GOLD → Resistance retest in correction phaseOANDA:XAUUSD is strengthening on Monday and is testing flat resistance with a false breakdown. Consolidation below 1928 is forming. The growth of gold is based on the fall of the dollar index before reaching a strong resistance
On the chart, we see a flat formation after breaking the ascending channel support. Yesterday I pointed out that the TVC:DXY is in a strong bullish trend, but since the price is near strong resistance, a bounce down may follow before further gains, which is what we are actually seeing.
As far as XAU is concerned, I am waiting for a fall after a false breakdown of resistance. Before the fall we are held back by the level of 1926. The target in this case will be the support at 1916
BUT, if the dollar continues to fall, gold will break 1928, and will reach 1939, also the price can test MA-200.
On the global timeframe the preconditions for further fall are developing.
Support levels: 1926, 1916
Resistance levels: 1928
I expect gold to decline in priority, but it should be understood that the scenario may break down based on external factors.
Regards R. Linda!
Zigzag
GBPCAD → £ is weakening. Currency pair breaks support FX:GBPCAD breaks trend support and breaks flat support on the background of weakening pound sterling. A retest of the strong support area is formed. The main currency of the UK is also declining to a 3-month low
The price breaks the support of the ascending price channel and forms an impulse. The market is forming an attempt to change the trend. In the near future the price may form a trend correction to the nearest resistance levels before further falling. The backdrop of the strengthening dollar is strongly affecting the entire forex market. DXY continues to update global highs, which provokes the weakening of world currencies.
The level of 1.70345 and 1.7060 plays an important role for us. A retest of these areas could send the price far down. The moving averages are changing direction.
Support levels: 1.70345
Resistance levels: 1.7087
I expect the fall to continue after a slight consolidation under the uptrend support.
Regards R. Linda!
🥇GOLD - U-turn. A retest of the support could break it Gold makes an unsuccessful attempt to break the resistance of the bearish channel. it is at the moment of the retest that the dollar starts to strengthen, which makes gold fall after the retest of the resistance. The FED is still sticking to continue to be hawkish on the dollar, which can have a bad effect on gold
TA on the high timeframe:
1) DXY breaks resistance and tests the 105 area. Possible correction before further rise
2) Gold retests and forms a candle that suggests a quick sell-off of the upside, which will negatively affect gold pricing on Monday and Tuesday
TA on the low timeframe:
1) The chart is showing weak buying power
2) A retest of support at 1914 is forming, a breakout could result in strong momentum to 1887 or 1860
Key support📉: 1914
Key resistance📈: 1927, 1942
GOLD → False breakdown and retest give mid-term targetsOANDA:XAUUSD is forming a signal that gives us insight into further medium-term potential. The market is trading within a descending price channel. Strong TVC:DXY continues to put pressure on the XAU price
There is quite a lot of news published in the coming week. It is worth paying your attention to the following:
13.09:
Core CPI
CPI (MoM) & (YoY)
14.09:
Core Retail Sales
Initial Jobless Claims
PPI
On the global timeframe we see a broad sideways flat formation. At the moment there is a potential for a decline towards 1800 in the medium term, and even towards 1700 or 1600 in the long term - standard trading strategies determine the trading potential within the flat.
On the daily timeframe we see a false breakdown of the descending channel resistance. After two bearish candles the market forms a shakeout and a retest of the trend resistance, but a new signal is formed - a candlestick pattern with a long candle, which is also a prerequisite for a red market.
Local support level is 1915, in the first half of the trading week the market may test this area with a high probability of further breakout and realization of accumulated potential for further decline to the lower boundary of the channel or flat
CAPITALCOM:GOLD VELOCITY:GOLD CAPITALCOM:DXY FOREXCOM:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1!
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Secret patterns for professional traders!
The price of Bitcoin is forming a head and shoulders pattern inside this descending parallel channel! Both of these patterns are bearish, so the probability of going down is really high at this moment. To become bullish, Bitcoin needs to invalidate both patterns. Then we can think about a long position, but at this moment, not at all!
You probably want to trade with a trend, and the trend is bearish on this particular timeframe. But in the immediate short term, we could go up to form the right shoulder of the major pattern; of course, that would be an excellent opportunity to short bitcoin at a great price!
Where is the profit target for the big short? I already market it on the chart, and it's between 23064 and 22853 because it is the POC of the previous expanding triangle + 1:1 FIB extension (wave 3 -> 4).
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, last week we printed a new impulse wave, which is very clear and visible. Everything in confluence suggests that we are bearish, and continuation of the downtrend is extremely likely and almost definitely a guarantee. Sooner or later, we will break the support of 25k.
This is my outlook on BTC for this month; do not forget to let me know in the comment section what you think about it and if you are prepared for another crash. I need to know your opinion!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
🥇GOLD - Market tests resistance area by false breakout Gold is forming a local downtrend. Which is relevant after the break of the ascending channel in early September.
The realization of a strong sell signal is forming on D1
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Everything is stable. False break of resistance sends the price down
2) Potential: falling to 1900 after correction.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price in bearish trend
2) A retest of 1926 prevents the price from updating the local high
3) Consolidation is forming below 1926 after a false breakdown
4) Bears are consolidating their positions on the background of a weak buyer
Key resistance📈: 1926
Key support📉: 1916 and 1903
GOLD → Trend correction after breaking trend support OANDA:XAUUSD , after breaking trend support, forms a small correction and stops its fall around 1916. A trend bounce is forming and the price is testing an important resistance
Globally, gold is forming a global bearish price channel on the D1 chart, but on the dev timeframe we can also identify a sideways flat in the format of a symmetrical triangle. A breakthrough of one of the figura borders will form the strongest impulse to one side or the other.
Locally, on H1, the price may soon test not only the resistance level, but also one of the local highs marked by the red dot. At the moment we are considering a scenario of further decline from one of the mentioned resistance levels, as the price is forging and realizing a global bearish set-up - a decline after a false resistance of the descending channel.
Support levels: 1923.8, 1916
Resistance levels: 1926, 1932
I expect a retest of the resistance area before a further fall. The retest may be formed by a false breakout
OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD COMEX:GC1! CAPITALCOM:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
TLMUSDT → Double bottom breaks resistance BINANCE:TLMUSDT is forming a double bottom on the chart. The market enters the phase of pattern realization, and also begins to use the previously accumulated energy
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD momentarily stops its fall near the area of 26000 and stands still for a long time. Yesterday the flagship formed an impulse based on fundamental factors, which provoked a bullish movement on the altcoin market.
The double bottom is entering the realization phase, the price breaks the resistance of the descending wedge and forms consolidation. It is important for us to wait for the price to finally consolidate above the pattern resistance and form a bullish potential.
Support Levels: Pattern Resistance, 0.00936
Resistance levels: 0.01142, 0.01227.
I expect the growth to continue, if the bulls can hold the price. Medium-term target is 0.01515.
BINANCE:TLMUSD BINANCE:TLMUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → XAU makes onslaught on limit support OANDA:XAUUSD continues to decline. Since the end of the last session the price forms a limit support level and forms a pre-breakdown consolidation. The realization of a false breakout of global resistance begins
The price is forging a local support level, but still has not updated the previous one, formed in late August. Consequently, the market has a target in the near term. This target is 1914.8, also the following areas can serve as a target: 1912,8 & 1903.8.
Let me remind - earlier we observed the break of the uptrend support on the background of TVC:DXY (dollar index) strengthening.
There is also a possibility that the market may form a small correction to 1926 before falling further. At the moment, within the medium-term scenario, I stick to a further fall in the price of gold. The moving averages are forming a reversal signal (the signal is medium-term in nature).
Support levels: 1916.7
Resistance levels: 1920
I expect the fall to continue either when 1916 is broken or after the correction to 1920-1925.
OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! CAPITALCOM:GOLD CAPITALCOM:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
EURGBP → Weak market. Prolonged support retest FX:EURGBP is under resistance pressure.There is clearly either a weak buyer or a rather strong seller in the market. Regarding the limit support area, the price continues to push.
I noted the important level of 0.8541 and 0.8521. And also an important pattern - descending triangle. The support area of the pattern coincides with the area of the limit support. The price has been testing this zone for several months and there is no particularly strong pullback. The price returns to this line every time. Most likely, the weak market continues to hint to us that the global low on the chart may be updated again in the medium term. In priority, I expect a retest of the figure resistance with a further fall to the support area and testing this zone for a breakout and decline to 0.8450.
Support levels: 0.8541, 0.8521
Resistance levels: 0.8609
I expect a retest of resistance in the near future with a subsequent fall to the support area. The chance of breaking through this support is quite high at the moment
Regards R. Linda!
GBPJPY, Bulla ready to retest 186.744The price movement fulfilled my last projection.
The GBPJPY bulls are ready to challenge the 186.744 price after a pull back from the last time it reached this price on 21st August, 2023.
The price is adequately supported at 184.838 and the EMA-50 on the 4hr time frame.
Let us see how it unfolds at the top.
Bitcoin - The next crash is coming! But first, bullish action.
The next crash is coming for the price of Bitcoin, but first we need to correct the recent downtrend! This correction can be pretty significant up to the 0.618 FIB retracement, which is at 27,609. You probably want to set your limit orders to short BTC at this level!
After a bullish correction, I expect another huge crash, kindly to 20k. But of course we are not going to go down in a straight line; there will be a lot of bullish corrections, so you need to be clever on when to short Bitcoin.
Resistance 2 (start of the GAP + 0.618 FIB) is at 27609, and Resistance 1 (end of the GAP + 0.382 FIB) is at 26406. I see only these 2 levels where the bears should step in again!
Above the current price, we have an unfilled CME gap exactly between resistance 1 and resistance 2. These gaps tend to be filled, but of course, it's not mandatory.
Bitcoin spiked significantly last week on the GBTC news; a lot of people were really optimistic and bought the pump, but a huge crash followed. It's similar to the XRP news: XRP pumped by 100% and then went down below the starting point of the pump.
From the Elliott Wave perspective on the chart, we can see a strong impulse wave, which is a sign of weakness for the price. The expectation is that we need to make an ABC bullish correction before continuing to the downside in the downtrend.
This is my current outlook on BTC; I am still bearish, but we need to open short at higher prices!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
GOLD → XAU breaks H1 support. False breakout on D1OANDA:XAUUSD is forming a false breakout of the resistance of the global nisode channel. On the local timeframe the price broke the trend support. Can this be considered as signals?
Yesterday I talked about potentially important levels for us. Today, price is breaking the support area (local). The reaction to this is enough to break uptrending price channel support on H1. Pay attention to the D1 timeframe. Price is forming a false breakout of the DOWN price channel resistance against the background of the DOWN trend. If the pattern is confirmed (it will be a consolidation of the price below 1932), we will see the beginning of another strong fall in the near future. I talked about the potential of such a fall a few days ago. The target of such a movement could be the area of 1900, 1850 and 1800).
Support levels: 1925, 1913
Resistance levels: 1932
The price is forming several sell signals. We need to wait for the confirmation of a bearish set-up to open trades.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPJPY → Bull market continues to push price after shakeout FX:GBPJPY continues to form a bullish trend. A flat is forming within the ascending price channel and another retest of support leads to a bullish impulse
Earlier on the chart we see a strong spike down. A false break of support forms a shakeout in the market, a huge amount of volume is involved and in tandem with unstable fundamentals for the Japanese Yen, it predictably affects the pricing of currency pairs.
For us the key role within the flat plays resistance 184.55 and support 183.7. Break of one of the zones with the subsequent consolidation of the price above the line will form the potential for movement in one direction or another. I am expecting growth from 184.55 as a priority. The medium-term target for us will be the resistance area of 186.765. The price is also testing MA-50 and an impulse will be formed in case of breakout.
Support levels: 183.700
Resistance levels: 184.55
I expect the continuation of growth in priority. The price can also test the support with a false breakout, but the medium-term potential remains the same.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Bull trap of the year! (fake pump)
Bitcoin pumped significantly, but it's definitely a bull trap, so do not fall for it! We can see that the chart is printing a huge head and shoulders pattern, which is a very bearish sign.
This pattern is not confirmed yet as the neckline is holding, but the price is below the major blue trendline, which increases the probability of a breakdown!
The trend is not bullish anymore, and this pump is a great opportunity to short Bitcoin.
Where to take profit or buy bitcoin? I strongly recommend the 0.618 FIB retracement in confluence with the CME unfilled GAP. This is an extremely strong support, and we should see the start of a new bull market or at least a significant bounce from it!
I don't know about you, but I am bearish! Let me know in the comment section: are you bullish or bearish? I want to know your opinion!
Altcoins don't look good at all. I can see a huge crash on DOGE (70%). This indicates to me that Bitcoin is still not ready for a bull market.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
ETHUSD → Retest of support for decline before further growth BITSTAMP:ETHUSD breaks the global trend support. The breakout is not false. Local support at 1631 is forming on the chart. After a small correction there are prerequisites for further decline.
A wedge is formed on the global timeframe, the price bounces off the resistance and in the format of correction is heading towards the range support. Before the global growth the market is separated by the global descending line (red dotted line)
In the medium term, I expect a rebound from the support of the wedge with further retest of the indicated resistance line. If this area is broken through, the market will get a new potential.
Locally the price is in flat, a break of 1631 will lead the price to fall to the range support and the key liquidity area of 1500. A strong bullish reaction is likely to follow from this area, which could lead the market to a recovery. The moving averages are signaling a breakout of support.
Resistance levels: 1696, 1750
Support levels: 1631, 1501
I expect a breakout of 1631 and reaching 1501 before a further rise to 2021.
Regards R. Linda!
UNFIUSDT → Wedge breakout and flat breakout BINANCE:UNFIUSDT is forming bullish signals to open a new potential while bitcoin is in a strong bearish correction.
On the chart we see the formation of a downtrend. The global consolidation and the bottom retest speak for themselves about the market situation.
A few days ago, the price forms a retest of the resistance of the specified figure and breaks it, forming an impulse, but with no result at the retest of 4.55. Consolidation and subsequent retest of the specified boundary is formed. What happened? The price broke the resistance of the specified range. Our task is to wait for the price to consolidate above 4.55 to form a bullish position. If the buyers hold the specified area, the price may reach the level of 6.850 and even 8.375 in the medium term.
Support levels: 3.322, 4.55
Resistance levels: 5.45, 6.85
I expect consolidation above 4.55 with further growth to the above targets.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Be aware of the final dump! (triangle)
This is a quick update on Bitcoin's short-term price action! Bitcoin is moving in 3 wave structures, which indicates a triangular formation that usually breaks in the direction of the main trend!
I am bearish on BTC until we hit my price target of 24800, which is a significant swing high from June. The triangle suggests it as well.
I expect a final impulsive wave to the downside before a pump back to 27,000. I think this break of the triangle will be only a fakeout to take liquidity, so make sure you take profits and do not stay in the short position for a long time!
Now the question is, will we see another bounce from the ascending trendline of the symmetrical triangle? It's really possible because, from the Elliott Wave perspective, triangles have 5-waves in them, as ABCDE. Now Bitcoin is in the D wave. But sometimes triangles are shorter, and we could go down sooner rather than later.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Overall, you probably know that I expect 21k to be hit later this year and potentially 15k next year, so do not buy any Bitcoins at the current price!
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GBPUSD → The currency pair will form a correction before the falFX:GBPUSD breaks the trend support and is in the red zone, but the price may form a false breakdown and counter-trend correction before further fall
On the chart we see a global uptrend within the price channel, but at the moment of strengthening of the dollar, the currency pair gbpusd breaks the support of the trend and is in the red zone.
As part of the breakout and strong impulse, the price is testing the flat support and may form a false breakdown of 1.26065, followed by local growth either to 1.26800 or to the previously broken channel line (counter-trend correction)
Most likely, the dollar will continue to strengthen and thus weaken the pound, which will affect the chart. In the medium term, we may see a fall to the above support lines
Resistance levels: 1.26065, 1.26800
Support levels: 1.25600, 1.24868
I expect the formation of upward correction before the further fall of the price.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Plan for the next 30 days! (This is going to happen)
Bitcoin is moving in this huge parallel channel no one talks about, and the price is respecting it pretty well, including the middle trendline!
The current price of Bitcoin is around 25900 USD, which is very near its bottom in November 2022 at 16000 USDT. I expect this low to be followed by a huge crash, so make sure you are prepared for it. Bitcoin has been very weak compared to other assets this year.
In September, I expect Bitcoin to reach the strong horizontal line at 24820 and potentially take liquidity below it. There are a lot of stop-loss orders from traders, which is a magnet for whales.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
1 week ago, we had a huge red dildo with a 14% decline. To me, this is an indication that the third wave is in progress in my Elliott Wave count. Wave 5 should go below wave 3 exactly as I have drawn it on the chart! But do not expect any big crashes in the short term. A swing failure pattern (SFP) is something that has a higher probability. Basically, you can buy/long the fifth wave.
This is my current plan for Bitcoin for the next 30 days. Of course, this is my main scenario, but I also have an alternate scenario, which I may post next time, but we will see!
Let me know in the comment section if you are shorting Bitcoin, but I recommend placing a buy order around 24800 for a quick bounce back to 26800!
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