US 10 year T-note; Clearly a Continued SHORT!Despite appearances US T-Notes & Bills will absolutely obliterate US equity returns in this investment cycle! - The math being inescapable, despite all the wishful thinking in the world.
Let's put an exact number on it; How does >+4% annually over US Equities sound?! (Yes, do check the math - as I'm sure of it!)
Incidentally the U$D is bottoming here and it is a Massive LONG, for now.
E.g. The decline in US T-Notes is likely to be slow and shallow.
ZN1!
YIELDS GO UPZN futures broke the 200 EMA for the first time since the end of 2018.
Higher yields on the 10y treasuries are on their way.
But let's be clear. Government debt isn't a bad sign in general, but it will be interesting to watch how the FED will (or if they will) react to this new development.
Are we on the verge of a US Bond market drop?Hello.
My name is François Normandeau
Here is an ADX-BRIEFING related to the 10-Year US Treasury Notes .
Currently, on the daily charts ,
all the indicators we are using are mentioning that the US Dollar Index
TVC:DXY
is currently in a confirmed downtrend .
Historically, there is a strong positive correlation
between the US Dollar Index and the US Treasury Notes.
if DXY drops, ZN1! drops... if DXY rises, ZN1! rises... relatively speaking and all things being equal
If anyone is currently keeping a major long position related to the US Bond market,
then this correlation is worth considering.
More details about this post, as well as a video analysis, later today, on our site .
Wishing you a great week,
François Normandeau
Institutional Research Director at ADX-BRIEFING
Are we on the verge of a US Bond market drop?Hello.
My name is François Normandeau
Here is an ADX-BRIEFING related to the 10-Year US Treasury Notes.
Currently, on the daily charts,
all the indicators we are using are mentioning that the US Dollar Index
TVC:DXY
is currently in a confirmed downtrend.
Historically, there is a strong positive correlation between the US Dollar Index and the US Treasury Notes.
if DXY drops, ZN1! drops... if DXY rises, ZN1! rises... relatively speaking and all things being equal
If anyone is currently keeping a major long position related to the US Bond market,
then this correlation is worth considering.
More details about this post, as well as a video analysis, later today, on our site.
Wishing you a great week,
François Normandeau
Institutional Research Director at ADX-BRIEFING