Why This Bearish Trend Is Actually a Bullish Opportunity?Understanding the Multi Timeframe Analysis โ Part 2 of 2
Alright from the prior post we talked about how the corrective move on the 4H timeframe turns out to be a bearish trend on the 1H chart. Now, letโs dive deeper into that 1-hour chart.
In this 1H chart, we can observe a trend shift from bullish to bearish.
Before the red arrow, we can clearly see a bullish structure:
Blue arrows continue to form higher lows, and
Orange arrows form higher highs (except one minor failure, which still maintains the bullish structure because price doesnโt break the previous low).
But everything changes after the red arrow:
Orange arrows fail to create new highs,
Blue arrows start forming lower lows,
โ confirming a bearish reversal on the 1H timeframe.
Soโฆ How Can We Use This Bearish Trend as a Bullish Opportunity?
Here's where it gets interesting โ instead of seeing the bearish trend as a threat, we use it for better entry with an improved risk-reward ratio.
But hereโs the catch โ some conditions must be met:
Make sure the bigger timeframe (4H) still supports a bullish trend.
Wait for price to drop lower than the last blue arrow (prior low).
Look for bullish divergence + candlestick confirmation before entering.
Once you get the signal, you can place your stop loss below the confirmation candle to limit your risk.
What If Price Breaks the Orange Arrow (Prior High)?
If price invalidates the bearish structure by breaking the previous high, that means:
The 1H bearish trend is over.
The pullback on 4H timeframe is done.
And price is likely resuming the main bullish trend.
So, whether price goes lower or higher โ youโre ready either way.
Alright, thatโs my take on using multiple timeframesโhope it helps clear up any confusion you had! Let me know your thoughts in the comments. See you in the next post!
Crypto market
Why This Bearish Trend Is Actually a Bullish Opportunity?Understanding the Multi Timeframe Analysis โ Part 1 of 2
Have you ever felt overwhelmed when using multiple timeframes in your analysis? Not sure which timeframes to choose or how to combine them effectively?
In this post, Iโll share my thoughts on how to use multi-timeframe analysis with real chart examples.
Letโs take a look at the movement from the first red and blue arrows โ we can clearly see that buyers were not in control at that point. But if we compare it to the next red and blue arrows, itโs clear that buyers took control of the market.
This tells us something important:
โก๏ธ The recent price drop from the last red arrow is likely just a corrective move, not a reversal.
Based on the 4-hour timeframe, we can identify the corrective target zone around 0.5593 - 0.5369.
So whatโs next?
In smaller timeframes like the 1-hour chart, this corrective move might appear as a short-term bearish trend. But from a higher timeframe perspective, itโs just a pullback โ and that can create an opportunity for a precise entry using a strategy like bottom fishing.
In the next post (Part 2), Iโll show you how this works on the 1-hour chart โ including the before and after, and how I plan my entry.
Stay tuned!
Do you usually check the bigger timeframe before taking entries? Let me know your approach in the comments.
GOLDMASTER1| BITCOIN ---
Market Awareness Update โ BTCUSDT 1H
Price has successfully moved from the Bullish Order Block and tapped into the Buyside Liquidity Zone.
250+ Pips Achieved โ Trade Played Out Exactly as Planned.
Important:
The market is now sitting at a Buyside Liquidity level, which is a high-risk zone for fresh buys. Liquidity has likely been collected, so watch for signs of either:
1. Rejection and potential reversal (smart money often triggers sell-offs from this area),
2. A breakout and retest before any continuation higher.
Recommendation:
Avoid late entries.
Wait for clear structure confirmation (Break of Structure or Retest) before planning the next move.
Manage your positions โ smart money behavior is active at this level.
GOLDMASTER1---
Potential Bullish Reversal Setup in LINK/USDTThe LINK/USDT pair recently experienced a false breakdown below the March low, followed by a strong recovery. This move appeared to be a liquidity grab beneath the psychological support level at 10.00, after which the market quickly reversed direction.
In addition, the price action broke and closed above a descending trendline, which had previously signalled a corrective phase. Notably, the market also revisited a demand zoneโan area where a major price rally originated in November 2024.
If the price retraces back toward the support level near the trendline, historical behaviour suggests the potential for another upward move. This confluence of a false breakdown, a trendline breakout, and a revisit to a key demand zone points to a possible bullish reversal, provided the support continues to hold. The next significant resistance level is identified around 14.80
ADA Is Setting Up for a Trap? Watch This Level CloselyYello Paradisersโ is ADA walking straight into a trap at resistance? The current structure is raising red flags, and traders should stay sharp.
๐ADAUSDT is moving within an ascending channel, which often signals a potential loss of bullish momentumโespecially when price approaches a strong resistance area. Right now, itโs nearing a major zone thatโs reinforced by the 200 EMA, acting as dynamic resistance. On top of that, a clear bearish divergence is forming, which further increases the likelihood of a downside move.
๐If price sweeps the highs to take liquidity and then prints a bearish reversal pattern from this zone, it could offer a strong short opportunity with an attractive risk-to-reward setup. This is the type of trade setup that disciplined traders focus on.
๐However, if ADA breaks out above the resistance and closes a candle above the invalidation zone, the bearish thesis is off the table. In that case, itโs smarter to stay patient and wait for cleaner price action rather than reacting emotionally.
๐Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success๐ด
BTCUSD - Looking For A Push To 90K...We appear to be in the midst of an expanded zig-zag correction.
A small push toward 90Kโwithout breaking the support at 83,015โwould confirm the pattern. So far, the break above the recent high, along with the expanded correction, supports this outlook. As long as the 83,015 level holds, price may reject any prolonged move below the 1000-period moving average.
On a year on Year basis Bitcoin is where it was in early 2017
I have been talking about Bitcoin following the 2013 - 2017 Fractal and this chart shows us, in a different way, how this is still Valid.
The vertical lines on this chart are January of each year.
You can see from the Arrow on the left and right, where we are in relation to 2017.
Things to note
When we first touched the dotted line on both occasions, it led to a GREEN RED GREEN candle, however, in 2024, we got there earlier than we should have maybe and so we have had to "Wait" to fall back into date sequence.
Why ?
If we look back at 2017, we remained below that dotted line till end of April - Statistically MAY is a great month for Big moves
In my monthly candle analysis, I have also mentioned that using monthly candle close patterns, May is likely to be the better month for PA to rise higher
We seem to be playing this out BUT we need to notice how PA is Below that Dotted line.
PA is under pressure and yet in a great position though the trading volume is Low and consequentially, the candle sizes are not that impressive.
We are half way through April . Things will change and Fast......
Hang on
Phemex Analysis #73: Pro Tips to Trade OM Upon the 90% CrashMANTRA (OM) experienced a dramatic price crash of over 90% last Sunday (April 13th). While many initially suspected a "rug pull" event, similar to what happened with Luna and FTX, OM Founder JP Mullin attributes the massive sell-off to forced liquidations at an exchange, triggering a panic sell-off. While the exact cause of this 90% crash is still unconfirmed, this volatility presents significant trading opportunities.
We suggest that traders use smaller time frames, such as 1-hour or 15-minute charts, to identify more trading opportunities in this volatile situation.
Here are possible scenarios on the 15-minute chart:
Possible Scenarios
1. V-Shaped Recovery
If strong buying pressure emerges and quickly pushes the price back up to pre-crash levels, it could signal a V-shaped recovery. This would indicate that the market has absorbed the sell-off and buyers are back in control.
Pro Tips:
Watch for large green candles with significant volume on the 15-minute chart, that rise above $0.89 or $1.0.
Consider entering a long position on the breakout above key resistance levels ($0.89 & $1.0).
Place a stop-loss order below a recent swing low to protect against a reversal.
2. Consolidation and Accumulation.
The price may consolidate in a range after the crash, as the market tries to find a new equilibrium. This consolidation phase could represent a period of accumulation, where buyers are slowly absorbing the remaining supply.
Pro Tips:
Identify key support and resistance levels within the consolidation range, which is $0.89 to $0.73 or $1.0 to $0.55.
Consider range-bound trading strategies, such as buying near support and selling near resistance.
Alternatively, use Phemex Grid Bots to capitalize all the small price movement during the accumulation phase.
3. Further Decline
If the selling pressure continues or new negative information emerges, the price could decline further. This scenario would be characterized by continued large red candles and a lack of significant buying interest.
Pro Tips:
Monitor key support levels ($0.73, $0.55 & $0.45); a break below these levels could trigger further selling.
Consider exiting any long positions to avoid further losses.
Be cautious about entering new long positions until a clear bottom has been established.
Consider shorting opportunities if the price breaks down through significant support, but manage risk carefully.
Conclusion
The 90% crash in MANTRA (OM) has created a highly volatile trading environment. While the cause of the crash remains debated, the current market conditions offer substantial trading opportunities. By analyzing price action on smaller time frames, such as the 15-minute chart, and considering the scenarios outlined above, traders can potentially profit from both upward and downward price movements. However, it is crucial to exercise caution, manage risk effectively, and stay informed about any new developments related to MANTRA (OM).
Pro Tips:
Elevate Your Trading Game with Phemex. Experience unparalleled flexibility with features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time adjustments to strategy orders. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
A&B Scenario $117K - $130k๐ Fibonacci Levels:
100% Fib extension (~$74,146): Currently acting as a key resistance โ price is reacting to it.
127.20% ($93,137) and 141.4% ($103,051): Next major resistance zones โ likely targets if the uptrend continues.
161.8% ($117,259): A very bullish projection, and possibly the top of Wave (5).
These are classic take-profit levels for longer-term bulls.
๐ Elliott Wave Count (Speculative):
The chart seems to be suggesting a Wave (3) top around current or slightly higher levels.
A Wave (4) correction is expected to drop toward the midline of the ascending channel (possibly FWB:65K โ$68K area).
Followed by a final Wave (5) rally โ possibly targeting $103K to $117K.
This is a bullish long-term outlook with one more correction before the final blow-off top.
๐ Trend Channel:
The price is trading within a long-term ascending channel, respecting both support and resistance very well.
Wave (5) projection is pointing to the upper boundary of the channel โ potentially aligning with the 161.8% Fib at $117K.
๐ Support Zones:
FWB:65K to $68K: Strong area of potential support (between 86%โ100% Fib and mid-channel).
$47K: 61.8% Fib โ solid structural support if there's a deeper correction.
๐บ Bearish Warning:
The red arrow near the top suggests a potential rejection around the $93Kโ$103K area.
Could lead to a false breakout or a sharp Wave (4) correction.
๐ง Summary โ End of 2025 BTC Outlook Based on This Chart:
Scenario A (Bullish):
๐ Target: $103K โ $117K
Timing: End of 2025 (Wave (5) peak)
Conditions: BTC holds FWB:65K โ$68K on corrections, follows Elliott Wave path.
Scenario B (Bearish Rejection):
๐ป Pullback to FWB:65K or even $47K
Potential double top or failed breakout
Breaking: Ghiblification ($Ghibli) Surged 30% TodayThe price of Ghiblification ($Ghibli) surged 30% today, amidst growing momentum.
Created on the Solana ecosystem, Ghiblification ($Ghibli) has come with a different hype to the crypto and media industry where users can create cartoon and animated character of their pictures.
Notable industry leaders like Elon Musk, Mark Zuckerberg, and CZ of Binance has key into the hype bringing the Ghiblification hype to life.
Technical Outlook
Unto the technical aspect, $Ghibli is up 30% as of the time of writing, approaching key psychological resistant point. A break above this point could send $Ghibli on a bullish course to $50 million in market cap as the $Ghibli hype is still ripe.
With the RSI at 64, $Ghibli is still poised for another legged with increasing momentum and user acquisition. While not listed not major exchanges, this only gives more credence to our bullish thesis on $Ghibli as more CEX listings equates to massive adoption and buy transactions.
Solana grows the fastest, will the growth continue ?Marked the important levels in this video for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
Local resistance at 135$, local support should be at 115$
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades! MURA
MDTUSDT UPDATEMDT/USDT Technical Setup
Pattern: Falling Wedge Breakout
Current Price: $0.02544
Target Price: $0.0586
Target % Gain: 150.48%
Technical Analysis: MDT has broken out of a falling wedge on the 1D chart with a strong bullish candle and an 11.82% daily gain, confirming momentum. Breakout volume and candle close above resistance support further upside.
Time Frame: 1D
Risk Management Tip: Always use proper risk management.
Can Stellar Break Free? Watch This $0.29 Resistance ZoneHello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, โ
All previous targets were nailed โ
! Now, letโs dive into a full analysis of the upcoming price potential for Stellar ๐๐.
Stellar (XLM) is currently trading within a descending channel and approaching a key trendline.A breakout to the upside could trigger at least an 18% move, targeting the $0.29 level. This target aligns with a major daily resistance zone and could act as a critical reaction point.๐๐
๐งจ Our team's main opinion is: ๐งจ
Stellar (XLM) is stuck in a downtrend but hovering near a strong trendline, and if it breaks out, we could see an 18% pump toward the key $0.29 resistance level. ๐๐๐๐
Give me some energy !!
โจWe invest hours crafting valuable ideas, and your support means everythingโfeel free to ask questions in the comments! ๐๐ฌ
Cheers, Mad Whale. ๐
THORCHAIN - Do You Think It's Possible?Could this count actually be valid? It might seem like a stretch given the sharp drop we just sawโbut what if Wave D still needs to play out? Is it possible we see the RUNE token hit $11 again in this cycle?
It doesnโt sound so far-fetched if youโve been following the Bitcoin pattern I mentioned in my recent post about AVAX (linked below). At the end of the day, it all comes down to solid risk management to see how this plays out.