NZDUSD → A break of the triangle resistance will form an impulseFX:NZDUSD is forming an attempt to change the downtrend on the background of weakening of the dollar. A resistance retest is being formed. What to expect from the price further?
The price left the channel last week, all this time a consolidation in the format of an ascending triangle is being formed. The price continues to test the triangle resistance and 0.62359 for a breakout as we see a weakening dollar, consolidation after the resistance breakout and several other indications that the price is preparing to continue rising.
A false break of resistance could form a pullback to nearby support, but based on the potential, price could continue to head towards resistance.
Support levels: 0.61911
Resistance levels: 0.62200, 0.62359
I expect a pullback from resistance and another retest on the background of an attempt to change the trend. If resistance is broken, our target will be 0.63000 and 0.63810.
Regards R. Linda!
Zigzag
GOLD → A retest of resistance could turn into a breakoutOANDA:XAUUSD is strengthening within a bullish counter-trend correction. The price is testing a strong resistance area, but at the same time there are signals that may allow the price to break the resistance.
On the daily timeframe we observe interesting things: the correctional wave reaches the level of 0.618 fibo of the third wave and also tests the area of 0.382 fibo of the global movement. Most likely, a rather strong rebound may follow from this area. Earlier we observed a breakout of the global trend support. At the moment the price is forming counter-trend correction to the level of 1939, which plays a key role. If this resistance is broken, the price may strengthen to the previously broken line or to the area of 0.382 Fibo (1967). The situation on the market may change dramatically when the resistance of the upward correction is broken. We are watching the price reaction to the mentioned area.
Resistance levels: 0.5 fibo, 1938, channel resistance
Support levels: 1924, 1920, 1912
I expect the price to test the breakout of the channel resistance. At the moment bears are still strong and they can push the price down, but with the breakout and consolidation of the price above the level there will be a chance to see a strong impulse to 1959.
Regards R. Linda!
MATICUSDT → Breakout figure and an attempt to change the trend BINANCE:MATICUSDT breaks through the resistance of the key figure and opens a new bullish potential. If the nearest resistance is broken through, the price can form a strong momentum.
Earlier we saw an attempt of strengthening, which smoothly changed from an ascending price channel to a bearish wedge. The latter figure is quite capable of breaking the trend and changing it, for this in our case, the price needs to pass through the resistance of 0.7440.
Recently cryptocurrencies, both bitcoins and altcoins, start to recover, and there are even some fundamental reasons for that.
The moving averages act as resistance, but at the moment the MA-50 is being tested and in case of a breakout the 31% range will open, which is quite an interesting prospect for us.
Support levels: 0.6500
Resistance levels: MA-50, 0.7440
I expect consolidation near resistance, followed by a breakout and bullish momentum. The medium-term target is 0.9700.
Regards, R. Linda!
GBPUSD → What kind of reaction could there be to resistance? FX:GBPUSD continues to form an uptrend, but at the same time the price is hitting a strong resistance area. We are waiting for the price to react to the area, which will determine the further direction.
A retest of the level 1.28484 will tell us that the market will prepare to strengthen after breaking through resistance, but a consolation below the level will signal further decline to 1.26900.
In an uptrend, the price could test the resistance again in the near future. The dollar is in a range and a decline towards support will give the currency pair a jump to break through resistance.
The pound might continue to strengthen in the mid-term based on a more positive fundamental background than the dollar.
Support levels: 1.27267, 1.26800
Resistance levels: 1.28484
I expect an attempted retest to the resistance, which may give a further signal. It is necessary to monitor the price reaction to the upper limit of the range. It may be followed by a pullback before further growth.
Regards R.Linda!
BTCUSD → FB before the breakout, waiting for the retest BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is testing strong resistance at 30575, but a false-break of the level tells us that the price is not ready to grow (at the moment). It might form a pullback or flat pattern below the level before rebounding further
Globally, we have a bullish trend, the price is getting stronger. The rally is followed by a consolidation and a pullback, after which the cycle repeats again. The price is gradually renewing its highs. Fundamentals are getting stronger amid a surge of activity and some positive investor interest news.
The moving averages on the D1 show us a bullish trend, the same is true for the weekly chart. The price forms a range after breaking through 25000. The range boundary is 30285 - 25000. I would not expect in the medium term a decline to 25000, most likely the price may form a consolidation between 30000-28500, after which the price will continue to form resistance retests for a breakout.
Support levels: 29800, 28500
Resistance levels: 30575
I expect a consolidation or a technical pullback after a rally. Bitcoin is not highly susceptible to technical analysis, but it is excellent on fundamentals. Fundamental background is more inclined to a positive trend. In the medium term, I expect growth after the breakout of 30575.
Sincerely R. Linda!
GOLD → The market is buyback the fall, but for how long? OANDA:XAUUSD makes a retest of local support at 1902, but amid a weaker dollar, the market buys out the drop. The price returns to the range.
Global and local trend coincide and have a common downward direction. The price rebounds from 1902 on the background of the dollar weakening from the news on Thursday. It is too early to speak about the global change, because the Fed is still preparing to keep the rates at the same level or even to raise the rates, in which case the dollar will continue its strengthening because of the high inflation.
The price comes back to the range and most likely it might strengthen to 1920. But in the medium term I see a continuation of the fall towards 1902 or 1893.
Resistance levels: 1920, 1933
Support levels: 1912, 1902, 1893
The market is bearish and most likely, from one of the key resistance levels, the continuation of falling is expected on the background of negative fundamentals for gold.
Regards R.Linda!
EURUSD → Fundamental and TA diverge. What's next? FX:EURUSD has been declining all week. The correction continues to the lower boundary of the uptrend, and after a false breakdown of support the market responds with a bullish reaction.
The daily timeframe is turning a triple top, but everything is ambiguous. Price is in a global fleet.
Within a local uptrend, a false break of channel support increases liquidity and the market builds bullish volumes, against the news this reaction may be temporary.
If the wedge resistance is broken, a consolidation above the line can be formed, followed by an impulse towards the key resistance.
The Fed is not going to give up and is increasingly saying that rates will either be kept or increased in the medium term, in which case the currency pair may show us a bearish mood.
Support levels: 1.08485
Resistance levels: the upper boundary of the wedge, 1.0945, 1.1000
I expect an attempt to break through the resistance of the wedge. If it succeeds, the price may head towards 1.0945 within the channel. But if the consolidation in the wedge continues, there will be a chance to break through the trend support.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Retest of the key resistance area. DowntrendFX:NZDUSD bounces from the local support area and forms a retest of the strong resistance area. What to expect from the price in the nearest future?
The US is having a day off today, but at the same time the PMI is coming out and it looks like the data might be bearish for the currencies, so if this is confirmed, the currency pair might show some bullish volumes.
The price is about to retest the resistance area and a break-down of the resistance will form a strong momentum towards 0.63054.
BUT! We have a bullish trend, rally to the resistance, which can be stopped by the upper border of the range.
As a priority, I expect price decline within the price channel, but if resistance is broken, it will be necessary to rebuild the strategy.
Support levels: 0.6116, 0.60692
Resistance levels: 0.61911, channel resistance, 0.62359 .
As a priority I expect a false breakdown of the channel resistance, followed by downward price movement towards support. But if the fundamental background changes, the price is likely to break resistance.
Regards R.Linda!
💱EURUSD - A resistance retest is forming. Breakout or rebound? EURUSD is retesting the wedge resistance and the level of 1.09125.
But on the D1 the price is trading under the strong resistance, forming a false-break
TA on the high timeframe:
1) False breakdown of 1.09125 level. Consolidation and decline below 1.08800 will form further momentum
2) The price is in the "wedge" pattern, breaking through one of the lines will open a new potential after the consolidation.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price makes a retest of 1.09125. The local trend is ascending, hence it is likely that the price can break the resistance
2) The price will continue growing in case of breaking through the wedge resistance and the level of 1.09125.
3) On the rebound from the wedge resistance, the price will head towards 1.08440 and continue its consolidation in the figure
Key resistance📈: 1.09125
Key support📉: 1.08800, 1.08400
EURGBP → The market is getting ready to continue falling FX:EURGBP is forming a counter-trend correction to increase liquidity and accumulate potential for a possible further decline. The trend is bearish and now there are signals that could continue the trend
Note the local uptrend channel. This is most likely a correction on the background of a bearish trend. Price can't go down all the time, so the market needs to make these maneuvers.
The price broke through the support of the correction, we expect the price consolidation.
At the moment, the support of the ascending channel and the level of 0.85412 plays a key role. Consolidation below these areas will form entry points for possible sales. The moving averages have moved towards resistance. Impulse is forming.
Support levels: 0.85412
Resistance levels: the earlier broken through channel boundary, MA50, 0.86000, MA200
I expect continuation of falling after the price consolidation under the specified levels. Most likely, the trend will continue.
Regards, R.Linda!
GOLD → The limit level of 1920 pushes the price up OANDA:XAUUSD strengthens to 1931 and reaches its local target. The resulting pullback forms a strong limit area formed by buyers 1920. What could this lead to?
Locally, I expect the price to rise to the local targets and liquidity zones, as the price cannot fall all the time. Such zones are: 1933, 1935, 1939
The daily technical analysis points us to a break of the uptrend and the formation of a correction. The trend correction can confirm the break and after the retest of one of the key resistance levels, which is 1935-1939, the market can activate the volume bears and the price will continue the implementation of the trend breakout.
At the moment we are interested in the resistance area of the range. The price may reach it in the near future and then we will follow the price reaction to this area. Here is a likely scenario:
Support levels: 1920, 1912
Resistance levels: 1933, 1935, 1939
I am expecting growth this week, but in the long term I will consider a fall, as TA on D1 is pointing this way
Regards R. Linda!
C98USDT → Realization of accumulated potential BINANCE:C98USDT enters the phase of realization of the accumulated potential. A prolonged trend may change its direction, but in order to do that the bulls will have to take the priority in their hands.
Global and local wedge are marked on the chart. The resistance boundaries of the figures coincide and the price breaks the area, consolidation is formed in the green zone and C98 starts to form a bullish momentum.
For the buyers, the resistance at 0.1751 is important at the moment. If the price breaks through and fixes above this area, the cryptocurrency pair can form a bullish momentum. Resistance at 0.3258 will be the priority target in this case.
Lately bitcoin is strengthening and forming consolidation of 30000-31000. A breakout of resistance will also give momentum to altcoins.
Support levels: MA-50, 0.1540, 1.1209
Resistance levels: 0.1751
I expect the retest to 0.1751, which might end up with a breakout of resistance and in this case the price will continue growing. I am interested in the target of 0.3258 and 0.5750.
Regards R.Linda!
Bitcoin - Huge crash soon! Retest is required (wedge)
The price of Bitcoin recently pumped from the falling wedge pattern with a very strong impulse wave. But the problem is that because of that, we have an unfilled FV GAP on a previous breakout point, and the price tends to go back and retest it. Usually, when patterns break, the price tends to go back and retest them!
In this case, we can completely retest the wedge at the trendline (which will be a deep retracement) or retest the breakout point of the wedge and fill the FB GAP. In the confluence, we have the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the impulse wave, giving us a pretty good long trade with a solid risk-to-reward ratio.
We are going to go down sooner or later; the probability of it is actually very high. But there is also a chance of going higher to 32399 first to take the liquidity above the previous swing high from 2022 before retesting the wedge!
It was a huge pump, and buying or speculating on price increases is very risky. I would not do that at all, so rather prepare your shorts at higher prices or at confirmation of the downtrend!
From the Elliott Wave perspective, I can already see a completed impulse wave that screams for a retracement. The trendline of the impulse wave is broken, and we could definitely go down next week!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
💱USDCAD - A reversal pattern and a trend changeUSDCAD breaks the downtrend and forms a reversal pattern. Good potential for strengthening of the currency pair begins to appear
TA on high timeframe:
1) On d1 the situation is complicated. Consolidation is formed inside the channel 0.91200 - 0.88595.
2) It is acceptable to buy if the consolidation is above the level of 1.32600 or above the base of the pattern H&S.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A local bottom of 1.31200 is formed, to which price reacts in a "rally" format
2) Resistance is broken and after the channel resistance is retested, the price retests 1.32600.
3) Breakout and consolidation of 1.32600 will form a counter-trend entry point into a long position. In this case there is a chance to strengthen to 1.3383
Key support📉: 1.3206, 1.3177
Key resistance📈: 1.32600
BTCUSD → 4 setups that will make the buyer happy BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is showing confidence and chic dynamics in the market. On the global chart, the flagship is forming 4 key set-ups that say it is highly likely that the price will continue to strengthen. Let's break it down!
The cup & handle, the bearish wedge, the head and shoulders, as well as the breakout of the strong resistance level 30261 after another retest. This set-up colaboration makes bitcoin fans happy enough :)
On the daily chart, the price makes a retest of resistance 30575. After the false breakout on June 21, we did not see a decline. A pre-breakdown consolidation was formed, after which the flagship broke the level and at the moment the price consolidation is formed above this level, which may give us a good bullish signal.
In the mid-term, there is a chance that the price will test the channel resistance quite quickly.
It is also worth paying attention to the moving averages, which play the role of support, but at the same time the curves show the key boundaries that the price has previously overcome.
Support levels: 30575, 30261, 30000
Resistance levels: 32196. 34000, upper limit of the channel
I expect from the bulls a strong position above the level of 30000-30575. In the medium term bitcoin gives good signals, which can realize the idea of 34000-38000
Regards to R. Linda!
XLMUSDT - Breaking through bearish trend resistanceBINANCE:XLMUSDT forms the bottom, relative to which the price develops positive dynamics. After testing 0.0758, a rally is formed and the price makes a retest of the trend resistance.
As we can see, a three-day accumulation is formed in relation to the resistance. The market is obviously ready to continue rising, but in order to do that the price needs to overcome the resistance.
The resistance at 0.1035 is worth mentioning. The bulls may fight hard for this level and if they manage to hold this area, the coin will show a good result in the middle term, because the level of 0.1035 is the range support, whereas the resistance and the target for the price may be the upper boundary at 0.1305.
Support levels: 0.0959 and 0.0987.
Resistance levels: upper trendline, 0.1035, 0.1130
I expect a confident bullish position above the level of 0.1035. An indicator for this will be consolidation above the level. Medium-term perspective - growth up to 0.1305.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The bears are quite strong in the market. Falling furtherOANDA:XAUUSD forms another bearish range of 1912-1985. The price is descending in steps in the channel, which indicates a strong dominance of sellers in the market. What do you want to see next?
After the false breakdown of the support 1895, the market tries to buyback the fall and it succeeds. The price makes a retest of the resistance 1912. Another false breakdown is formed, but this time it is resistance.
On the schedule is clearly seen a bearish trend, which coincides on H1, D1 and W1.
The fundamental background is negative. The Fed is discussing a further rate hike, which may strengthen the dollar and weaken gold.
The price is again testing the local support at 1902. If the level is broken through, the price will head towards 1895 and then maybe towards 1890.
Resistance levels: 1910, 1912 and 1924.
Support levels: 1902, 1895
I expect the price will continue falling down against the bearish trend after breaking through 1902 or 1895. Resistance levels are strong enough and will not let the price through.
Regards to R.Linda!
USDCAD → Realization of a symmetric triangle on W1FX:USDCAD on W1 demonstrates exiting a symmetrical triangle downwards. A correction or rebound from downtrend support is forming. What to expect from the price in the near term?
The price forms a bearish price channel and after another retest of the trend support the currency pair forms a rebound to the resistance area 1.32697-1.33171. There is a high probability that the price will not break this area and after consolidation and a break of the limit support level 1.32400 will continue its fall to 1.31214.
The market is controlled by the bears, the medium-term potential is 1.28000
The 200-hour moving average acts as resistance and supports the upper boundary of the channel; the 50-hour is support, but probably not for long.
Resistance levels: 1.32697, 1.33171, MA-200
Support levels: 1.32400, MA-50
I expect the fall from the resistance area will continue. Realization of the global pattern, which is able to send the price to 1.28000, is forming.
Regards R.Linda!
GOLD → Price is testing 1912 support for a breakout OANDA:XAUUSD is preparing for further declines. Bears on the basis of negative fundamentals are not going to give up. Another retest of support is forming, which increases the probability of further downside
Closing of the daily candlestick on Tuesday is very close to the indicated level of 1912.5. The retest is formed - the market checks the support area. Price starts to consolidate below the local bearish resistance and near the level of 1912.5.
Based on the technical analysis we see a very high probability to break through the support (a deep false breakout is possible). But we consider support at 1895 as a medium-term target. But again, if today's news affect the gold prices and if the resistance is broken through, we might see an increase to the upper boundary of the range.
The moving averages are pointing to a global stop and an attempt to change the bullish trend.
Support levels: 1912.5, 1895.5
Resistance levels: 1917, 1920.
The retest gives a strong signal. For this reason, on the background of the falling market, I expect a breakout of the key support with a further decline to 1895.
Regards to R. Linda!
EURGBP → Formation of a pre-breakout consolidationFX:EURGBP a week earlier forms a break of the resistance of the descending price channel. A consolidation of 0.86000-0.85400 is forming. We see consolidation at the resistance. What to expect from the price?
Most likely, the price will continue to test resistance 0.86067. Pre-break consolidation is forming, which can be interpreted as another attempt of price exit from the range, followed by the strengthening of the currency pair.
Moving averages are beginning to narrow and if the conditions are favorable, they may soon form a signal that confirms the intention of the market to change the trend.
A breakout at 0.8606767 will send the price to 0.86722, but if the breakout does not happen, correction to the trend support will be formed.
Resistance levels: 0.86067, 0.86345, 0.86722
Support levels: 0.85725, trend support
The market is showing good dynamics and consolidation confirms the intention of the buyers. I am waiting for breakthrough of resistance with the subsequent growth.
Regards R. Linda!
ETHUSD → implementation of distribution. Target 2300BITSTAMP:ETHUSD has been showing a swell in the last few days. The price is out of the key range. The bullish set-up is working 100% and price is breaking resistance. What to expect from ethereum next?
For a long time, the coin formed a wedge pattern, which ended with the price forming a rally after a false break of global trend support and the SMA-200 and breaking not only the wedge resistance, but the trend line and the 1846.5 level.
A consolidation above this support area will consolidate the bulls' position and continue to shape the move.
Within the price channel, we have an implied target - the resistance area of 2300. Most likely, in the medium term, we should expect growth towards this mark.
Support levels: rising support line, previously broken wedge boundary, 1846.5 level
Resistance levels: 1920, 2021
Consolidation lasted about 45 days, the distributive phase after consolidation may last for 15 days. I expect that in the mid-term we might see a breakthrough of the local resistances and strengthening of the price to 2300
Regards to R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Profit target for the next bull run + 32% crash soon!
Of course, I am still bearish on Bitcoin, and we are going to hit 20,500 or 17,000 this year. But before it happens, we can go as high as 33,000 because there is a lot of liquidity to be taken.
I started to be bearish around 30k a few months ago, and nothing changed in my outlook. But I think 6k and 10k are not possible anymore because Bitcoin proved its strength and the uptrend transformed from a corrective wave into an impulse wave, which is definitely something we cannot ignore in our next trades.
A 32% or 40% crash later this year, most likely in September or October, is very possible, and I am expecting this scenario to happen. I prefer a bearish scenario over a bullish one this year, and I do not see any crazy pumps to 35k, 40k, or even higher.
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Now the question is, How far can Bitcoin go in the next bullish cycle? My technical analysis shows around 100,000 USD. We have a huge ascending parallel channel on the LOG weekly scale that you can see on this chart. It has already had five touches, and it started in 2017. What's more, if we take the Fibonacci extension from the start of the previous bull market to the end of the previous bull market and to the end of the previous bear market, the 0.618 FIB extension is right at 104,000 USD.
Seriously, please do not expect Bitcoin to hit 300k or 1 million in the next few years; the market cap would be insane if this happened.
In the short term, I am pretty neutral because Bitcoin could reach 33K or also start a big crash. At this point, we need more confirmation, so I prefer to trade altcoins at this moment and wait for BTC. I trade over 200 futures pairs, and I have a lot of opportunities everywhere.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
NEARUSDT → Double bottom and range breaking BINANCE:NEARUSDT forms several key setups which are quite strong prerequisites for further growth. What to expect from the price?
A double bottom is forming at the level of 1.229. The formation period is 7 months. Price is accumulating a huge amount of energy during this period while a range (consolidation) of 1.229-2.596 is forming.
At the same time the price breaks the resistance of the descending wedge. In that case, if the bulls hold their positions above the previously broken line, we will see a rise to the upper boundary of the range in the medium term. A breakout of 2.596 will take the price to 3.361.
The moving averages are still as resistance, but MA-50 has been tested and may be broken soon.
Support levels: the previously broken range boundary, the level of 1.229
Resistance levels: MA-50, 1.800, MA-200
I expect predictable reaction from the bulls. A consolidation above the previously broken line will form an entry point to long positions, and after that I will wait for an increase to resistances.
Regards R.Linda!