible decline. Emphasis on 0.900. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
GOLD → ATH retest - 2942. A step away from a breakoutFX:XAUUSD is testing ATH, which generally increases the chances of growth continuation. The 3000 target is getting closer and closer. Retail sales data is ahead Metal is consolidating after the rally, remaining in an uptrend. Supported by Trump's tariff plans and expectations of Fed easing. PPI data reinforced dovish sentiment, weakening the dollar and bond yields. Markets reacted to the delay in tariffs and comments from Trump and Powell on the need to cut interest rates (without specific dates), which supported gold. Ahead is possible profit taking and the impact of US retail sales data Resistance levels: 2942.6, 2950 Support levels: 2929, 2922, 2908 Emphasis on key supports. There is a possibility of support retest before further growth. If this does not happen and the price heads towards ATH, the scenario for a pullback to the support at 2929-2922 before further growth will remain Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
GOLD → Waiting for news. What next?OANDA:XAUUSD during the adjustment period, we are monitoring key risk zones from which the trend may continue or the correction could extend longer... The focus today is on the scheduled US CPI data release, which could provide new momentum for gold. Markets remain concerned about Trump's tariffs potentially triggering inflationary pressures, which could allow the Fed to maintain its hawkish stance. The US dollar strengthened significantly following speculation that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in the near future, putting pressure on gold prices for the second consecutive day on Wednesday. However, Trump also hinted at considering additional tariffs on goods, raising concerns about a global trade war and serving as a catalyst for this safe-haven precious metal. Gold's next movement depends on inflation data and Trump's tariff levels. If CPI exceeds forecasts, the dollar will strengthen and gold prices will decline. Conversely, weak data could support the metal's growth. Resistance levels: 2898, 2911, 2930 Support levels: 2880, 2870, 2855 From a technical perspective, breaking above the support level at 2880 indicates the market remains bullish and quite aggressive. If buyers maintain prices above 2880-2885, then in the short and medium term, we should expect prices to rise to 2930-2950. If gold breaks below 2880 and stays under this zone, market liquidation could occur and prices may fall to 2855, 2848, after which we can expect gold's growth to resume.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
4
GBPUSD → Attempting a trend change. 1.257 - triggerFX:GBPUSD is trying to take a chance for a trend change amid the dollar correction. The price is testing consolidation resistance for a breakout On the daily timeframe, the price is consolidating above the previously broken trendline and the attempt to break the resistance is generally indicative of the market sentiment. A dollar correction could favor the pound if the index breaks 107 and heads towards 106-105. Technically, the focus is on 1.257, a key resistance trigger. A break and price consolidation above this zone could trigger a rally. Resistance levels: 1.2575, 1. 2718 Support levels: 1.250, 1.2377 I do not exclude the possibility of a retest of 1.250 support in order to accumulate liquidity before further growth. The dollar is likely to continue its correction after Trump's and Powell's comments on rate cuts Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
GOLD → The northbound train is ready to move onFX:XAUUSD is back in trend after a news (inflation) shakeout. The northbound train can continue its journey from station 2908. Initial Jobless Claims and PPI ahead Prices are supported by uncertainty around Trump's tariffs and US economic data. The Fed remains hawkish due to rising inflation, which raised bond yields and briefly drove the gold price down to $2,865. However, buyers quickly returned, driving the price back up again. The market is waiting for PPI data that could influence Fed policy, but the decline in gold prices is likely to be limited due to trade risks The price is consolidating in the buying zone relative to the important 2900 - 2908 point. If bulls hold their defenses above 2908, gold could update ATH in the medium term Resistance levels: 2920, 2929, 2942 Support levels: 2908, 2902 Emphasis on key levels. Gold may test 2908 support before rising further. Also the emphasis is on 2918 - 2920. A price consolidation above this zone will also support the price Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
5
Bitcoin - Buy now! Ready to pump to 125 000 (alt season)I recommend buying Bitcoin as the price is ready to go much higher in February. The current price is 98,000, and I expect Bitcoin to hit 111,000 in the immediate short term. 111k is a strong resistance because it's the top of the ascending parallel channel. Bitcoin has been in this channel for 91 days since November 2024. Then later this year in summer, Bitcoin will reach 125k. But we should focus on altcoins in the next months! Why? Because a huge alt season is starting! Let's take a look at the BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) chart because this is the major indicator of altcoin seasons. As per my analysis, the price recently hit a strong resistance and needs to go down to 48%. We could experience the greatest alt season in years, so be ready! Make sure you have the right altcoins. Ethereum is definitely one of the altcoins that will outperform Bitcoin in the next months. I am very bullish on Bitcoin and on the overall crypto market for the next weeks and months! Now is the time to buy, but let me know in the comment section, what do you think? Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Long
by Xanrox
220
GOLD → News ahead. Price is testing the risk zone 2881FX:XAUUSD within the correction is testing the key risk zone from which either a continuation of the trend or a deeper correction will take place. In the center of attention is the US CPI data, which may give a new impetus to prices. Markets remain in uncertainty over Trump's possible tariffs and Fed policy. According to WSJ, the president's administration is preparing new tariffs and this is another dose of risks for the global economy. Powell said that the Fed is in no hurry to change course, which raised expectations of a single rate cut in July and strengthened bond yields. Gold's further movement depends on inflation data and Trump's tariffs. If CPI exceeds forecasts, the dollar will strengthen and gold will fall in price. Weak data, on the contrary, may support the metal's growth. Resistance levels: 2898, 2910, 2929 Support levels: 2881, 2870, 2855 A false break of the support at 2881 would mean that the market is still bullish and quite aggressive. If the bulls keep the price above 2881 - 2885, then in the short and medium term we should expect a rise to 2930 - 2950. If gold breaks 2881 and sticks below this zone, then liquidation may take place in the market and the price may decline to 2855, 2848. The situation is stalemate, as there is news ahead and that is why we should consider 2 scenarios. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
23
EURUSD → Pending a breakout of resistanceFX:EURUSD is trying to take a chance amid the dollar correction. The price is forming a retest of consolidation resistance for a breakout and further growth After an attempt to break the downtrend resistance, the price moves into consolidation and forms a range of 1.053 - 1.021. Inside this set-up a local channel (consolidation) is formed and the price tests the resistance at 1.038. The market is still trying to confirm the change of trend and get stronger on the background of the dollar correction. The fundamental background is complicated due to the tariff war and economic crisis.... Resistance levels: 1.038, 1.053 Support levels: 1.033, 1.021 A breakthrough of the resistance at 1.038 and price consolidation above this area may trigger further growth within the distribution of the accumulated potential Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
USDCAD → Consolidation before downward distributionFX:USDCAD is stuck in a range (consolidation) between 1.4486 and 1.428. The dollar has been showing negative momentum lately, but with NFP ahead, the data could both reinforce the correction and support the index... All eyes are on today's economic news. If the actual NFP is below the forecast (169K), it will strengthen the expectations of the Fed rate cut. At 15:00 the Fed's monetary policy report will be released, which may clarify the further course of the regulator. If the NFP comes out weak, the dollar may sag and USDCAD may decline. If the data is stronger than expected, the USD will strengthen, which will lift the USDCAD. If the Fed hints at a rate cut, it may weaken the USD, supporting the CAD Resistance levels: 1.4345, 1.4369 Support levels: 1.428 News is uncertainty, as it is impossible to determine the outcome of this situation in advance. Technically, the currency pair looks weak due to the falling dollar. A break of the support at 1.428 may trigger further decline. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
USDJPY → False break of support gives bulls a chanceFX:USDJPY bumps into support and forms a false breakdown of the lower boundary of the local trend. The dollar is strengthening at this time, which may give a chance for growth of the currency pair. The price stops in the zone of strong support, the fundamental background has been unstable lately and depends more on the USA. Everyone has long forgotten about the growth of interest rates in Japan and follows the economic data from the West. Technically, there are two triggers on the chart, one to buy and one to sell, but since the global and local trend is upward, the preference is to buy. If the currency pair is able to consolidate above 151.9 - 151.95, then in the short and medium term we should expect growth to the targets indicated on the chart. Resistance levels: 151.94, 153.7, 153.97 Support levels: 150.95, 149.52 But, if the dollar continues the correction and the bulls fail to realize the false support breakdown, the price return to 150.95 may provoke the support breakout and fall to 148.64. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
24
GOLD → Is $3000 still relevant? News aheadFX:XAUUSD has almost touched 2450 and without reaching the psychological target is smoothly flowing into correction with the purpose of respite and filling liquidity before the news and possible growth. Gold is testing 2450 after Trump's new tariffs, keeping demand high. Investors are waiting for Powell's speech and U.S. inflation data, which may influence rate cut expectations and further dynamics of gold. Gold remains volatile on one side and bullish on the other side due to trade risks and Fed policy. Technically, a correction is a logical scenario on the back of a strong market. The price cannot rise all the time, it needs energy, which is accumulated at the expense of sellers. At the moment the emphasis is on such zones as: 2910, 0.5 fibo and 0.7 fibo. Resistance levels: 2910, 2929 Support levels: 2898, 2882, 2870 Powell speaks tonight and tomorrow is the inflation data. High volatility is possible, but the general economic situation supports the metal. Before further growth the price may test 2898, 2882. The target in the form of 2950 - 3000 remains relevant. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
SOL → The coin may get a chance for growthBINANCE:SOLUSDT is testing trend support and at the same time bulls are trying to hold their defenses above the intermediate bottom and enter the buy zone. SOL both fundamentally and technically has good potential. Bitcoin is consolidating at this time and it can give strong coins a chance. Technically, solana tested the trend support with a touch and is trying to consolidate. I don't exclude the possibility of a false breakdown of the trend support before further growth, but at the moment the focus is on the resistance 200 - 203. If the bulls hold the defense above this area, the coin could strengthen to 245 - 270 - 290 in the medium term. Resistance levels: 203, 200 Support levels: 188, trend Emphasis on the local boundaries of the range. The market is struggling for the zone 200-205, bitcoin at this time is forming a local bullish momentum, which can also become a driver for the cryptocurrency market. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
GOLD → The northbound train continues to make its way to 3KFX:XAUUSD continues its aggressive rally. The reasons for growth are the same as before - high economic risks. The price is getting closer and closer to the cherished goal of $3000. Gold exceeded $2,850 at the beginning of the week in the U.S., but its growth is limited by the strengthening of the dollar due to increased trade risks.Trump announced new 25% tariffs on imports of steel and aluminum. Gold is further supported by rising PBOC reserves and expectations of stimulus from China. However, the dollar may continue to strengthen ahead of US inflation data, limiting gold gains. Expectations of a dovish Fed and trade risks will help contain gold's decline. Technically, the next two levels are important for us: the psychological level of 2900 and the key support of 2882. Resistance levels: 2900 (not confirmed) Support levels: 2882, 2870, 2855 The bulls can consolidate above 2900 without a pullback and continue the rally, but the most likely scenario is a false break of 2900, correction to 2882 to accumulate liquidity before continuing the rally northward Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
4
BITCOIN → Down to $90,000. Downside risks are risingBINANCE:BTCUSD feels the change of mood and continues to form set-ups hinting at a possible continuation of the correction. Another retest of the 90K risk zone is possible. On the medium-term timeframe bitcoin failed to hold near ATH, in the upper consolidation range and entered the local selling zone, under the level of 99800. A negative note is felt in the cryptocurrency market, as well as a change in sentiment. Altcoins continue to break through bottom after bottom without any positive prospects. Bitcoin at this time is most likely resentful of the US governing apparatus due to the fact that no promises from Trump have been kept so far, and the price is moving into a protracted correction in the local perspective Briefly, here's what's going on: Expectations: Bitcoin reserve, cryptocurrency market support, transparent regulation, pumping the market ... Reality: new scam coins created before the US election that sucked all liquidity, market manipulation, trade war with almost every country on the planet, dumping the market into the abyss. Support levels: 95.8 (trigger), 91300, 90K Resistance levels: 100.2, 102.67 Technically, the situation is that bitcoin may continue its decline and test 90K again, from which the risks around 90K will grow. At the moment, the price is in consolidation between 95.8 - 100.2. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming near the support, foreshadowing the support breakdown and further fall to 90K. But, due to the dependence of the asset before the actions of politicians in the U.S., the price may shake out to 100.2 before further falling Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RLinda
40
Bitcoin Seasonality - Best Month (October) and Best Day (Monday)It's very important for every Bitcoin trader to know its seasonality because this will significantly increase the probability of successful trades. I have been trading Bitcoin for almost 10 years, and I successfully use seasonality patterns to predict Bitcoin price movements. For example, you don't want to go long on Bitcoin during August or September; that's probably a very bad idea. The biggest market crashes usually happen in September. But you definitely want to go long in October or April, as these months are the most promising. Knowledge of these patterns will give you an advantage over standard retail traders. Every trade matters. Average return by Month (%) January: +5.1% February: +12.1% March: +4.8% April: ˇ+18.7% May: +14.2% June: +4.4% July: +6.1% August: -3.1% September: -8.4% October: +22.2% November: +17.9% December: +7.3% Average return by Weekday (%) Monday: +0.63% Tuesday: +0.18% Wednesday: +0.54% Thursday: +0.40% Friday: +0.37% Saturday: +0.45% Sunday: +0.10% Currently I am bullish on Bitcoin as the price is in an uptrend and the bear market is not confirmed; I expect Bitcoin to hit 115k probably at the end of February. What I also expect is an alt season - alt season is starting right now! So it's time to buy some altcoins. Ethereum should outperform BTC in the next weeks as well. Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Education
by Xanrox
43
OMUSDT → Consolidation in a triangle before the rallyBINANCE:OMUSDT is a paranormal coin in this case, as it is one of the few projects that shows bullish dynamics while all altcoins are finding bottom after bottom. Perhaps the situation partly depends on BINANCE:BTCUSD . If it starts to fall even deeper, nothing and no one will help here. But locally bitcoin is forming a resistance breakout and if the bulls hold this trend, the BINANCE:OMUSDT.P coin may have a bullish driver that can support the bullish movement. At the moment, the focus is on the triangle (wedge) resistance and the base of the 5.6756 pattern. Two bullish scenarios should be considered: Growth after a resistance breakout or growth after a false breakdown of support. Resistance levels: 5.9821, 6.30 Support levels: 5.75, 5.6756 At the moment, a consolidation within the triangle boundaries is being formed. But when the resistance is broken, the market may move to the realization phase and the impulse may be quite sharp. Ahead, beyond 6.3, there is no resistance... Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
16
GOLD → Price enters buying zone ahead of NonFarmsFX:XAUUSD resumes gains Friday after brief pause, retesting liquidity accumulation support, but traders cautious ahead of US NFP release NFP decline may support gold - if the actual NFP comes in below forecast (169K), it will reinforce expectations of an imminent Fed rate cut. Weaker labor market → pressure on the dollar → gold rises. Fed and policy: At 15:00, the Fed's monetary policy report will be released, which could clarify the regulator's future course. If signaling easing → gold up. If there will be hawkish notes → pressure on XAUUSD, but we should also take into account Trump's policy on economic risks Conclusion on XAUUSD: In the medium term there is every chance to reach $3,000, locally it all depends on the news: weak NFP and lack of wage growth could send gold above $2,900. If the data turns out to be strong → a downward correction is possible Resistance levels: 2870, 2882 Support levels: 2858, 2848 Technically, the focus is on the 2870 resistance. If the price can break this resistance and consolidate above, this maneuver will open the way to further upside. I do not rule out a retest of the channel boundary or 2858 before further upside. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
4
GOLD → Correction for accumulation of potentialFX:XAUUSD is growing during the week. The asset enjoys interest on the background of economic risks and dollar correction. After a small correction, the train may move north again Markets are watching the US-China trade talks, easing fears of a global trade war, as well as Trump's initiatives on the Middle East, weakening demand for the USD as a safe-haven asset. In addition, a rising yen is pressuring the USD, supporting gold. Investors' focus is on Friday's NFP data, which could influence the Fed's next steps. Attention is also paid to weekly jobless claims and Fed comments. The market is quite aggressive on any drastic action by Trump as this assessment is correlated relative to global risks Technically, the price is correcting to accumulate liquidity and potential for possible upside. Below are quite strong support areas that could push the price back. Support levels: 2845-2850, 2830 Resistance levels: 2860, 2872, 2882 As part of the correction in the uptrend, the price may test 0.5-0.7 Fibo as well as the previously broken resistance of the ascending channel. There are no technical and fundamental reasons to break the trend, the growth may continue after a false breakdown. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
23
GOLD: Correction for potential accumulation.is growing during the week. The asset is performing well in the face of economic uncertainty and a dollar drop. After a minor modification, the train might go north again. Markets are keeping an eye on US-China trade talks, which are alleviating fears of a global trade war, as well as Trump's Middle East efforts, which are reducing demand for the US dollar as a safe-haven asset. Furthermore, a rising yen puts pressure on the US dollar, which supports gold. Investors are focused on Friday's NFP report, which may influence the Fed's future measures. Weekly jobless claims and Federal Reserve statements are also monitored. The market is quite aggressive on any radical action by Trump because this evaluation is tied to global concerns. Technically, the price is correcting to gather liquidity and potential for future gains. Below are some strong support levels that could send the price back. Support levels: 2845-2850 and 2830. Resistance levels: 2860, 2872, and 2882. Trade Active Gold is testing the previously defined support zone. The accent is on 2845-2840. If the bulls keep the defense above this zone, it is worth waiting for gains in the short-term. As part of the upward corrective, the price may test the 0.5-0.7 Fibo level, as well as the previously broken ascending channel barrier. There are no technical or fundamental grounds to break the trend; growth may continue despite a fake collapse. By Nexus Trades Zone
FX:XAUUSDLong
by NexusTradesZone
GBPUSD → A breakout of trend resistance. Change?FX:GBPUSD is forming a local trend change attempt. The price breaks the resistance of the descending price channel and forms a consolidation above the line, in the buying zone. The fundamental background is very complicated and not stable because of Trump's policy and the tariff war with the whole world. Sharp shifting statements have a huge impact on the markets. Technically, the price is breaking the resistance of the long downtrend and we have a chance to change the local trend. A breakout of the resistance at 1.2488 and a price consolidation above this zone may motivate a buyer to support this move. Resistance levels: 1.2488, 1.26 Support levels: 1.2414, 1.2377 The price may test the previously broken channel resistance before rising further, but the 1.2488 trigger plays an important role. If the bulls can keep the defense above this area, the currency pair may rally a bit in the short term. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
GOLD → Price is susceptible to manipulation. Correction?FX:XAUUSD amid high risks of tariff wars and high inflation reaches a new ATH and trend resistance, but due to manipulation by politicians there is a possibility of a small correction. Gold price is consolidating above $2,800 after an all-time high of $2,831, awaiting US employment data and Fed speeches. Volatility increased amid manipulations about Trump's tariff policy: first they set tariffs, then a few hours later they cancel them. In a word, “politicians”. Gold is going into correction after a false breakout of resistance of the ascending channel and on the news about temporary suspension of tariff increase by the USA. Overall gold is holding its ground as the Fed remains cautious on rate cuts. Resistance levels: 2817, 2830 Support levels: 2811, 2801, 2790 If the price breaks 2811 and consolidates below this area, we should expect a correction to 2800 - 2790 in the short term, there is no hint of a trend change, growth may continue from the key support areas. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
9