Zone
AUD/USD finally turns and sets up (idea update #4)This was the sequence I was waiting for all week.
Bears reclaim control with strength, the move slices through the entire zone, THEN price stalls....it's a beautiful thing.
Please refer back to the attached ideas/charts from earlier this week, you'll see my commentary. Specifically, it's the strength of the move through the level that put this pair back into playable territory.
CHFJPY short weekly h4CHFJPY has been consolidating near the retest of the weekly broken inner uptrend , price rejection shows strength in bears, price is currently on a medium term zone on h4, its a sell but price could make way to retest the descending trendline near the 112.500 level.
Mind volume on contracts when shorting now, sell limit at 112.480.
Correction continues; potential C&H + 3 possible support zones3 lines of potential support for this fall I'm seeing our number 1 at 7413 which is top trendline of the big descending triangle pattern / adam and eve neckline we broke up from # 2 is the 4hr 200ma at 7060-7080 #3 is the 1 day charts 50ma at $6853..to have a chance at forming a higher low on the day chart, triggering the current cup and handle unfolding and the 1 day golden cross one of these will likely have to remain support. If we can remain above the 1 day 50 MA then this will just be a correction that will inevitably resume the uptrend and the golden cross should occur hopefully sooner than originally planned, coupled with some positive ETF news to help us break out of this handle, break above the neckline and potentially trigger the cup!however a few closes under the 1 day 50ma and then we could be looking at an impending lower low on the 1 day chart. In the short term I'm short...but long in the longterm. Good luck and thnaks for reading! **not financial advice**.
USDCHF short from demand areaShorting USDCHF from the yellow area as that is a supply area on the short (15min) timeframe, as well as the long (4hr, gray area).
These setups usually produce good movements so I am hoping to get a 1:1 RR, as indicated on the chart.
Remember to trade with the probabilities. No single trade determines our performance, we will all have a loser once in a while.
Take care,
TheSupportResistanceTrader
NZDUSD short at supply areaNZDUSD is still far from any big buy orders (gray area on lower chart) and the short term trend (4hr) is distinctly down. Therefore we have a short bias.
We are coming up into a supply area (yellow on 4hr chart) that we didn't quite reach last weak but are probably gonna hit today or tomorrow. Looking very good and with a risk to reward ratio of 1:1, we only need a small reaction in order to hit our profit target.
Remember to trade with the probabilities. No single trade determines our performance, we will all have a loser once in a while.
Take care,
TheSupportResistanceTrader
Trading Psychology 5 Edge ExecutionEdge Execution
Trading is a numbers game, and markets are based on the mathematics of the traders equation. However, understanding this alone will not guarantee profits. The ability to apply and conform to the math of the current market context is what leads to consistent profits. Beginners often have a misconecption that they need to know what is going to happen over the period of the next X number of bars in order to make a profit. They believe they must enter at the exact right time and price in order to win on a trade. This could not be further from the truth, and anyone consistenly making money from the markets knows the reality. The reality is a trader does not need to know what is going to happen next in order to make a profit. In fact, a professional trader knows that any given trade is irrelevant to the bigger picture, and an income is generated over a series of trades; not any single trade. This menatlity is past the duality of winning and losing, which are simply accepted as part of the job. This can be called the "probability mindset."
Profits are generated over a series of trades, not any single trade. Therefore, it is not necessary to make money on every trade, every day, or even every month to be a succesful trader. It takes time to build confidence, believe this is true and fully understand this concept. Perhaps this is why most traders fail, by giving up before coming to this realization. It has been said that professional traders have "Won the game before they started playing." (Jack Swagger). This confidence can only come from the probability mindset, when a trader accepts he may lose on this trade, the day, or even this year. But he accepts his risk, and trusts the math that over time he will generate a profit. Even if he takes a large loss, or several, it does not matter; he knows he will make it back up. The overall point of this is that losses are part of the trading process. If a trade is a loser, it does not matter; move on to the next trade. Dwelling on losses or a drawdown does not bring the money back, but continuing to trade does. In this sense it can be said that a successful trader "trades his way out of a drawdown."
It is helpful to think of losses as the "cost of doing business" just like any other business would incur expenses while conducting its operations. There are very few (if any) businesses that do not require heavy start up costs, or capital to continue the business while generating profits. Ever heard the saying "It takes money to make money?" Trading is no different, although most traders fail to realize this, and focus solely on profits. In trading, our costs are commissions and losses, which are offset by gains, resulting in a net profit.
Employing your Edge
So what does this have to do with exeucting an edge? Well, it is necessary to understand not every trade is a guranteed success, and there is a random distribution between wins and losses, with any edge. Even the best setup or edge will result in a loss 30-40% of the time. It is virtually impossible to know in advance, which trade will win and which will lose. Therefore it is absolutely imperative to take every trade that meets a traders edge, regardless of how the trader feels, thinks, or any other variables unrelated to the edge. With this said, here are the basic steps to exeucting and employing an edge.
1). Identify edge. Pick a setup (second entry, wedge reversal, follow through bar, ect.) It is a good idea to start with one until familiar with reading prices.
2). Ask yourself at the close of every bar "Is my edge present?" If no, wait. If yes, enter the trade.
3). Execute the edge with a series of 10 or 20 trades, document every trade. At the end of the series analyze results and tweak.
Wishing you the best of luck on your trading journey
-Josh Ridenour
EURCHF MAJOR ZONENot really a call therefore i put this idea as educational. The EURCHF seems to be at a very important resistance where the major sell off occurred at the end of 2014-15. There seems to be a lot of news indicating that the CHF will weaken further due to the negative interest rates and the SNB allowing the further depreciation of their currency - but in my opinion the TA will tell - on the higher time frames i think we should look for a divergence and couple it with the upcoming chf news this week for a SELL . A major opportunity with low risk compared to the reward and if we're wrong.... oh well. I think the euro will go back to the zone... no doubt , but just not yet.
XVG/BTC zoneI have nothing to say on this. To be honest just testing structure
if buy zone breaks could see it go to 730 stopping at 640 first
if sell zone breaks 450 - 400
Let's Be Clear - More Opportunities To Buy!- About a 20% chance for a run to test the $7750
resistance at max before retracing to
$7050-$7450 Buy Zone.
- 20 day moving average is acting as a strong resistance.
- About an 80% chance for a downward breakout from
the ascending channel that has formed, & another
retracement to the ascending support 'buy zone'.
- The course could run over the next month; I expect
bullish momentum in July - August.
Bitcoin Battleplan for May/JuneHi everyone,
As seen on my chart we are currently in a neutral zone . Within less then 3 weeks we will know what decision bitcoin will make. Will we enter a bear market or a bull market? We do not know and it is up to Bitcoin to decide.
Because we do not know what the outcome will be you should be ready for both bull and bearish outcome. Therefore it is wise to have a plan ready on how to act to a direction.
I added the key fib resistance and support levels to provide guidance in making decisions.
Hopefully it can help you out!
Goodluck everyone,
Vincent
Golem Daily Trade - HUGE Support + 0.5 FIB Bounce (+20%) ProfitHello traders,
Weekend is back, and a bit boring as usual in the crypto market! Bitcoin is going sideways for some hours, and still no clear direction atm!
I bring you another daily trade! I will be posting trades for my followers EVERYDAY! Totally free, i dont have VIP groups or telegram, i just work for my TV community because i love your support! :D
But now lets talk about GNT - GOLEM trade... :D
We are looking at the 2hr Chart, and we can see the EMA, are still acting as resistance to golem, and i was looking at the daily chart, and we are clearly arriving a zone with HUGE support, wich a bounce is expected!
We have the 0.5 FIB + the 50EMA of the daily chart wich is a big support, both in the same zone, marked in the chart in the blue box! Thats is our buy zone!
I have put 2 targets in the chart, one short term, that is the one i will be taking profit, and one longer term!
We can make about 20% profit in the 1st target in maybe 1/2 days,after we touch the support zone!
Stop loss should be just under our buy zone (blue box)
I will update this trade soon, dont miss this one!!
If you like my posts dont forget to leave a BIG like, or comment below, i appreciate a lot your words!
See you soon,
Mr.TTT