US30Y Currently US30Y is in the selling zone, but if the red average indicated by the blue arrow is broken and we enter the green zone, the market will be in the buying phase.Shortby aboubakkrhajjamielidrissi3
US10Y Currently US10Y is in the selling zone, but if the red average indicated by the blue arrow is broken and we enter the green zone, the market will be in the buying phase.Shortby aboubakkrhajjamielidrissi331
GB10YCurrentlyGB10Y is in the selling zone, but if the red average indicated by the blue arrow is broken and we enter the green zone, the market will be in the buying phase.Shortby aboubakkrhajjamielidrissi1
JP10Y Currently JP10Y is in the selling zone, but if the red average indicated by the blue arrow is broken and we enter the green zone, the market will be in the buying phase.Shortby aboubakkrhajjamielidrissi3
US10Y: Bullish long term.The US10Y is being rejected on the 1D MA200 after a HL rebound at the bottom of the 1 year Channel Up. The 1D technical outlook turned bearish again (RSI = 42.660, MACD = -0.055, ADX = 36.524), same with the 1W timeframe (RSI = 43.184), so this is still an early buy opportunity for the long term. The 1D RSI patterns among the three bottoms so far are similar and one more pullback to the HL would be ideal for the most comfortable buy entry until the 1D MA50 is crossed. Our target is towards the 0.786 Fibonacci level (TP = 4.600%). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##Longby InvestingScope1110
Bonds go up, stocks go downThe 10YR Yield is retracing up with a strong bullish div on the RSI and momentum wave. The SPX is on the opposite side. - strong bearish div on the RSI and momentum wave. - blue pivot point indications - price is trading outside the BB and is closing back inside. The SPX is ready for a big retrace. Longby ValerianK5
US10Y Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 011124Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 126/61.80% Chart time frame : C A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress : B A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) Hit the bottom D) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provide these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.by fibonacci61802
FRANCE GOVERNMENT BONDS 10YR FR10YCurrently FRANCE GOVERNMENT BONDS 10YR FR10Y is in the selling zone, but if the red average indicated by the blue arrow is broken and we enter the green zone, the market will be in the buying phase.Shortby aboubakkrhajjamielidrissi1
DE10YCurrently DE10Y is in the selling zone, but if the red average indicated by the blue arrow is broken and we enter the green zone, the market will be in the buying phase.Shortby aboubakkrhajjamielidrissi0
us10y and the secondary wave of inflation.before you read any further, read my post from april: --- it has been awhile since i've given a public update on the us10y and my general theory about where i believe these rates are headed. back in april of 2023, i gave an upside target of 5.9% for the us10y. as of today, i'm raising the range for that upside target into the window between 6-9%, going into the end of 2024. i'm aware that jpow has mentioned in the last few fed meetings that he has no intention of raising the rates any further, but i'm seeing a significant development on many of the charts this week which tells me otherwise. so i'm calling him out on his bluff. --- us10y w5 algo = 6-9%by Eloquent11
Long Yields!Long the 10y for rising rates, this means bank stonks. This isn't a perma long as I expect Q3/4 to slow down on the YoY comps. Ultimately I see a lower high from the past high we saw. Lots of inflation bulls here and I am one of them, but this inflation is printer induced. Forget to restock the printer and inflation disappears real fast. The pair trade here into Q3 is long XLF and short TLTLongby rwoods187Updated 3
2s / 10s - 18 monthsPSA: It's 18 months since the 2s / 10s yield curve inversion on July 6th 2022. by Options360113
US 10Y TREASURY: heading toward 3% in 2024The first half of the year 2023 was marked with continuation of Fed`s aggressive rate hike due to quantitative tightening in order to fight elevated inflation. During October last year the 10Y US Treasuries reached the highest yearly level of 5%. Considering that following months brought some relaxation in Fed`s rhetoric, the yields returned to the lower grounds. The pivotal point for yields was a moment when Fed officials stressed their projections that the reference rate as of the end of 2024 should reach 4.6%. This was a major note for markets, which started pricing Fed's rate cuts in the year ahead. During the Q3 2023 Treasury yields significantly eased, ending the year by testing the 4.0% level. As per latest Fed`s forecasts, the inflation in the US should decrease in 2024, but will still not reach the targeted value of 2%, jobs markets should remain strong as well as economic output, and the Fed will correct its current interest rates to the downside. In economic theory this would imply that 10Y Treasury yields should follow the path and also decrease. However, the theory is one thing, and the reality is something completely different. Analysts are generally in agreement that yields should move between 3% and 4% in 2024, however, it will strongly depend on the Fed`s rhetoric and further monetary moves. What is currently certain is that the 4% level will be tested at the beginning of 2024, with some probability that the level of 3% might be reached as of the year-end. by XBTFX16
Support & Resistance Level on US 10 Year Treasury - Weekly ChartOn this Weekly chart I add the lines of key support and resistance levels for the US 10 Year Treasury. It's at a pivotal point right now hovering around 4%. What i'm watching for is to see if it's going to reclaim 4% for 2 consecutive weeks at a minimum and move higher to re-test that 4.25 to 4.28 range or if it will stay below 4% for 2-3 consecutive weeks and move lower into the next level down that I have marked off with white lines. I watch this closely as I am in the mortgage business and what the 10 year does daily will impact mortgage rates. by jonesteam2013116
Critical Levels and Market Anticipation - US 10Y yieldUnveiling the High-Stakes Dance of US Inflation and the 10-Year Yield: Critical Levels and Market Anticipation" A slew of US inflation data is scheduled for release on Friday, prompting our attention towards the US 10-year yield. Initially holding ground at 3.79, it has recently broken its short-term downtrend and is undergoing an upward correction. The market has paused near the 4.10 level, precisely aligning with the high of March 23 at 4.09. It seems the market is consolidating its recent gains. Beyond the 4.10 mark, the immediate target price appears to be a combination of the 55-day moving average, presently at 4.31, and the previous peak in August 2023 at 4.36. Notably, these two levels stand out clearly on the chart, also marking the high from October 2022. From a technical perspective, breaching 4.10 could lead to an upward movement towards 4.31 to 4.36, serving as the next significant barrier. On the downside, the recent low of 3.79 and the 20-month moving average at 3.80 act as initial support levels. Below this lies a more substantial base of support, not encountered until 3.25. The forthcoming inflation figures on Friday should be interesting. All eyes are set on these critical levels for the US 10-year yield, hinting at potential market movements ahead. Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site. Long02:04by The_STA4
US Government Bonds 2 YR Yield 📌💵💰Daily chart. Resistance zone. It remains to be seen the position of the FED, whether or not to lower the rate? Make up your mind.by DL_INVEST11
Higher yields coming blow off top? Countries are losing faith in the USA and gaining faith in the Brics nations. Expect higher inflation in food and lower asset prices with higher yields moving forward by derekh422
UST 10 yr yield, breaking the trend line on a closing basisThe rally in UST that began end of October and was supported by Mr Dove JP, is now unwinding. If NFP's are strong this Friday could push yields back to 4.25. Shortby Taigosan7
2YEAR STOPPED AT .618 well now The chart is that of the 2 year we seem to stop right at .618 how about that ?? what next see RSI chart above I would not be short the 2 year by wavetimer7
Anticipating a Revisit to 141 Zone: Validating a Bund Market SetI'm about to share a position in the Forex market on the Bund, and I'd like to express the following: Although the Risk-Reward ratio stands at a modest 1.3, I'm confident in the validity of the setup. I believe that the 141 zone will likely be revisited sooner rather than later, possibly leading to the establishment of a new low in the Bund market. Therefore, my Take Profit (TP) is set at 141 within this range.Longby FonF0nUpdated 6
Short term rates still look weak while long term look betterHAPPY NEW YEAR! 🎉 US Treasury markets are more than the combined bond markets of Germany, Japan, China, UK, France, and Italy = HUGE. This is why US #Bond market is important to keep track of. Short term #interestrates has been the weakest in a LONG TIME 1Yr & 2Yr charts look similar. US Debt 2ys & less have been weakening & look like they still want to weaken a bit more. ------------------------------------------------- HOWEVER, long term debt looks to be solidifying a bit. The 10 & 30Yr #Yield look identical & both look like they want to bounce here. How strong? We'll see. Took small position on Thurs. This could also be more of a technical set up as both are at support levels, 30yr is at strong long term support. TVC:TNX #bondsby ROYAL_OAK_INC2
Understanding quarterly shifts in DXYIf you engage in futures trading, it's crucial to closely monitor quarterly shifts in DXY (US Dollar Index), EUR/USD, and yields. These indicators provide valuable insights into potential directional changes. Pay special attention to daily Market Structure High (MSB) and Smart Money Tool (SMT) patterns among correlated assets. Once a shift is identified, focus your trades in alignment with that new direction, emphasizing a strategy that considers the prevailing macroeconomic factors. The correlation and intermarket analysis, integral to this approach, involve studying relationships between assets to discern potential market movements. Success in implementing this strategy relies on a trader's expertise, risk management, and adaptability to evolving market conditions. Stay informed about global economic events and regularly reassess your trading strategy in response to market developments.Educationby BullishFX_Consultancy3