Bitcoin - Roadmap 2025 to 2026 (Best plan)This analysis is all you need for 2025 and 2026 from the long-term perspective. Bitcoin is currently in the final stage of the bullish cycle that started in 2022 (15,632 USDT) and is predicted to end in 2025 (around 125,000 USDT). This was a pretty good investment, but if you are jumping in right now, you will most likely get hurt in 2025 and 2026. Let's take a look at history to see what we can expect in the next few years.
Bitcoin crashed by 84% (in 2018) and 77% (in 2021). These are the classic bear market crises that Bitcoin experiences every 3–4 years. It's because we have halving events (reducing rewards for miners in BTC) every 4 years from a fundamental perspective. You may know that Bitcoin is highly volatile. History is telling us that in 2025/2026 a huge bear market and crisis are ahead.
But bitcoin's market capitalization is constantly rising, and big players are entering the market. That's to say there is no longer room for such massive crashes. I don't think we will see an 87% crash like in 2015 or 2021. But 60% is still very likely—this would bring the price of Bitcoin down from 125,000 to 50,000. If you buy now at 100,000 USDT, your investment may shrink by 50% in 2026. I have been trading Bitcoin for almost 10 years.
So where to take profit in 2025 and prepare for a massive crash? This is a pretty easy question because we have a long-term trendline (2017 -> 2021 -> 2025) on the linear scale. And yes, I don't use the LOG scale in this case. You want to sell at the touch of the trendline. The second option is to use the Fibonacci extension tool and look for the 1.618 FIB. I did it for you on this chart, and the level to sell is 122,069 USDT.
From the Elliott wave perspective, we are in the final wave (5). We can expect an ABC correction in 2025/2026 which would bring the price down to 50,000. I bring you this very strong technical data that you can use on your trading decisions.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Zigzag
GOLD → Correction after a false breakout. What's next?FX:XAUUSD reaches a key resistance that stops a strong rally. A false breakdown triggered a correction, which could be a chance for comfortable buys.
The gold price stabilized around $2,725 after a three-day climb, remaining under profit taking pressure. Strong data on China's economy failed to inspire the market as real estate concerns and possible U.S. tariffs dampened optimism.
Expectations of Fed rate cuts continue to support gold despite mixed data on the US labor market and retail sales. The Fed chief's statements about possible rate cuts in the first half of the year are adding support to the metal.
Next week, traders' attention will be focused on US housing and industrial production data.
Support levels: 2700, 2697
Resistance levels: 2712, 2721
Global and local trend is bullish. Counter-trend correction is being formed. Technically, the correction may reach the zone of interest 2700 - 2697, from which we should expect a rebound, for example, to 2712, or even the recovery of the bullish trend.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → The bearish trend may get its continuationFX:NZDUSD failed to realize the chance when the dollar went into correction. Buyers do not believe in the realization of the bullish scenario at the moment. The price continues to succumb to pressure
On the weekly timeframe the price approached the strong support level 0.5545 - 0.55. Accordingly, a reaction in the form of a small correction is possible. Small, because the dollar continues its bull run, and Trump's policy allows to keep this scenario in the medium term.
On H4, the price continues to test the support at 0.5588 and a local descending triangle is forming amid pressure from the bears. Possible retest of the channel resistance before further decline.
Resistance levels: 0.563, 0.567
Support levels: 0.5588, 0.5511
Technically, a breakdown and consolidation of the price below 0.5588 will provoke further sales against the background of the current local and global downtrend.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Realization of consolidation and retest of resistanceFX:XAUUSD is testing a rather important resistance, a break and consolidation above which will open the way to 2721 - 2726. Technically, gold has entered the buying zone, and the fundamental background supports it
Gold was supported by weak US inflation data, dollar correction and adjusted expectations of Fed rate cuts, as well as hopes for stimulus in China.
Traders' attention shifts to December retail sales and jobless claims in the US. These data will help clarify the Fed's monetary policy outlook. Weakened dollar and lower bond yields support the current growth of gold.
Technically, all eyes are currently on the uptrend and resistance at 2697.8
Resistance levels: 2697.8, 2700
Support levels: 2690, 2678
If gold can consolidate above 2697-2700 and the bulls hold the defense above this zone, we should expect growth in the short and medium term. But do not forget about the news that will be published later.
Regards R. Linda!
XLMUSDT → High readiness for a bull run to 0.6100BINANCE:XLMUSDT is ready to move into the realization phase after coming out of a strong accumulation. The market is struggling for a strong buying zone.
The coin, technically, is ending its correction. The price is gradually updating highs and breaking intermediate resistance levels, but the key factor is the exit from the medium-term consolidation and breaking the resistance of the descending channel formed on H4.
If the bulls hold the defense above the key support zone 0.46 - 0.452, we can expect growth in the medium term. In addition, the rising bitcoin and the approaching Trump inauguration can be good drivers for the cryptovalt market.
Resistance levels: 0.486
Support levels: 0.4605, 0.4522
Thus, the focus is on the consolidation of 0.486, 0.46.
A break of resistance will activate the rally. False break of support and consolidation above the level will also be a good signal that the bulls are quite aggressive.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Uptrend, price depends on CPIFX:XAUUSD continues to form an uptrend on the local and medium-term timeframe. The price is again testing strong resistance on H4-D1 and is showing signs of readiness to rise to 2700-2750.
The PPI report was a bit of a surprise and a small driver for the markets, including gold, as the dollar moved into correction. CPI is ahead and bets are high on the report as it could change the market's assessment of the prospects for a Fed rate cut this year. A strong CPI could add pressure on gold, while a weak report would support the bulls.Hawkish Fed rates are supported by the premise that Trump, who begins his second term next week, is likely to fuel inflation with his protectionist policies.
Technically, there is an area of volume density and order block ahead, which could trigger a small pullback to support from which upside could continue.
Support levels: 2678, 2674, 2669
Resistance levels: 2690, 2697, 2703
But, in the short (mid) term everything depends on the news. CPI is ahead and with weak data gold may go on a bull run, but strong data may stop the growth and turn the metal around. Focus on key levels!
Regards R. Linda!
EURJPY → The fall may continue after the correctionFX:EURJPY is under pressure. The currency pair is breaking the local uptrend. Technical and fundamental background is weak, which in general can put pressure on the market.
Globally, the currency pair has no trend and is trading within the range of 166 - 156. The last growth attempt was unsuccessful, the price could not approach the intermediate maximum and facing a strong bear the price turned around and fixing below the SMA headed to the lower boundary of the flat.
Locally, the change of character to bearish is confirmed, but before further fall the price may form a correction, for example, to 0.5 Fibo (imbalance zone), or to local zones of interest, but in the medium term the fall may continue.
Resistance levels: 162.3, 163.1
Support levels: 160.9, 159.8
A false breakdown of local support is formed, which may lead to correction, but since we have confirmation that the market is bearish, after the correction the fall may continue.
Regards R. Linda!
SOLANA → Will a false breakdown be the cause of the rally?BINANCE:SOLUSDT is testing a previously broken downtrend boundary as part of a correction. Bulls are employing aggressive methods to keep defenses above key support ahead of Trump's inauguration, keeping hopes high
On the weekly timeframe, the market is supported by SMA50 support indicating a strong uptrend. The focus is on two strong levels: 204.75 and 175. These are the boundaries of the current range. A breakdown of any of the boundaries will play a key role in further price movement. But I consider the realization of resistance as a priority.
On D1 yesterday a false break of strong support was formed in the form of previously broken downtrend resistance. This indicates that the market is still in a bullish plane and on the background of upcoming important news this could have a favorable impact for the coin.
Resistance Levels: 203-204
Support levels: 183, 175
If the price starts to retest the support at 175 and form a consolidation with a gradual downward compression, the risk of breaking the bullish pattern will increase.
But, based on fundamental data, I expect a consolidation above 183 and further growth
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → False breakdown can cause growthGBPUSD is bumping into the support of the local descending channel after a rather strong fall. The fundamental background has changed a bit, which in general gives a chance to the forex market
On the weekly chart the price is testing the strong level of 1.211 against which a double bottom is formed on a global scale. But this does not indicate a change in the global trend, no, it is just a hint of a possible rebound, but we need to watch the price reaction to this area.
The PPI that was released yesterday slightly disappointed dollar buyers, which supported the forex market and we see a small correction.
CPI is ahead, which may also support the market
Resistance levels: 1.2217, 1.235, 1.2488
Support levels: 1.213
If the bulls keep the price above the nearest resistance at 1.2217, it will give the price a chance to strengthen to the nearest resistance or to the channel resistance.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → What could trigger a fall?FX:XAUUSD is forming a false breakdown of the key resistance and as a consequence - passes into the phase of realization of the bearish pattern “Wedge”. If the general background persists, the price will be able to update the lows....
On the back of upcoming inflation data (PPI and CPI), traders have reduced expectations of a Fed rate cut to one this year. Forecasts point to a rise in PPI, which could strengthen demand for the dollar and cause a correction in gold prices. However, the weak data has the potential to push gold to $2,705.
Additionally, markets are watching Trump's policies and the possible introduction of new US tariffs, which could affect the dynamics of gold. Despite inflation risks, the metal has corrected from a one-month high, remaining a key hedge against inflation.
Technically, we have a correction forming after a false breakdown. Quite an important phase in the market. If the bears can keep the price below 2675 - 2681, the decline will continue in the short to medium term.
Resistance levels: 2675, 2681, 2690
Support levels: 2667, 2656
At the moment the price is testing 0.5 fibo, on the background of the secondary retest the zone can be broken (I do not exclude a false breakout and consolidation below 0.5 fibo, which will also lead to a fall) and the price will head to the retest of the imbalance zone, which can put pressure on gold. The most likely scenario is a retest of the zone of interest 2675 - 2681 before further decline
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin is breaking down right now! (lifetime opportunity)Bitcoin is currently breaking down out of the head and shoulders pattern, as I expected in past weeks. The next support is 85k, and we can hit this support pretty quickly. Bitcoin is known for its huge volatility.
After we hit 85k, I expect Bitcoin to go up and retest the previous neckline of the HaS pattern, which is at around 91k! So you can make 2 trades in the short term. If you watch my posts, you know that 85k is a significant support level. It's the start of the FVG on the daily chart. Between 85k and 77k there is pretty much no price action. That means we can experience a huge flash crash. But let's be realistic: 85k is also a 20% correction from the ATH. Statistically, a 20% crash is when you want to put your buy orders.
1:1 FIB extension corresponds to the ABC correction. We are in Wave C of a corrective pattern.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
GOLD → False or true resistance breakout?FX:XAUUSD is trying to consolidate above the previously broken boundary of the ascending channel and symmetrical triangle. The struggle that has not ended creates risks for both buyers and sellers.
Economic problems in China and Trump's policy risk continue to support gold.
Inflation expectations are rising amid rising oil prices and the outlook for trade policy in the US. Friday's NFP report showed strong employment growth, making it less likely that the Fed will significantly cut interest rates in 2025
Traders' attention is also focused on CPI data to be released on Wednesday and its impact on future Fed policy.
Resistance levels: 2690, 2700
Support levels: 2685, 2678, 2665
At the moment, the price is in consolidation above previously broken resistance.
If there is no bullish momentum and the price makes a false break of the channel resistance, in that case gold may go down to 2678 - 2665.
BUT, a break of the local downside resistance could trigger buying and upside to targets: 2700
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Paranormal growth on the back of strong NFP...FX:XAUUSD is rising with the dollar and strong NFP data. Those who shouted that the metal is ceasing to play the safe haven function are very much mistaken :)
The surprise of rising NFP data and rising gold, which is not specific in this context, surprised the market quite a lot. After all, rising data points to a more hawkish stance of the Fed and generally medium-term policy in the US. But based on the environment, we can say that gold is rising because of the risks of the policy of Trump, whose inauguration will be held on January 20.
Now all eyes are on the US Inflation data. The upcoming week, will be quite interesting.
Technically: GOLD is breaking the consolidation resistance (symmetrical triangle) and is trying to consolidate above this boundary. Most likely, the struggle will continue and the price may test the previously broken figure boundary or liquidity zone 2675 - 2664, which will determine the further development of events.
Resistance levels: 2698, 2721, 2750
Support levels: 2675, 2665
The situation is quite unstable, as there are too many factors putting pressure on the prices.
Accordingly: if after the retest the bulls are able to keep the price above 2680-2690, the growth may continue in the mid-term ( till January 20 approximately ).
But! If the bullish structure will be broken and bears will start to keep the price below 2680, it can provoke correction to 2665, 2650.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Last chance to sell here, then DOOM (must see)Bitcoin is short-term bullish, but expect doom. With me, you always have a plan. Stay updated. What is the plan now? Of course we want to make a profit in the next few days and weeks. I will share with you my plan. But first, let's take a look at the massive crash that happened in the past few days. I warned you about that crash in my previous analysis.
The crash was very steep and strong, and I see an impulse wave. After each impulse wave, there is an ABC, ABCDE, or a complex correction. You want to look for strong levels on the way up to short Bitcoin or potentially exit your longs (sell Bitcoin) if you haven't already. On the chart, you can see 3 strong levels that Bitcoin will probably hit in the next few days.
Keep in mind that there is also a huge unfilled FVG on this 1h chart, and usually the price wants to return at least to the end of the FVG. Why is bitcoin short-term bullish? We can see multiple green candles in a row, which is a strong price action suggesting a continuation after a pullback.
Where can bitcoin rise to? The first resistance is the first order block after the FVG. Next, a 200 moving average is displayed on the 1h chart. This moving average is used by huge institutions and hedge funds, so you definitely want to be aware of it. After that, we have the end of the FVG. So in conclusion, there is a strong resistance around 97k. But what if Bitcoin wants to go a little bit higher? Yes, this is really possible, because after an impulse wave, we look for the 0.618 FIB retracement. This is exactly at 98323. You really don't want to go long here, but short.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
GOLD → The market is nervous ahead of NFP. What's next?$FXCM:XAUUSD continues its strong upward movement, but along with the growth there are growing risks of a strong fall. NFP is ahead, and the situation is quite tense....
Fundamentally the situation is confusing, the main nuance is Trump's policy and the hawkish stance of the Fed, which creates pressure on the market, but gold, as we see, is rising due to the growing economic and geopolitical risks associated with Trump's policy, the crisis in the Middle East, Eastern Europe and economic problems in China.
NFP is ahead, which creates additional risks: either an aggressive rise or a breakdown of strong support and the formation of a strong downward momentum.
A weaker NFP may bring back expectations of an aggressive Fed rate cut, causing a broad correction in the US dollar, which could favor gold. Conversely, an upside surprise in NFP and wage inflation data could reinforce hawkish Fed rate hikes.
Resistance levels: 2678, channel, 2693
Support levels: 2675, 2671, 2665
Technically, a strong bullish structure is forming. A break of resistance and favorable news could strengthen the rise to 2700. But, there is an additional scenario: Break of support of the rising structure or 2665 - 2671 may provoke capitulation and fall to 2655 - 2640.
Regards R. Linda!
AUDUSD → Trigger breakdown will trigger a fallFX:AUDUSD is approaching the trigger that can provoke a strong fall. Against the backdrop of a strong and rising dollar, the Aussie doesn't stand a chance yet.
The price is testing the level from the weekly timeframe, the breakdown of which will open the way to the abyss. There is no support until 0.54-0.55. Based on Trump's policy, the Fed's stance and the potential of the Australian dollar we can say that the odds are generally quite high that the price will continue its decline in the medium term expectation.
Technically, on 4H the price is approaching the level of 0.6179. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming in relation to the level. I do not exclude an attempt to retest the local resistance before further breakout, but the general technical and fundamental situation hints at a decline.
Resistance levels: 0.6199, 0.622, 0.6274
Support levels: 0.6179
Downward channel, retest of support after false breakdown of resistance (deceptive maneuver before a strong fall). Emphasis on the trigger at 0.6179. Breakdown and price consolidation below the level will trigger a fall
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Resistance retest before falling FX:XAUUSD is consolidating and deliberately approaching the resistance 2667. The upward market structure is focused on a breakout of the resistance. But the other question is whether the breakout will happen, because the sticks in the form of economic data have been in the wheels for a long time now
Based on the market behavior, we can assume that before the possible fall there may be a liquidity grab and a retest of the key resistance, as buyers became more cautious after the discouraging data on inflation in China and hawkish Fed meeting minutes.
To be honest, gold's current rise is not clear to me as there is no reason for it except for Trump's tariff plans towards multiple countries. Fundamental data is negative, there is no new news from hot spots, the dollar is rising, global inflation is rising, the Fed has become hawkish, there are so many nuances providing resistance to the metal.
Resistance levels: 2667, 2675
Support levels: ascending line, 2656
Technically the structure is bullish and in the short term I am waiting for an attempt to break the resistance 2667. In this case a retest of the zones of interest 2675, channel resistance or 2692 from which a correction can be formed is possible.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Consolidation in the selling zone held by bearsFX:GBPUSD made an attempt to grow, but could not overcome the bears' pressure zone. The reasons for the growth are the dollar correction, which was short-lived. The main trend is not broken.
On D1 the price after breaking through the key support at 1.25 tested it already as resistance within the correction. A false breakout of resistance is formed and price consolidation in the selling zone. The sharp impulse was related to the dollar, which fell after Trump's comments on rumors related to his policy. The dollar returned to the upside creating another bout of pressure on GBP.
Technically, the main trend is bearish. The price is in the selling zone and bears are not ready to give up their positions.
The risk of trend change may come after the breakout of 1.26, but it is too early to talk about it...
Resistance levels: 1.2575, 1.26
Support levels: 1.2488, 1.2449
The price is trying to consolidate in the selling zone, which generally indicates which way the market intends to go. Bears are increasing pressure and if they keep the price below 1.2488 - 1.2449, we will see a fall in the short and medium term.
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Retest of key support. What can happen?BINANCE:BTCUSD continues to form a consolidation, this could continue until Trump's inauguration. Price is approaching a key support level and a liquidity zone that harbors both crowd fear and huge potential.
On W1, price is trying to consolidate above the global rising line playing the role of support. Buyers can aggressively defend this area because if this area is lost, price could very easily and quickly descend to 72-75K.
Bitcoin has moved into a local correction due to economic data, but the global fundamental picture is quite positive (thanks to Trump and community interest).
Levels in the 91K - 89K - 86K zone are attracting the attention of major players as these are psychologically important and historically strong buying zones, especially against the backdrop of a strong bullish trend.
The current flat and consolidation boundaries may persist as traders and the community wait for Trump's inauguration and his active actions, and the economic data had only a temporary impact.
Resistance levels: SMA, 99.5K, 102.5K
Support levels: 91.7K, 89.3K, 86.7K
A false break of support can provoke quite a violent reaction. After such a strong fall, I expect a rebound rather than a breakdown. I do not exclude a retest of 89-86K before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Why is everyone wrong about the upcoming moveEveryone is turning very bullish again on BTC and altcoins. I really don't think it will be that easy; the whales need liquidity and make money before pushing the price higher. From a technical perspective, there is no confirmation of an uptrend, but let's take a look at the details.
First of all, let's take a look at the huge ascending channel. The price respects both trendlines very precisely. On 17. December, Bitcoin hit the top of the channel and got rejected from it. It would definitely make sense if the price now retests the middle of the channel, which is currently at around 85k.
Second, we still have a completely unfilled and untested FVG (Fair Value GAP) on the daily chart. This GAP is between 85k and 77k. This price action should be tested.
Third, we have a pretty significant head-and-shoulders reversal pattern at the top of the trend. This pattern looks pretty solid, there is a lot of liquidity below it. All stop losses from traders and liquidations on the futures market. If you see multiple swing lows next to each other, you may be pretty sure that the price will go here and sweep the liquidity.
Fourth, from the Elliott Wave perspective, we have finished wave (3) of an impulse wave larger degree. We should make an ABC correction, so I think we are in wave (4). After we finish this correction, we start wave (5). This will bring the price of Bitcoin to an all-time high. I expect Bitcoin to hit around 125k.
Fifth, let's take a look at the RSI indicator. On the daily chart, there is clearly a downtrend. The line makes lower lows and lower highs. Also, we can see a bearish divergence. This is not an uptrend, but a downtrend.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
GOLD → The calm before the storm. What to expect?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating above 2645 and trying to test the strong resistance of 2664. Downside risks are quite high and it may happen after liquidity capture.
Gold has high risks due to yesterday's favorable data in the US. Hawkish expectations for the Fed, strong economic data put the dollar back on the northbound train. Markets priced in a 35% chance of a Fed interest rate cut this month.
Trump takes office on Jan. 20 and his proposed tariffs and protectionist policies are seen as inflationary, requiring higher interest rates and a stronger U.S. dollar. If risk aversion intensifies amid renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East or Trump's tariff threats, that could send gold higher
A symmetrical triangle is forming on D1, which confuses everyone - where will the price go? And all because the technical situation is neutral.
Resistance levels: 2664, 2674
Support levels: 2645, 2632.
False breakdown of resistance can provoke a fall to the strong support, the border of the triangle. Gold is growing reluctantly and slowly, as if something is in the way, and the risks and pressure are increasing.
BUT! If the price goes to 2664, it is important to watch the price reaction to this level: consolidation above the level may provoke further growth to 2674. Similarly with the support of 2645
Regards R. Linda!
BNB → Big Accumulation. In Step With The DistributionBINANCE:BNBUSDT is trying to move into the realization phase after quite a long accumulation, thanks to which the coin can give a very good growth.
The coin tested the strong support of 645 within the correction. False break of the support and quite aggressive buyout of the fall indicates buying potential. Bitcoin, which is testing the highs and ready to go even higher is a good driver for BNB
Accordingly, the focus is on near-term levels. If the price can break the near-term resistance and consolidate above, the market will further go to break ATH and try to renew it.
Resistance levels: 761, 793
Support levels: 691, 645
I don't exclude that the unexpected correction of bitcoin can provoke a correction in the cryptocurrency market, but in general the structure is bullish. High probability of resistance breakdown with the purpose of continuation of movement
BTC → Consolidation Before The Breakout When Do We Go Up?BINANCE:BNBUSDT continues to consolidate, but within a strong bullish structure. The price is approaching the trigger, the breakout of which may provoke the formation of an upward impulse
A good signal that hints that the growth is likely to continue is the fact that after a strong growth and testing 100K the price does not fall, but consolidates with gradually rising local lows, it is also worth paying attention to MA-50, which acts as a strong support. Within this consolidation we have clear zones, within which the price is trading and accumulating potential, and there is also a clear trigger, the breakout of which can provoke the continuation of growth (distribution).
But next week is the Fed meeting on December 17-18, and there may be short-term market manipulative reactions. Be careful
Resistance levels: 101.8K, 104.1K
Support levels: 98.9K, 94.15K
Technically, the focus is on 101.8 - 98.9. Consolidation is forming inside this channel. I do not exclude a chance of support retest in the format of a false breakdown before further growth. Another deep correction to the lower liquidity zone - 94.1K is also possible. But until the price breaks 101.8, bitcoin will not go up, and based on the chart, the event is close and the chance is high