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Government bonds

US30Y: A Deep Dive into US30Y Bond Swing-Trade OpportunityThe US30Y bond is a type of loan that the United States government takes from investors. It's called a "30-year bond" because it takes 30 years for the government to pay back the loan in full. When you buy a US30Y bond, you're essentially lending money to the government, and in return, they promise to pay you back the amount you lent, plus interest, over the 30-year period. People trade US30Y bonds because they can buy and sell them before they mature. This means you can potentially make money by selling the bond for more than you paid for it if its value goes up, or you might sell it for less if its value goes down. The value of the bond can change based on factors like interest rates, inflation, and economic conditions. Most investors often see US30Y bonds as a safer investment compared to stocks because they're backed by the government. However, they still carry risks, such as changes in interest rates or inflation levels. So, people who trade US30Y bonds need to carefully consider these factors before making investment decisions. Now let's get into the detailed analysis of this bond 12M: 6M: 3M: 1M: 1D:
TVC:US30YLong
by Fractalyst
Stock Market Analysis - Bullish & Bearish Sectors Heavy selling observed across the S&P500: Financials & Real Estate hit hard. S&P500 hitting the 50 day MA...technical daily support. Some breakout sectors are seeing there first pullback in a bullish trend. The sectors that have had breakouts will likely see dip buyers. Health Care & Utilities are into some interesting support levels. This is where bulls step in. Megacap Tech still saw some flight to safety money! Lets see if this holds.
TVC:US10Y
by Trading-Capital
US 10Y TREASURY: inflation means less rate cutsJobs data were the ones that moved the markets two weeks ago, while the previous week was marked with inflation data. The US inflation is quite persistent and moved higher to 3.5% in March, from 3.4% that the market was expecting. The overall market sentiment is that the Fed will stay reluctant to decrease interest rates during the course of this year, since the inflation is slowly moving far away from targeted 2%. However, not all on the market are of this opinion. Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, made a comment of his expectations that the Fed might cut interest rates at least two times till the end of this year, however, the estimated 2% will be missed. In other words, he expects that the Fed will drop the idea of a 2% target, and accept its higher levels. What will be the final Fed's decision, markets will know in May this year, since the next FOMC meeting is scheduled for the first week of May. During the previous week market priced current expectations and moved 10Y Treasury yields to the much higher grounds, from previously expected and traded. At one moment yields reached the level of 4.59%, however, they ended the week at 4.52%. Since the market priced currently known information, it could be expected that yields will calm down a bit in the week ahead. However, there should not be expected some significant drop in yields, at least until the next FOMC meeting.
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
US10Y First 1D Golden Cross after 9 months formed!The U.S. Government Bonds 10 YR Yield (US10Y) is expanding the new Bullish Leg, and continues to follow the buy signal we gave on January 24 (see chart below): The key development today is the formation of the first Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame in 9 months (since July 10 2023). This is a huge technical buy signal on its own and becomes even more so since it is so rare. The previous Golden Cross before July 2023 was on October 29 2021, which means that when the market forms this pattern, the price rallies aggressively. That is exactly what we expect to happen now. A short-term pull-back to test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) similar to July 19 2023, is possible but as long as it holds, we expect our 5.000% Target to get hit relatively soon. Beyond that, we need to see the previous Higher High breaking (similar to August 21 2023) to justify further buying. If that happens we will look for a new Higher High extension on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, approximately around 5.800%. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:US10YLong
by TradingShot
1
Are Interest Rates going Higher?What would cause rates to move higher? Inflation 2.0? According to this long term yield chart were about to experience a paradigm shift in rates. If this Monthly Golden cross occurs we should see a bull market in rates continue into the future. This would not be a good sing for risk equites. The last time we got the opposite signal" Death cross" we saw a 30 year bond bull market/ 30 year bear yield market. Maybe the traditional 60 equity/40 bond gets toppled. Maybe we move to a 40 equity/60 bond portfolio. If This rotation was to occur, the stock market would likely see a significant loss.
TVC:US10Y
by Trading-Capital
1
US 10Y TREASURY: jobs and inflation data Jobs data posted during the previous week surprised the markets in a negative way. It is sort of a paradox, considering that usually strong job market is good for the economy of any country. However, at the current situation, this strong jobs market sends a signal of a potential increase in inflation figures, which might impact the Fed's decision to cut interest rates during the course of this year. In addition, there should be noted a modest effect from new geopolitical tensions in the Middle East which impact jump in price of oil. The combination of these effects, made markets to reconsider their previously set projections, and re-position accordingly. In this sense, the 10Y Treasury yields made a significant move from levels around 4.2% all the way up to the level of 4.4% during the week. In a week ahead data on US inflation rate in March are set to be released, which might drive some further volatility on the markets. Depending on data, if inflation is persistent then some further moves around 4.4% might be expected. On the opposite side, there should be some relaxation in yields, at least till the level of 4.3%.
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
US10Y - Can The Upwards Momentum Continue?From the ending of 2023, Yields have been trickling to the upside, regaining the losses made throughout the last quarter of Q4. With this weeks candle attacking buyside liquidity with a strong bullish closure, manipulation to the downside, ideally respecting the short term lows @ 4.183%. 4.532% lowest displacement of the order block is in the cards. My philosophy is simple... Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go. This includes; - Market Structure - Buyside/Sellside Liquidity - Order Blocks - Liquidity Voids - Fair Value Gaps - Optimal Trade Entry - Premium/Discount Array - SIBI/BISI - Many More! The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated. Credits; - Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE - Shawn Lee POWELL - Toray KORTAN
TVC:US10YLong
by LegendSince