BITCOIN: Elliott Wave & ChannelGreetings, everyone.😉
I would like to present a scenario for your consideration, grounded in "Elliott Wave Theory" .
✔️ Wave initiated from the 15K level: Classified as a "Double Zigzag"
✔️ Current wave in development: Y-c-3
✔️ Projected upward range: 93K ~ 101K
The rationale behind this analysis is as follows:
Zigzag patterns typically move within a parallel channel.
The first zigzag wave, which started from the 15K level, adhered precisely to this parallel channel.
As a result, the likelihood of a complex correction occurring is considerably high.
Based on these observations, I have constructed this particular scenario. It is an illustrative representation of potential market behavior, grounded in established technical principles. Wishing you all the best of luck.
This is not a buy or sell recommendation.
It is a personal perspective and should be used for reference only.
All decisions and responsibilities lie with you.
Zigzagpattern
The time for the growth of cryptocurrencies is nearGreetings,
Dear friends, I hope you are well and have had a week filled with successful and profitable transactions.
My analysis text:
"Cryptocurrencies and the Solana market are in the third wave, and of course, we witnessed very good growth.
But currently, the fourth wave can be a zigzag pattern and it is not yet completed. It is expected to go below wave A once again, and then we will see the price action by the impulse pattern.
Although the index of cryptocurrencies, in my opinion, if Bitcoin grows in its current market, then we are likely to see Solana grow, of course, this is in the second interest."
Note: I am a new analyst in the world of wave principles with three years of experience, and I am developing an analytical idea. There is no 100% certainty in financial markets due to the complexity of various patterns that can change. However, I do my best to back up any analysis I share with you guys with everything I've learned so far.
A brief explanation of the three fundamental laws of the wave principle:
1. The second wave should never go beyond the beginning of the first wave.
2. The third wave should never be the shortest wave between waves 1, 3, and 5.
3. The fourth wave must never enter the territory of the first wave.
Ralph Nelson Elliott was the founder of this theory, and when asked about his view of the market, he always referred to five waves in the direction of a larger trend and three waves against the direction it was taking. After completing an eight-wave cycle, a larger cycle is formed in the future. It's as simple as that.
May his memory be cherished, and may his soul rest in the shelter of God Almighty and the eternal world.
I am attaching the analysis of this market that I shared with you earlier to this current analysis.
The last word of my analysis text is repetitive, except for the explanation of the current analysis, because I also trade in the financial markets and am active in my social networks, working hard to improve my skills in analysis and trading to reach my goal.
I apologize for repeating the text.
I welcome suggestions and criticisms, and I will certainly respond, but a logical reason is important to me.
Thank you for taking the time to review my analysis, and thank you all.
To all my dear friends and colleagues, first of all, I wish you health and success in your goals.
Mehdi Abbasi with the nickname (Mr. Nobody)
Education chart - SIMPLE ZIGZAGS in WXY DOUBLE ZIGZAGI started to assemble own ibrary of ElliottWave patterns and rules.
Here simple zigzags occured in: wave W and wave Y of WXY double zigzag
Zigzag 1 - wave W
Wave A - leading diagonal
Wave B - double zigzag
Wave C - ending expanding diagonal ending at the top line of the parrallel channel
Zigzag 2 - wave Y
Wave A - impulse
Wave B - double zigzag
Wave C - ending expanding diagonal ending at the middle of the parrallel channel
-----------------------------------------
## Rules for Simple ZigZag
- Subdivide into three waves.
- Wave A is always an impulse or leading diagonal (expanding or contracting)
- Wave C is always an impulse or ending diagonal (expanding or contracting).
- Wave B is any corrective pattern.
- Wave B never moves beyond Wave A start
- Wave B always ends in Wave A territory
- Wave A and C cannot be both diagonals of the same type (contracting/contracting or expanding/expanding), other combinations are possible
## Norms
- Waves A and C are frequently impulse waves but even more often they alternate between impulse and diagonal modes. Waves A and C may occasionally alternate between contracting and expanding diagonals
- Waves A and C cannot be diagonals of the same type
- Wave C must travel past Wave A's top. In Elliott Wave Theory, failure to do so is referred to as truncation
- Wave C should not go below 90% of Wave A
## Guidelines
- Wave C is typically equal to 0.618 (occasionally 1.618 or 2.618) of wave A
- Wave B typically retraces 38-79% of Wave A
- in case B is a triangle it retraces **38-50%** of Wave A
- in case B is a running triangle, the retracement can be **10-40%**
- in case B is zigzag, the expected retracement is **50-79%**
- The parallel channel that connects Wave A's start and Wave B's finish may provide a hint of where Wave C might conclude by extrapolating the other line from Wave A's end
- If waves A and C are both strong, wave C will reverse at the channel's top line
- If wave C appears weaker than wave A, it may reverse at the channel's middle
- If Wave C performs stronger than A, a double channel will be used as a target of the reversal point.
## Occurs in
Wave 2
Wave 4 (unless happened in wave 2)
Wave W, Y of WXY double zigzag
Wave W or Y of a combination
Wave B of ABC flat
Waves 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 in contracting diagonal
Wave B of ABC zigzag
Wave X of WXY double zigzag
Identify reversals and confirmation.Step to identify the beginning of a reversal and making a decision for a trade.
1. Draw/mark the current trend based on HH/HL/LH/LL, and use the trend line at those points.
2. If the current price crosses the trendline, that's an early signal for a reversal.
3. confirmation of a reversal when the price breaks the structure/pattern (bottom/top).
4. After the above happens, the weighting of the position in the small timeframe (3m/5m) is
based on the larger timeframe (1H). For example, 1H reversal up and then 5m should look
for a buy signal/keep buy.
5. The distances of target for the buy condition must be limited in the supply zone=previous
higher high/lower high. Vice versa, a distance of targets for the sell condition must be limit
in the demand zone=previous higher low/lower low.
6. you can combine with other measuring tools such as stochastic or RSI. The example here uses
Trend Circle Divergence (TCD) based on RSI, wave of momentum, EMAs, and MACD.
*Please refer to the chart below for in-depth information and analysis.
How do reversals happen and identify appropriate positions?
Price action/movement, patterns, and their effects
US30 - Perfect Zigzag Pattern ZIGZAG Pattern is made up of 3 waves were Wave A has 5 impulse waves, Wave B has 3 corrective waves, and Wave C has 5 waves. Our main focus is riding Wave C once wave B finishes its retracements to fibonacci levels. Ideally, Wave A = Wave C. This means if Wave A made 20% move, Wave C should do the same.
XAUUSD, Long from the liquidity zone (1915)Gold is currently reacting on a key level (1925) which has the Daily EMA-50, 4Hr EMA 200/50/20 on clusted there.
The 4hr candle closing below these EMAs could spark a short to the next liquidity zone (1915).
The 4Hr candle closing above the EMA-200/50/20 could spark buys to 1952 potentially but before the market will buy, i will expect some liquidity drops to 1915 before any potential long at the back of an expected bearish wave of the DXY.
AUDCAD, Bulls to break upside (Long)The price suffered a major decline between 22nd February 2021 (0.99901) to 10th October 2022 (0.86040) and the market bulls took over to correct the price to 0.95489 on 23rd January 2023.
Since then, price has been a decline for the past consecutive 8 months in a descending channel.
Price is nearing a yearly trendline support level which the bulls are accumulated ready to take control at the 0.86241 support level.
The market is ready for another major correction upwards.
The news this week on AUD are not serious but on Thursday Tokyo session on employment change and unemployment rate. Keep an eye out for it.
Support: 0.86241
Resistance: 0.87484 TP1
0.88216 TP2
0.88938 TP3
GOLD, to continue the bearish waveLast Thursday, gold price attempted to make a correction towards the $1930 PER ounce but was quickly rejected by the EMA-200/100 on the 4Hr time frame at $1929.814 which signifies that the bears are still in control in that region.
Last Friday, the price declines to 1919.085 at the time of market closure whereby the last two 4Hr candles closed below the trendline support that has been holding the bulls since 21st August 2023.
As long as the candles are closing below that trendline support signals the potential continuation of the bears movement down to the next significant level (1903).
Important news coming up this week which can alter the direction of the gold market so keep your eyes on the news on Wednesday to Friday. DXY has for the next consecutive 8 weeks been a bullish swing that could put more selling pressure on gold.
Wednesday: CPI
Thursday: PPI, retail sales and unemployment claims
Friday: Empire State Manufacturing Index and Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment.
Resistance: 1925
Support: 1907, 1903, 1896
BTCUSDT Wave B seems to be accomplishedBTCUSDT just made a peak accomplishing the wave B, likely starting a impulse wave inner the next wave C downward. On Chaikin Money Flow we can see a hidden bearish divergence on this daily chart. Overbought condition on ESCGO_LB suggesting that a bearish leg is coming to close the week. I'm expecting a drop to the 20k demand zone region to finish this minor A-B-C zigzag correction phase.
SP500 Makes "Failure" Break Higher; Now Short-term Weakness SP500 is making a sharp reversal, so it appears it was failure break higher after that overcrowded trade when everyone expected 4200 to be a major breakout point for the bull run. We also see USD still in bullish mode which can extend gains much higher now if stocks will be in risk-off mode. Looking at the SP500 price action, we see price falling below the trendline support so it seems that five wave rise from the March low is finished and that minimum three wave drop is in play. Big important level can be 4060/4070 which has been retested a few times in the last two months. Below that we have 4k, near 61.8% Fib.
BTCUSD | 1st ABC Correction A-wave Target ProjectionA potential bullish scenario : 1st ABC correction zigzag pattern with upcoming wave 5 of c-leg targeting 0.382 retracement of previous 5X motive wave move between 24-25K
However, wave 1 and 3 in c-leg are extended, wave 5 can be the shortest wave and truncation is still possible.
Action: A safer long entry can be placed when breakout downtrend line 2-4 or above wave 4 of c -leg, targeting the upper resistance of the bull flag.
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss!
Price correctionConsidering the strength of growth and strength of fall in the previous wave, we are probably witnessing the formation of the ABC pattern
The end of C is suitable for buying
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Banipal : @hosseinbakrani
📅 02.12.2023
⚠️(DYOR)
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📉📈 ZigZag IndicatorZigZag's primary goal is to focus on significant swings and trends by removing insignificant and misleading price changes.
ZigZag connects the price's highest and lowest points using straight lines while ignoring minor swings.
ZigZag just aims to make sense of the market's previous movements; it makes no attempt to predict the price of an item.
It is only based on hindsight and is not predictive in any way. It is based on the past prices of securities and cannot forecast the next swing highs and swing lows.
🟢Advantages
It eliminates market noise and displays the most significant price fluctuations.
It operates in several timeframes.
When utilized in cooperation with other technical indicators, it gives positive results.
🔴Disadvantages
It will mark the latest high or low of the price with a time lag.
The last stretch of the indicator (the one that involves the current price) may be redrawn.
Not predictive in any way, has to be used in combination of other strategies to be effective.
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