Zm
Zoom will bounce and continue on down! This is what I think will happen with zoom over the next few weeks.
We will continue to bounce from here and potentially hit my identified reversal zone.
Look at my blue and yellow fibs there for confluence.
My purple fibs are my elliott wave projection fibs which are currently estimating A=C. wave C could easily head to the purple 1.618, at which point we would keep an eye out for them heading to the next support zone.
**(I am not sure why Trading view squeezes my chartwork together after I submit it as a public post, but you may have to decompress the x axis to get a better visual)**
ZM back to pre-pandemic level just like IBB BiotechZM & IBB Biotech have both came back down to 2019 pre-pandemic levels.
Pls see my previous ZM post for the chart of IBB. Sorry got confused by similar chart.
ZM just BO above the falling wedge.
Some consolidation probable as ZM may be bottoming.
Not trading recommendation
ZM back to pre-pandemic level; a fair & rational price to buy?This level seems to be a good place to buy but marrkets may remain irrational due to bad sentiment, inflation & geopolitical tensions.
Technically, ZM may first consolidate & create a bottoming base coz ma20 is still far above.
Investors may find this zone attractive to accumulate some shares. Zoom meetings are not going out-of-style yet even after pandemic.
Not trading advice.
Zoom out the Zoom..! The past 3 yearsI think whatever you need to know about a Formation of bubbles and their burst you can see in the ZM chart:
An 805% move in 18 months followed by an 84% decline in the next 17 months:
During that 84% decline, you see a 36% and 48% positive surge, but the aftermath remained the same..!
Even a significant change in the fundamental did not help:
But ZM was not alone, other examples are:
NIO: +5500% followed by -80%
DOCU:
And the mother of All bubbles:
ARKK:
and the Final point:
Gauging Market Changes
The key determinant of whether the market is bull or bear is not just the market's knee-jerk reaction to a particular event, but how it's performing over the long term. Small movements only represent a short-term trend or a market correction. Whether or not there is going to be a bull market or a bear market can only be determined over a longer time period.
However, not all long movements in the market can be characterized as bull or bear. Sometimes a market may go through a period of stagnation as it tries to find direction. In this case, a series of upward and downward movements would actually cancel-out gains and losses resulting in a flat market trend.(Investopedia)
Conclusion:
You can be in the Bearish market yet see the most Exotic Bullish rallies..!
Best,
Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
*I have open positions in SARK(74.36), SOXS(40), TZA(30.60)
5 Stocks Walk into a Bar....A mega cap, a large cap, a medium cap, a small cap, and a micro cap stock walk into a bar. The bartender looks at them and says, "What do you want?" They all reply, "A Shot!"
Well lets give these stocks "A Shot!" by taking a look at their price performance over the past 52 weeks and evaluating whether they are a "good buy."
Mega Cap: Facebook or Meta (FB) has fallen roughly 21% in the past 52 weeks despite having a market cap of $603B.
Large Cap: Netflix (NFLX) has fallen roughly 26% in the past 52 weeks despite having a market cap of $165B.
Medium Cap: Zoom (ZM) has fallen roughly 64% in the past 52 weeks despite having a market cap of $34B.
Small Cap: SoFi (SOFI) has fallen roughly 47% in the past 52 weeks despite having a market cap of $7.47B.
Micro Cap Loan Depot (LDI) has fallen roughly 78% in the past 52 weeks despite having a market cap of $1.3B.
All of these companies that I have mentioned above are oversold in my opinion, despite being one of the largest market cap in each of their respective segments and most are overall profitable. They all offer an important service that I have personally used in the past or currently use on an almost daily basis. Almost everyone is aware of Facebook now Meta, develops products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality headsets, wearables, and in-home devices worldwide. Between the Facebook app and Instagram, they are currently the largest social media platform to date.
The same goes with Netflix. Who do you know that hasn't used or watched a show or movie on Netflix before? Within the US, its almost unheard of. Now, you can get Netflix stock at a 26% discount and its not going away any time soon as the company begins to enter new markets within developing countries. Zoom is a software that played an integral part during the pandemic, where the world resorted to working from home to combat the pandemic's spread. Thus lead to the mass adoption of Zoom's software into many companies around the world who wanted to continue to collaborate in real time. Since the pandemic and the huge gains Zoom saw, it has since erased these gains and sit at what appears to be a bottom, with massive upside potential of well over 100%+ as companies continue to work remotely despite the waning of the pandemic. SoFi provides digital financial services and is taking on the traditional legacy banks. SoFi offers loans, investing accounts, crypto accounts, credit cards, banking, insurance, insight tracking such as spending habits or credit score monitoring and much more. I believe SoFi will give large banks a run for their money, which will ultimately lead to a potential buy-out by one of the legacy banks looking for an edge. As of today, SoFi is down roughly 62% despite being profitable in the past 2 quarters with a 13% QoQ gain in the 3rd quarter of 2021. LoanDepot sells mortgage and non-mortgage lending products and in 2015 was named the second largest non-bank provider of direct-to-consumer loans within the US. With an easy to use platform, and one of the best rate offerings and customer experiences, LoanDepot is poised to grow significantly in the coming years with increased revenues from raising interest rates.
Overall, I believe in these companies on a personal level. I encourage all of you to take a look at these companies yourselves and make your own conclusions. I would also implore you to follow the advice of Peter Lynch and always understand what you are investing in, because when the market corrects, which it always will. If you do not understand the company you invest in then you will not have conviction in the company, which you would be much more inclined to sell during a 10%, 25%, or even 50% drop, when in reality you should be adding to your positions during opportunities such as this. As Baron Rothschild always said, "the time to buy is when there's blood in the streets." Even if this is your own blood.
What do you think about my analysis? Make sure to leave your thoughts in the comments below. If you enjoyed this content then please leave a like! It takes time to make these things you know.
#thedailyinvestor
ZM short then long (way long)After a very nice couple of days ZM is setup for a slight fall. The two purple boxes show recent gaps and I suspect one if not both of these will likely fill in the next day or 2 (or 3). Below those you can see some yellow dotted lines which are also gaps from early 2020 before COVID hit. Will those fill too? Not sure - we were very close the other day when the stock got to 94.51. I thought for sure that ~91-92 gap would fill, but it turned out that we created new gaps on the way up instead, so now there are 4 gaps below where we are now and as you can see on the chart, we are about to hit the apex of a small ascending wedge.
That said, if you zoom out over the last year you will see that we are also in a massive DESCENDING wedge as well, and assuming we do go down short term, it should only be temporary before we see a breakout squeeze. If you actually look at where the wedge converges, you'll see it is right in the range of the lowest gap, about $76.70 or so. Will it actually get that low? I don't know, I think it is possible if the people that have been saying SPY is going to 385 end up being right, but I think no matter what happens it is looking like a setup for a squeeze. FYI I don't see it getting lower than $75, there is hard support line there from 2019. Also just a disclaimer that my arrows are not pointing to any specific number targets, they are just going in the general direction that I am predicting.
Zoom Video (NASDAQ: $ZM) Showing Bullish Divergence On RSI! 💻Zoom Video Communications, Inc. provides a video-first communications platform in the Americas, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company offers Zoom Meetings that offers HD video, voice, chat, and content sharing through mobile devices, desktops, laptops, telephones, and conference room systems; Zoom Phone, an enterprise cloud phone system that provides secure call routing, call queuing, call detail reports, call recording, call quality monitoring, voicemail, switch to video, and other services, as well as inbound and outbound calling services; and Zoom Chat enables to share messages, images, audio files, and content in desktop, laptop, tablet, and mobile devices for meeting and phone customers. It also provides Zoom Rooms, a software-based conference room system; Zoom Conference Room Connector, a gateway for SIP/H.323 endpoints to join Zoom meetings; Zoom Video Webinars to provide video presentations to large audiences from many devices; and Zoom Hardware-as-a-Service allows users to access video communication technology with subscription options for phone and meeting room hardware. The company offers Zoom for Developers to integrate its video, phone, chat, and content sharing into other applications, as well as manages Zoom accounts; Zoom App Marketplace enhance developers to publish their apps; OnZoom, a platform for users to create, host, and monetize online events; and Zoom Apps to access from Zoom Meetings and the Zoom Desktop client to facilitate collaboration and engagement during meetings. It serves individuals; and education, entertainment/media, enterprise infrastructure, finance, government, healthcare, manufacturing, non-profit/not for profit and social impact, retail/consumer products, and software/Internet industries. The company was formerly known as Zoom Communications, Inc. and changed its name to Zoom Video Communications, Inc. in May 2012. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
ZOOM (ZM)| Possible Short-term Rejection Area!Hi,
Just an idea to look for fundamentals because Zoom's price trades near $100. Technical analysis suggests that we can see a short-term rejection from the shown area.
Criteria:
1. Round number $100
2. Channel projection
3. AB=CD
4. Fibo Extension
5. Previously worked resistance level becomes support
6. Possible rejection from the bottom of the range
Do your own analysis and be cautious!
Regards,
Vaido
What is Anchoring? a Behavioral Finance phenomenonIf you have an investment that has experienced a decrease in value significantly, and you decided to keep and sell at your entry price, please read this article it may help you to make a better decision.
Before we go to the main educational point, keep in mind those who bought tech stocks at the market peak in 2000-2001, waited 15 years to get even..!
Educational Point:
Anchoring
The concept is part of the field of behavioral finance, which studies how emotions and other extraneous factors influence economic choices.
In the context of investing, one consequence of anchoring is that market participants with an anchoring bias tend to hold investments that have lost value because they have anchored their fair value estimate to the original price rather than to fundamentals. As a result, market participants assume a greater risk by holding the investment in the hope the security will return to its purchase price. Market participants are often aware that their anchor is imperfect and attempt to make adjustments to reflect subsequent information and analysis. However, these adjustments often produce outcomes that reflect the bias of the original anchors.
Examples:
1-DASH:
2-FB:
3-CVNA:
4-CRWD:
5- ZM:
6- COIN:
7-SPOT:
8- NFLX:
9-PTON:
10- RNG:
these are just some examples of stocks that lost more than half of their value in the past few months or weeks..!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
Reference article:
www.investopedia.com
Zoom almost bottomed will consolidate between 180-220Zoom is a great company to hold on to , But you cant judge based on shorter timeframes. You need to start Dollar Cost Averaging in this Range for the next 18-24 months. This is where the consolidation happens. I have 200 shares and ready to buy 400 more for the next 2 years, I am long in 5 years time horizon, but in the near term 180-190s is in the cards, Hence Short.
NEXCF: Downtrend breakout Initial PT $8NEXCF has just broken its long downtrend line which is usually due to some fundamental change in the company and trajectory of cash flow. The company has rebranded more into an AR 3D marketing company. They still have their digital edtech app and online conferencing but the reposition was a wise one considering the pandemic is coming to an end and many employees will be returning to work. If you noticed this past week the largest losers in the Nasdaq were pandemic plays such as Zoom (ZM) and Moderna (MRNA).
The business pivot will play a crucial role into the burgeoning AR space which is becoming a greater theme in 2022.
Fib extension target in the $12 range but no promises we get there - first target will be $8.
Zoom (NASDAQ: $ZM) Looking Bullish On 3rd Touch Of 0.786 Fib!Zoom Video Communications, Inc. provides a video-first communications platform in the Americas, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company offers Zoom Meetings that offers HD video, voice, chat, and content sharing through mobile devices, desktops, laptops, telephones, and conference room systems; Zoom Phone, an enterprise cloud phone system that provides secure call routing, call queuing, call detail reports, call recording, call quality monitoring, voicemail, switch to video, and other services, as well as inbound and outbound calling services; and Zoom Chat enables to share messages, images, audio files, and content in desktop, laptop, tablet, and mobile devices for meeting and phone customers. It also provides Zoom Rooms, a software-based conference room system; Zoom Conference Room Connector, a gateway for SIP/H.323 endpoints to join Zoom meetings; Zoom Video Webinars to provide video presentations to large audiences from many devices; and Zoom Hardware-as-a-Service allows users to access video communication technology with subscription options for phone and meeting room hardware. The company offers Zoom for Developers to integrate its video, phone, chat, and content sharing into other applications, as well as manages Zoom accounts; Zoom App Marketplace enhance developers to publish their apps; OnZoom, a platform for users to create, host, and monetize online events; and Zoom Apps to access from Zoom Meetings and the Zoom Desktop client to facilitate collaboration and engagement during meetings. It serves individuals; and education, entertainment/media, enterprise infrastructure, finance, government, healthcare, manufacturing, non-profit/not for profit and social impact, retail/consumer products, and software/Internet industries. The company was formerly known as Zoom Communications, Inc. and changed its name to Zoom Video Communications, Inc. in May 2012. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.