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ZN1!

SOYBEANS - COT Based Long Trade SetupDISCLAIMER. This is not trade advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. There is real risk involved with trading any market. I am looking for longs in the Soybean market this week. Here is why. -Commercials are positioned very long relative to their overall positioning over the last 6 months, which is bullish. -Commercials are approaching the max long positioning of the last 3 years, which is bullish. Admittedly, I'd like to see them at a bit more of an extreme. But they are relatively very long right now, which is a valid reason to be bullish. -While price has declined for weeks, OI has increased. When OI is increasing, we must ask the question "who is causing the OI increase"? If OI is being increased by commercials, this is bullish. -Advisor sentiment is very bearish, which is bullish. -Undervalued vs gold and bonds. -ADX is forming the "paunch" as the ADX rises over 40. Paunch will confirm when ADX "rolls over". The paunch is relatively rare, but when it occurs, we need to pay attention as a market reversal of some significance is near. -Small specs are overall quite short (although similarly to the commercial positioning, I'd like to see them at more of an extreme). -Insider accumulation, %$ and Ultimate oscilator all giving buy signals. -Some major cyclical signs suggesting Soybeans are at a major cyclical low. For these reasons, I'm long Soybeans and will look to get more long with future entry triggers. If you have any questions, feel free to shoot me a message. Good luck, and good trading.
CBOT:ZS1!
by Tradius_Trades
2
Short-Term Outlook: ZN Bonds will decline to 109.16$.I. Bearish Momentum: The ZN bonds market has recently displayed signs of bearish momentum, with several key indicators pointing towards a potential downturn. One of the most notable factors contributing to this sentiment is the presence of strong seller volume, indicating that there is significant downward pressure on bond prices. II. Seller Dominance: Seller dominance can be a powerful indicator of market sentiment. When sellers outnumber buyers, it often leads to downward price movements. In the case of ZN bonds, the sellers have been in control, suggesting that the short-term bias leans towards a bearish outlook. III. Price Target: 109.16: Based on the current market conditions and the prevalence of seller dominance, it is reasonable to anticipate a decline in ZN bond prices. Our short-term price target is set at 109.16, which reflects the potential support level where prices may find temporary stabilization. IV. Intraday Resistance: 110.31: In addition to the seller dominance, there is a notable intraday resistance level at 110.31. This resistance level acts as an obstacle to any upward price movement and can further support the notion of a downward price trend. Traders should pay close attention to this level as it may provide an opportunity to enter short positions. In conclusion, the ZN bonds market appears poised for a short-term decline to the 109.16 price area, supported by seller dominance and the presence of an intraday resistance level at 110.31. As a bonds trader, it's vital to remain vigilant and adaptable to changing market conditions while implementing effective risk management strategies. The financial markets are dynamic, and staying informed is essential to making well-informed trading decisions.
CBOT:ZN1!Short
by Gassem_futures
DXY Is Long-Term Still BearishOne of the main reasons why USdollar – DXY may stay weak is DXY/ZN (DXY against 10Y US Notes) ratio chart. Now that 10Y US Notes is looking for a bigger recovery, DXY could easily see more weakness, as DXY/ZN ratio chart is still looking lower, but ideally once current bearish running triangle in (B) fully unfolds, which can be in final stages. With bullish stocks and while bonds are trading at potential support, there's no real reason to be bullish on USDollar, so DXY is long-term still bearish. DXY/ZN ratio chart is now at the upper triangle line for potential final subwave E of a bearish triangle in (B). Bond market recovery, may slow down the USdollar again, which can push DXY/ZN ratio chart into wave (C), but confirmation is below lower triangle line. However, of course, if USDollar will keep recovering, then DXY/ZN may face higher resistance for a flat correction within wave (B), but it’s still bearish on a higher degree time frame, so sooner or later DXY will back to bearish mode.
TVC:DXYShort
by ew-forecast
Getting Long on Long Duration..US 10-year note futures look primed for significant upside in the coming quarters as rates peak and the global economy rolls over. Weakening China economy already a sign of coming deflation while the lagged effects of rapid rate hikes in the US economy haven't even kicked in yet. Have a look at the usual signs of a topping business cycle. Highs in homebuilders and consumer discretionary stocks + massive inverted yield curve. You have 110 support on the 10-year going back quite a ways and the last time the COT was this out of whack, it marked a major low in bonds. 5% on 90-day bills (Money Funds) has also traditionally marked a peak in short-term rates. So $2k of downside vs. $30k+ upside. Excellent, just excellent R/R on this trade. Scaling into longs...
CBOT:ZN1!Long
by kaotic363
SELL ZB1!Good morning dear traders! I'm sharing with you one of my trades for today as I usually do. I managed to share with you the TREASURY BONDS one, as you can see on the chart the price broke the channel for the fist time as a fake breakout, the 2nd time it did the same thing but it managed to come back down ad give us the confirmation to sell, my customers and I got in an hour ago, now since the market is on the move I shared it with you since I can't share them to pu lic at the same time I give it to my customers whom pay for signals. TP and SL set them at your own risk If you got any questions don't hesitate to ask I'll answer with pleasure
CBOT:ZB1!Short
by YassineAnalysis
Recap of my trade for todayGood afternon and good evening for european traders, for my trade today on ZB we closed in loss and it's one of normal things in trading and which a lot of people don't show and share, we didn't trade any other market for some reasons. I'm sharing this just to let beginner traders that trading isn't always winning, somedays you make losses you recover in other days. Today we got in after pulling wack on the resistance line and added a contract on the place I placed the 2nd arrow, The big green candle came out after the news release turned up the market to continue bullish and closed after few hours. See you tomorrow in another forecast ! If you got any question don't hesitate to ask.
CBOT:ZB1!
by YassineAnalysis
Zb1In the context of futures markets, "ZB" typically refers to the ticker symbol for the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond futures contract traded on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT). The contract is based on a notional, or face, value of $100,000, and it is settled in cash. The contract is used by traders and investors to speculate on and hedge against changes in the value of long-term U.S. Treasury bonds, which are issued by the U.S. Department of the Treasury and are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government. Futures contracts are financial instruments that allow traders and investors to buy or sell an asset at a predetermined price on a specific date in the future. They are traded on organized exchanges, such as the CBOT, and are subject to standard terms and conditions that are set by the exchange. The value of a futures contract is determined by the underlying asset, which in this case is the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond. The price of the futures contract is influenced by a variety of factors, including changes in interest rates, economic conditions, and market demand for the bond.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by youssefmoba