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Government bonds

US10Y Expecting a bullish reversal at the bottom.The U.S. Government Bonds 10 YR Yield (US10Y) initially expanded but then took a breather on the new Bullish Leg, as per our January 24 (see chart below) buy signal, before hitting our Target: The price is now approaching the bottom of the 2-year Channel Up yet again and by next week a 1D Death Cross will be completed. The 2 previous such formations within the Channel Up, have both been made right on its Higher Lows. As a result, we consider this a great bullish opportunity for the medium-term. Our Target is intact at 5.000%. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:US10YLong
by TradingShot
US10Y Q2-Q3 FY24 FORECAST : WHATS NEXT BROThis is one of those calls i hope dont play out cause with dxy indicating higher for longer and rates being held and cuts being reduced to one for the year its clear that next years estimates will be revised as well. Expecting a continuation at the 2nd level if that breaks look like we officially in bear country. Any logical investor will be defensive especially if Jamie Dimon warning wall street (flexing he's finance influencer side hustle) everyone is preparing dont be optimistic never too bullsih never to bearish just accept the cause to an effect. But since everyone is expecting a recession i wonder how random it will be.
TVC:US10YLong
by Bekiumuzi_Dube
US 10Y TREASURY: easing with lower groundsInflation data posted during the previous week were the ones that the market was closely watching. A better than expected inflation in June in the US made an impact on Treasury yields. The consumer price index in June was down 0.1% from the figure posted in May, bringing CPI to the level of 3.0% on a yearly basis. At the same time core inflation was higher by 0.1% on a monthly basis, bringing core inflation to the level of 3.3% y/y. The evident slowdown in inflation figures supported market expectations that the Fed might cut interest rates in September this year, in which sense, 10Y Treasury yields dropped to the level of 4.18% as of the end of the week. In terms of technical analysis, the 10Y Treasury yields are still testing the 4.20% level. In this sense some lower volatility might be expected in the week ahead. The market might turn once again to the upside, to the levels modestly above the 4.20% level. Charts are indicating probability for 4.30%, however, this might be the case for a week or two weeks ahead. In any case, the longer term perspective for Treasury yields is further decreased.
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
Why Are Bonds Still Crashing?Why are US, UK, and EU bonds still crashing since March 2020? In this video, we are going to study the relationship between bonds, yields, and interest rates, which many of us find confusing. How can we understand them, and why are bond prices leading the yield, followed by interest rates this season? 10 Year Yield Futures Ticker: 10Y Minimum fluctuation: 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
TVC:US30YEducation
by konhow
9
US 10Y TREASURY: June inflation and PPIMarkets reacted to released unemployment data during the previous week. The increasing unemployment to 4.1% in June from 4.0% in May was an indication to investors of a possibility that inflation pressures will slow down on decreased employment and that it will provide the necessary space for the Fed to cut interest rates in September. After struggling to sustain yields during the past several weeks, the market finally reacted in a relaxed manner during the previous week, by bringing the 10Y benchmark yields down to 4.28% on Friday. Yields started the week around level of 4.48%. For the week ahead, it should be considered that June inflation and PPI data will be published. Although surprises in inflation data are not expected, still, in case that posted figures do not fit market expectations, the market will correct current pricing. As per current charts, the level of 4.20% is indicated as the next level to be tested. However, some volatility might be expected, but not higher from 4.30%.
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
US01Y Treasury Head and ShouldersBeen watching the US01Y treasury as its chart patterns certainly are just as valid as normal stocks, but it really reflects the basis of the whole US economy being highly correlated to the fed interest rate. Right now we have a very well-defined head and shoulders pattern after quite the straight line up from near-zero from the covid era. The action this week in particular is interesting, in that it may be starting to reveal an initial tipping point. Up until this week, I wasn't sure if it was going to be a head-and-shoulders fakeout leading to a continued uptrend in rates, but this looks more like the possible beginning of a new trend back down, **if this decline continues over the next few weeks...** The 200-week SMA on the left screen would be a likely target, so somewhere between 2.5% - 3%... Let's see!
TVC:US01YShort
by tyler_sim
US 10Y TREASURY: digesting inflation dataFriday brought some higher volatility on the markets as newest inflation data were released, as well as the consumer sentiment. Although 10Y Treasury yields spent the first half of the week testing levels above 4.20%, still, released inflation data pushed the yields toward the 4.40% level. Released PCE data showed inflation at 2.6% y/y, which was the lowest level for the last three years. Still, the market also took into consideration Michigan consumer sentiment, which reached the level above the market estimate, and exposed consumer expectations that the inflation will stay elevated around 3% within the next year. The market priced recent available information regarding the potential Fed's move in the coming period. The CME Group's FedWatch Tool is still showing that the majority of participants are expecting that the first rate cut might occur at September`s FOMC meeting. Still, it should be noted that Fed Governor Michelle Bowman noted in an interview during the week, that she does not dismiss the possibility of increasing interest rates if inflation turns to the upside again. Since the market reached the 4.4% level on Friday, it could be expected that digesting of the latest inflation data will continue within the week ahead. In this sense, there is a higher probability that yields will ease during the week, at least to the level of 4.3%.
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX