Zn1
TLT / Treasuries are breaking out post FOMCThe chart on the right represents 30 year treasury bonds. The chart on the left is TLT, an ETF that expresses a trade in treasury bonds.
The way to profit most is probably via call options on TLT. I am looking at the 172 strike in August.
The other way is to be long futures. I am long ZB1! futures contract. The negative is the minimum size is $181,000. So for most retail traders, call options on TLT is the best way to play the long here. Owning TLT outright eats a lot of capital for low return.
Here is the long term chart of 30 year treasuries:
Other ways to play this:
5 year treasuries ZF1! (125k contract but much less volatile)
10 year treasuries ZN1! (140k contract with more vol than the 5 year but about 1/4th the vol of the 30 year.
Break of trading Range + huge volumesI publish this Idea to reinforce my previous analysis on this market, by looking at it from a large perspective.
Since a breaking of a trading Range, the ZN (10 year T-note) reaches a new historical high. the breaking of the rectangle has been done by a huge volume (17 M).
However, obviously, I expect the market could slow down if volumes aren't helping the ascending behavior.