BTC eyes on 104/105k: Near term retrace target that MUST hold Follow up to my bigger picture idea below.
We are retracing from the Genesis fib at 111.7k
It looks like to retest support below at 104/105k
Bulls MUST hold support or "top" will be the word.
.
BTC Big Picture that said WATCH OUT at 111.7k:
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Crypto market
#WLD/USDT#WLD
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward move with a breakout.
We have a support area at the lower limit of the channel at 0.410, acting as strong support from which the price can rebound.
Entry price: 0.500
First target: 1.568
Second target: 1.691
Third target: 1.818
HolderStat┆XRPUSD seeks to overcome $2.8CRYPTOCAP:XRP snapped a year-long down-sloping barrier, rocketed to 2.65 USDT, and is recharging in a slanted box whose floor sits on the 2.40 trend confluence. Hold that hinge and the next swing could tunnel into the 2.90-3.00 sell zone; surrender it and 2.20 becomes the logical rebound trench while the macro channel still tilts higher.
VIRTUAL TA Masterclass — Elliott Wave Meets Gartley HarmonicVIRTUAL has been on fire! Printing a clean 5-wave Elliott impulse with a +431% run in just 33 days. But after every strong trend comes a healthy correction, and that’s where we likely are now. Trading below key resistance and showing signs of exhaustion. The question: Where is the next high probability trade setup?
Let’s break down what the chart is telling us.
🧠 Structure Overview
Wave 5 peaked at $2.2169
Wave A dropped -25%
Wave B bounced +30%
Currently: VIRTUAL's trading under the $2 psychological level and weekly open ($2.0358) → signs of momentum cooling
A corrective Wave C is likely underway, and all signs point toward a very specific zone.
⚠️ Liquidity Dynamics
The longer VIRTUAL grinds sideways near $2.00 without showing real momentum, the more vulnerable late long positions become:
Retail traders are buying resistance
SLs are likely clustered just below Wave A’s low
This creates a liquidity pocket waiting to be swept — perfect fuel for Wave C
🔍 The $1.58–$1.47 Support Cluster: 14 Layers of Confluence
This zone isn’t guesswork — it’s loaded with technical overlap:
1️⃣ 1:1 Trend-Based Fib Extension of Wave A → $1.573
2️⃣ Monthly Open → $1.5354
3️⃣ 0.382 Fib Retracement of the entire rally → $1.5295
4️⃣ Bullish Fair Value Gap → $1.57–$1.53
5️⃣ Anchored VWAP from ATH → ~$1.46
6️⃣ Anchored VWAP from Wave 3 → ~$1.46
7️⃣ 0.618 Fib Speed Fan Support (~end of May timing)
8️⃣ 4H 233 SMA → ~$1.52
9️⃣ 4H 200 EMA → ~$1.52
🔟 Daily 200 SMA → $1.5251
1️⃣1️⃣ Weekly 21 SMA → $1.462 (reinforces the VWAP zone)
1️⃣2️⃣ Declining Daily Volume → momentum weakening
1️⃣3️⃣ Liquidity Pool below Wave A → likely to be swept
1️⃣4️⃣ $2 = Golden Pocket Resistance + Psychological Barrier
🔴 Short Trade Setup (Active as Long as SFP Holds)
For those favouring downside continuation toward the Wave C target, a short setup is in play:
Entry: Weekly open retest around $2.0358
Stop-loss: Above SFP high at $2.143
Target: 1:1 Trend-Based Fib Extension of Wave A → $1.573 or the Swing Low of Wave A at $1.647
R:R ≈ 1:4 — a solid, well-structured short opportunity
As long as price remains below the SFP and the $2.00 golden pocket resistance, bears maintain control.
🟢 Long Trade Setup
Entry: Ladder between $1.58–$1.47
Avg. Entry: ~$1.53
SL: Below $1.40
TP1: $1.88 (local resistance) → R:R ≈ 1:2.5
TP2: $3.33 (0.618 Fib of entire bear market) → R:R ≈ 1:12
👉 Bonus TP for Harmonic Setup: 0.618 Fib of CD leg
✨ Bonus Confluence: Potential bullish Gartley Harmonic in Play
VIRTUAL is also forming a valid Gartley harmonic pattern — one of the most reliable reversal setups in classical trading theory.
🔸 XA: B retraced to 0.602 → ✅ (criterion: ~0.618)
🔸 AB: C retraced 0.87 → ✅ (valid range: 0.382–0.886)
🔸 CD: Projected to complete at 0.786 of XA → ~$1.474
• CD is a 1.356 expansion of BC
• AB ≈ CD symmetry is valid
• TP = 0.618 retracement of CD leg
This adds even more weight to the $1.47–$1.53 buy zone.
📘 Educational Takeaway
The best setups don’t rely on one method — they align multiple disciplines. Here, we have Elliott Waves, Fibonacci retracements, anchored VWAPs, volume structure, moving averages, time symmetry, and now a harmonic pattern — all pointing to the same opportunity. Most traders never wait for alignment. That’s why most lose.
💬 Final Words
✍️ Smart trading isn’t about always being in a trade — it’s about being in the right one at the right time.
While others FOMO at $2, you wait for the right opportunity to come to you — where structure, liquidity, and probability all shake hands.
The patient are rewarded. Always.
___________________________________
If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
HolderStat┆SOLUSD held the support trend lineCRYPTOCAP:SOL sprinted from a falling channel into a sturdy growing channel, staging pauses at 145 and 170. Price now coils inside a descending mini-flag clamped to the 170 horizontal—flip that lid and the 195-200 magnet comes alive, mirroring the flag’s height. Only a decisive close below 160 would dull the current trajectory toward fresh 200-plus highs.
#GALA/USDT#GALA
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which supports the upward move by breaking it upward.
We have a support area at the lower limit of the channel at 0.01940, acting as strong support from which the price can rebound.
Entry price: 0.02042
First target: 0.02101
Second target: 0.02193
Third target: 0.02300
HolderStat┆BTCUSD has reached a new peakCRYPTOCAP:BTC has stair-stepped from 75 k to 110 k inside a steeply guided channel, carving neat consolidation bricks at every leg. A fresh box rests over 102 k support; defend that and the rising wedge projects toward the long-watched 118-120 k new-ATH zone. Break the inner rail and a glide to 96-97 k tests the mid-channel without derailing the dominant ascent.
#WLD/USDT#WLD
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 1.18.
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 1.26
First target: 1.316
Second target: 1.36
Third target: 1.408
#DOTUSDT 3D Analysis — Triple Base Defense, Macro Wave Ready?🎯 #DOTUSDT 3D Analysis — Triple Base Defense, Macro Wave Ready?
🗓 Published: May 22, 2025
📊 Timeframe: 3D | Exchange: Binance
Author: @HamadaMark
🔍 Technical Overview
DOT has confirmed a triple bottom structure over 18+ months, defending the same demand zone around $2.9–$3.6.
This zone has acted as a launch base for all major rallies since mid-2023, and we're now setting up for another potential macro leg.
📌 Pattern Insights:
✅ Triple base with equal lows
✅ Falling wedge breakout (past) with measured rallies
✅ Major structure respected — bulls still in control
✅ Weekly momentum flipping from deep oversold
🟦 Key Support Zones:
Main Support: $3.615 – structural neckline
Final Floor: $2.929 – cycle base
📛 Panic Level: Daily/3D close below $2.9 = invalidation & full reset
🎯 Target Zones (Next Macro Leg):
TP1: $5.683 – structure resistance
TP2: $7.676 – major horizontal supply
TP3: $9.459 – breakout zone before 2024 top
TP4: $16.237 – macro range high (2021 echo)
📈 Current setup offers +140% upside to TP3 with a clean R:R of ~7.84 from entry
🧠 Strategy Insight
• DOT is a macro structure play — entries near $4 are ideal
• Add size if price reclaims $5.68 with volume
• Swing traders may hold partial exposure into Q3–Q4
• SL below $3.6 or $2.9 depending on position size + risk appetite
💡 When altcoins defend the same base 3x, that level becomes legendary.
🗣 What’s Next?
Hold → push toward $5.68 → consolidation → leg toward $7.6+
Break below $3.6 = caution
Close below $2.9 = reset
📢 DOT is quietly building energy. The longer it holds this zone, the harder it breaks out. Respect the base.
we ask Allah reconcile and repay
KDA - to the moon?Huge upside potential @ 4,600% to ATH (ignoring the "random" wick May 2021) vs -80% to ATH
Next leg down would be:
$0.24 (also the 786 fibbonachi)
Followed by the ATL @ $0.126
I think anything between current price - ATL is a good spot buy.
TP1 @ $28.00
TP2 @ $81.00
It would be interesting to see if the "random" wick is actually forecasting the end price for Kadena - it's worth a try 🤷♂️ ride price in the latter part of Q4 and see what happens.
2 x attempts to break out of downtrend.
Bullish div on weekly RSI
The key is whether it can find support at 24.59 and rise
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(AVAXUSDT 1M chart)
The key is whether the price can be maintained by rising above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Accordingly, we need to see whether the price can be maintained by rising above 27.47.
-
(1W chart)
The important support and resistance range is the 38.93-51.54 range.
Therefore, even if the price is maintained by rising above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, the uptrend can begin only if it rises above the 38.93-51.54 range.
If it falls, we need to see whether it can be supported near the volume profile range of 6.54-13.47.
-
(1D chart)
When it breaks upward around 28.67, it is expected that a breakout trade will be possible.
However, since an important support and resistance section is formed over the 38.93-51.54 section, a response is needed depending on whether there is support in this section.
Therefore, the key is whether it can be supported and rise around 24.59.
If not, it is necessary to check whether it is supported around 17.54-19.79.
-
The basic trading strategy is to buy when supported by the HA-Low indicator and sell when it meets the HA-High indicator.
However, if it is supported and rises near the HA-High indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise upward trend.
On the other hand, if it is resisted and falls near the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise downward trend.
Therefore, since it is currently located near the HA-High indicator, it can be seen that trading is possible depending on whether there is support.
However, since the probability of falling is higher than the probability of rising in the HA-High indicator, you should be careful about the investment ratio.
Otherwise, you may end up buying at the high point.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
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XRSPUSDT ABC-D Pattern AnalysisHi there,
XRPUSDT has the potential to dip before pulling back up; however, it is unclear how deep the correction might be.
The price remains bullish against the ABC-D pattern, with point D potentially reaching the 2.8024 area.
Momentum like this is high-risk, costly, and requires careful monitoring.
Happy trading; and have a wonderful weekend.
Khiwe.
Not trading advice.
NEIROETH/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.07450 - 0.07520
HMT v8.1 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity.
HMT (High Momentum Trending):
HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards.
Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note :
Role of Key Levels:
- These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns.
- Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa).
My Trading Rules
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%.
- Leverage: 5x.
Exit Strategy
Profit-Taking:
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike.
- Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
- If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
Sharing this with love!
HMT v2.0:
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
HMT v6 :
Date : 15/02/2025
- Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
HMT v7 :
Date : 20/03/2025
- Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment
HMT v8 :
Date : 16/04/2025
- Fully restructured strategy logic
HMT v8.1 :
Date : 18/04/2025
- Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency
SOLUSDT Looking UpHi there,
Solana looks bullish on the 2-hour timeframe. There is a possibility of a retracement, but if the price falls below the 154.324 level, the setup will be invalidated.
For now, the price appears to be heading up toward the 191.249 level, aiming for a target of 209.887.
The low point at 170.481 maintains bullish pressure, supported by the 164.271 level, which boosts the chances of a higher high.
However, it will require monitoring due to the indicator reaching overbought regions.
Happy trading,
K.
Not trading advice
Daily BTC Technical Analysis – Bearish Evidence (Short Setup)1. Rising Wedge Pattern
The daily chart shows a Rising Wedge formation – a technical pattern that often signals a potential trend reversal downward.
Moreover, the price increase is accompanied by decreasing volume, reinforcing the likelihood of an upcoming correction.
(Source: Investopedia)
2. Indicators in Overbought Territory
RSI (Relative Strength Index): above 70 – signals overbought conditions.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index): above 100 – also signals overbought.
Williams %R: above -20 – again, confirms excessive buying pressure.
These conditions typically indicate market exhaustion and a high chance of short-term pullback.
(Source: CentralCharts)
3. Bearish Harami Candlestick Pattern
A Bearish Harami has formed on the chart – a potential reversal pattern, especially after an uptrend.
It often marks a shift in market sentiment and weakening momentum.
4. Bearish Divergence
There is a clear bearish divergence between price and RSI – while price makes new highs, RSI is trending lower.
This classic signal suggests weakening buying power and a possible trend reversal.
(Source: CentralCharts)
🧭 Key Support Levels to Watch
$107,000: first minor support area.
$100,000: a strong psychological support level.
$92,000: deeper support, aligned with historical trading zones and moving averages.
📊 Summary
While Bitcoin’s long-term trend remains bullish, the short-term indicators suggest a potential correction.
Traders looking for short opportunities should monitor the technical signals above and use key support zones as potential profit targets.
ETH/USDT At A Premium — What’s Next? Smart Entry Strategy!I'm currently analyzing ETH/USDT 🧠💹 — Ethereum has been in a strong bullish trend, recently pushing into all-time highs 🚀🔝. While the momentum remains intact, price is now trading at a premium 🏷️, and I’m cautious about entering long at these elevated levels ⚠️.
In the video, we break down the trend, market structure, and price action with precision 📊🧱. I also explore potential entry scenarios that align with low-risk, high-probability setups 🎯🔍 — ideal for those waiting for the right moment to engage without chasing the move.
You'll also get a deep dive into my Trend Continuation Strategy 🔄📈 — a powerful framework for identifying smart entries in trending markets.
🛑 This is not financial advice
FILECOIN - A less risky bet to make $$$FILUSD shows to be a good bet for the below reasons.
a. All time low reached on 07th Apr 2025 and will support the price.
b. Started showing Higher High and Higher Low on daily charts.
c. It is still the #1 decentralised storage network.
d. A huge potential for upside movement with current marketcap of $2B when compared to $12B at all time high.
e. Organisation adoption is significant. For example - The Internet Archive, a non-profit digital library, uses Filecoin for archival data storage (1000TiB). OpenSea, an NFT marketplace, uses it for NFT storage. Shoah project Starling Labs, an academic research lab, uses it for archival data (6000TiB)
May 23 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There will be a Nasdaq indicator announcement at 11 o'clock in a little while.
Yesterday was also a sideways market with no movement,
and the participation rate was low, so I will leave it as a brief analysis.
In the case of Nasdaq, today's daily chart MACD dead cross pressure
so I judged that a vertical rise would be difficult.
I made today's strategy based on the high possibility of a sideways move.
In the upper left corner, from the analysis article on the 22nd,
I moved the 1st section / 111,426.6 dollars as it is with a purple finger.
*Red finger movement path
One-way long position strategy
1. 109,917.6 dollars long position entry section / green support line breakout stop loss price
Since the 4-hour chart MACD dead cross pressure is in progress
Based on the 1+4 pattern,
At least 2 additional 4-hour candles are created
I think there will be a long position wait after 1:30 p.m.
2. Top section 113,701.9 dollars long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target
If it breaks through the orange resistance line at the top
It can be connected to a vertical rise,
So if you were short yesterday or are going to challenge today,
Use it as a stop loss price, but be careful.
If it goes up within the purple support line after 1->2 or after touching 2 times,
It can be a vertical rise or a strong rise.
At the bottom, Bottom -> 3 times -> 106982.3 dollars
I marked the support line.
In case of a strong rise over the weekend,
Good is the Great section hidden picture search.
Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use,
and I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you for your hard work this week.
Thank you.