RiskMastery's Breakout Stocks - ZIP EditionWelcome to RiskMastery's Breakout Stocks - Stocks with breakout potential.
In this edition, we'll be looking at ASX:ZIP ...
I believe this code is at a point of potential volatility.
If price can hold above $0.635 ... Bullish potential may be unlocked.
My key upside targets include:
- $0.785 (Conservative)
- $0.955 (Medium)
- $1.275 (Aggressive)
If however price falls below $2.70 ... Bearish risk potential may be unlocked.
(My key risk targets - C, M,& A - are as noted on the chart)
Enjoy, and I look forward to being of further service into the future.
If you'd like to connect, feel free to reach out and comment below.
Mr RM | Risk Mastery
Disclaimer:
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ZIP
$ZIP long - Employees are wanted everywhere - longterm tradeNote:
- NYSE: NYSE:ZIP
- Hot sector --> Employees are wanted everywhere
- Labor Demand in US is high
- TAM is good
- SMA10 and SMA20 coming together
- Fundamentals are good
- EPS are ok
- ZIP has "rule of 40" according to SaaS business
Disclaimer and Info:
- No guarantee for the correctness of information or calculations
- No advice or investment advice
- ZipRecruiter (ZIP) said on 05. Jan'22 it is planning a private offering of $500 million in senior notes due 2030
- ZipRecruiter (ZIP) Announces $100 Million Share Repurchase Program on 02. March'22
Paid Employees:
FY2020Q1: 98,500
FY2020Q2: 76,900
FY2020Q3: 89,800
FY2020Q4: 89,600
FY2021Q1: 114,700
FY2021Q2: 169,191
FY2021Q3: 169,500
FY2021Q4: 147,081
Revenue per Employee (in USD):
FY2020Q1: 1,150
FY2020Q2: 1,140
FY2020Q3: 1,146
FY2020Q4: 1,276
FY2021Q1: 1,093
FY2021Q2: 1,081
FY2021Q3: 1,255
FY2021Q4: 1,497
EPS:
FY2021Q1: 0.10
FY2021Q2: (0.55)
FY2021Q3: 0.19
FY2021Q4: 0.16
Marketing Ratio (Sales&Marketing divided by Revenue):
FY2020Q1: 70%
FY2020Q2: 32%
FY2020Q3: 41%
FY2020Q4: 37%
FY2021Q1: 51%
FY2021Q2: 62%
FY2021Q3: 53%
FY2021Q4: 55%
Rule of "40":
The "Rule of 40" ( aka . "Rule of Forty") is one of the simplest and most important SaaS and software metrics. This KPI was developed by the US-based software venture capital fund Bessemer Venture Partners.
It tries to relate the growth and profitability of a company. The revenue growth and the free cash flow margin (also (non-GAAP) operating margin or adjusted EBITDA margin) are added as a measure of profitability. If the sum of the two values results in a value greater than 40 , empirical data are used to assume that this is a very healthy company. The rule of 40 is particularly meaningful for software or subscription companies with high gross margins.
The background to the relationship is that a company that is growing rapidly but is still losing money can be just as attractive or even more attractive than a company that is profitable but only grows more slowly.
In addition, companies can often actively decide whether they want to give up profitability in order to grow even faster or save marketing costs and instead accept slow growth but deliver more EBIT .
At the same time, a situation in which a company is neither profitable nor grows significantly faster than 20% can quickly become a bad trade. Often these companies do not achieve sufficient economies of scale and operating leverage to be profitable and sustainable in the long term.
Therefore, the following applies quite casually: Either grow quickly or make a profit! If both of these don't work, the company often find itself in a dead end.
FY2021Q1: 28
FY2021Q2: 117
FY2021Q3: 131
FY2021Q4: 117
Backtesting:
Please ignore the backtesting results in this idea here.
Is ZIP going to recover from this sell-off?
ZIP has been bashed big time after failing to hold the support line at the $7 mark and falling below 6.25, as indicated on the attached daily price chart. Nothing suggests that the trend is about to reverse now apart from reaching a support line at around 3.00. We might see some action around this level and the 2.50 mark. If it fails, then 1.70 is the next level; it is based on my automated system, predicting future critical levels.
ZIP OpportunityThis is my assessment of ZIP and has been for a few years without major adjustment. It's always behaved really nice for me, provided we are potentially in a tech sell off with the likes of A2M, APT, APX etc.
I trade the graph in front of me though not the news. So if Zip breaks the current downtrend and holds on a few days I'm in with a tight stop loss and target profit of around 100% or so again.
Moving my stop loss to at least breakeven if there is a nice push up as I wouldn't be surprised if the red downtrend channel is respected given all the attention on crypto and selling off in tech stocks.
Don't be surprised if $4 is likely because at this stage both $24 and $4 are just as likely. That's why we trade our analysis and constantly assess our position for how healthy it is.
Fundamentals still look good with increase in growth and revenue still on the horizon with recent expansions.
Let's see where this one go's!
And as always do your own research if you want to sleep easy at night.
Zip is in redhot form now, but wait for confirmationZip started its short term trend reversal and appears to be bullish again.
This would be the long term trend if Zip can break the minor downtrend resistance again. Investors can buy at this price for minimum drawdown and maximum profit.
Another profit taking will happen at the previous all-time high value so better to sell at that point.
Zip Co (Z1P) FY 2021 Bull TargetsAs you can see, Zip Co have recently started gaining momentum upwards, after trading and consolidating at SPP range for a few weeks. this has been significant as it started show signs of strength that is maintained, and can continue to the rest of the year. Fundamentals are looking strong, and Technical analysis are certainly backing it up. at this current rate, I wouldn't be surprised if we reach the fib target at 20-25$ BY THE END OF THE YEAR. it held the golden .618 fib support and continued a strong rally towards ATH. I took a position at 5$ and very confident with the trade for the next 3-5 years. short term target however is 25$. long term target is 50$. if there are heavy shares buy back, expect a higher long term target.
ZIP Co Long OpportunityBased on long term trend and continued increase in Profits a good potential long opportunity is building. Strong support area's converging along a potential 61.8% Fib retracement from COVID low areas.
Best buy in price could be around $4.80-$4.90 with a stop loss around the $4.50 mark and first Take Profit (Trading not Long Term) around the $10 area.
A good divergence on Price and RSI+MACD is starting to play out too indicating a potential reversal. Always do your own research!
Who saved my Z1P?🤫🚨🚨🚀ASX:Z1P seems to bounce back but is the savior clement enough to let it shine once again or is it a bull trap before a plunge deep down in the bears dale? Lets deep dive and analyze.
If you remember my last post on ASX:Z1P I mentioned that this stock was playing with fire writing a H&S or head and shoulder pattern. Eventually it got caught up in its games and it started dropping. But who stopped that drop?
You can see the big red line on my chart, that is Mr 200MA that said nah nah to bears and gave another chance to Z1P.
But can we say the worst is over and we bouncing back? Of course not, not until we have either consolidated at the 5.3$ levels for few days and at least close one daily candle above 5.540$.
Besides the bullish structure is broken and we need bulls to come back. Also reading the orders book I can see bears still in control for a 2/1 force.
Other points to notice, stock below 8 and 21 EMA so not looking good imo.
I will keep my eyes on this stock as historically it has been a source of juicy profits and will update you when I find any tradable structure.
Stay safe and keep smashing the likes.
XTF
ZIP at the end of a wedge. Which way will it go??????Z1P has been caught in a wedge pattern for the last few weeks.
It's share price gapped up and after hitting All Time Highs, it's now settled down to sub $6.
The next few days will be a tell tale sign as to the direction of this stock - UP or DOWN????
The Rob Booker ADX Breakout strategy has this one as a Sell on the Daily chart - which means it's predicting it to go down to $3.90.
It's anyone's guess but if you hold this stock I highly recommend having a tight stop loss on this one, and buy back in when it reaches it's bottom.
🔥 Z1P - Completing the RIGHT SHOULDER 🔥Afternoon All
After updating our previous chart on Z1P this is what we’re looking at right now:
- We’re currently at this key level of liquidity, we we’re seeing a lot of sell pressure mounting around that $8 level.
- This lines up PERFECTLY with our 50 Fibonacci level & somewhat completes the right shoulder of this huge formation
- If we’re to see this play out Z1P will be bearish from this level (thereabouts) and start moving back towards the 5.50 Demand Level, we spoke about in our previous Trading View Idea that I have linked.
- Our indicators are as follows:
o CCI is forming a bearish divergence
o RSI is forming the same
o Steamroller is looking like its firming entering Overbought and we’re looking like we’re well and truly stretched.
Looking forward to Z1P quite possibly completing this formation.
Z1P - The Final STAND- A move the next Demand Zone is on the cards, most of the indicators are pointing in this direction - Notably our home grown Indicator Steamroller
- After this a move to the 50 Fibs - Which lines up with liquidity on the left as shown by the white line
- This would complete a H&S scenario and could see us close the GAP and move to around that lower Demand Zone.