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ridethepig | Wheat for the Yearly Close📌 @ridethepig ZW1! Market Commentary 17.12.2020 For buyers the breakout creates the typical starting point, one we have seen many many times before. The fact it is happening on the monthly chart is very telling, this is threatening to impulsive explode to the topside via shortages on the supply side from lockdowns and contractions in globalisation. Whatever may be the case on the climate side (and I am certainly no expert here) it has been one of the biggest crops on year for Russia. Fertile farming at its best... Tracking closely the 600 support, for a move towards 900 and 1350 ... watch out for any battle against this in the coming weeks as we enter into a commodity cycle. Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
CBOT:ZW1!Long
by ridethepig
3
More money for same amount of food now !read article here Yes, we will need to make more money to purchase the same amount of food than before as the price has gone up or inflated. Whatever the reasons you like to believe to cause the inflation, the outcome is the same - you will need more money than before to purchase the same amount of food. Options you have ? Substitute the food for a cheaper brand or reduce the amount of intake. Or eliminate it from your diet. Or you could find ways to make more money so your lifestyle is not so affected. To me, investing, trading is a very good way. I wish I was much much more financial savvy in my teens instead of spending money on branded stuff and lots of pretty useless stuff, haha.
CBOT:ZW1!Long
by dchua1969
When technicals fail, revert back to fundamentalsWheat has been trending upwards with a channel/megaphone pattern so far. The prices were increasing rapidly and near the channel boundary, it exploded. When it could end up is very questionable but it's not hard to understand the recent price increase is purely based on fear. Ukraine and Russia contribute to a total of about 26% to the Wheat market, even if we assume they completely vanished, it's only reasonable to guess the price should not go more than 26% from the upper channel boundary. But the markets are not rational, and during conflicting and desperate times it may increase up to 50% to the maximum wheat price recorded ever. I hope this would not happen because what happened later was the global financial crisis, and history could very well be repeated. If you have access to options, buy some puts on wheat. When markets settle the price will crash spectacularly and you can sit with a lot of cash. Do not short a parabolic market unless you have a lot of money. Buy puts on the parabolic market because all curves become lines in trades. Every parabolic move is short-lived.
CBOT:ZW1!Short
by titus22045
Food shortages entering back into playThe playbook for manoeuvring - actively adding longs We can start with a quick review of the general plan for the operation I shall be discussing. I imagine all sitting in longs from earlier in the year are ready to exploit greater freedom of movement which we we will posses a tick above August highs. So to seize the point, our attack is a momentum move, like a sailing boat when we get caught in the wind. Eyeballing a test of first targets at 900 as early as the yearly close. As can be seen from above, it would be quite wrong to describe these moves here as anything but painful for consumers. Depending on the price action at 900 we are flirting to unlock the GFC highs. We are 23% and counting, time to start swinging the bat!
CBOT:ZW1!Long
by ridethepig
5
Wheat Completes Head and Shoulders Pattern, Target at 865Trend Analysis The main view of this trade idea is on the 15 Min Chart. There appears to be a completed head and shoulders price pattern on the commodity Wheat. The left shoulder is around the low of 750.38, the head made a low of 750.38 and the right shoulder made a low of 757. The pattern is not at its original designation however appears to be a positive sign nonetheless. The neckline stands at the 779.37 and 779.87 highs. The completion of this pattern takes the commodity towards current price levels at the time of publishing. Expectations are for the trend in the commodity to continue towards 865. A stop loss order has been placed at 766, below Wheat’s neckline. The Point and Figure Chart corroborates this bullish view. There was a close above the short (30-MA) medium (100-MA) and long (200-MA) moving averages. There has also been positive crossovers on these respective MAs. The Awesome Oscillator (AO) is above 0 and green and the RSI is above 50. The chart indicates that Wheat can rally towards 860. The Daily chart shows a breakout of 804 resistance. Closing above this level indicates a bullish move for the commodity. Recommendation The recommendation will be to go long at market, with a stop loss at 766 and a target of 865. This produces a risk/reward ratio of 1.73. Disclaimer The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes. At the time of publishing I have exposure to Wheat.
FX:WHEATFLong
by Ceddy86
wheat will have to enter it's cyclewheat has a 6month cycle, between northern and southern emisphere crop, looks like it will begin a supercycle, like all commodities. by a thecnical point of view, it's forming a H&S. wheat is a quite "dangerous" commodity to trade so i don't think it's a good idea entering before the pattern ends it's forming and starts going down from that neckline, multiple false breakouts are to expect once the price is bellow the neckline. i don't think it's a coincidence that the natural target of the pattern coincides with a round number (600), witch has been a strong resistance and support in the past.
CBOT:ZW1!Short
by warrenbuffettdemicasa
Wheat Futures September 2021 ContractThe pattern is currently doing a sideways or consolidation in 1 HR and below. It looks like the selling pressure is present unless if its breaks the red line resistance with a strong buying force. Other confluence for shorts are: 1) Pattern making a reversal at a 61.8 Fibo level 2) Seller coming in, can be seen in Volume 3) Bullish momentum getting less and less 4) Price break 100MA, but yet to respect it. Entry guidelines: - I will wait for the price to break the trendline and the support area before going into a position targetting 160-170 ticks below. Good luck!
CBOT:ZWU2021Short
by AMianz
WHEAT Good Signal SellI am a consultant for anyone who needs a consultant, I see that WHEAT Corp will GODOWN IN FEW MINUTES when the market open 1, When you decide to use my ideas in your trading, please contact me to inform you of some things and monitor the position together without specifying a take profit or stop loss, we will decide when to open and close the position 2 (When I set the take profit and stop loss in a number that does not mean that the price will reach it, I gave a buy or sell signal only according to the analyzes I made in the chart and delete it later, in the order to share it with you so that you have a clear picture and read it clearly, thank you!) 3, you can try me for one or two weeks to decide to work with you and give you signals about buying or selling WHEAT
CBOT:ZW1!Short
by soufianchiekh
Hedging your food inflation costsRead news here , here and here . It is bad enough when food inflation is rising in developed countries , worse if it happens in countries that are suffering from poverty and food shortage. The inability to travel due to Covid-19 pandemic seems to exacerbate the situation as well as cargoes are held at customs and ports and more stringent measures needed to clear it. I believe corn, wheat, soya beans and other soft commodities that I have covered thus far will continue to go up ......
CBOT:ZW1!Long
by dchua1969
2