GOLD → Prerequisites for a possible breakthrough of supportOANDA:XAUUSD forms a false breakdown of the specified resistance level of 1959.8. The fundamental factors of last week indicate the weakness of the instrument
After a strong bearish impulse from the resistance of the 1983.7 range, a correction is formed aimed at retesting the 1959.8 area, the resistance is not broken and the price begins to decline. An attempt to retest the support of 1948 is being formed, which is a prerequisite for the market's readiness for further decline.
The 1948 retest and the formation of pre-breakout consolidation near the level can form a potential at which the market can break support and decline by 1933.
A reversal pattern is formed on D1, to confirm its implementation, the price needs to overcome the specified support.
A bullish setup can appear only if the 1959 breakout and price consolidation above this line.
Support Levels: 1948
Resistance levels: MA 50, 1959
I expect a 1948 retest with a possible breakthrough of support and further decline.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
Zigzag
NZDUSD → Shake-up the support of the uptrend. Bullish potentialFX:NZDUSD forms a false breakout after retesting trend support, so we have the prerequisites for a new bullish movement.
The price returns to the boundaries of the ascending channel after the support shake. Earlier, there was a shake-up of resistance, and the price fell to support. The price tests the Fibo 0.236 and forms a consolidation above this line, the support line also coincides.
Consolidation of the price above this area will form a bullish potential, and in the medium term, the price may show strengthening.
The global trend remains neutral, the local trend is still bullish. Moving averages may give a signal in the near term.
Support levels: 0.236 Fibo, Trend support
Resistance levels: 0.382 fibo, 0.6305
I expect the price to consolidate above this support area with further strengthening to 0.6305 or 0.6381.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Huge alt-season is starting! (buy altcoins)
Bitcoin dominance is going down, and in confluence with this sideways price action, I expect a huge alt-season! It's a great time to buy some altcoins.
We can clearly see that the price of Bitcoin is stuck in this rising wedge pattern. Because of it, generally, there is a higher probability of the price going down, but we still have plenty of time, and the price can stay inside for another 30 or 50 days.
We need to wait for the rising wedge pattern to show us the direction. The trendline of the rising wedge is slightly ascending, which is unpleasant to the bulls for a breakout. It tends to make swing failure patterns above the previous high, but you can take advantage of it and short it.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Trading Bitcoin on higher timeframes is currently not worth it because of its low volatility. You can still trade it on an intraday basis. But I prefer altcoins at this moment because the Bitcoin dominance chart (BTC.D) is showing some signs of weakness.
Bitcoin broke out of the market structure in recent days but quickly went back up. So we need to be patient. To increase the probability of success, switch to altcoins!
Litecoin's halving event is in 6 days, which should send the price to the moon. We will see... I am prepared for it.
This is a quick update on BTC; I am not short or long on it. I trade altcoins!
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BTCUSD → Price is forming a consolidation. Retest of 0.382 fiboBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is in the correction phase. The market is forming a decline in volatility to the lows of the last few months. Globally we still have an ascending price channel and a bullish trend.
The price is declining to the limits of 0.382 fibo. Consolidation is formed above this line, in this case if the price continues to consolidate near 0.382 in the absence of a bounce, a breakout may follow and the price may decline to 28474 for a retest.
A positive sign for us will be a rebound from 0.382 and a breakout of 0.236 with the subsequent consolidation of the price above the level, in this case the bulls will again begin to show potential and form a retest of resistance.
The medium-term view of the situation tells us that this technical correction may continue, but not for long. The price is testing the important support area MA50 - 28474.
In the long term it is worth paying attention to strong support levels, and secondly to the resistance, because in the uptrend it is worth looking for reversal points and entry points and breakout entry at these areas.
Support levels: 0.382 fibo, 28474, 0.618 fibo
Resistance levels: 0.236 fibo, 30575
I expect the correction to continue with a possible retest of 28474, but in the long term I expect continued growth to retest 30575 with a subsequent breakout and price movement to trend resistance.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → The market is preparing for further decline FX:EURUSD is forming strong declines after the news on Wednesday and Thursday. The price is weakening by 2.95% amid the strengthening of the dollar
On the chart I have indicated the current range with a width of 3.97%. The range boundaries are resistance at 1.1075 and support at 1.0635. At the moment the asset is within the ascending channel, but this is not important for us, we are interested in the ascending support line, which plays a key role for the price. We are interested in the price reaction to this line to determine further decline. We should wait for either a breakout or a false breakout, the signal for a set-up will be consolidation below or above the line. Accordingly, if the price consolidates below the level, the market will form an area for entering short positions
Moving averages act as resistance
Support levels: Trend line, 1.0948, 1.0835
Resistance levels: 1.1075
Most likely in the long term we should expect a decline, but a rebound is possible against this line before a further fall. The lower boundary of the range could be a medium-term target.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Resistance Retest. Possible rebound before growth OANDA:XAUUSD amid FOMC speech realizes accumulated flag potential and strengthens, aiming for flat resistance, where it is at the moment
Published today:
12:30 GMT Core Durable Goods Orders (downgrade)
12:30 GMT GDP (QoQ) (improving)
12:30 GMT Initial Jobless Claims (?)
14:00 GMT Pending Home Sales (improving)
Overall there may be positive news for the USD, but it depends more on GDP & IJC. The reports of these releases will show the current situation on inflation.
Gold may decline with positive reports in the US market, but since the metal is in an uptrend and in a bullish set-up phase, I think that after retesting the flat resistance, the price may test one of the nearest supports before rising further. The SMA is again forming a cross.
Support levels: 1972.2, 1959.8
Resistance levels: 1983.7
I expect a storm in the market when the news is released. Report data may show a medium-term outlook. Gold chart so far gives hints of medium-term growth.
Regards R. Linda!
ZENUSDT → Exiting a bearish trend. Growth potential by 15.00BINANCE:ZENUSDT is forming a prolonged bearish wedge. Numerous resistance retests are inconclusive except for the last one. Against the backdrop of falling bitcoin, ZEN is showing strength.
The price after testing the bearish trend support consolidates and stops under the resistance at 9.66, forming an ascending triangle. Over the course of several weeks, price consolidates and continues to push up against resistance.
At the moment of volume surge, the price moves from the accumulation phase to the phase of realizing the potential. A breakout of resistance and a bullish impulse is formed.
A retest of the previously broken boundary or consolidation above 9.66 may be formed soon, which may give an opportunity to enter the market at a better price. It is also worth noting that the price is breaking the moving averages and this may indicate a trend change.
Support levels: 9.66, the previously broken trend boundary
Resistance levels: 11.4, 15.12
I expect the growth to continue after the breakout of 9.66. Medium-term outlook - strengthening to 15.12.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Awaiting the FOMC & Fed press release. ↑ or ↓ ?OANDA:XAUUSD is realizing the potential of the "flag" pattern I talked about yesterday. The correction wave is ending and the price continues to strengthen
Today, Wednesday, important news are published, we are interested in those that will be at 18:00 GMT from FOMC, FED. Current issues related to the rate and inflation, some representatives of this structure say that the rate may increase, and the temporary weakening of inflation may soon end amid geopolitical factors.
The gold price breaks correction resistance and starts to strengthen, testing the 1970 area. Below is one of the key support 1969.3, the expected consolidation above the level may form a potential for bullish movement. Before the news I recommend to trade carefully and try to reduce risks. Moving averages indicate a neutral stance in the market before the news.
Support levels: 1969.3
Resistance levels: 1973.5, 1983
If the news is bullish for the dollar, the surge in volume could destroy the gold's strength and in this case the price will move towards 1950, the technical analysis of the XAU suggests a continuation of the upside. Actually in this combination lies the difficulty.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → A combination of signals gives a reversal potential FX:NZDUSD makes a false break of 0.6381 resistance and forms a correction within the uptrend.
The price is testing the trend support, a reversal candlestick pattern is formed on the 4H timeframe.Collectively, we have a signal on the candlestick pattern, a false breakout of trend support and a false breakout of MA-200. Consolidation is formed above the mentioned moving average.
The price is testing 0.236 Fibo and most likely this zone can serve as a starting point. If the bulls are able to keep the price above this level in the current situation, we may see growth in the medium term.
Support levels: 0.236 fibo, MA-200, trend support.
Resistance levels: 0.382 fibo, 0.6305
I expect the currency pair to strengthen after fixation above the mentioned support line. Medium-term target is 0.6305 and 0.6381.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Bearish 21k target confirmed! (Bart pattern)
The Bart pattern is now confirmed, and it doesn't look good at all for the price of Bitcoin! We need to react to the recent price action, and this pattern is breaking down. I would not be surprised if we woke up in the morning and saw a big red dildo!
You can say that Bitcoin is still inside the major parallel channel and that we are still bullish, but I can tell you that the trendline has already touched three times, and only a small bounce is expected on the fourth touch. This channel is starting to be overextended, and it looks like we are going to see a huge crash!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
My target is still 21K, as you already know. I am not buying any BTC for the long term until we reach this target. It's a strong support because of the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and the unfilled CME futures gap.
September is usually an extremely bearish month, and October is not the best either. I think the best scenario is if we see a huge, fast crash, so we can buy cheap bitcoin as soon as possible.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, a huge major impulse wave (1) has been completed, and we are looking for an ABC correction. Markets, especially Bitcoin, move in clear waves, and this theory is pretty good for it.
I warned you about this Bart pattern in my previous analysis, saying that it's a very possible scenario. This was definitely a good idea, and now the price is going down.
I am now bearish on Bitcoin and expect lower prices. Let me know in the comment section what you think!
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GOLD → A retest of trend resistance. Breakout or rebound? OANDA:XAUUSD is forming a bearish price channel after breaking the upward range support.
Price is testing new trend resistance, what to expect from price next?
As we see fundamental complexities in the market, it is hard to determine a clear direction at the moment, we will pay attention to technical analysis.
Gold is testing the resistance of the ascending channel and then forms a consolidation below, in the red zone, thus forming an entry point for selling.
The market is restrained from falling by the support level of 1959.8. And the price is restrained from the opposite scenario by the trend resistance.
Breakout of the upper boundary of the channel can form an impulse, which will be a part of the realization of the pattern "flag"
But if the support of 1959.8 is broken, we will see a fall to 1940.
It is also worth paying attention to the cross of moving averages.
Support levels: 1959.8
Resistance levels: trend upper boundary, 1969.3
I expect more likely to break the support and further fall, but the price may test an attempt to break the resistance.
Regards R. Linda!
EUR/USD Price Completes Impulse SequenceIt's key to understanding the market structure in general, for a while now the EURUSD has been in an impulse phase the classic 1-2-3-4-5. Few points to highlight that validate the pattern waves 1 and 4 not overlapped and wave 3 is not the shortest wave.
It's been a while since we stuck on the 4th wave phase corrective pattern which was a Triangle with a wave E failure. Waves 1 and 5 are relatively equal. It's safe to say the bullish bias is over and we can expect the price to correct lower as a corrective pattern( zig-zag, flats, or complex corrections.
GBPAUD → False breakdown and upward movement to retestFX:GBPAUD continues to form a bullish trend, as the high timeframe tells us.
The price makes a false breakdown of the moving average and returns to the range.
The price has returned to the ascending price channel and may form a retest or consolidation above the support level in the nearest future.
At the moment the price is squeezed within the flat 1.9184 and 1.9035. Most likely the price has the upper boundary of the range as a target.
An intraday retest of resistance may follow for a breakout.
Since we have an uptrend, a false breakout of support and MA-200, the market is ready to continue rising.
Another breakout attempt at 1.9184 may be successful and the price may show active growth.
Support levels: 1.9035, trend support
Resistance levels: 1.9184
I expect a retest of resistance with a subsequent breakout. Medium-term target: 1.9393.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → False breakout 0.618. What should we prepare for? OANDA:XAUUSD on the daily timeframe shows an interesting situation, which can be confusing for those who set big targets for the price rally, which ended with a false break of resistance 1981.6
The price within two weeks is forming a strengthening , investors and whales were talking about big plans, but at the same time the dollar reversed to appreciation and this situation formed a false breakout of a key resistance level on the gold chart.
Since at the moment the price is in the range of 1981 - 1935, most likely after the retest of resistance the price may go down to the support. Three bearish candles are formed, each new candle closing below the previous one. The chart gives us a strong bearish wave.
In the coming week a lot of strong news is published and the market may be quite shaky.
It is worth paying attention to:
FOMC Statement
Fed Interest Rate Decision
FOMC Press Conference
ECB Interest Rate Decision (eur)
GDP
Initial Jobless Claims
Core PCE
These speeches and press releases can give a medium-term view of the market behavior.
The price tested 0.618 fibo and the market did not allow gold to pass this area. Consolidation is formed in the red zone, this fact can be interpreted as a readiness of the market to decline.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Secret pattern no one talks about! (insider info)
This secret parallel channel on the LOG scale is very important for your trades because you want to take profits if the price reaches the top of the descending channel! This is a dynamic resistance, so the trendline changes over time, but currently the resistance is around 39K.
39K is a strong level not only because of this channel but also because of the 0.618 FIB retracement of the previous huge downtrend and the POC of the previous market structure (volume profile).
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately!
What I expect is for Bitcoin to reach the 39K level and then make a significant correction. This correction should be pretty deep. Because we will be retracing the first Elliott impulse wave, the 0.618 FIB is a classic buy opportunity, and it's around 21k.
After we reach 21K, I expect Bitcoin to pump heavily to the 69K all-time high resistance. This is indeed a strong level as well, so this could be the peak of the 3rd Elliott impulse wave. The 5th wave is expected to end around 100k–110k in 2025.
This is my gameplan; I don't know what yours is, so let me know in the comment section right now!
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You may say that 110k is not enough and that Bitcoin should do much more than that. Yeah, I agree with you, but we need to be realistic. Bitcoin is already pretty big and has a large market capitalization. What's more, on the chart, you can see the major parallel channel on the LOG scale that started in 2017, and I don't think the bulls want to make some crazy parabolic move above this channel!
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Bitcoin - Huge pump is ready! + Bullish pennant
Bitcoin is forming this bullish pennant on the daily chart. The price has been inside this pattern for a month, and it's time for a massive breakout!
The next stop is around 34k because of the 0.618 FIB extension from Wave (1) to Wave (2) and we can hit this target next week. After it, a pullback is likely, but continuation of the uptrend to 39k is in place as per my previous analysis. Then I expect a crash to 21k!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Bitcoin has been consolidating for 1 month with a complex Elliott Wave correction wave (WXY) - Triple three. Before this correction, there is a strong impulse wave (12345). Now we should see a 3rd impulse wave followed by a triangle (ABCDE) or a ZigZag (ABC) and a final diagonal wedge pattern. Usually, when one of the corrective waves of a major impulse wave is complex, the second one should be a triangle or a zigzag pattern.
XRP is pumping, and I hope you bought some cheap coins as I recommended! 1.3 is a strong resistance for XRP, so check out my previous idea in the related section down below.
Also watch SPX and NDQ, if it his a new all time high, a major crash could happen also on BTC! Bitcoin is unfortunately pretty weak compared to other assets this year.
I feel an alt season in the air, at least for a couple of weeks. I already have full bags of altcoins, so I don't know about you, but I am prepared!
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
GOLD → Dollar allows gold to break trend support OANDA:XAUUSD is weakening while the dollar is starting to strengthen. The only fundamental factor affecting this is inflation, which the FOMC is still trying to combat
XAUUSD is breaking uptrend support and forming a retest of flat support at 1959. There is a key liquidity zone below this boundary that could become interesting for the market, and price is likely to enter this zone on the backdrop of what is happening.
If the price fails to reach this mark on a retest of 1959, a rebound will begin to form, which could reach one of the key areas of resistance before a further (possible) fall as part of a counter-trend correction.
On D1, price is forming a false resistance breakout and on H1, an H&S is forming which hints at a possible decline. Within the flat market, 1935 level may be interesting (but it is not accurate).
MA-50 is resistance and MA-200 is support, which may be tested in the near future
Resistance levels: 1965, 0.236, 0.382 Fibo
Support levels: 1959,8
I expect a correction to resistance for a possible retest, followed by a fall to flat support and the possibility of further declines.
Regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Correction after the LH update. Growth may continue OANDA:XAUUSD continues to execute active movements in the direction of price strengthening. This time the price is testing the resistance 1987.5, which indicates a high bullish potential and a strong trend
The price is forming a correction after the impulse. In the zone of interest we have the level of 1981. The price is testing the support and if the market can hold this area, the price will head towards 1993 in the nearest future.
A false breakdown scenario is possible and in this case the price will go to the support of 1970 before further growth.
On the background of weakening dollar and news about weak inflation, the price of dollar is falling, which positively affects the price of gold.
In the future, after fixing the price above 1981.7, such targets as 1993 and 2000.
Support levels: 1978, 1970
Resistance levels: 1981.7
At the moment the key role is played by the level of 1981.7. The price may continue to test the area for a breakout in the near future, or make a rebound, but on the subsequent retest of 1981.7 the level may be broken and the price will show an impulse to 1993
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → A temporary respite after a high jump OANDA:XAUUSD continues to form a bullish trend, indicating strong interest in the market. The strong rally is moving into a narrow consolidation, which may hint at certain implications
Yesterday we saw a breakout of the local consolidation and a gorgeous 200 pips momentum.
The price is testing the resistance at 1981.7 and forming a 110 pips wide fljt. Gold may test the support and start strengthening again or form a consolidation near 1981.8.
At the moment, since there is a strong trend, we should consider either a rebound from 1970 or a breakout of 1981. The growth may continue and the price may test 1993 soon.
The moving averages indicate a strong bullish trend. The daily timeframe is forming a candlestick that gives a prerequisite for a breakout of 1981 in the near future.
Support levels: 1975, 1970
Resistance levels: 1981.8
I expect consolidation with the subsequent breakout of 1981.7. In the long term I expect growth to 1993 and 2000.
Regards R. Linda!
EURAUD → A shake-up could provide bullish momentumFX:EURAUD in the format of local uptrend forms an interesting set-up of two false breakouts and pre-breakout consolidation after market clearing. Growth may continue.
The shakeout in May and mid-June cleared the market of a lot of crowds with their bids and increases the market maker's liquidity. A third approach to resistance and a third premise for price to break out of the range could be true.
Price is forming a sideways range of 1.654 - 1.626. Within the flat range, price is forming a pre-breakout consolidation near resistance. The euro is recovering and most likely will try to break the mentioned level.
The moving averages act as a strong support, especially MA-200, which outlines the support of the ascending channel.
Resistance levels: 1.654, upper boundary of the channel
Support levels: 1.646
I expect a resistance retest followed by a breakout. Strengthening of the currency pair may continue. Medium-term outlook 1.6786
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Pump to 39k! But then, crash to 21k (juicy)
We have had a lot of bullish news in recent days, and that's why Bitcoin is going to reach up to 39k this summer, but do not be too excited because I am expecting a huge crash to 21k later this year!
39K is an extremely strong resistance for the bulls, mainly because of the 0.618 FIB retracement and point of control of the previous market structure. Also during the downtrend in 2022, the price created an unfilled fair value gap, which acts as resistance as well. We can fill this gap and start a major downtrend.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
At this moment, Bitcoin is inside an ascending parallel channel on the daily chart and has touched the trendline three times. 3 touches is a lot; it basically failed to make a parabolic move, so I expect this trendline to breakdown this year and start a downtrend!
What could be the price target for the upcoming downtrend? We still have an unfilled CME GAP at 21110, which is a magnet. All CME gaps on Bitcoin were always filled, and there is a 100% historical probability of going down and filling them!
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From the Elliott Wave perspective, this uptrend from 15k to the current price of 30k looks impulsive. It has a good angle, and there are totally no overlaps on the line chart, even though there is a small overlap on the candlestick chart. I market it as an impulse wave 12345, and we still have room to go up to finish the 5th wave.
Look at my previous idea about "XRP" in the related section down below; it's very important!
That's all for today. It's possible for Bitcoin to go down in the short term, but I am pretty bullish, and 39 is expected this summer.
95% of my trades are done on altcoins, and Bitcoin has been going sideways for almost a month. The volatility is low, and where there is no volatility, there is no opportunity.
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NZDCHF → Activity of dynamic sellers forms a triangle FX:NZDCHF is forming a multi-month descending triangle. Globally, the currency pair is under downtrend pressure. What's going on?
Buyers are forming the limit zone at 0.5444, sellers continue to press this area since the end of April, thus a descending triangle is formed on the chart, which speaks for itself.
False breakdown of the support does not give the result and we see an attempt of another retest of the support level.
Formation of the subsequent test or pre-breakdown consolidation will form the momentum that can break the mentioned support and form a bearish impulse towards 0.5350.
But, if the buyers hold the zone, the price will head upwards. A breakout and consolidation of the price above 0.5496 will be a buy signal.
Support levels: 0.5444
Resistance levels: 0.5496
I expect the support breakout based on the technical feature of the currency pair at the moment.
Medium-term target is the support at 0.5350.
Regards R. Linda!