BTC - Golden Pocket & Strong FVG Resistance for a Short SetupThe current 15-minute chart of BTCUSDT reveals a textbook bearish setup forming as price retraces into a well-defined supply zone. This analysis focuses on structural breakdowns, liquidity engineering, and key Fibonacci confluences that may lead to a short-term reversal within intraday price action.
Overview of Market Structure:
BTCUSDT has been in a clear intraday downtrend with consistent lower highs and lower lows being formed. The recent price action reflects a temporary consolidation phase following the creation of a new swing low. This minor pullback appears to be corrective in nature, moving upward toward a previously established zone of inefficiency.
At the center of this setup is a well-marked bearish fair value gap (FVG), highlighted with a blue shaded rectangle, where institutional selling is expected to have previously occurred. This FVG formed after a strong displacement candle, suggesting unmitigated sell-side imbalance left in the market.
Retracement Zone and Fibonacci Confluence:
As price retraces upward, it enters the equilibrium region of the recent bearish impulse, with notable confluences around the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels. These retracement levels are critical markers where smart money algorithms often execute continuation plays during trending phases.
Both the 0.618 and 0.65 levels fall within the center of the FVG zone, further strengthening the case for this being a valid supply area. These levels are plotted with horizontal lines on the chart and serve as ideal zones to monitor for signs of rejection or bearish order flow resumption.
The 0.786 retracement, marked just above the upper boundary of the FVG, acts as a final extremity level. This level often coincides with liquidity pools where stop hunts are engineered before the actual move begins. Its proximity to a recent swing high makes it an area of interest for potential liquidity grabs prior to a deeper move down.
Projected Price Path and Liquidity Targets:
The projected blue path illustrates an expected liquidity sweep into the FVG zone, followed by a sharp rejection. This aligns with the idea of engineered liquidity collection before continuation in the original trend direction. The move anticipates price reaching back into the area of prior support, targeting unmitigated demand near recent lows.
Of particular interest is the area around the 0.28 Fibonacci extension level, which acts as a probable magnet for price in the event of a successful rejection. The chart structure suggests that once the short-term retracement completes, there is room for a new impulse leg lower.
Internal Structure Observation:
The current lower timeframe structure shows rising momentum toward the FVG. However, this upward push lacks aggressive bullish volume and appears corrective rather than impulsive. This suggests that buyers are likely exhausting themselves as price nears the supply zone.
Additionally, the structure within this move is developing lower-timeframe liquidity pools (equal highs and tight consolidation), which could act as inducement for a sweep before the potential reversal occurs.
Conclusion:
This chart offers a well-structured short setup based on supply zone rejection, Fibonacci confluence, and a bearish market structure. The fair value gap zone between the 0.618 and 0.65 retracement levels is key, and price action within this area will be crucial in determining the next directional leg. If bearish confirmation such as an engulfing pattern or break of market structure occurs within or after tapping this zone, it would validate the bearish outlook for a short-term continuation to the downside.
This setup is ideal for intraday traders focused on precision-based entries rooted in institutional order flow principles.
Crypto market
BITCOIN → Correction to the risk zone. Rise or fall?BINANCE:BTCUSDT has updated its local maximum to 97,900, the market structure is quite positive, but still depends on the fundamental background and the behavior of the S&P 500.
The fundamental reasons that influenced the growth are the improvement in the tariff situation in the US and relations with China. Bitcoin's growth strengthened as the SP500 index rose, with which it has a fairly high correlation. In the second half of this week, the price broke out of the two-week consolidation, breaking through the resistance level of 95,500 and updating the local maximum. A correction is forming within the local upward channel.
95,000 is the liquidity and risk zone. That is, if the bulls hold their defense above 95K during the retest, Bitcoin will continue to grow in the short and medium term. Otherwise, a break of 95K could trigger a drop to 92K-88K.
Resistance levels: 97,425, 99,475
Support levels: 95,500, 92,000
All eyes are on the 95.5K support level, below which a huge liquidity pool has formed. Growth may be influenced by a retest (false breakout of support) and an imbalance of forces in the market. But we need to be careful, as the market will react to economic data. BUT! A return of prices to the selling zone (below 95000 - 95500) and the inability to continue growth could trigger a correction and liquidation.
Best regards, R. Linda!
SUI - Leveraging Fibonacci & Elliott for Precision TradesSUI’s movement is rapid, sharp swings—both up and down. In volatile conditions like this, we aim 0.702–0.786 fib retracements (and occasionally 0.886 in harmonic contexts) for high‑probability entries. Below is a clear, Elliott-focused breakdown of the current setup and both long and short trade plans.
Before diving into the charts, let’s cover the basics of Elliott Wave Theory. Elliott Wave Theory provides a roadmap for market psychology by dividing price action into two distinct phases:
1. Impulse Phase (Waves 1–5)
Wave 1: The spark that ignites a new trend as early adopters push prices beyond the prior range.
Wave 2: A corrective pullback that tests the strength of the emerging trend, often retracing 38–61.8%.
Wave 3: The powerhouse wave—typically the longest and most dynamic—driven by broad market participation and often extending to key Fibonacci levels (1.618, 2.618).
Wave 4: A consolidating correction that digests gains and builds the base for the final thrust; it must not overlap Wave 1 territory in a classic impulse.
Wave 5: The final leg of the advance, often fueled by last bursts of optimism and weaker hands.
2. Corrective Phase (Waves A–B–C)
Wave A: Initial counter-trend reaction as profit-taking begins.
Wave B: A deceptive retracement back toward the trend, frequently trapping traders.
Wave C: The concluding leg of the correction, which typically tests or breaks the low of Wave A before the next cycle begins.
Key Points:
Impulse waves showcase momentum and structural clarity, often aligning with Fibonacci extensions.
Corrective waves follow Fibonacci retracements (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%), offering optimal entry points.
Wave 3 is seldom the shortest; Wave 4’s complexity sets the stage for Wave 5’s final push.
In the current SUI structure:
Wave 1 ignited the initial rally.
Wave 2 delivered a healthy retracement, a pullback close to the 0.618 fib, setting the stage for stronger momentum.
Wave 3 roared to a powerful peak topped at the 2.618 extension ($3.875)
Now, we’re deep into Wave 4, likely an ABC corrective pattern. This pause is critical—it gathers energy before the final push of Wave 5. Below is a clear breakdown of each wave, big-picture confluences, and trade setups.
🚀 Elliott Wave Overview
1. Wave 1 & Wave 2
Wave 1: Quick surge from $2.4175 → $2.75, setting initial momentum.
Wave 2: Pulled back close to the 0.618 fib, creating a solid launchpad.
2. Wave 3: The Power Move
Peak: Hit the 2.618 extension of Wave 1→2 and aligned with the –2 extension of Wave 1.
Significance: In strong bull markets, a run to the 2.618 extension often precedes a meaningful pullback. Here, Wave 3’s exhaustion suggests a retrace toward the 38.2% Fib of that advance—our ideal Wave 4 entry zone.
3. Wave 4: The Correction
All eyes on the $3.17 level—the projected 1:1 extension of A→B and 0.382 fib retracement of Wave 3. This confluence zone is yet to be tested and could offer an ideal Wave 4 entry.
ABC Pattern: Currently working on Wave C.
4. Wave 5: The Finale
Target Zone: $4.00–$4.35, with strong focus at $4.31
Extension Levels:
1.133 → $3.9695 aligns with the 0.618 fib retracement.
1.272 → $4.0683 is close to the weekly resistance level.
1.412 → $4.1678 alings with the 0.666 fib retracement.
1.618 → $4.3142 alings with the key swing high.
🔑 Key Confluence Levels
Golden Pocket: $3.9739–$4.1492 (90-day retrace).
Speed Fan 0.618: Support around $3.15.
Fair Value Gap:
Psychological: $3.00 major support.
📈 Long Trade Setup
Entry Ladder: $3.25–$3.111 (stack orders to DCA)
Stop‑Loss: $3.07 (just below the 0.786 Fib low)
Profit Targets:
Fib 1.133 at $3.9795 ($4 psychological & partial take‑profit)
Fib 1.272 at $4.0683
Fib 1.412 at $4.1678
Fib 1.618 at $4.3142
Risk:Reward: ~6:1+ (average entry around $3.20 → SL at $3.07 → TP1 at $3.9795)
📉 Short Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $4.00–$4.35 (sweet spot at weekly level/yearly open)
Confirmation: Bearish reversal candle or volume spike down
Stop‑Loss: Above $4.35
Target: $3.77 (near Wave 3 high turned support)
Risk:Reward: ~2:1 (varies with DCA entry)
⚙️ Summary & Game Plan
Primary Bias: Long in the $3.25–$3.111 zone—stack into the 0.382-0.412 fib retracement entries with tight SL, aiming for the $4.00–$4.30 upside zone.
Alternate Bias: Short on a clear rejection within $4.00–$4.35, targeting $3.77 or lower.
Risk Management: Keep stops tight to maximize R:R.
Patience & Confirmation: Wait for price to reach these zones and show reversal signals (price action, volume, patterns) before committing.
All set—now let SUI’s swings unveil the opportunities. Sit tight, follow your plan, and let patience pay its dividend.
Happy Trading!
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$100K Bitcoin Within Days » Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (S5)Bitcoin is now bullish confirmed with a break above $97,000. Today Bitcoin trades at the highest price since late February 2025, and it is set to continue growing and growing aiming next at a break and challenge of 100K.
As soon as 100K is conquered, the Altcoins will go wild.
Which pair is your favorite Altcoin right now?
Let's start Session 5 of Your Top Altcoin Choice.
» Leave a comment with your preferred Altcoin trading pair and I will reply to your comment with a full analysis.
» We will do one pair per user/commentator.
Feel free to ask any questions.
Bitcoin is bullish now and set to grow long-term. The next All-Time High can happen around $160,000 just as it can be $180,000 or $250,000. Patience is key.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BITCOIN Trending Higher - Will Buyers Push Toward $104,550?COINBASE:BTCUSD has broken above a key resistance zone and is now pulling back for a potential retest. This area previously acted as resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
If buyers confirm support at this level, the price is likely to move upward toward the $104,550 level, which serves as a logical target for this setup. Conversely, a failure to hold support could signal a potential bearish shift.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
Bitcoin BTC Has Started CorrectionHello, Skyrexians!
Hope we understood what is going to happen with the Bitcoin dominance, if briefly we are waiting for correction and this dominance dump will likely happen on BINANCE:BTCUSDT dump.
Let's take a look at the impulse which has been started at $75k, it looks like this impulse has been finished already with the 5 Elliott waves cycle. At the very top we can see the bearish divergent bar and bearish divergence with the Awesome Oscillator. Moreover oscillator started to print red columns, it means that momentum is gone and now it's time to go down.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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SOL Analysis Deep Dive: Identifying Optimal Entry and Exit ZonesYesterday, SOL gave a sharp downside shakeout, dropping from the weekly open at $147.98 (perfectly retested) down to the 0.5 Fib retracement of the swing at $140.25. Here’s a structured breakdown of the key levels, trade setups, and R:R profiles for both longs and shorts:
🔑 Key Levels & Confluences
1. Higher-Timeframe Opens
Weekly Open & Retest: $147.98 – pivoted price before the drop
Monthly & Prior-Day Open Cluster: $147.98–$146.31 – strong support confluence zone
2. Fibonacci Support Zones
0.5 Fib at $140.25 – primary mean-reversion entry
0.786 Fib (smaller wave) at $138.78 – secondary, deeper support
3. Order Block
Daily Bullish Order Block at $139.87 – just below 0.5 Fib, adds extra support
4. Volume-Weighted Average Price
Anchored VWAP (from ATH $295.83) at ~$166.45 – key upside resistance
5. Market Profile Value Areas (10-Day Range)
Value Area High (VAH) at ~$153.00 – overhead resistance confluence
Value Area Low (VAL) at ~$145.75 – underpins support
📈 Long Trade Setups
1. 0.5/0.786 Fib + Daily Bullish Order Block
Entry: $141-138.78
Stop-Loss: $137.5
Target: $165 (anchored VWAP / Fib zones)
R:R ≈ 9:1
2. Higher-Timeframe Open Cluster
Entry Zone: $147.98–$146.31(monthly/weekly open)
Stop-Loss: $142.5
Target: $165
R:R ≈ 3:1
• Why these levels? The 0.5 Fib is a classic mean-reversion zone, bolstered by the daily order block. The $147–146 zone ties together multiple opens (weekly, monthly, prior-day), offering a solid demand area if price retraces back up.
📉 Short Trade Setup
Trigger: Rejection / swing-failure around $153.4
Entry: $153.4
Stop-Loss: $154.3
Target: Weekly/Monthly open (~$147)
R:R ≈ 6:1
• Low-risk short: A clean rejection at the recent high lets you define risk tightly above the swing, aiming to capture the retrace back to the opens.
🎯 Summary & Game Plan
Primary bias: Look for long entries at the 0.5 Fib ($140.25) or the open-cluster zone ($147–146), with targets toward the anchored VWAP at ~$166.
Alternate bias: A short on clear rejection from $153.4, targeting the opens as support.
Risk management: Keep stops tight (SL below $137.5 or above $154.3) to maximize R:R on your favored setups.
Volume & Price Action: Confirm entries with an uptick in volume or bullish price structure (for longs) or swift failure patterns (for shorts).
Now it’s a waiting game! Let price revisit these zones, watch for confirmation signals, and then scale into your chosen side. Good luck! Don't chase, let the charts come to you!
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MAY Altcoin request: Welcome to May From Recovery to OpportunityHi Everyone,
The storm of April has passed and with it, the weight of uncertainty that gripped global markets. As we enter May, the charts are beginning to flash green, sentiment is cautiously shifting, and risk appetite is gradually returning to the crypto space.
This isn’t just a relief rally—it’s a potential turning point.
Altcoins are waking up. Structural breakouts are forming. Volume is returning. While April demanded patience, May offers preparation, this is the month for strategic re-entry and tactical execution.
That’s why I’m launching a fresh round of market reviews targeted, focused, and highly selective.
📌 Up to 20 Altcoin Requests Only
📌 Submission Deadline: May 3rd, 2025
📌 One Request Per Person
📌 Format: Use proper tickers (e.g., ARBUSDT, INJUSDT)
📌 Optional: Include the coin name
I’ll deliver unbiased technical analysis, identifying key price structures, demand zones, resistance levels, and breakout confirmations, all guided by real-time price action and macro confluences.
What May Demands from Traders:
✅ Clarity over noise – Don’t chase hype. Look for structure, volume, and narrative.
✅ Discipline over emotion – React to the chart, not the crowd.
✅ Patience over impulse – Some setups need time. Good entries aren’t rushed.
✅ Capital efficiency – Stick to your allocation rules. Risk what’s reasonable.
✅ Adaptive mindset – Let the market validate your bias, not the other way around.
We know the market doesn't move in a straight line. But it rewards those who stay sharp, stay rational, and stay in the game when others step out.
📩 Comment your selected altcoin now and let’s uncover what May could deliver.
🚀 This is not just about recovery—it’s about positioning for the next big move.
Bitcoin - All time highs will come next!Bitcoin - CRYPTO:BTCUSD - prepares a significant move:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Over the past couple of months, we basically only saw sideways price action on Bitcoin. However, this does not mean, that Bitcoin is now slowing down; actually the opposite is true and Bitcoin is setting up for a major move higher. New all time highs will come very soon.
Levels to watch: $100.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
TradeCityPro | LDO: Watching for Breakout in DeFi Leader’s Range👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I’m going to review the LDO coin — one of the well-known DeFi projects within the Ethereum ecosystem with a significantly high TVL.
✔️ This project’s token currently has a market cap of $748 million, placing it at rank 86 on CoinMarketCap.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
As you can see on the 4-hour chart, after a downtrend, LDO formed a bottom around the 0.676 zone and managed to rally up to 0.868.
🔍 Currently, the price is consolidating below that resistance in a ranging box. A breakout from either direction of the box could determine the next trend.
⭐ If the box breaks upward and the 0.868 level is breached, we can consider the prior downtrend over, and the price would be forming a new bullish structure. However, there is another resistance at 0.904 right above, and there’s a possibility of rejection from that level after the 0.868 breakout.
📈 For a long position, I personally plan to enter upon the breakout of 0.868. While it’s possible that the price might reverse from 0.904, I prefer having an earlier entry and using a more accessible trigger.
🔽 On the other hand, if the box breaks to the downside, the price might revisit the 0.676 support and potentially start a new bearish leg in line with the longer-term downtrend.
📉 The first short trigger is the break of 0.818 (the lower boundary of the box), but there’s another minor support at 0.795, which may cause a bounce.
👀 I personally prefer to wait for the 0.795 level to break for a short entry, given that market momentum is currently bullish, and I prefer a more reliable trigger for shorts.
📊 Volume within this range has been decreasing, which is normal in such consolidation phases. The longer the price stays in this range, the lower the volume tends to be — and typically, a breakout will lead to a sharper move.
The RSI oscillator also has a support zone at 43.17. If this level is broken, it could signal incoming bearish momentum and increase the probability of a downside breakout.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #80👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto market indicators. As usual, I’ll review the triggers for the New York futures session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, price made a bullish move and broke the 97139 zone, but later it turned out to be a fake breakout, and now it’s moving downward.
🔍 It’s likely that this downward move is just a pullback toward the SMA99 zone, and price may bounce back up afterward. If SMA99 breaks, deeper corrections down to 95370 are possible.
✔️ In my view, as long as price stays above the 95370 zone, Bitcoin remains in an uptrend. Only once price drops below this level can we start identifying potential bearish triggers.
📈 For now, we need to wait for more structure to develop before entering any positions. The 97139 level still remains a strong bullish trigger, but it’s best to wait for a reaction to it first so we can pinpoint the exact line, and then enter upon its breakout.
⚡️ Nothing more to add about Bitcoin for now — it’s Saturday, a weekend, and the chances of ranging price action are high.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Looking at BTC dominance, yesterday it made a slight corrective move and pulled back to 64.77, where it seems to have found support.
📊 The next bullish trigger is the breakout of 64.91. Overall, the trend is still bullish, so if you're considering multi-day or swing positions, Bitcoin remains a better choice than altcoins.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Turning to the Total2 chart, this index was rejected from the 1.05 resistance once again yesterday and failed to hold above it. Until that changes, altcoins likely won’t see any significant upward momentum.
🔑 For downside movement in Total2, the trigger remains a break below 1.03.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now to Tether dominance — yesterday, this index finally closed a candle below the 4.99 level, but it was a fakeout, and it moved back above, once again preventing the broader market from turning bullish. This fakeout could inject bearish momentum into the market, potentially leading to deeper corrections.
⭐ For now, the 4.99 level still serves as a strong trigger for a bearish USDT dominance and thus a bullish signal for the market. A break above 5.10, however, would be a solid trigger for USDT dominance to trend higher.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC - The Perfect Retest!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
The picture says it all!
🔄Is history about to repeat itself?
If so, we are currently in Phase 2. 📈
What’s next? A dip toward the $87,000 - $88,000 zone would be the perfect retest to look for trend-following longs and expect the start of Phase 3.
📚 Reminder:
Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key.
Good luck, and happy trading!
All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Bitcoin Outlook May 5th – Short, Swing, & Long-Term Views1/ Short-Term (Intraday): Chop City
BTC is stuck in a tight range between 95K (demand) and 98K (supply). Oscillators mixed, momentum fading near resistance.
Play: Fade extremes, scalp carefully.
Watch: Breakout above 98K or breakdown below 95K for momentum triggers.
2/ Swing Traders (Days–Weeks): Cautiously Bullish
Weekly bullish structure intact, but daily charts flashing caution (Three Black Crows, Double Top, RSI stretched).
Ideal scenario: Buy dips near 96K–95K if momentum resets bullishly.
Invalidation: Daily close below 94.5K flips bias neutral/bearish.
3/ Long-Term Investors (Months+): Bullish with Caution
Macro backdrop remains supportive (SPX bullish, DXY weak, yields stable/rising). Institutional BTC flows steady.
BUT monthly chart shows bearish divergence—momentum slowing.
Core strategy: Accumulate on major dips (ideal: 87K–76K).
Critical invalidation: Monthly close below $76K demands risk-off rebalance.
4/ Macro Catalysts to Watch
- Equity markets (SPX) & bond yields (US10Y) maintaining risk-on stance.
- USD weakness (DXY bearish) supports BTC upside.
- Watch ETF news, institutional flows, and altcoin rotation signals for early clues.
5/ Risk Management
Short-term: Tight stops, quick profits.
Swing: Respect daily structure; cut below $94.5K.
Long-term: Hold bullish conviction above $76K monthly support.
Bottom Line for Traders & Investors
- Short-term: Range-bound scalps
- Swing: Buy dips cautiously
- Long-term: Bullish, but respect slowing momentum
Stay agile, manage risk, and trade smart. Good luck this week! 🍀
SIGNUSDT could make another pumpSIGN exits consolidation (price breaks resistance of corrective descending channel)
The coin is consolidating above the line and testing resistance at 0.09. There is a rally ahead....
Overall, the young coin has a good chance. The price has completed the dump phase after the dump and is again preparing to realize the accumulated potential.
A break of the resistance at 0.09 may give a chance to strengthen to 0.10 - 0.109
Scenario: I expect a breakout of 0.09 and price consolidation above this zone, which will only confirm the buyer's intentions to go even higher. Target 0.10 - 0.11
BRIEFING Week #18 : Waiting for RotationHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Bitcoin Range-Bound in Heavy Resistance – CME Gap Still Open!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), like Gold , has been moving in a Range for the past 5-6 days and is currently in a Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500) , as it has been in the past few days .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a main wave 4 . The main wave 4 structure can take two forms: Double Three Correction(WXY)_Expanding Flat(3-3-5) .
I label this analysis " Short " for the following reasons:
Due to Bitcoin's higher correlation with the S&P 500 Index ( SP:SPX ) these days, I am short on the S&P 500 Index.
China’s president Xi Jinping says Trump lied about them having a phone call ; it is NOT good news for the S&P 500 Index and Bitcoin .
CME Gap($92,525-$91,415) has NOT filled yet, and I think Bitcoin will NOT start the next bullish rally before filling the CME Gap.
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $92,830 and then decline to the Support zone($92,000-$91,400) if the Support lines are broken.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $96,741-$95,520
Note: If Bitcoin can touch $97,000, we should expect more pumping.
Note: If Bitcoin goes below the 100_SMA(Daily), we should expect a fall.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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DOGE - 1$ NextDoge is getting ready for the next wave. Based on the previous trend we are looking at the next target around 1.1$.
Doge can break 1$ easily based on the current trend and overall interested in DOGE.
Entry: 0.1766
TP1: 0.22086
TP2: 0.30439
TP3: 0.40104
TP4: 0.53436
TP5: 1.13587
Stop Loss: 0.1143
Follow us for more such ideas.
Cheers
GreenCrypto
Bitcoin dominance and the altseasonIn this chart, you can see the Bitcoin dominance from 2017 till now.
The depth of the altseason was 35.14% and for the bear market we went up, up to 73.02.
If we take a Fibonacci retrace level, we can see during 2021 altseason we were only retraced 0.893 or 89.3% what we lost during bear market.
It was something new and for the first time, Bitcoin Dominance didn't make the new all time low.
Following the same fact, I decided to find the possible levels for bitcoin dominance to top. we are getting closing the the 0.786, this level usually the last level that we could be bearish in any chart, however remember that last altseason we passed 0.786 but rejected at 0.893.
My opinion would be we are reaching to the top of Bitcoin dominance sooner than later, I can easily see Alts are reversing from bearish in short term and BTC Dominace Maxing in stoch RSI.
When you stay longer than usual in max excitation in stoch RSI you will be doing longer in opposite direction as well
Max BTC dominance can reach 66.2%
However, worse case scenario I am expecting at least BTC Dominace during altseason drop to 49.14% which is a historical support and also resistance during BTC season and Alt Season.
Ideally, we should go down up to 45.30% as it would be the 0.786 of the range from 39.9% to 66.2%
However, if we are able to make a new All time low in BTC dominance first idea place to see rejection or reaction would be 32.38%
Wootrade Network: Your Altcoin Choice (S5)The downtrend has been broken. When the downtrend is broken the bearish action ends. When the bearish action is over it is the start of the bullish cycle. Cycle implies long-term not only a bullish jump like we saw before. In late 2024, in late 2023 and so on, no! This time it will be different of course because the market takes time to grow big, to accumulate to prepare for the bull run phase in late 2025. We will have a mini bull run within 1-2 months.
So the downtrend is represented by the upper magic red line on the descending channel. Notice the end of the channel produces a rounded bottom (the cup pattern) and then the action moves above the red line. So here the downtrend is broken based on TA.
The force that was pushing prices lower is no more. The market is no longer under this bearish influence. This is what it means when we say the downtrend is broken. No more bearish momentum and hopefully no more lower lows. There can be shakeouts, swings and retraces but these would end in a higher low compared to the channel bottom.
In some instances, the market can test support on wick and close above it. This wouldn't invalidate the bullish bias and potential and we can interpret it and understand it for what it is, a shakeout.
The time for shakeouts is gone and now we are set to experience long-term growth.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Wootrade Network hits bottom. From the bottom we grow.
Namaste.
BULLISH BIASLooking at the structure formed from both 4h and 1hr time frames, you'll observe previous bullish break of structure before we had a pullback to demand zone.
There was liquidity lying below and price acted on that shown by the pullback.
Price have bounced off the demand zone again and will swing upwards to fill imbalance created by the break of structure as represented in my chart mark-up
Bitcoin's Weekly MACD & RSI —Back To Basics (Part 1)We looked at Bitcoin on the weekly timeframe and mentioned the rare Michael Saylor 4 weeks green bullish signal. But what about the MACD and RSI? What are these indicators currently saying?
Let's dive deep into these two and see what we can find.
First, Bitcoin's weekly RSI.
1) Here we have first what is called a hidden bullish divergence. The RSI hit a lower low in March 2025 compared to September 2024, but Bitcoin is currently trading within a strong higher low (March/April 2025 vs September 2024). This is an interesting signal.
2) The same RSI support that was activated in September 2023 and September 2024 worked in March 2025. Once this level was activated—blue dotted line on the chart—the RSI started to move upward.
Each time this support is activated Bitcoin goes on a major bullish wave. In September 2023 Bitcoin started a major rise from 20 something toward 70K+. In September 2024 Bitcoin started a major advance from 60 something toward 110K.
3) A triple bottom. Another signal related to this same support level is a triple bottom. It was challenged three times and holds. In 2025, this support zone was pierced briefly and then the RSI started growing. This makes the reversal signal an even stronger one.
Bitcoin doubled in 2024 from this RSI support and more than triple in 2023. So this time around we can count on a double minimum but can be a triple or more. If it increases each time, first a double, then a triple and then a quadruple.
The next signal is Bitcoin's weekly RSI broken downtrend and bullish reading:
1) The downtrend has been broken on the RSI, pretty simple. Here depicted with blue lines. Needless to say, when the downtrend breaks the RSI moves up. A strong RSI is bullish for Bitcoin and this takes us to #2.
2) The RSI has a strong reading at 59. Bullish is above 50 and there is also a bullish cross, when the RSI moved above the RSI based MA (moving average).
The weekly RSI reveals Bitcoin's eternal bullish bias. Over time this indicator becomes overbought but never oversold. Interesting isn't it? It shows that market participants are ready to buy beyond what is reasonable but not willing to sell that much.
As it happened back in late September 2024, the RSI doesn't have to move straight up, there are ups and down within a rise, please keep that in mind. The RSI doesn't necessarily reflect what Bitcoin is doing or will do, it only supports a broader bias, trend or cycle, in this case the bullish case.
Next comes the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence).
This is pretty interesting as well and the first signal is a higher low in April 2025 vs September 2024, a standard bullish signal:
Revealing Bitcoin's eternal bullish bias, the MACD starts to recover without reaching the bearish zone. The bearish zone is when the MACD moves below zero, here the recovery is happening above.
The fact that the bullish cross on the MACD, when the MACD line crosses upward the signal line, is not yet in means that this bullish cycle is still early.
When the MACD line (blue) starts to curve on the weekly timeframe after making a long-term low, as it is now, the market turns bullish and there is no going back.
I will go deeper on the MACD in part 2 of this publication.
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