ZN1!
Bond Market Reacts to Nonfarm and FedBonds fell again, hitting our next target at 115'29. Yields are creeping up as the markets are pricing in the next rate hike, expected to be 50-75 bps . Nonfarm payrolls gave us some insight into economic conditions: unemployment rose to 3.7%, with a headline miss and downward revision. This suggests that the economy is weakening further, and we are in a period of stagflation. Yields subsequently weakened and we are seeing a slight pivot off 1529. If we rally, we could hit 116'20 or even 117'08. If the figures are hotter than expected it should bolster the Fed's hawkish rhetoric and we could break through 115'29, to 115'03.
Potential Long on GOLD after nice pullback. I've managed to catch a nice pullback on gold and expected the bearish will soon. Next, we are expecting gold to continue on bullish movement as it finishes doing some pullback.
There are pretty interesting key levels to watch especially on a daily timeframe and we need to pay extra attention to this key level to whether gold will continue downward or start to climb back as on rejection on the weekly trendline (blue line).
Overall I am biased on bullish on gold. Levels of entry SL and TP are as on the chart.
Trade safe and take care everyone.
Huge Volume 08/25/2022, and an important level was brokenMBK method is very interesting, this is an important level that was broken on 08/25/2022, in zn and also in zb. The t bonds markets are tending to go down with this interesting configuration. this level was tested Three times, on 8 July, 11 July, and 21 July.
DXY/ZN Ratio Chart - USD Is Nearing Target Against 10Y US NotesThe longer-term trend and the cycle of the USD in a comparison with 10Y US notes ( DXY /ZN ratio chart). It can slow down later this year or in 2023, but if there will be recession, then USD can face another big leg up before an important shift occurs. GBP could stay weak in the meantime and it can even retest the 2020 lows first.
Be humble and trade smart!
All the best!
Bond Yieds RiseBonds have fallen further, breaking down past 119'01 into the vacuum zone below. We are still hovering above 118'04, the next level of support, but the Kovach OBV is looking pretty bearish. We are starting to see some green triangles on the KRI around 118'20, but we should have strong support at 118'04 if current levels do not hold. If we can pivot, then 119'01 should provide resistance.
Bonds Break SupportBonds have edged lower, breaking through support at 119'23. We have fallen to suport at 119'01, currently hugging this level, but finding good support confirmed by two green triangles on the KRI. The Kovach OBV has slipped a little, confirming the selloff, but has since appeared to level off. If we are able to pivot here, then 119'23 and 120'14 are the next targets to the upside. Watch for the vacuum zone below to 118'04.
Employment Data Hammers BondsBonds crept up but are facing resistance. After ZN tested highs at 121'28, and retraced, it started to establish value between 119'23 and 121'00. The latter has provided prohibitive resistance, as we have discussed this week, and we have seen a rejection, continuing the sideways correction. We saw a wick down to 119'23, where we found support, at first, but we subsequently broke through to the vacuum zone below. This follows Non Farm Payrolls coming in at a surprise beat, with unemployment at 3.5%. Expect support at 119'01.
Bonds Break OutBonds have lifted, breaking out of the narrow range held for the past three days. We broke the upper bound at 120'14, and hit our next target exactly at 121'00, as predicted. We are seeing red triangles on the KRI suggesting that we are facing resistance here. The Kovach OBV has picked up, suggesting genuine momentum may be back. If so, the next target is 121'28. If we retrace, we should have strong support from 120'14 and 119'23.
ZB A VERY HIGH PROBABILITY SIGNAL ON THE DAILY CHARTDear Investors, my analysis of ZB price movement has finally shown what might be the signal of the year, this whole 2 months of June and July knew a nice up trend before the following signal.
for more information contact me I'll be happy to help you with your investments.
Sideways Correction in BondsBonds are oscillating in the narrow range between 117'19 and 119'01. The Kovach OBV has leveled off, suggesting there is little momentum at the moment to move then needle either way. We appear to be in a sideways corrective phase, after topping out at 120'14, then retracing to 117'19. If we catch more momentum, we could test highs again at 120'14. If 117'19 does not hold, watch for support at 117'08 and 116'20.
Bonds Rip!!Bonds have soared, blasting through resistance at 118'04 and crossing the vacuum zone to 119'01. We anticipated resistance at 118'04, but momentum came through and we have broken through 119'01, meeting resistance just above this level confirmed by a red triangle on the KRI. The Kovach OBV has picked up, and should momentum continue, we should be able to hit 119'23, the next level. If we retrace, watch the vacuum zone below to 118'04.