Macro Bullish Rates?An over simplification? I hope so.
The narrative fits too close for me. Needless to say, it's worth keeping an eye on.
If we manage to keep interest rates low for a while but inflation creeps in again (not due to high demand but because of monetary inflation) I can see the debt spiral scenario pl
Government bonds
10 Yr Bond Yield breaks downtrend & then falls back into it!10 Yr Bond yields seem to have topped after that massive 1 week run. That was an impressive run! TVC:TNX
Even though the downtrend was broken, the 10Yr Yield put in a LOWER high.
We can also see that the recent uptrend was violated, back in a down trend.
Short term interest rates look worse!
US10Y - Higher Probability Times Are to Come Soon!Throughout this month, its been nothing but indecision in the markets and it does not look like anything will change anytime soon!
With the reciprocal tariffs running rampant throughout the economy, investors and traders cannot make up their mind whether they want to be a buyer or seller.
Best thi
US 10Y TREASURY: NFP and jobs data ahead There has been another pullback in the 10Y US Treasury yields during the previous week. It comes as a result of investors' anticipation that the trade war between the US and China might soon be finalized. However, this sentiment is again based on mixed signals coming from the US Administration durin
2-Year US Treasury Yield: The Market's Immediate Sentiment GaugeThe 2-year Yield currently trades at 3.805%, unfolding within a well-defined three-year falling wedge pattern. This formation follows an extraordinary surge from 0.105% in January 2021 to 5.283% in October 2023—reflecting rapid Fed rate hikes and inflation expectations. The 4.00% level, which aligns
US02YThe differential between the US02Y (2-year U.S. Treasury yield) and EUR02Y (2-year Eurozone government bond yield) significantly influences the trade directional bias for the USD and EUR this month. Here's how:
Impact of Yield Differential on Currency Trade
Interest Rate Differentials: A widening yi
US10Y 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows the US Government Bonds 10-Year Yield (US10Y) on a 30-minute timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the technical analysis represented:
1. Downtrend Pattern:
A descending triangle or falling wedge formation is drawn using blue and green trendlines.
The chart shows a significant drop fr
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