Bitcoin - Pump to 39k! But then, crash to 21k (juicy)
We have had a lot of bullish news in recent days, and that's why Bitcoin is going to reach up to 39k this summer, but do not be too excited because I am expecting a huge crash to 21k later this year!
39K is an extremely strong resistance for the bulls, mainly because of the 0.618 FIB retracement and point of control of the previous market structure. Also during the downtrend in 2022, the price created an unfilled fair value gap, which acts as resistance as well. We can fill this gap and start a major downtrend.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
At this moment, Bitcoin is inside an ascending parallel channel on the daily chart and has touched the trendline three times. 3 touches is a lot; it basically failed to make a parabolic move, so I expect this trendline to breakdown this year and start a downtrend!
What could be the price target for the upcoming downtrend? We still have an unfilled CME GAP at 21110, which is a magnet. All CME gaps on Bitcoin were always filled, and there is a 100% historical probability of going down and filling them!
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From the Elliott Wave perspective, this uptrend from 15k to the current price of 30k looks impulsive. It has a good angle, and there are totally no overlaps on the line chart, even though there is a small overlap on the candlestick chart. I market it as an impulse wave 12345, and we still have room to go up to finish the 5th wave.
Look at my previous idea about "XRP" in the related section down below; it's very important!
That's all for today. It's possible for Bitcoin to go down in the short term, but I am pretty bullish, and 39 is expected this summer.
95% of my trades are done on altcoins, and Bitcoin has been going sideways for almost a month. The volatility is low, and where there is no volatility, there is no opportunity.
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Zigzag
NZDCHF → Activity of dynamic sellers forms a triangle FX:NZDCHF is forming a multi-month descending triangle. Globally, the currency pair is under downtrend pressure. What's going on?
Buyers are forming the limit zone at 0.5444, sellers continue to press this area since the end of April, thus a descending triangle is formed on the chart, which speaks for itself.
False breakdown of the support does not give the result and we see an attempt of another retest of the support level.
Formation of the subsequent test or pre-breakdown consolidation will form the momentum that can break the mentioned support and form a bearish impulse towards 0.5350.
But, if the buyers hold the zone, the price will head upwards. A breakout and consolidation of the price above 0.5496 will be a buy signal.
Support levels: 0.5444
Resistance levels: 0.5496
I expect the support breakout based on the technical feature of the currency pair at the moment.
Medium-term target is the support at 0.5350.
Regards R. Linda!
GALAUSDT - The price is coming out of the old rangeBINANCE:GALAUSDT goes beyond the resistance of the global descending channel that has been forming for a year. Now the price is forming a wedge. What to expect next?
A break of the channel resistance forms a new channel, but at the same time the price is squeezed by the current range boundaries in the wedge format.
In the near future, we should expect a retest of resistance followed by a breakout. The altcoin market is starting to revive and a GALA breakout of this area may give us a good potential.
There may not be a strong reaction at the moment, as bitcoin is in the correction phase, but the prerequisites are clear on the chart.
Support levels: previously broken boundary, 0.02310, 0.1783.
Resistance levels: 0.02694
I expect consolidation followed by a breakout of 0.02694 and then a retest of the wedge resistance. The extreme movement may give a signal.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The calm before the next surge. OANDA:XAUUSD since the opening of the session is forming a correction that may lead the price to the previously broken channel boundary, but on the high timeframe the instrument shows the prerequisites for bullish dynamics
While the dollar index is strongly losing its positions the market feels it. Gold after consolidation at resistance is forming a correction to increase liquidity. A false break of the channel support may form an impulse to the resistance of 1960 - 1963
Gold is smoothly changing the trend and a break of the bullish channel resistance confirms the market's intentions.
For us an important area for opening a long position will be the break of resistance 1960-1963. In this case the market will get the potential for another bullish rally.
Earlier a breakout of MA-50 was formed and now the price is retesting it, a rebound to 1953 is possible before further growth.
Support levels: 1953, 1950, 1946
Resistance levels: 1959.8, 1963
I expect that consolidation or correction will continue for some time, but as soon as the price starts to retest or enters the phase of pre-breakout consolidation, we should wait for a breakout of the resistance area with further growth to 1970.
Regards R. Linda!
XRP - Another 83% - 350% pump is very likely! (must see)
Another 83% pump to 1.3244 from the current price in the next few days or weeks is more than likely! Why 1.3244? It is the next strong resistance because we have there the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the previous major wave. Also, there is a trendline from 2018 -> 2021, which is dynamic resistance, but it's near the specified FIB level!
XRP looks very strong because bulls were able to break a falling wedge pattern and an ascending triangle pattern on the weekly chart! Together with the recent bullish news, the XRP coin surged after a judge delivered a huge win to Ripple in the SEC case.
If the bulls are able to break the 1.3244 level, then the next resistance I see is the previous all-time high from 2018, which is at 3.2834. But make sure to sell your XRP here, because it's probably not going to break on the first touch. And a 50% or 70% crash from this level is very possible!
The market cap of XRP is $38,028,893,068 compared to ETH $232,527,075,117 and BTC $589,643,779,223. The market cap of XRP is pretty big already, so there is not too much room for some crazy 100x profit. Make sure you understand it if you are a hodler and expecting moon gains. 350% to reach the previous all-time high is definitely possible in the medium term.
What do you think about XRP? Let me know in the comment section right now!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
XRP pumped from 0.49 to 0.92 and made a 100% profit in a single day. It was rejected by the 0.618 LOG FIB and the middle of the previous triangle from 2021. Now the price is around 0.72, which is a pretty good pullback to buy XRP.
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NSE:CCL Products - Updated chart key levels 🎚You can check the previous updates
CCL Products Ltd (CCL) is in the business of converting raw coffee beans into instant coffee granules/powder. The company is not only
India’s largest coffee processor, but it has the world’s largest single location plant and has top private label instant coffee manufacturers
across the globe as its clients. While prima facie it looks like a commodity conversion business, unlike tea or other commodities, coffee
processing is a specialist job as the flavour and consistency has to be maintained batch after batch irrespective of the input quality or
grade. Not many companies have been successful in doing this and hence, globally, coffee business has very little competition and high
profitability.
Worldwide CCL’s coffee is being consumed at the rate of 1,000 cups per second. CCL exports its processed coffee to more than 90
countries and supports more than 250 brands with sustainable supplies — both quality and quantity. CCL has on offer more than 1000
recipes for the clients to choose from. It has a combined state-of-the-art manufacturing capacity of 35,000 MTPA, which is spread over
Duggirala (Guntur District of AP), Kuvvakolli (Chittoor District, AP), Switzerland, and Vietnam. Having succeeded in placing their coffee on
the world markets, CCL launched its ‘Continental Coffee’ brand for the Indian market, which should act as a major growth catalyst, going
ahead. With the help of its rich experience in the international markets, it has developed 250+ blends, claiming they are superior to its
competitors’ blends
BTCUSD → Pre-break consolidation and flat at resistance BITSTAMP:BTCUSD continues to forge an uptrend and also gives us preconditions that the growth will continue. The price is forming consolidation before the breakout and is confidently forming another bullish wave
On the chart we see an ascending triangle, the key resistance area that holds the price is the area of 31500. The price continues to ford retests against resistance and forms a pre-breakout consolidation.
Within the flat 31500 - 29700, a retest of 0.382 fibo and a false breakdown may be formed, which will increase liquidity for the continuation of growth.
Another rally has moved into the consolidation phase and we have to wait for the preconditions that the price will be ready to come out of this consolidation again.
Locally there are no key patterns, we should pay attention to narrow consolidations near resistance or a breakout followed by price consolidation above or below the level.
Moving averages in the role of support indicate a strong trend
Resistance levels: 31500
Support levels: 30000, 29700
I expect the consolidation to continue with the subsequent price squeezing to the resistance. A sharp retest will lead to the fact that the resistance may be broken. Medium-term outlook 32196-34000.
Regards R. Linda!
DOGEUSDT → Consolidation moves into the distribution phase BINANCE:DOGEUSDT is forming a consolidation in the format of a wedge. Within the consolidation, the price makes a false breakdown of support and thus feels the bottom of the market.
The price is forming a rather long descending wedge. The pattern is a bullish possibility to turn the market. After a false breakdown of the support, consolidation is formed above 0.0705, which successfully breaks the resistance of the wedge. The phase of consolidation on the market is smoothly passing into the phase of distribution (realization of accumulated potential)
The main task of the bulls is to hold the support area at 0.0705 by all means. If the position is successful, the price will go up. The medium-term potential in our case is the resistance at 0.09460.
Support levels: 0.0705, 0.0639
Resistance levels: MA200, 0.0817, 0.0946
I expect consolidation above this support with the subsequent formation of a medium-term impulse towards our targets.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Difficult situation: price drop or breakthrough? OANDA:XAUUSD is forming a local ascending channel, at the moment it is too early to talk about global strengthening and change of the global channel, as it needs good reasons for that. What is happening?
The dollar index is breaking the support and testing the next one. The dollar may strengthen a bit, which will provoke the gold to fall, but apparently the dollar is in a different mood and the price may break 101 and go lower.
In this case we will have to watch the 1933-1939 area on the gold chart.
A breakout of 1933 and consolidation (or pattern) relative to the level may form a sell signal and the price will show us a fall. Or another scenario may develop on the chart. In this case, if a bounce from 1933 is formed, we will wait for consolidation near 1938-1939 and an attempt to break the resistance.
A breakout of 1938-1939 resistance will form an attempt to change the global trend and in this case, against the backdrop of the falling dollar, gold may quite confidently change the global trend and the price will begin its strengthening towards 1950-2000.
Support levels: 1933, MA-50
Resistance levels: 1938-1939, channel resistance
I expect that gold is now in a difficult situation, while the Fed is aggressively pursuing its policy, the dollar is still weakening. There may be an increase in volatility, keep an eye on these levels. Good luck in trading!
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → A break of the triangle resistance will form an impulseFX:NZDUSD is forming an attempt to change the downtrend on the background of weakening of the dollar. A resistance retest is being formed. What to expect from the price further?
The price left the channel last week, all this time a consolidation in the format of an ascending triangle is being formed. The price continues to test the triangle resistance and 0.62359 for a breakout as we see a weakening dollar, consolidation after the resistance breakout and several other indications that the price is preparing to continue rising.
A false break of resistance could form a pullback to nearby support, but based on the potential, price could continue to head towards resistance.
Support levels: 0.61911
Resistance levels: 0.62200, 0.62359
I expect a pullback from resistance and another retest on the background of an attempt to change the trend. If resistance is broken, our target will be 0.63000 and 0.63810.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → A retest of resistance could turn into a breakoutOANDA:XAUUSD is strengthening within a bullish counter-trend correction. The price is testing a strong resistance area, but at the same time there are signals that may allow the price to break the resistance.
On the daily timeframe we observe interesting things: the correctional wave reaches the level of 0.618 fibo of the third wave and also tests the area of 0.382 fibo of the global movement. Most likely, a rather strong rebound may follow from this area. Earlier we observed a breakout of the global trend support. At the moment the price is forming counter-trend correction to the level of 1939, which plays a key role. If this resistance is broken, the price may strengthen to the previously broken line or to the area of 0.382 Fibo (1967). The situation on the market may change dramatically when the resistance of the upward correction is broken. We are watching the price reaction to the mentioned area.
Resistance levels: 0.5 fibo, 1938, channel resistance
Support levels: 1924, 1920, 1912
I expect the price to test the breakout of the channel resistance. At the moment bears are still strong and they can push the price down, but with the breakout and consolidation of the price above the level there will be a chance to see a strong impulse to 1959.
Regards R. Linda!
MATICUSDT → Breakout figure and an attempt to change the trend BINANCE:MATICUSDT breaks through the resistance of the key figure and opens a new bullish potential. If the nearest resistance is broken through, the price can form a strong momentum.
Earlier we saw an attempt of strengthening, which smoothly changed from an ascending price channel to a bearish wedge. The latter figure is quite capable of breaking the trend and changing it, for this in our case, the price needs to pass through the resistance of 0.7440.
Recently cryptocurrencies, both bitcoins and altcoins, start to recover, and there are even some fundamental reasons for that.
The moving averages act as resistance, but at the moment the MA-50 is being tested and in case of a breakout the 31% range will open, which is quite an interesting prospect for us.
Support levels: 0.6500
Resistance levels: MA-50, 0.7440
I expect consolidation near resistance, followed by a breakout and bullish momentum. The medium-term target is 0.9700.
Regards, R. Linda!
GBPUSD → What kind of reaction could there be to resistance? FX:GBPUSD continues to form an uptrend, but at the same time the price is hitting a strong resistance area. We are waiting for the price to react to the area, which will determine the further direction.
A retest of the level 1.28484 will tell us that the market will prepare to strengthen after breaking through resistance, but a consolation below the level will signal further decline to 1.26900.
In an uptrend, the price could test the resistance again in the near future. The dollar is in a range and a decline towards support will give the currency pair a jump to break through resistance.
The pound might continue to strengthen in the mid-term based on a more positive fundamental background than the dollar.
Support levels: 1.27267, 1.26800
Resistance levels: 1.28484
I expect an attempted retest to the resistance, which may give a further signal. It is necessary to monitor the price reaction to the upper limit of the range. It may be followed by a pullback before further growth.
Regards R.Linda!
BTCUSD → FB before the breakout, waiting for the retest BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is testing strong resistance at 30575, but a false-break of the level tells us that the price is not ready to grow (at the moment). It might form a pullback or flat pattern below the level before rebounding further
Globally, we have a bullish trend, the price is getting stronger. The rally is followed by a consolidation and a pullback, after which the cycle repeats again. The price is gradually renewing its highs. Fundamentals are getting stronger amid a surge of activity and some positive investor interest news.
The moving averages on the D1 show us a bullish trend, the same is true for the weekly chart. The price forms a range after breaking through 25000. The range boundary is 30285 - 25000. I would not expect in the medium term a decline to 25000, most likely the price may form a consolidation between 30000-28500, after which the price will continue to form resistance retests for a breakout.
Support levels: 29800, 28500
Resistance levels: 30575
I expect a consolidation or a technical pullback after a rally. Bitcoin is not highly susceptible to technical analysis, but it is excellent on fundamentals. Fundamental background is more inclined to a positive trend. In the medium term, I expect growth after the breakout of 30575.
Sincerely R. Linda!
GOLD → The market is buyback the fall, but for how long? OANDA:XAUUSD makes a retest of local support at 1902, but amid a weaker dollar, the market buys out the drop. The price returns to the range.
Global and local trend coincide and have a common downward direction. The price rebounds from 1902 on the background of the dollar weakening from the news on Thursday. It is too early to speak about the global change, because the Fed is still preparing to keep the rates at the same level or even to raise the rates, in which case the dollar will continue its strengthening because of the high inflation.
The price comes back to the range and most likely it might strengthen to 1920. But in the medium term I see a continuation of the fall towards 1902 or 1893.
Resistance levels: 1920, 1933
Support levels: 1912, 1902, 1893
The market is bearish and most likely, from one of the key resistance levels, the continuation of falling is expected on the background of negative fundamentals for gold.
Regards R.Linda!
EURUSD → Fundamental and TA diverge. What's next? FX:EURUSD has been declining all week. The correction continues to the lower boundary of the uptrend, and after a false breakdown of support the market responds with a bullish reaction.
The daily timeframe is turning a triple top, but everything is ambiguous. Price is in a global fleet.
Within a local uptrend, a false break of channel support increases liquidity and the market builds bullish volumes, against the news this reaction may be temporary.
If the wedge resistance is broken, a consolidation above the line can be formed, followed by an impulse towards the key resistance.
The Fed is not going to give up and is increasingly saying that rates will either be kept or increased in the medium term, in which case the currency pair may show us a bearish mood.
Support levels: 1.08485
Resistance levels: the upper boundary of the wedge, 1.0945, 1.1000
I expect an attempt to break through the resistance of the wedge. If it succeeds, the price may head towards 1.0945 within the channel. But if the consolidation in the wedge continues, there will be a chance to break through the trend support.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Retest of the key resistance area. DowntrendFX:NZDUSD bounces from the local support area and forms a retest of the strong resistance area. What to expect from the price in the nearest future?
The US is having a day off today, but at the same time the PMI is coming out and it looks like the data might be bearish for the currencies, so if this is confirmed, the currency pair might show some bullish volumes.
The price is about to retest the resistance area and a break-down of the resistance will form a strong momentum towards 0.63054.
BUT! We have a bullish trend, rally to the resistance, which can be stopped by the upper border of the range.
As a priority, I expect price decline within the price channel, but if resistance is broken, it will be necessary to rebuild the strategy.
Support levels: 0.6116, 0.60692
Resistance levels: 0.61911, channel resistance, 0.62359 .
As a priority I expect a false breakdown of the channel resistance, followed by downward price movement towards support. But if the fundamental background changes, the price is likely to break resistance.
Regards R.Linda!
💱EURUSD - A resistance retest is forming. Breakout or rebound? EURUSD is retesting the wedge resistance and the level of 1.09125.
But on the D1 the price is trading under the strong resistance, forming a false-break
TA on the high timeframe:
1) False breakdown of 1.09125 level. Consolidation and decline below 1.08800 will form further momentum
2) The price is in the "wedge" pattern, breaking through one of the lines will open a new potential after the consolidation.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price makes a retest of 1.09125. The local trend is ascending, hence it is likely that the price can break the resistance
2) The price will continue growing in case of breaking through the wedge resistance and the level of 1.09125.
3) On the rebound from the wedge resistance, the price will head towards 1.08440 and continue its consolidation in the figure
Key resistance📈: 1.09125
Key support📉: 1.08800, 1.08400
EURGBP → The market is getting ready to continue falling FX:EURGBP is forming a counter-trend correction to increase liquidity and accumulate potential for a possible further decline. The trend is bearish and now there are signals that could continue the trend
Note the local uptrend channel. This is most likely a correction on the background of a bearish trend. Price can't go down all the time, so the market needs to make these maneuvers.
The price broke through the support of the correction, we expect the price consolidation.
At the moment, the support of the ascending channel and the level of 0.85412 plays a key role. Consolidation below these areas will form entry points for possible sales. The moving averages have moved towards resistance. Impulse is forming.
Support levels: 0.85412
Resistance levels: the earlier broken through channel boundary, MA50, 0.86000, MA200
I expect continuation of falling after the price consolidation under the specified levels. Most likely, the trend will continue.
Regards, R.Linda!
GOLD → The limit level of 1920 pushes the price up OANDA:XAUUSD strengthens to 1931 and reaches its local target. The resulting pullback forms a strong limit area formed by buyers 1920. What could this lead to?
Locally, I expect the price to rise to the local targets and liquidity zones, as the price cannot fall all the time. Such zones are: 1933, 1935, 1939
The daily technical analysis points us to a break of the uptrend and the formation of a correction. The trend correction can confirm the break and after the retest of one of the key resistance levels, which is 1935-1939, the market can activate the volume bears and the price will continue the implementation of the trend breakout.
At the moment we are interested in the resistance area of the range. The price may reach it in the near future and then we will follow the price reaction to this area. Here is a likely scenario:
Support levels: 1920, 1912
Resistance levels: 1933, 1935, 1939
I am expecting growth this week, but in the long term I will consider a fall, as TA on D1 is pointing this way
Regards R. Linda!
C98USDT → Realization of accumulated potential BINANCE:C98USDT enters the phase of realization of the accumulated potential. A prolonged trend may change its direction, but in order to do that the bulls will have to take the priority in their hands.
Global and local wedge are marked on the chart. The resistance boundaries of the figures coincide and the price breaks the area, consolidation is formed in the green zone and C98 starts to form a bullish momentum.
For the buyers, the resistance at 0.1751 is important at the moment. If the price breaks through and fixes above this area, the cryptocurrency pair can form a bullish momentum. Resistance at 0.3258 will be the priority target in this case.
Lately bitcoin is strengthening and forming consolidation of 30000-31000. A breakout of resistance will also give momentum to altcoins.
Support levels: MA-50, 0.1540, 1.1209
Resistance levels: 0.1751
I expect the retest to 0.1751, which might end up with a breakout of resistance and in this case the price will continue growing. I am interested in the target of 0.3258 and 0.5750.
Regards R.Linda!
Bitcoin - Huge crash soon! Retest is required (wedge)
The price of Bitcoin recently pumped from the falling wedge pattern with a very strong impulse wave. But the problem is that because of that, we have an unfilled FV GAP on a previous breakout point, and the price tends to go back and retest it. Usually, when patterns break, the price tends to go back and retest them!
In this case, we can completely retest the wedge at the trendline (which will be a deep retracement) or retest the breakout point of the wedge and fill the FB GAP. In the confluence, we have the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the impulse wave, giving us a pretty good long trade with a solid risk-to-reward ratio.
We are going to go down sooner or later; the probability of it is actually very high. But there is also a chance of going higher to 32399 first to take the liquidity above the previous swing high from 2022 before retesting the wedge!
It was a huge pump, and buying or speculating on price increases is very risky. I would not do that at all, so rather prepare your shorts at higher prices or at confirmation of the downtrend!
From the Elliott Wave perspective, I can already see a completed impulse wave that screams for a retracement. The trendline of the impulse wave is broken, and we could definitely go down next week!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
💱USDCAD - A reversal pattern and a trend changeUSDCAD breaks the downtrend and forms a reversal pattern. Good potential for strengthening of the currency pair begins to appear
TA on high timeframe:
1) On d1 the situation is complicated. Consolidation is formed inside the channel 0.91200 - 0.88595.
2) It is acceptable to buy if the consolidation is above the level of 1.32600 or above the base of the pattern H&S.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A local bottom of 1.31200 is formed, to which price reacts in a "rally" format
2) Resistance is broken and after the channel resistance is retested, the price retests 1.32600.
3) Breakout and consolidation of 1.32600 will form a counter-trend entry point into a long position. In this case there is a chance to strengthen to 1.3383
Key support📉: 1.3206, 1.3177
Key resistance📈: 1.32600