US BONDS 2YR YIELD Chart Fibonacci Analysis 042723Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 4%/61.80% by fibonacci61801
4-27-23 [us10y]hello, here is one more layer of confluence, to back up my spx case. --- to the untrained eye, this looks like total, nonsensical chop, but to a space explorer, it can easily be viewed as a 3-3-3. what is a 3-3-3? glad you ask anon: a 3-3-3, is a very corrective structure, designed to kill time mostly- labeled w-x-y. wxy = double zig-zag these channel nicely, as portrayed in the image above. --- once this double zig-zag concludes into the summer time, i predict the stock market will crash. --- enjoy it till then, and as always --- this is not financial advice, i am merely an artist, bringing to you, art.by Eloquent9
US10 YEAR REVISITING 4.00 AREA?Looking at US10Y Bond Technical analysis suggests that the bond market will revisit 4.00 area in a completion of Bearish Bat Pattern. #Following Market closelyLongby BarnabasMbogo2
US10Y: Last dip before a medium term reboundThe US10Y is trading inside a Channel Down ever since its market peak on October 21st. The 1D technicals are neutral (RSI = 54.601, MACD = 0.300, ADX = 17.030) giving a mixed tone to the price action but based on the December-January Lows we can see the the Channel Down has one last dip to make before it bottoms and rebounds on the medium term. We will wait for that pullback around 3.250 and buy targeting the 0.618 Fibonacci (TP = 3.750). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##by InvestingScope119
EUBUND just Broke an important Resistance level Hello Traders Euro Bund just broke a resistance level on the 15 min timeframe there is big change it's going to continue going up, so there is a big opportunity for buyers i the short term ,ELongby themehdi3225
Will the US 10-year Treasury yield move towards the 3.9% level?This is my view of the next US 10-year Treasury yield movement. Of course, the Fed's decision at the early meeting next month will have a big impact on the US 10-year Treasury yield movement. But for now, I still see potential for an increase to the 3.9%-4.0% level.Longby aerhakim4
5-year US Treasury Yield Working with Long-Term and Medium-Term In the previous Weekly Market Insight, I directed the technical spotlight to a long-term harmonic equivalent AB=CD bullish structure on the 5-year US Treasury yield weekly chart in a market trending higher since August 2020. The AB=CD zone, as you can see, has offered this market a technical floor since mid-March, denoted by the 100% projection at 3.243%. What’s interesting, though, is on the daily timeframe we can see that the reaction from the weekly AB=CD floor has carved out a daily equivalent AB=CD bearish pattern at 3.757%. This, coupled with Wednesday’s bearish Shooting Star candle pattern and nearby dynamic resistance derived from the 200-day simple moving average at 3.700%, could be enough to motivate a downside move this week to test at least the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratios (derived from legs A-D) at 3.558% and 3.437%, respectively. Shortby Aaron-Hill5
INCREASE IN INTEREST REATES VERY SOONFrom my previous analysis about Bonds market that is extremely bearish. The opposite should occur in the Interest rates. From Pure Technical Analysis, Price takes out March 23rd lows and then broke to the upside I expect price to continue on the Bullish path from the volume Imbalance and then proper to the upside I expect 4% interest rates soom, that is the Buyside Liquidity above the market place Longby ifeanyichukwu_E8
Rates and bond yield will go back to nothing. History repeats itRates and bond yield will go back to nothing. History repeats itself Banks will get good balance of so many holding long term lockdown in yield. Shortby PivotX3
US01M - U.S. 1 Month Treasury - Long IdeaUS01M - U.S. 1 Month Treasury Bonds Long Idea, With Potential Upside Targets On Chart. Enjoy! (If this plays out, expect Equities and Crypto to get rekt'ed in the next 2-3 weeks.)Longby shri303895
US10Y - US02Y : Lesson from 2008Not long ago, it was inverted by more than 100bps. Today, the inversion is about 40bps. As we all know, once it emerges from inversion, i.e. un-inverted, that is when we start counting to the next RECESSION. On average, it is 4 months. You can see it in the above chart. FED will soon cut rates. Once un-inversion occurs, market will again do an adjustment/re-pricing exercise to all assets. As you may already know now, the FED says there is NO RATE CUT this year. In fact, there is a possibility that there is one more +25bps to go. But you should know the market reaction by NOW. The market is signaling that the FED is done with rate hikes. You can see it in the Fed Fund Futures. In fact, market is now expecting a rate CUT in the next FOMC!!! and with more to come. So now we wait for the un-inversion to occur. I think it is coming soon. Also note that DXY is much higher than compared to 2008, meaning there is a BIG possibility that there is much more to FALL??? And possibility that DXY will continue to FALL until when the market sense that the FED is done with rate hikes. Once the EFFR touches 0.00%, that is when the DXY will start rising again. Good luck. P/S : Do not just believe what I say. Use your common sense.by i_am_siewUpdated 1120
4-19-23 [us10y]good eve' --- decided to update my primary today, to further align with the current states of the market. my upside target remains the same, at 5.9%--6% into 2024, but i think we go slightly lower locally, into june before it pops. summer time is historically quite bullish in the market, so a slight pause on rates to align with seasonality makes sense. thanks JP, your service is appreciated ♥. --- i got you an update if the structure changes. ✌ by Eloquent8
2 year yield drifting higher.The 2 year yield saw one of its biggest divergences from the Fed Fund rate during the banking collapse. Now that the banks have settled the 2 year yield is closing the distance on the Fed Fund rate. Recapturing the daily 200 MA is bullish for the short term yields. This move up in yields could be signaling inflation starting to uptick as the economy & labour market remain robust. by Trading-Capital4
20 Year Yield: Bullishthe 20 year yields has also recaptured all of the key daily moving averages. The yield charts on the weekly and monthly chart look ridiculously strong. by Trading-Capital113
30 year yield: Bullish as everThe long end yields have been climbing recently and many stock market participants are not recognizing this. The long end yields market may be signaling to us that inflation is going to be entrenched longer than what mainstream experts are calling for. On a technical basis the 30 year has now recaptured all the key daily moving averages and looks primed to head higher. Longby Trading-Capital2
2Yr & $TNX coming back hard & worrisome for #techLooking @ a few different #yields (Not shown)Weekly 6month and 1Yr easier to notice BEAR FLAG & the pattern is close to being annulled. Daily 2Yr looking good, breaking out of channel. Hard to short dull market but seeing #bond yields climbing is worrisome for short term. TVC:TNX 10Yr looks like 2Yr.by ROYAL_OAK_INC5
16/04 Journal: BondsBonds at support Could mean weakening risk on environment One piece of the puzzle by PLAYBOYP4162
US10Y - US03M vs SPXThe yield curve is the most inverted it's ever been! Does this mean MEGA crash is coming? Not sure... And when will the crash come? I believe after a new ATH and melt up in risk assets. Yield curve will flatten and start rising. The market top will happen as yield curve starts going back up. Longby brian76832
us10y treasury bonds as you see treasury bond main trend line break. now price in a range channel. i think us10y traders predict interest rate will be reduce. what you think? by saeid_roodbari7
Market correlationI'm testing this correlation and looking at the bounce-up for the 10-year yields To buy indices and sell gold, let's see :) Let me hear from you..Longby Obai_IdraikhUpdated 11
Brazilian BONDS TREND UPFor quite some time brazilian bonds has been sold off but things might change from now on!Longby diegotrader99883
2 yr yield risingBanks reported profits, bank fears are gone, yields rising, lol. Aside from my index futures indicators (which predicted a red day anyways), rising yields are causing the market to drop. The whole pump this week was about "disinflation", but yields were down on bank fears so now the reverse play, lol. Gold and cryptos down along with everything besides financials, lol. Makes sense if you think about it, but not something I would have predicted. These bond yield adjustments usually take a couple of days, so bearish for Mondayby hungry_hippo7
us10y 4-14-23gm, called the top on the us10y last year as well. (view post at the bottom of this thread). swinging by to actually adjust my public bias, after a few recent discoveries. --- jerome powell explicitly mentioned in a few of the recent talks that the fed is going to raise the interest rates above 5%, and keep them there for some time. what this tells me, is they're expecting inflation to tick back up - or they're taking the extra precautions to ensure that this indeed doesn't take place. --- what i am implying here in my count - is an extension to 5.9% (at the bare minimum). this could mark a top, unless we pull back in three waves (the same we did from the recent top). 👇 by Eloquent2215