EUR/PLN 1H Chart: Symmetrical TriangleEUR/PLN 1H Chart: Symmetrical Triangle
The common European currency is trading against the Polish Zloty in a short-term symmetrical triangle.
The pattern started to form right after the 1.5% appreciation of the Euro, which was triggered by announcement of the ECB Minimum Bid Rate two weeks ago.
For the moment, the pattern already has four confirmation points, which means that it has reached maturity and might be broken in the nearest future.
Most likely, the currency pair will leave the formation in the upward direction.
Firstly , because the southern side is reliably protected by the 200-hour SMA, the monthly PP at 4.2457 as well as the weekly S1 at 4.2414.
Secondly , because the triangle represents a body of the larger pennant pattern whose flagpole appeared because of the above fundamental event.
In this sense, the rate is expected to surge approximately by 1.29% .
Zloty
USD/PLN 1H Chart: Descending TriangleUSD/PLN 1H Chart: Descending Triangle
The American Dollar is losing value against the Polish Zloty in a pattern that has the features of a descending triangle.
An impulse necessary for its formation was given by an announcement of the US Federal Funds Rate on Wednesday.
In theory, the currency rate should exit the pattern in the southern direction.
On validity of this scenario indicate combination of the 20-, 55-, 100-, 200-period SMAs and the weekly PP that exercise pressure on the pair from the top.
On the other hand, the lower trend-line coincides with the monthly S2 at 3.6160, which has already proved to be a strong support barrier (6 prior rebounds).
Besides, there is a chance that even if the pair breaks downwards, the fall would be stopped near 3.6107, to which point out three William’s fractals.
EURPLN to test the year heightThe Polish currency is not doing well recently. The new political party is introducing anti-business laws. I expect the currency may be weaker especially at the end of the year. Before a new heights will be introduced, first an attack at this height will be in play.
This is only my opinion, please share your views and act to your own strategy.