GOLD → Breakthrough of the global trend support. 1800? OANDA:XAUUSD last week motivated us to keep a close eye on the trend support and the Triangle Beak pattern. A break of the support breaks the base of the trend, but there is still no confirmation, we only see the primary phase. What to expect from the price?
A breakout of the trend base forms quite a strong bearish momentum. Earlier, the broken level was also tested, but the false-break format did not give any result, Price is closing in the red zone on the daily and weekly timeframe.
If the bears can hold below 1939, 1925 or even below 1907, they have an excellent corridor to move down towards the 1800 area.
Pay attention to the 1907 - 1808 range. We have a void on volume and with the support levels, price could "fly" down.
There is a lot of important news coming out this coming week, it is worth keeping an eye on the press releases and considering the news in your trading:
I expect bearish scenarios to develop in the coming week. Preliminarily, the Fed is not going to cut rates, they will either hold or increase. There is a crisis in the countries against the background of geopolitical reasons; there are quite a lot of disputable nuances related to inflation in the West. In general, we have a rather complicated situation. Analysts shout about the U.S. recession, it is possible that the price of gold will go down deliberately, but again, everything is just a rumor.
Regards R. Linda!
Zigzag
Bitcoin - Plan for the next 6 months! (strategy)
Bitcoin is pumping, but buying at the current price is not worth it at all. I have been talking about the 10k, 15k, or 20k (unfilled CME gap) for a long time. Usually, summer is choppy, followed by September and October, which are generally very bearish months for Bitcoin.
Of course, I am not here to immediately FOMO into Bitcoin, and I do not recommend anyone do it. You can take a look at altcoins; they are extremely bearish, and since I have been bearish for 3 months, they have crashed by 50% or 70%. Just take a look, for example, at MATIC or Cardano.
I do not have any Bitcoin because timing is important when it comes to investments. The most efficient way is to buy Bitcoin around 20k later this year and ride the third impulse wave to the upside. I expect a huge ABC correction to be triggered soon, and as we know, the usual retracement for the 1st impulse wave is most likely 0.618 or even deeper.
Bitcoin is one of the most bearish assets in the world. Gold almost hit an all-time high, as did Nasdaq. Bitcoin is supposed to be the most bullish asset, right? It already should be above the previous all-time high somewhere around 100k, but it's struggling below 30k.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
I am expecting a big crash on Bitcoin, no matter this recent pump. The market moves in waves, and corrections do make sense to me. I think 10k is no longer possible for Bitcoin due to the recent pump because the current uptrend from 15k is now transforming from a corrective wave into an impulse wave, which is a sign of the start of the bull market.
On the chart, you can see a projection for a Diamond or Head and Shoulders pattern that can be formed in the next few months prior to the final dump to 21k.
My strategy and game plan for Bitcoin is that first we are going to go higher, to around 33000, to take the liquidity above the previous swing high from 2022. After that, I am expecting a huge crash back to 25k, and then some consolidation pattern should occur as wave (B). In September, we can expect a final huge crash to 20K, followed by an extremely strong buy-back from whales.
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$Tsla, pull up for a recharge?If you find this info inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! Also, check out the links in my signature to get to know me better!
Hitting some #Elliottwave ZZ most likely targets.
A break and higher up the fib ladder the better.
Even if it is done, a corrective retrace to
206 would be a good spot to add.
314 is the next major level I see.
262 needs to hold PA.
Cheers
GOLD → Candlestick analysis - the market is ready to fall OANDA:XAUUSD quickly enough reaches the specified target of 1914 and forms a bullish rebound after a false breakout.
The price forms a range of 1939-1914, within which it can reach local resistance by the end of the session.
The daily timeframe hints that the fall will continue. The price exits the local descending range downward, breaking the support (another view is a break of the triangle support), after which a correction is formed - which is a logical component of trading. And the daily candle on Thursday closes at the very low, which suggests that the potential is not yet exhausted. The gold market is bearish right now.
Today's publishings are:
8:30 GMT Manifactruting ( FX:GBPUSD GBP)
13:45 GMT Services PMI ( FX:EURUSD USD)
Resistance levels: 1925, 1939.
Support levels, 1914.
The daily candlestick forms a local level - the low of the day. If price breaks this local support, it will head much lower, as there is a void under 1914 on the chart, but within the trading session a rebound could lead to a strengthening to 1925 or to 1939.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPAUD → Price continues to strengthen. I expect a breakthroughFX:GBPAUD is showing a chic dynamic based on the reversal pattern. At the moment the price is in a range and most likely the market will have to form a consolidation before breaking through the flat resistance.
Earlier the price acquires strong support from the 200-hour moving average. A strong consolidation forms a bullish position, after which we saw a rally to 1.90000
At the moment, I expect a retest of 1.90353 and the formation of a pullback to support in the near future. In the medium term from the trend support or from the level 1.89200 I would expect an active strengthening of the currency pair.
Support levels: trend bottom line, level 1.89200, sma200
Resistance levels: 1.90353, 1.91835
The pound continues to get stronger and the resistance of the range will not stop the price. I expect pre-breakout consolidation with a further breakthrough to 1.91835.
Regards R.Linda!
GOLD → Price is heading for new lows. What to expect from gold?OANDA:XAUUSD is falling. There was a breakout of the support level. At the moment the gold is in the range 1939 - 1914. Regarding this flat, various scenarios are possible. What to expect from the price in the near future?
Obviously, the price is aimed at testing the liquidity zone, which is below 1914. Yesterday, before the American session closed, the price tested the previously broken strong level. There was a shakeout relative to 1939. Now, after capturing the liquidity of 1939, the price is headed down.
On the H4, the local resistance level of 1928 is formed and the price is consolidating lower. Gold is likely to hit a new low (1914 or 1900) before a bullish pullback.
At the moment, the market is bearish. Until the price breaks one of the key resistances, it will not change. But the price is not going to do that yet :)
Resistance levels: 1928, 1939, SMA-50
Support levels: 1920, 1914, 1885
I expect the price fall to 1914. A small pullback may follow from this support, which may further lead to a breakout and a decline to 1900.
Regards to R. Linda!
BTCUSDT Wave B seems to be accomplishedBTCUSDT just made a peak accomplishing the wave B, likely starting a impulse wave inner the next wave C downward. On Chaikin Money Flow we can see a hidden bearish divergence on this daily chart. Overbought condition on ESCGO_LB suggesting that a bearish leg is coming to close the week. I'm expecting a drop to the 20k demand zone region to finish this minor A-B-C zigzag correction phase.
TSLA Swing Trading PlanWhile trading off a 2H chart, I have marked pivots with vertical lines. Pivot points are also
supported by findings on the three indicators- the price-volume trend, the stochastic RSI
and the normalized MACD. The trade plan is quite simple. Upon a pivot low I will buy 3 shares.
The actual entry will be made more precisely on the 15 minute chart. Upon a pivot high, I
will sell one share to realize that profit. Likewise, the actual exit will be made more precisely
on a 15-minute chart. This more or less is a modification of a zig-zag type strategy. Staying on a
2H chart will avoid chasing minor trends and allow trend following of the super trend. In doing
so , the trades will be less frequent but will better accuracy and perhaps better gain. For
risk management. I will not buy any shares when there is any risk in the trade at all or any
of the indicators are even remotely suggestive of bearish divergence or overall trading
volume day on day seems to be decreasing.
Bitcoin - Bull trap triggered, huge crash is starting!
Today I opened a short on BTC, and in this analysis, I will tell you why. In the previous analysis called "Bitcoin - The biggest bull trap in history!" I told you I wanted to short Bitcoin at the 0.618 FIB retracement; today we reached the important level and took liquidity above the previous swing high. Now everyone is extremely bullish, and it's time to short it.
On the chart, you can see a huge parallel channel on the weekly scale, and today we retested the trendline of the channel and the POC of the previous triangle. This is a very strong resistance, which is why I expect a huge decline in price in the next few days or even weeks. I am a very transparent trader because I share all the trades that I make with the entry points, SL, and TP.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, we can see a falling wedge, which is a bearish leading diagonal pattern with an overlapping wave structure. Usually you want to short it at wave (4) of the diagonal pattern, and we hit this wave today. In my opinion, wave 2 of the higher degree has been completed, and we are ready for the 3rd wave, which can be extremely steep.
It's possible that Bitcoin will start consolidating a little bit at the current price, so altcoins can also pump a bit. But it's only going to be temporary.
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This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
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Bitcoin - The biggest bull trap in history!
In the past few days, Bitcoin has been pumping, which I was expecting. I share all trades that I make transparently. But this pump is something that we need to be aware of!
Clearly, this falling wedge pattern is coming to an end, because it has been a pretty long time. The price of Bitcoin is stuck in this "range". My ideas on it are the following: We are going to see a bullish breakout above the wedge, just right at the 0.618 FIB. All traders usually try to buy this breakout, but they probably don't know that there is a 0.618 FIB retracement just above the breakout level. Which is definitely an opportunity to short Bitcoin, not long! The next scenario I see is that we are going to see another touch on the upper trendline of the wedge, and after that, we are going to go down in a classic way.
I do not expect any strong bullish uptrend above 30k at all, and I am not buying Bitcoin, but we can trade it on futures.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, this wedge looks like a leading first wave diagonal pattern, which suggests the start of a huge crash. Now we are in wave (2), which is usually pretty strong and steep, so we can end wave (2) pretty soon!
I want to short Bitcoin at the 0.618 FIB retracement, if the price comes to this level! Otherwise, I trade altcoins on futures.
We have an unfilled CME GAP at 21k, do not forget it. But I think we are going to go even lower, to 15k or 10k. But I think if we really want to start a bull market, we need to fill the GAP before a new all time high!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
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ETHEREUM long setup Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
bitcoin long setup Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
Bitcoin - Massive breakout soon! (pitchfork + falling wedge)
As we can see, the uptrend is broken! The pitchfork on the daily chart was the last hope for the bulls, and it has been destroyed by the bears. What's more, the price of Bitcoin from 31k to the current price has a 5-wave structure (impulsive) instead of a 3-wave structure (corrective).
The chance of going to 15k has increased dramatically at this point, and I believe we can continue even lower, to 10k this year. We still need to wait 10 months for the halving event to potentially push the price higher. For the long term, I would start buying Bitcoin at 15k; it's a very good price, and even if it drops temporarily to 10k or 6k, it's not that big of a deal and you can buy even more. It's still a much better price than 30k or 50k.
Now the price is printing a leading diagonal (falling wedge) at the top of the trend. Usually, you want to see falling wedges at the bottom of a trend, not at the top of a trend. This is a potentially very good opportunity for the bears because it transforms the general bullish falling wedge pattern into a bearish falling wedge pattern. I can tell you one thing: if the price goes above the wedge, which is possible, it will be a total bull trap and fake out, so if you buy it, a huge dump will follow!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, the trend from 15k to 31k is at this point only a 3-wave bearish ABC structure. I can see only 1 major correction, and it's from 25k to 19k, which happened in February / March 2023. But this ABC correction is still not confirmed because it could transform into an impulse wave because the price is still above the wave (A).
On the road to 15k or 10k, we have a lot of major support. All these levels can be found in my previous idea in the related section down below, so you can use them for your trading decisions or analyses.
Bitcoin has been going pretty much sideways for almost 3 months, so there is massive volatility expected. The waiting time is almost over!
Also, Bitcoin was created by the banks, so if you want to know more, check out the related section again! There are my 2 previous ideas.
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DOGE - 81% crash is starting! (Sell all your coins, no time)
If you haven't sold DOGE, you should do it as soon as possible because otherwise you will experience a critical 81% crash. But fortunately, I am here to protect your funds, and in this analysis, I will tell you why this crash is going to happen!
First of all, we can clearly see that the price is moving in the descending parallel channel on the macro-weekly chart. The price is inside the channel, and we have a total of 5 touches. This is definitely a valid parallel channel on the LOG scale, and Doge remains in bearish mode.
What's more, there is a bearish head and shoulders pattern, and the price is very near its neckline. You still have time to react, but the crash could be very steep and disgusting, so what you want to do is short Doge instead on the futures market if you want to make money on this coin.
In April, Twitter changed its logo to the Doge coin logo. It was supposed to be bullish, so everyone was buying like crazy, but instead the price went down even below the starting bullish candle. It was clearly an April joke from the Twitter owners, and there was no plan to start a bull market. So why do they do that? Clearly, the investors that bought the news are at a loss, and an 81% crash is starting so...
The bottom could be at 0.618 LOG FIB, but I think we are going to go even lower than that. But this is definitely a good level, so you can buy Doge at the FIB for a short-term bounce and make money. It's going to be a great trade. Make sure you do not forget about this upcoming trade with a 200% profit. I will, of course, notify you about it, so set up notifications for my ideas so you will be alerted in your email when I publish new analyses immediately!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
Overall, Doge is bearish, but I believe we will see a new all-time high, but it's not going to be soon. This coin is not going to zero, as it is valuable. We need more time so the whales can buy this coin at a cheap price!
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Bitcoin - Buy exactly here for the long term! (premium solution)Bitcoin is ready to go higher, but this uptrend is starting to be a little bit extended, and we need a correction to 21k. I have been warning you for a long time about a huge crash that is going to happen soon or later. We still have an unfilled CME GAP, and exactly in the GAP we have the 0.618 LOG FIB retracement (15476->33000), which is a good confluence to buy Bitcoin for the long-term and ride your position to a new all-time high!
It looks like Bitcoin is going to reach levels around 32k - 33k. I do not expect the last wave to be huge because of the previous waves (1) and (2). We can use the Fibonacci extension tool to measure the expected length of the last wave.
Buying Bitcoin at the current or higher price for the long term is not worth it because you can definitely buy it cheaper at 21k later this year.
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The pitchfork that you can see on the chart is still holding, which is, of course, a good sign for the bulls. But in the event of a breakdown of this pattern, you should be very cautious. I think it's going to trigger a massive selloff.
If we take a look back to the bear market in 2021 - 2022, we can see a five-wave structure, which is pretty much undeniable. It can be a triple zigzag or an impulse. My outlook on this idea is bullish, so I marked it as a triple ZigZag. It's probably a complex correction because the last fifth wave looks like an ABC zigzag wave.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
Above the 32399 level is a high liquidity area, so there is a pretty good chance that the market wants to take all stop-loss orders from traders before the huge ABC correction happens!
The 25k level has already been tested, so if you want to still buy here, it's probably not a good idea. Maybe for a short-term bounce, it could be.
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Bitcoin - Pitchfork and Bullish Flag (You haven't seen it!)
On the chart, you can see my Fibonacci original pitchfork on the logarithmic scale, starting from the bottom at 15476. As you can see, this pitchfork is very well respected, sometimes pretty much exactly to the dollar. The power of a pitchfork is real on Bitcoin. I use Fibonacci 1, 0.618, 0.382, and 0 values for it.
Right now, the price of Bitcoin is still bullish because the pitchfork is clearly holding, we can see a bullish flag / parallel channel on the recent price action, and what's more, we have an ABC correction that has been completed successfully. It's a good bullish setup for longs, but we all know that if the price falls below the pitchfork and below the ABC wave, it's going to trigger a massive crash to 15k! Bitcoin is overall pretty weak compared to gold, which has already almost hit an all-time high while Bitcoin is struggling.
In all of my analyses, I always give you a very strong technical analysis that no one else does. I keep my description pretty short, so you don't spend too much time reading while all the necessary information is included.
It's really best for bullish flags to be together with an ABC correction of ZigZag types. This will increase the probability of success.
Maybe I am wrong and Bitcoin is not going to pump, but it's totally okay as long as your risk-to-reward ratio is above 3. You can be right only 40% of the time to be a successful trader. Most people think you need to be right 80% of the time, which you can, but your risk-to-reward ratio will be only 1, which gives you a very small profit for each trade. I prefer a higher risk-to-reward ratio with a lower success rate.
I do analyses for the bulls and for the bears, and now it's your work to do your own analysis and open trades. I give you good reasons for the bullish and bearish scenarios. It can sometimes look like all I post is that I am sure about it, but it's just a part of my personality.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
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SNP 500 Corrective Price ActionThe SNP 500 $SPY is in a corrective pattern which in EW is called an open diagonal where each subwave of 1-5 subdivides as either 5-3-5-3-5 or 3-3-3-3-3. In this chart, I've counted the diagonal as 3-3-3-3-3. Currently, the SNP 500 is making a zig-zag in (b) before continuing in five waves down to complete ((v)) of A. Currently expecting the SNP500 to go to around 300 before turning up and beginning the B wave. I don't expect to see any corrective rally's until after mid term elections in the US.
Bitcoin is heading to 33k! (REACT FAST)
We need to react to the recent price action of Bitcoin and switch from a bearish to a bullish perception, as Bitcoin is refusing to drop further and instead is building a very strong bullish base. A breakout above the bullish base is going to lead to a massive pump to 33k!
I was bearish from 30k to 27k, but now I am bullish, and I am already long on several altcoins. I may add a long position on Bitcoin on the breakout of the base or on a pullback at ~26900.
As traders, we need to react to price developments and alter our bias to successfully trade! Probably only a few understand this; if you do, congratulations.
This should be the last pump because I am still expecting a significant crash to 21k to fill the unfilled CME gap. We are going to fill the gap soon or later, and this will be your opportunity to buy cheap Bitcoin!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
If you shorted Bitcoin at around 30k, as I told you in the previous analysis, now's the time to take profit and potentially open a long position if you stick with Bitcoin.
So why is Bitcoin going to hit 32k or 33k? It's the FIB extension (classic + LOG) measured from 15476 -> 31000 -> 25811. This gives us targets 31741 and 33656, and I think these targets are very reasonable because I am not expecting any extended fifth wave on the major scale.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin has finished the ABC correction successfully. Wave B was a symmetrical triangle, and we need to be aware of triangles as they occur mainly in waves B and 4. Rarely, triangles also occur in wave 2 of impulse waves.
Overall, buying Bitcoin at the current price for the long term is not worth it because, on the major scale, we are in wave 1 (if you are bullish) and wave 2 is going to send Bitcoin to 21k. As I said before, there is a CME gap and a huge untested triangle.
I expect tremendous gains for the ARPA coin. You can find it in the related section down below!
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ARPA will 10x | The best coin to buy in 2023!
ARPA is ranked only at 320, and that's why it has plenty of room for the minimum of 10x gains! It's a great coin from the technical perspective on the major weekly chart, and I have huge expectations for 2023 and 2024.
The coin recently broke out of the rectangular base with extreme volume, which is definitely a good sign, and we are ready to reach a new all-time high and continue in the bull market.
Forget about coins with a huge market cap; they're not going to make you rich at all; instead, you will lose money. This coin has a small market cap, and it's also listed on major exchanges, so you can buy/long it with comfort right away.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
The important thing is always to look at the previous price action from 2020 - 2021. We can clearly see a leading diagonal wedge Elliott Wave pattern, which is a pretty strong indication of interest and, in combination with the finished ABC correction, makes this a solid technical setup for a long position.
I don't know about you, but I am already in on futures, and I longed it in the rectangular base before the breakout. This coin is very volatile, and it provides a lot of trading opportunities not only for swing trades but for intraday trades as well!
ARPA Network (ARPA) is a decentralized, secure computation network built to improve the fairness, security, and privacy of blockchains. The ARPA threshold BLS signature network serves as the infrastructure for a verifiable Random Number Generator (RNG), secure wallet, a cross-chain bridge, and decentralized custody across multiple blockchains.
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Bitcoin - Plan for the next week (this is going to happen)
Bitcoin is bearish, and the next support is around 25k, which is a strong horizontal line from August 2022 to February 2023. I expect a small bounce from this zone, and we should see bullish price action back to 27k.
Precisely, 25224 is the 0.618 FIB extension support on the LOG scale, and previous wave 1 resistances are 26942 and 27235.
It's the gameplay for the next week or two, and this is what I am expecting from Bitcoin. This time this is a short-term analysis, as I do analyses on Bitcoin on all timeframes.
We can clearly see that the price action on Bitcoin is pretty choppy, and I expect this to continue. Of course, a big red dildo is possible, but in my opinion, a green one is not. I am bearish, and I expect 15k this year.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, I am missing a final wave (5) to complete wave 3 of the higher degree. This is, of course, a bearish version of my Elliott Wave count.
There are tons of opportunities on altcoins, so I trade mainly them. For example, ARPA is a good coin to trade on an intraday or swing basis because the volatility is pretty huge, and volatility = opportunity.
After Bitcoin reaches 25224, which will be hit sooner or later, I expect a pullback to 26942 - 27325.
The next FOMC meeting is on Wed, Jun 14 where will be released a decision for the interest rates in the USA. Big volatility is ahead.
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ZIGZAG WAVE (IV) complete. WAVE (V) to target area: 25431-25262Ok, so WAVE y did not turn out to be an impulsive wave but more like a sideways correction which ended in 27478, which completed the ZIGZAG correction for WAVE (IV) that I had correctly predicted on my last post. Now starting the beginning of WAVE (V) from 27478, BITCOIN is underway going down $2k to my target area of 25431-25262 to a very IMPORTANT PIVOT POINT making the end of WAVE (V) of Ⓨ of A, and the start of a very BULLISH corrective WAVE B which will go up about $3k to my previously projected target area of 28998-28687. Please comment below to let me know what you think. I am highly interested in your opinion.
Bitcoin + Comment your altcoin!Do a comment on your altcoin below this idea, and I will give you my opinion/analysis of it! Make sure you hit the boost button as well to participate. I will answer your comment with an analysis for you on the weekly/daily chart (long term). I start my analysis with Bitcoin:
I am bearish on BTC, and we are going to reach 15k - 10k later this year. Also, there is a possibility of going down to 6k and I will tell you why. Why 15k, 10k, or 6k?
1) 15k - We have a LOG Fibonacci retracement slightly below the 15k level, and the previous swing low at 15450 should be destroyed to complete the ABC correction. Also, there are lots of stop loss orders below this swing low, and we can do a swing failure pattern. Big players can take advantage of it and buy a large amount of Bitcoin at this level.
2) 10k - There is a huge Fibonacci confluence. The 0.618 LOG FIB retracement of the previous impulse wave is definitely a strong support for Bitcoin. The FIB extension from the start of wave A => the end of wave A => the end of wave B gives us the 0.382 projection. As you can see on my chart, these 2 FIBs are close to each other.
3) 6k - If you remember a huge triangle from 2018, we can test the POC of it. Also, there is a fair value GAP and a 0.764 FIB extension. I don't think we are going that low; that's why I give it only a 20% chance.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
This pump from 15k to 32k is a bull trap and a fake pump. I do not have too much trust in it.
We are going to find the bottom between October 2023 and January 2024.
The majority of altcoins look totally terrible, and I do not see any upcoming bull market. But I look forward to 2024; I think it's going to be a very bullish year, together with 2025.
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Bitcoin - Secret trendline from 2013 is breaking down! (unreal)
I never talk with empty words, and in this analysis I will give you the main reason why bitcoin could crash to 15k - 10k in the next few months.
No one talks about this trendline from 2013, so it's a big deal. The trendline is already broken, and the bulls retested it a couple weeks ago. It's a classic retest. Usually, you want to wait for the retest and then short it.
I want to tell you that this trendline is parabolic, and if it is reclaimed and followed, then theoretically, the price of Bitcoin will be around 5 000 000 dollars in 2030. This is unlikely.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
What's more, the 200-week moving average has been broken for the first time (a negative sign).
We still need to wait almost a year for this halving event. Meanwhile, we could experience a huge flash crash to liquidate high-leverage traders with a strong and steep rebound back to 32k. Bitcoin is very volatile, and a 50% or 80% crash is nothing.
January 2024 could be the bottom for Bitcoin.
Shorting Bitcoin is pretty good because it provides a very good risk-to-reward ratio compared to other altcoins on the weekly chart. It's because your profit on shorts practically cannot be more than 99.99% compared to your profit on longs, where your profit is unlimited. Your stop loss on BTC short could be, for example, 5% and on altcoins, 20%, with the same trade setup and same strategy, so it improves your risk-to-reward ratio on Bitcoin shorts.
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