Get started

Crypto market

BTC will botom now(sorry I wrote this took quite a long time so the price has moved first) Summary: The recent drop in Bitcoin is primarily due to geopolitical tensions specifically the conflict between Israel and Iran. This is interpreted as a short-term market shock rather than a fundamental breakdown. Structurally, the bias remains bullish with expectations of a near-term rebound. Why is BTC dropping? The sell-off is driven by global risk aversion due to the geopolitical escalation. Investors are temporarily fleeing into cash and defensive assets like gold. However, this behavior is emotional and not based on a fundamental shift in Bitcoin’s outlook. Bullish Thesis: * Bitcoin’s recent decline is not structurally bearish; it's a reaction to short-term uncertainty * Historically, Bitcoin has shown strength and recovery following global shocks * The current correction may provide a setup for a relief rally before any further downside movement * Even if a deeper correction is ahead, the price is likely to move upward first to sweep liquidity or test resistance Technical View: * The current price level is a key area from a price action perspective * BTC is showing signs of rejection at this key support, indicating potential buyer interest * This level has acted as a significant pivot in previous swings, making it technically important for short-term direction * If this rejection holds, it may serve as the base for a short-term recovery leg Correlation Insight – BTC vs. Gold: * Bitcoin has been showing a moderate positive correlation with gold, particularly during periods of heightened geopolitical risk * Currently, gold is approaching its major resistance or all-time high level * If gold reaches this zone, it may trigger profit-taking or sell pressure, prompting a rotation of capital out of gold into BTC * This potential rotation strengthens the case for a bullish move in Bitcoin, especially if BTC stabilizes around current support Expectations: * Near-term bounce or consolidation, followed by a potential breakout toward key resistance levels * A shift in capital from traditional hedges like gold to crypto could act as a tailwind * As volatility from the conflict settles, Bitcoin could regain its role as a risk-on asymmetric bet Conclusion: The pullback appears to be a temporary, sentiment-driven move rather than a trend reversal. BTC remains fundamentally strong, and the potential reversal in gold adds confluence to a bullish Bitcoin thesis. With price currently showing rejection at a key technical support level, this may be a strategic accumulation zone for mid- to long-term investors.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Rich_From_Home
ETH will rebound.What you're looking at is a textbook rising channel, well-respected, clean, and elegant in its symmetry. For weeks, ETH has climbed this structure with rhythmic oscillations between support and resistance, almost as if the market were guided by a ruler and compass. Price action respected both boundaries with admirable discipline, making this a trader’s dream for range-based strategies. Now, that structure is being tested sharply. The most recent candle shows a strong drop from the upper boundary straight to the lower. It didn't drift down gently but fell with force. Yet despite that intensity, price has landed precisely on the lower boundary of the channel. This is often where markets pause and reset. If the structure remains intact, and history offers any guide, this could mark the beginning of a fresh upward leg. The drop may have been more about clearing excess than breaking trend. There is reason to believe in the bounce. The channel has been reliable, and deep tests like this often come before a recovery, not a collapse. If price begins to stabilize here, even modestly, it would suggest that the market still respects this structure. The next few candles will matter, but for now, the channel is holding. And when a structure like this holds after such a flush, it can produce some of the strongest moves back to the top.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Impala36
Ethereum (ETH): Important Zone | $3000 IncomingThere are lots of uncertainties near the current area where both buyers and sellers are fighting over dominance near the current zone, as this will determine if we will bounce from here towards our upper targets (above $3000) or if we will retest the first 100 EMA before seeing another bullish movement. The key zone is the $3000 area, which we have marked as psychological resistance. One way or another, we should reach this zone! Swallow Academy
Long
by SwallowAcademy
Continue analysis on VRACompleting my analysis of this currency from a year ago, we find that it has actually fallen, and according to the new data that has appeared, a triple flat has been formed, and a new strong fall to the area below is expected, and all the data is shown on the chart. *In principle, I am not a supporter of any direction, but I am only giving my point of view, which may be right or wrong. If the analysis helps you, then this is for you. If you do not like this analysis, there is no problem. Just ignore it. My goal is to spread the benefit. I am not one of the founders of the currency.
Short
by KhaldHegazy
9
DeGRAM | BTCUSD correction from the 110k level📊 Technical Analysis ● Price has reclaimed the rising-channel median at ≈106.8 k and immediately made a higher-high on expanding volume; hourly RSI also pierced its two-week bear trend, flagging fresh upside energy. ● An ascending triangle is forming between 107 k support and a 109.5 k ceiling; its measured move coincides with the red supply/upper rail at 111.6-112 k. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Softer US PPI (-0.1 % m/m) dragged real 2-yr yields to one-month lows, easing dollar pressure, while spot-ETF desks soaked up another ≈4 600 BTC this week, signalling renewed institutional demand. ✨ Summary Stay long above 107 k; triangle break over 109.5 k unlocks 111.6 k then 115 k. Long view invalidated on a 4 h close beneath 103 k. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
Check this update if you are holding ATH!Here’s a quick analysis of ATH on the daily timeframe: ATH has been rejected from its resistance trendline and is currently holding support at $0.04. While it's uncertain whether this support will hold, the overall chart structure suggests a potential rejection is unfolding. Bearish confirmation: A breakdown and close below the $0.04 support level. If you're holding any position in ATH, then be cautious. Note: Always do your own analysis before making any decisions. Regards, Dexter
Short
by Dexter_The_Trader
Ethereum Set To Continue Lower, How Long?The drop is now confirmed and yet, it is still early... Good afternoon my fellow traders, all is good when we consider the chart, Ethereum's price and the bigger picture, nothing changes. But we are witnessing a retrace. This retrace will end in a higher low and I am thinking of time now, duration. Initially I was thinking about the Fed meeting and this event being the catalyst for change, but the Cryptocurrency market is following its own cycle and for it to be super bullish later this year, all bearish action, all weak hands, needs to be removed now, today. So the bearish action can fluctuate between just a few days, 3-5 days, to 1-2 weeks. That's my analysis based on past history, chart data and experience. The retrace might not last that long though, market conditions continue to improve and Ethereum might not produce a lower low compared to Bitcoin. Bitcoin is trading pretty high and a correction can develop any day. Since Ethereum is already low compared to its ATH, there is less room for prices to move lower, makes sense? The downside is always limited, SHORTing is riskier than going LONG. It is wise to wait for a new entry before buying more. Experienced traders are recommended to SHORT. This chart setup will change in a matter of days, and then the market will turn bullish again, long-term. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Short
by MasterAnanda
5
Hyperliquid $150 by Q1- Hyperliquid, a decentralized exchange (DEX) specializing in perpetual futures, commands over 70% of the on-chain perps market with $1.6T in cumulative trading volume since its 2023 mainnet launch. Unlike competitors with inflated volumes, Hyperliquid’s transparent activity solidifies its dominance. - Its unique model redirects 97% of trading fees (annualized at $700M-$1B) to buy back GETTEX:HYPE tokens on the open market, driving scarcity and value accrual. While its spot market trails CEXs, future listings and lower fees are set to capture significant volume, boosting fee growth. - The 2024 airdrop of 310M GETTEX:HYPE tokens (31% of supply) to 94,000 users, valued at $7.5B+, built a tight-knit community and strong network effect. With 42% of tokens reserved for rewards, Hyperliquid’s substantial incentive pool is poised to fuel US expansion as perpetuals gain traction. - With US interest in perpetuals surging, evidenced by Coinbase’s recent futures trading launch, and a regulatory shift toward crypto-friendly policies ( accelerated under a Trump administration), Hyperliquid’s non-KYC, low-fee platform is ideally positioned to lead. - The launch of HyperEVM and builder codes, alongside HIP-3, empowers developers to create DeFi apps and build on top of Hyperliquid’s liquidity and seamless execution, letting projects leverage its infrastructure while retaining their users. This ecosystem growth reinforces Hyperliquid’s moat, with GETTEX:HYPE targeting new highs as adoption scales. - It's currently trading just under ATH's of $44 while BTC is trading at $106k ready to make ATH's. Targeting any bids sub $40 for long term swing trade into 100-150.
PYTH:HYPEUSDLong
by Joe_XBT
1
BTC Top (a study of SMA as peak indication) It is true that 200 weekly SMA crossing the ATH has been a strong indicator of Cycle 1 peak and the Cycle 2 peak, however Cycle 3 peak has occured before this cross. The SMA was 17358 while the prior ATH was 19804. The cycle 3 top happened 2 months prior to 200 Weekly SMA hitting the prior ATH. Waiting for the 200 weekly SMA would have afforded only a 45k exit opportunity. this indicates that while 200 SMA is a signal that is worth tracking in and of itsself prior to more neuances are introducted it is hard to use it as a precise predictor. Possible refinements include: -the time divergence of the ATH-SMA cross its slef may form a predicatable pattern in other words SMA crossing happens 1 week prior at ATH and at the ATH and thn then 2 months later in consquitive cyles possibly indicating that the SMA cross may happen at 6 mo after the new peak at the cyle 4 predicted be at Q3 or Q4 of 2025. -The prior ATH should not be taken too literally and instead another metric around the prior ATH should be the linchpin level- eg the medium of the weekly candle that contains the ATH We formulated new hypotheses for future research: The first one is studied here: -With the advent of more capital, the memory that the average investor works with is reduced. Or put in a different way the more the deployed capital to the asset the less patient it gets on average and a greater sense of "urgency to reallocate" arises -If we were to model BTC USD price in the image of a logarithmic decaying population growth of fish in a pond that may experience regualtion of population such as over population leading to population decline can we arrive at new ways to predict? -If we were to think of the logarithmic channel are there reactions as the population arrives near the carrying capacity of the time Conculsions: 210+ SMA crossing prior ATH indicates the turning point (peak) for cycle 1 (not calculable on tradingview due to price history limits) 200 SMA crossing prior ATH indicates the turning point (peak) for Cycle 2 159 SMA crossing prior ATH indicates the turning point (peak) for Cycle 3. (This was the highest number of week count for the SMA that crosses the prior ATH is 159. This indicates that a decline in the week count of the SMA in consecutive cycles. The reduction of the SMA week count would mean that there is less need to pay attention to "more ancient" history when looking at assessing the peak of the current cycle. The reduction in the SMA week count could imply something similar to that of "delayed crossing" because more days would need to elapse at the higher prices for the 200 weekly average to achieve the crossing If we were to consider a decay function of 220 to -200- 159- we could anticipate a more than 40 possibly 60 day reduction to the day count of the SMA indicating a 150-120 week SMA as a possible signal. This would indicate that there is a greater chance that even the100 SMA could also carry some signal value for marking the peak for the current cycle (cycle 4) ALERT 100 SMA is at 65k and the ATH with a small top wick is at 68k. This means that even if the price did not materially change in less than 4-10 weeks we could have the 100 SMA pass the prior ATH. Also see related idea:
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by SNOGY
1