BITCOIN → False Breakout & Bearish Engulfment ↓ BINANCE:BTCUSD entered a strong buying zone (68900) within the rally. BUT, the expected growth did not happen, the bulls could not realize the potential. A bearish engulfment of the last three bars is formed and actually - a false breakdown of the descending resistance...
The growth formed from 59K is partly connected with the election race in the USA, economic revival in China, as well as economic news. But apparently, this energy is not yet enough for the price to easily overcome 68-69K with a target of retesting 71-73. The resistance zone of 68.4-69.4 is putting pressure. Buyers are taking profits, while bears, seeing the strong resistance zone, are trying to resist.
The structure will break down if the price breaks 69400
At the moment, we see a bearish engulfment forming relative to the previous three bars, and this is a strong enough signal. Consolidation below resistance is forming, a small correction may be formed, the first target of which may be 65K, then 61-58-57.
Resistance levels: 68400, 69400, 71500
Support levels: 66500, 65000
After the false breakdown, the price consolidation is formed below the resistance, which indicates the pressure from the sellers. This may provoke further downward correction.
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Zigzag
Bitcoin - All time high this week! (wedge is breaking out)Comment your altcoin, and I will make a technical analysis for you in response to your comment!
Bitcoin is breaking out of the rising wedge pattern and will most likely hit a new all-time high until the end of this week or October! We can also see that a major bullish flag on the weekly chart is breaking out as well, so this is considered a double breakout.
I have 3 short-term profit targets: 70,079 is the first major swing high of the major bullish flag. 73,777 is the previous all-time high level, and 78,438 is a very significant resistance because it's the 1.618 FIB extension.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, this is extremely bullish as well. The combination of waves 1-2-1-2 creates an Elliott Wave bullish nest. That means we are currently in wave 3 of wave 3, and you probably know that wave 3 is usually the strongest of all of them. We can finally expect increased volatility!
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GOLD → Who pressed the accelerator? Is the RALLY still going on?FX:XAUUSD continues its bull run. Prices are rising and so are the risks (before the news). What influences the growth and what to expect from the metal that surprises speculators?
Gold continues to rise despite a rising dollar, which is rising mainly on economic data and the growing likelihood of Trump winning the US presidential election.
Escalating geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel, renewed talks on de-dollarization ( There has been speculation about the creation of a gold-backed currency in the wake of the three-day BRICS summit) are supporting the metal.
Gold is technically at highs, which increases the risks of an unpredictable correction due to the approaching news from the US. Also the focus on China markets and the BRICS summit...
Resistance levels: 2758
Support levels: 2749, 2737, 2728
The upside may continue from the local support areas as we are trading in a strong bull market. The focus is on 2749-2737-2728-2713. The market may form another flat or consolidation before the growth...
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EURUSD → Is a 300 pips drop not the limit? What's next?FX:EURUSD reaches an important target. As part of the realization, the price passes 300 pips. The fundamental background for further rate cuts is generally favorable
The strengthening economy in the U.S. combined with a growing dollar (extreme rally of the index), the rate of interest rate cuts in Europe are doing their job. The fundamental background for the currency pair is weak, accordingly, in relation to this situation, in the medium term it is worth considering the continuation of the decline.
The price reaches 1.078 - the liquidity zone. The pool of liquidity below this zone can push the price away, forming a correction to the imbalance zone, or to the local maximum, from which we can further consider the continuation of the fall.
Resistance levels: 1.085, 1.087
Support levels: 1.078, 1.067
The last time the level was tested in early August. This fact in tandem with an aggressive fall of 3% may form a rebound due to the lack of technical potential to break the support level. Consolidation or correction may allow the market to accumulate strength...
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USDJPY → Attempting a trend change. Retest 149.0FX:USDJPY is testing range resistance in the rally phase caused by Friday's news - strong NFP report. The fundamental backdrop within the short-to-medium term is set...
From the opening of the session a small correction is forming, the aim of which may be a retest of the support or imbalance zone and consolidation of energy before a further breakout. The market structure is locally bullish on the background of the dollar growth. The Japanese authorities are still silent about their actions to strengthen the national currency (either they think about it or don't think about it :) ), so traders are increasing JPY sales in order to buy USD.
The first retest of the resistance at 149.4 failed (bounce). Emphasis on 0.5 fibo or 147.2 support from which the growth may resume...
Resistance levels: 147.38
Support levels: 147.5, 147.2, 146.15
On the chart there are preconditions for the change of the local trend to a bullish one, the fundamental background is favorable for this. If the bulls will keep the defense above the support and continue to test the resistance with a breakdown target, then in the short-term-senior perspective we can catch the forging of the impulse to 152.0.
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GOLD → Consolidation at bullrun. Shall we update ATH?FX:XAUUSD is forming the lower boundary of consolidation within the local correction. False breakdown of MA-50 and support at 2713 activate buying. Bulls are aggressively buying gold at every opportunity
Uncertainty around the US presidential election, market caution ahead of key US earnings reports are reviving demand for traditional safe-haven gold. In terms of the upcoming interest rate cut, the market has probably already resigned itself to the most likely 0.25% cut. Also, we continue to monitor the difficult economic environment in the markets of China... The Middle East conflict is still at the same level, with no signs of escalation or de-escalation, but it should not be overlooked.
The metal is forming a sideways range of 2739 - 2713 - consolidation. A primary retest of resistance could trigger a correction to 2728, or deeper, but with a high probability, gold could continue to rise
Resistance levels: 2739, 2750
Support Levels: 2728, 2713
Price may test the ATH in the near term. If the bulls break the resistance and hold the defense above 2739, gold may continue to rise.
If a bounce or false breakout is formed, the price may test the nearest support. Next, we need to watch for a reaction. If gold will return to retest 2739, then the chances of a breakout and further growth will grow!
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GOLD → Realization continues, risks increase!FX:XAUUSD is at its highs. The price continues to rally and update the highs from the opening of the session on Monday. No selling, but buying should be cautious!
Traders are waiting for the Fed officials to speak in the nearest future. The main issues are inflation, interest rate cuts and the US economy.
Optimism about Chinese stimulus, as well as ongoing tensions between Israel and Iran are supporting gold prices (In times of geopolitical turmoil, investors prefer to rush to traditional safe-haven gold prices)
With each passing day, the impact of the US election race is appearing more and more. The probability of a Trump victory is rising. Trump's fiscal and trade policies are seen as inflationary and positive for the US dollar
Resistance levels: 2736, 2750
Support levels: 2732, 2724, 2713
There is no news in the next few days, the fundamnetal background remains the same, so gold may continue to rise. The focus is on the nearest support zones for realization of purchases. At the moment the range 2736 - 2724 is formed
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With Respect R. Linda!
NZDJPY → Pre-breakdown consolidation. Preparing for a rallyFX:NZDJPY is forming consolidation near resistance after retest and false breakdown. On the back of JPY decline, NZD may show upside...
There is no proper price reaction to range resistance. Consolidation in the format of a descending wedge, a rather strong pattern capable of forming strong movements, is being formed. The Japanese national currency continues to update lows amid the calm of the central bank of Japan, which is waiting for something because of the rally in the dollar, as well as economic data from the United States. Any strong comments could restart the rally in the JPY, so the risk of a shakeout is quite high. But at the moment the chart is hinting at a possible upside...
Resistance levels: 91.362, 91968
Support levels: 90.056
The price stops moving away from the wedge resistance at some point, forming a 12-16 hour consolidation. Most likely there will be a breakout attempt. If the bulls keep the defense above 91.0, we can catch a good upward rally in the mid term
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GOLD → 2685 breakout trigger. News ahead. A new conflict! FX:XAUUSD stops correlating with the dollar. The price is testing the key resistance at 2685. Bulls continue to test this area and accumulate the potential for a breakout attempt. Important news on jobless claims and retail sales are ahead
China's economic problems have a negative impact on gold as the country is the world's top gold consumer. At the same time, markets are resorting to profit taking on long USD positions ahead of the release of the most important economic data - the US retail sales report.
BUT! Another escalation, but in another part of the world: North Korea has declared South Korea an enemy and completely cut off transportation links with it. The markets are clearly not going to let this fact pass their ears.....
Technically, the buyers do not retreat from their intentions and continue to test the resistance with a breakdown target. A pre-breakdown consolidation and several possible scenarios are forming, no matter how many people don't like it.
Resistance levels: 2685
Support levels: 2674.5, 2665, 2658
A breakdown of resistance will trigger an impulse, and this is a logical scenario based on the technical situation on H1 (ascending triangle, accumulation and compression to the level).
BUT! The news can have an unpredictable impact. If gold forms a false breakout and goes back to 2674, having updated this low, the price may go even lower (to 2665, 2658), for liquidity, before returning to the way north
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GOLD → The realization phase continues. What are the targets?FX:XAUUSD in the phase of realizing the accumulated potential updates ATH to 2714 and is in no hurry to give up, movements can be continued...
Gold feels support from the Chinese markets after positive hints from the People's Bank of China revived hope for stimulating the economy. Also from the European side - the ECB cut its key rate, in anticipation of another, fourth cut in December...
Strong data from the US on Thursday pointed to a solid economic outlook, but this failed to change the odds of a 0.25% rate cut by the US Fed in November.
In addition, the gold price found fresh demand amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel (Hamas leader eliminated)
Resistance levels: 2711.7, 2715, 2720
Support levels: 2702, 2696, 2689
Technically, gold continues its bull run once again. The chart indicates key support areas that may be of interest before further rally. A correction has been forming since the opening of the European session, but price is quickly returning to ATH. If the bulls hold the defense above 2711, the growth will continue without a pullback. Targets are indicated on the chart
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Regards R. Linda!
FILUSDT → Weakness in altcoins will manifest itself in decliningBINANCE:FILUSDT after a false breakdown of the 3.800 range resistance is giving signs towards the continuation of the decline. The coin is in a global and local downtrend and there are no reasons to change direction. The focus is on the support of 3.688.
Altcoins are extremely weak on the back of bitcoin's strong rally. The dominance of the flagship is currently at record highs, and the altcoin season has not arrived and apparently will not come anytime soon.
Bitcoin is testing strong resistance zones and cannot grow all the time. Any short-term reaction can affect the entire cryptocurrency market, which will color the coins in the red.
Support levels: 3.688
Resistance levels: 3.800
Technically, relative to 3.688 a descending triangle is forming after a false breakdown of the range resistance. It is a rather strong conglomerate.
Breakout of 3.688 and price consolidation below this area will provoke further selling and price decline to 3.4 - 3.3
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EURUSD → Active sale. Emphasis on 1.0900FX:EURUSD continues to update lows since the fundamental background and uptrend change. Price is descending in a calm and progressive manner, which generally indicates the strength of the trend...
A strong drop from the distribution phase without any pullbacks is an indicator of a strong trend. There is a key liquidity zone ahead, which could form a surge in volume and liquidity that could lead to a small correction. For example to 1.095 - 0.7 fibo. On the Daily chart we see the realization of a failed breakout (false breakout), a strong distribution is formed. The liquidity at 1.077 - 1.067 may become the target of such a movement
Resistance levels: 1.095, 1.100
Support levels: 1.089, 1.077
There is no news until Wednesday, so the fundamental background remains the same. The market may stop and go into consolidation, but with a high probability the fall after the breakthrough of 1.089 will continue...
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GOLD → Will the bears allow the bulls to go through ATH?FX:XAUUSD is growing unpredictably towards ATH. The market did not react in any way to last week's US fundamental data and now the price is not reacting to strong levels and liquidity zones. Ahead of ATH after 3 weeks of forming...
Investors remain cautious as the US Fed is expected to follow a path of moderate interest rate cuts (skipping a cut in November, or a 0.25% cut)
The gold price is actively supported by the tense situation in the Chinese markets and lower US Treasury yields, which helps the gold price to take another leap towards the ATH.
Now all eyes will be on Thursday when China holds a press conference and the US retail sales report is released
Resistance Levels: 2680-2685
Support levels: 2665, 2658, 2645
Technically, I don't think that the market will let the resistance breakout happen the first time. The pullback from 2685, formed 3 weeks ago, was made on the back of strong economic data, so the huge pool of liquidity above 2685 can be defended quite aggressively by the bears.
Technically, there are no signs for the continuation of growth. They may appear after the retest, but it will become clear after the fact.
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Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Support breakdown. CPI in the UK is declining... FX:GBPUSD confirms the bearish market structure. The price is breaking the support. Fundamental data is favorable for further continuation of the fall.
UK Inflation:
m/m = 0% (expectation +0.1% / previously +0.3%)
YoY = +1.7% (expected +1.9% / previously +2.2%)
Core CPI = +3.2% y/y (expected +3.4% / previously +3.6%)
The USD index are rising on strong US economic data (last week's potential). All these data together have a corresponding impact on the currency pair, which breaks the support of the uptrend. A price consolidation below 1.3000 (strong psychological level) will open the way to 1.28-1.26.
Support levels: 1.3000, 1.2938
Resistance levels: 1.309
Selling on the currency pair is intensifying, the price is entering the risk zone and the buyers are getting even more nervous... In the short term, a retest of the previously broken trend support is possible, followed by a fall towards 1.28-1.26
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Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - 130k by January, then crash to 60k!Comment your altcoin, and I will make a technical analysis for you!
Bitcoin is almost ready to start a new and last huge wave to the upside! My target is around 130k for multiple reasons, which I will tell you in this analysis. But what happens after Bitcoin hits 130k? We all know that Bitcoin is extremely volatile, and during its bearish cycles, a 70% - 80% is standard. We can definitely expect a crash from 130k to 60k in the next bearish cycle to retest the current bullish flag (that you can see on the chart). That's why it's very important for you to take profit and potentially enter a long-term short position on futures!
Why is 130K important? First we have the 0.618 fibonacci extension measured from wave 1+3 -> wave 4. Also, we have the long-term trendline of this bullish cycle, which is even stronger dynamic resistance level!
From the Elliott Wave perspective, we need to complete this impulse wave and make the last wave 5! This wave 5 already started at 49k in August. On the chart, we can see 2 major consolidation periods marked as wave 2 and wave 4.
The best plan on Bitcoin is to buy it and sell around 130k, then enter a short position on futures to make money in the next bearish cycle. You will also get funding fees for holding your short position!
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GOLD → The target is liquidity above 2670-2685. What's next?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in the local range of 2663 - 2636. There is a strong resistance and liquidity zone ahead. Bears may meet the market quite aggressively in the 2670 - 2685 zone.
The global rally is smoothly transitioning into a sideways fljt 2675 - 2604.
- Markets in China, which strongly supported gold after hints of fiscal stimulus is again facing challenges.
- Interest rates in the US should not be forgotten. The open question is “no interest rate cut” or “0.25% cut”. Will gold be able to stay bullish on the current flat under these circumstances?
- The dollar is rallying after last week's fundamental data and most likely the index's rise is not over... Fed policy makers are starting to change their mindset again and divide into 2 camps - aggressive / restrained.
- BUT! The conflict in the Middle East is cooling down from its limits. Based on the above mentioned, can we assume that the finger is hanging over the button “fix profit”????
Resistance levels: 2663, 2670, 2685
Support levels: 2645, 2636, 2623
Based on the general fundamental background, I do not yet understand the reasons that give such support to gold. There is a strong resistance zone ahead with huge liquidity. The price is in a sideways range and there are no preconditions to exit this channel yet. Most likely, the first retest of the levels ( it has been 2 weeks since the last retest ) may end in a reversal and correction
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Regards R. Linda!
DOGS → Double bottom favors resistance breakoutBINANCE:DOGSUSDT is forming a double bottom followed by a breakout of trend resistance. Quite a promising situation, provided the bulls hold their defenses above 0.00081.
After the listing, the coin flies to the moon due to the dump, but after the appearance of a strong seller or lack of interest from the buyer, against the background of weakening support of Pavel Durov arrested in France, a market phase change to a “dump” is formed.
Technically, a double bottom is formed on 4H, followed by the renewal of local lows and the breakout of trend resistance, which indicates the formation of a market bottom.
At the moment, the cryptocurrency market shows bullish dynamics, which can affect DOGS accordingly
Resistance levels: 0.000885, 0.000938
Support levels: 0.00081
After the dump the coin has good chances to show already adequate realization. If the bulls keep the defense above 0.00081, we will have chances to get on the train to the north, to the targets 0.00096, 0.001, 0.00117
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Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Will the rally end with a FB? 2670 - liquidity...FX:XAUUSD is growing together with the dollar, the correlation cooled down after the change of fundamental background. The range of 2670 - 2600 is being formed. The metal is rallying to resistance for liquidity.
Geopolitical issues. High tensions in the Middle East as well as rising tensions in East Asia between China and Taiwan are worrying investors looking for safe havens.
Last week showed not so good economic data for gold. The dollar rose very strongly during that time. But gold gold traders were most likely paying attention to the dovish remarks by Fed policymakers about lowering interest rates....
Technically gold is in a sideways range and is testing liquidity above 2660. The bears are likely to give a not so warm welcome....
Resistance levels: 2663, 2670, 2685
Support levels: 2650, 2637, 2623
Strong movement from the bottom of the range reaches its upper boundary. Technically, the price has no potential to break through the strong range resistance. A false breakout is possible, the purpose of which may be to capture liquidity, followed by a decline. The situation may be broken by unexpected geopolitical or economic news, but at the moment there is no such news
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Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Retest of descending channel resistance in front of PPI..FX:XAUUSD is forming a double bottom from which a rally towards strong resistance is forming. CPI showed worse than expected data, surprisingly. Manipulation? Price has not yet moved out of the corrective channel. Ahead of PPI.
Annual inflation fell from 2.5% to 2.4% (expected 2.3%). The probability of a 0.25% interest rate cut in November rose to 86% (vs. 0.5%) The disappointing Initial Jobless Claims data in the US overshadowed the hot CPI data for September, keeping the hope of a rate cut in November...
Ahead is PPI, a fairly important report that could affect prices...
The metal is trapped in a descending channel and there is a huge liquidity density above 2645. The bears, the custodians of this liquidity, may put aggressive pressure if PPI shows strong data...
Resistance levels: 2645, 2651, 2660
Support levels: 2637, 2623, 2600
Technically, gold is in a correction phase. From the bottom of the channel a strong movement of 2% has been formed and there is not much potential to break through the resistance. The most probable outcome is a decline after a false breakdown or consolidation below 2640. BUT! It is not excluded that a surprise in the news can turn the picture in the opposite direction....
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Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation in correction phase ahead of news...FX:XAUUSD is in correction phase, but before important news a consolidation is formed due to fear and unpredictability factor. Analysts are expecting a decline in inflation, but what will happen in fact? A bull run or a dump?
Markets are pricing in an 81% chance of a 0.25% interest rate cut in November. But yesterday's minutes showed that most officials supported an excessive 0.5% rate cut to balance inflation confidence and labor market concerns.
Ahead of CPI, Initial Jobless Claims ...
If CPI shows stronger data, the question among regulators will be in a different vein of “should we cut 0.25?” which will only reinforce the dollar's rally and markets will continue a solid correction.
A larger decline in CPI could revive hopes of an excessive Fed rate cut in November, triggering a correction in the US dollar. Gold could experience a fresh influx of funds.....
Resistance levels: 2623, 2627, 2637
Support levels: 2605, 2600, 2585
Technically gold is in correction and the pressure from bears continues. In the mid (short) term, I expect a retest of resistance at 2623 (a false breakdown is possible) followed by a decline to 2600-2585. It is not excluded that the news may have an opposite effect...
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
USDCAD → Breakout. One step away from distribution...FX:USDCAD makes an attempt to break through the resistance of the “wedge” consolidation on the background of a growing dollar, the reasons for which are economic data from the USA. NonFarm Payrolls are ahead!
On the weekly timeframe, the currency pair is bouncing off the support trendline and heading towards resistance, the pattern as a whole resembles an ascending triangle. But still it is a global sideways range. The movements in it are quite difficult and the price is dragging between the local levels. Ahead is the NFP report, which may become an engine for the price, and based on the assumptions from Wednesday and ADP NonFarm we can assume that on this background the growth of the dollar and the currency pair may continue.
Technically, the bulls are trying to hold the defense above the previously broken resistance. The impulse is beginning to form...
Resistance levels: 1.358, 1.364
Support levels: 1.353, 1.347
If the bulls keep the price in the new plane (buying zone), the price may reach the nearest targets quite quickly. If the news will be favorable, then in this case a rally to the distant targets may be formed. Unpredictable data will bring the currency pair back to the range and may bring the price down to 1.347
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Regards R. Linda!
ETHEREUM → Support breakdown? Zone of interest 1550 ↓BINANCE:ETHUSD continues to give up positions. Buyers do not believe in growth in the near future. Bears are increasing their pressure, which may lead to the breakout of the strong support zone...
As seen on W1, the next potential target, in terms of liquidity, could be the 1550 support. Any attempt to buy back the asset on a retest of the support does not result in anything radically bullish. The market will not allow the price to approach the intermediate highs, which indicates the buyer's weakness.
On H4 the price is squeezed by local ascending support (bottom of the triangle) and descending conglomerate of moving averages, which clearly dictate the location of strong resistance. In the mid-term, there may be a rebound to the local highs or SMAs before a further decline.
Resistance levels: 2471, 2520, SMA
Support levels: 2310, 2250, 2111
So far there are no technical or fundamental reasons in favor of the buyer. Seller's pressure may be intensified. The breakout trigger is 2325. The trigger for a pullback is 2475 - 2500.
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Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Support breakdown. The beginning of correction...FX:XAUUSD is entering the correction phase. The price is coming out of the consolidation downwards, and what we have been preparing for for the last few days has happened. Bears are trying to keep the defense below 2623....
Posted on October 8: The pressure from above is building. New lows...
Traders are waiting for the Fed meeting minutes to gauge the magnitude of the next interest rate cut, especially after Friday's strong US NFP data removed bets on a 0.5% rate cut. The FOMC meeting is likely to show a discussion on the outlook for the labor market and inflation, as well as further action on interest rates. Traders are still not turning their eyes away from the tense situation in the middle east, but one must realize that reacting to any action is a temporary action in the market...
Technically, on D1 we can see the beginning of the correction phase. Break of the strong level and fixing of the price below 2623. The market has defined a temporary outlook for itself.....
Resistance levels: 2623, 2627, 2631
Support levels: 2613, 2600, 2585
News can have an additional impact on the market, but it all depends on the context. At the moment I consider the price decline. The bears are holding 2623 and we can see how the price has consolidated below this area, which may provoke further selling....
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!