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Bitcoin Local TopBitcoin: rally meets resistance Context • April low: $74 000 → today’s high: $101 200 (+37 %) • 90‑day pause on new US tariffs lifted risk assets; FOMC left rates at 4.25‑4.50 % with real yields still > 2 % • Active conflicts in Ukraine, Gaza and the South China Sea keep macro‑volatility elevated Flows • US spot‑ETF complex: cumulative net inflow $40.7 bn, AUM $106 bn • BlackRock’s IBIT: 15 consecutive inflow days, $6.96 bn YTD • MicroStrategy: bought 15 355 BTC (~$1.42 bn) last week, now holds 553 k BTC Technical focus (2‑hour chart) • Price is 11 % above the rising trendline from 1 May • Key confluence: $101 700 – $103 000 (0.27 Fib plus unfilled weekly supply) • First support: $97 000 – $98 000; major demand: $92 000 • Mean‑reversion target if momentum breaks: $86 000 • Invalidation of pullback view: daily close above $103 500 Base case 60 % probability of a retest of $92–97 k before any sustained advance 30 % chance of a deeper wash to $86 k 10 % chance of a clean breakout through $103 k toward $109 k+ Takeaways • Long‑only allocators: add on a confirmed weekly close above $103 k; risk below $98 k • Swing traders: fade spikes above $102 k toward $97 k; tighten stops if daily > $103 k • Spot accumulators: schedule bids at $92 k and $86 k; avoid chasing upside extensions Educational commentary, not investment advice. Manage position size and respect stops.
Short
by manelfx
Hypecoin Flips $20 — Bullish Trend Targets $29 Next Hypecoin has officially flipped the $20 resistance into support — a key SR level that marks bullish continuation in the current trend structure. Market Structure: Price is printing higher highs and higher lows. SR Flip: $20 resistance now acting as daily support. Fibonacci Confluence: 0.618 Fib aligns with $20, strengthening support zone. Next Target: $29 — a potential 41% move from current levels. If price retests the $20 area and holds, it will confirm a bullish SR retest with Fib support, increasing the probability of rotation up toward $29. Traders should monitor how price reacts around the $20 mark — failure to hold could invalidate the short-term bullish setup, but as long as that level holds, momentum remains upward.
Long
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
Financial Markets: Outlook and Risks – May 2025As May 2025 begins, global financial markets are entering the month with cautious optimism, shaped by anticipation surrounding decisions from key regulatory bodies. At the center of this uncertainty lies the U.S. Federal Reserve, whose policies continue to exert a significant influence over global asset dynamics. After a series of interest rate hikes throughout 2023 and 2024, the Federal Reserve has adopted a more neutral stance, closely monitoring macroeconomic indicators. Despite a moderate decline in inflation and stable employment figures, Fed officials remain hesitant to declare an end to the tightening cycle. In his latest address, Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the need for "vigilance amid geopolitical volatility and structural changes in the global economy." The U.S. stock market entered May with moderate volatility. The S&P 500 index is hovering near local highs, while investors are reacting cautiously to corporate earnings reports and Fed commentary. Tech stocks are largely on the rise, driven by expectations of expanded AI integration, while companies in the industrial and energy sectors face pressure from rising input costs and supply chain instability. Europe is facing a more complex situation, with inflationary pressures persisting, especially in the energy sector. The European Central Bank (ECB) is walking a fine line between tightening monetary policy and supporting sluggish economic growth. Major indices like the UK’s FTSE and Germany’s DAX are showing mixed signals, reflecting domestic challenges and ongoing geopolitical tensions. On currency markets, the U.S. dollar remains relatively strong, though it occasionally dips as expectations grow for a more dovish stance from the Fed. The euro and the Japanese yen are showing periodic strengthening, backed by active central bank measures. Emerging markets such as Brazil and India are seeing increased interest in gold and government bonds as a hedge against external risks. Beyond monetary policy, one of the main concerns for investors is the ongoing trade dispute between the U.S. and China. Tariff hikes and export restrictions on strategic goods are raising alarms about supply chain reconfigurations and capital reallocation on a global scale. Investors around the world are searching for a balance between risk and return. Current strategies emphasize diversification, safe-haven assets, digital technologies, and ESG-focused sectors. Analysts advise a measured approach, urging investors to closely monitor macroeconomic data before making major portfolio decisions. In summary, May 2025 marks a period of watchfulness and recalibration. Financial markets are looking to the Federal Reserve, trade negotiations, and key economic reports for signals that will likely define the tone for the months ahead.
Short
by HCN-News12
Inverse Head and Shoulders in SAND: Breakout Ahead?Crypto markets are waking up and SAND is showing a strong inverse head and shoulders setup that could spark a fast rally. ADA is also forming a bullish triangle with macro factors like tax cuts and a US UK trade deal adding momentum. The mood is shifting and big moves could be just days away. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:SANDUSDLong
by ThinkMarkets
The 4 Crypto Dominance charts and 4 x TOTAL charts -ALT ? There are some charts we should always refer to in times where we feel change may be upon us. The chart above are Bitcoin Dominance ( BTC.D ) - Ethereum Dominance ( ETH.D ) Others Dominace ( OTHERS.D) and USDT Dominance ( USDT.D) ( I use USDT as it remains the largest Stablecoin by market cap) The RED line in these Daily charts is the 50 day SMA In most of my posts recently, I have been mentioning how Strong BITCOIN is remaining while under a Lot of resistance. But we really should not forget the rest of the market. THE ALTS The Fabled ALT Season has been running away from us, making many wonder just what is happening. To explain, while BTC.D remains high, it shows us that the Money remain invested in Bitcoin. When this Dominance Drops, in the past, it has signalled the rise of investment into ALTS. Called ROTATION, the money rotates from one asset to another. Due to the corporate investment in Bitcoin, this rotation has not happened. BUT IS IT ABOUT TO ? Let look at a few things BTC.D has been rising continuously for Months now, It is way above that 50 day SMA. PA could fall a Long way before the support of that 50 SMA is required and I notice as I type, that is is beginning to drop. It's local support may help ETH.D has begun to Rise but we need to pay attention to this as it could get rejected once again by the 50 SMA. Ethereum has had a very hard time this cycle and has yet to show any sustained recovery OTHERS.D - Now OTHERS is the one I watch most. Others is the Top 125 Coins MINUS the Top 10 by market cap. This shows us the Mid to Low cap Alts coins. This is also rising right now but once again, we need to wait and see if it breaks through the 50 SMA that has rejected it many times. The USDT.D has been dropping. This shows that USDT has been rotated into other assets. Bullish but I have to say, that as I write this, I have just noticed that this has begun to rise also though only on a 1 hour chart so maybe just Noise but it is worth watching. So, on these dominance charts, we see a potential start to a rotation but with the likely hood of rejection of the 50 SMA, It could be the First step of a bigger move.....But with potholes in front. The Next Logical thing to do is to look at the TOTAL market Cap charts, to compare this dominance. This chart shows us the Daily charts for TOTAL Crypto market Cap - TOTAL2 ( minus BTC ) TOTAL3 ( Minus BTC & ETH ) - OTHERS ( Top 125 coins Minus top 10 by Dominace ) SMA;s in chart are RED= 50, BLUE = 100, GREEN = 128, YELLOW = 200 The TOTAL is the ONLY one that has PA above all the SMA's, potentially offering Support on many fronts. It has also had the most sustained Rise. Hence the high level of Dominance in the Market. TOTAL2 is above the 50 SMA that has rejected it previously and is about to hit into the 100. We need to see if this will be rejected or not. Remember how the ETH.D is also facing rejection off the 50SMA - ETH is under pressure TOTAL3 is above the 50 and appears to have broken through the 100. This is VERY Bullish for the ALT coins and could show us some potential for a continued rise as sentiment continues to turn positive. But we should watch that 200 as a potential problem OTHERS has the largest and strongest rise and again, is above the 50 and appears to have broken through the 100. This chart has the largest gap between current PA level and the next SMA that may reject it. This is the same on the Others.D chart SO, in conclusion, The potential for a Rotation does exist but it is going to be hard fought. There is the possibility of a HIGH volitle state for the next few days, possibly Weeks. If you are going to rotate out of Bitcoin, Be VERY CAUTIOUS until at least the next SMA have been claimed on both sets of charts. The nest bets are on the Mid to lower Cap ALT coins. BUT I will say this. I cannot See BITCOIN Selling off to invest in ALTS. I also see Bitcoin continuing higher against the USD. IF we get an ALT season now, It will be Quick, Volatile and possibly with Quick Pump and Dumps on most ALTS. The larger ALTS will survive this better than the Meme, small caps in my opinion For me, the ROTATION that creates an ALT Season will occur with the rotation of money from ALT to ALT and NOT BTC to ALT What ever you do, Remain in Peace and Safety
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by Orriginal
SOL broke through the resistance line near $150CRYPTOCAP:SOL - wedge broken, bulls take control Price broke out of the descending wedge (140-150 → 150-162) and closed above 150 USDT on higher volume - a break of the medium-term trend. 📌 Levels - S1 150 ± 3 - retest zone, S2 140 - April base. - R1 161.8 - March resistance, R2 179-180 - wedge height and supply zone target. 📈 Scenario A consolidation > 161.8 activates a move to 180; if successful, a push to 195 is possible. ⚠️ Risks Failure < 147 will bring price back inside the wedge with a chance of 140. As long as 147-150 holds, priority long.
Long
by HolderStat
1
Bitcoin BoomBitcoin has blasted through the psychological $100,000 level and is now consolidating just above it with impressive strength. Price is currently trading around $103,200, holding firmly above previous resistance at $99,517 – a zone that had capped price action for months. This breakout is technically clean: the move came on increased volume, with price trending well above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. RSI remains elevated but not extreme, reflecting strong momentum without immediate signs of exhaustion. That said, it's entering overbought territory – something worth watching, though not inherently bearish in a trending market. The next key resistance levels are $106,099 and $109,358 – both historical rejection zones. Bulls will likely be eyeing those levels for profit-taking or potential cooling. On the downside, a retest of the $99,500–$100,000 area as support would be textbook bullish continuation if buyers step in. Overall, this is a breakout worth respecting. The $100K psychological milestone has now been claimed – and that could change the market’s sentiment dramatically moving forward.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ScottMelker
Is Pepe Setting Up for a Quick 20% Run? Targets 0.0000900 Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ All previous targets were nailed ✅! Now, let’s dive into a full analysis of the upcoming price potential for Pepe 🔍📈. Pepe appears to be in a favorable position for a short-term trading opportunity. I'm targeting a minimum profit of 20%, with a price objective set at 0.0000900. This setup suggests a potential for quick gains, assuming market conditions remain supportive.📚🙌 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 Pepe looks like a solid short-term buy with a target of 0.0000900 and at least 20% profit potential if the market holds up. 📚🎇 Give me some energy !! ✨We invest hours crafting valuable ideas, and your support means everything—feel free to ask questions in the comments! 😊💬 Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Long
by MadWhale
5
Bitcoin Breaks Trendline-Is $109k Next?Technical Analysis: Ascending Channel Pattern The asset is exhibiting an ascending channel pattern, indicative of sustained bullish momentum. Key observations include: - Channel Boundaries: The price has consistently respected the channel's upper and lower boundaries, forming higher highs and higher lows. - Breakout and Retest: Following a strong momentum breakout, the price is potentially retesting a key support level, previously acting as resistance. - Support Zone: If buyers confirm support at this level, it may signal a continuation of the uptrend, targeting the upper boundary of the channel at $109,000. Key Monitoring Points: - Bullish Confirmation Signals: Look for bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume to confirm long positions. - Risk Management: Failure to hold support could signal a bearish shift, emphasizing the importance of monitoring price action and adjusting strategies accordingly.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Peter_Wade
1
Long Trade Setup – BTCUSD📈 🔹 Asset: Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 🔹 Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart 🔹 Setup Type: Bullish Pennant Breakout (Trend Continuation) 📌 Trade Plan (Long Position) ✅ Entry Zone: Around $102,889 (Breakout confirmation above pennant) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Below $101,190 (Support and pennant invalidation) 🎯 Take Profit Targets 📌 TP1: $105,183 – Previous resistance zone 📌 TP2: $107,636 – Measured move target 📊 Risk-Reward Calculation 📉 Risk: $102,889 - $101,190 = $1,699 📈 Reward to TP1: $105,183 - $102,889 = $2,294 → R/R = 1:1.35 📈 Reward to TP2: $107,636 - $102,889 = $4,747 → R/R = 1:2.79 ✅ 🔍 Technical Highlights 📌 Bullish pennant formed after strong uptrend 📌 Volume contraction inside the pennant (ideal pattern behavior) 📌 Breakout above resistance suggests continuation 📌 Higher lows + strong trendline = bullish strength 📈 Execution Strategy 📊 Enter around $102,889 after confirmed breakout 📉 SL below $101,190 to protect capital 💰 TP1 at $105,183, let profits ride to TP2 ($107,636) 🚨 Invalidation Risk ❌ Drop below $101,190 cancels the breakout pattern ❌ Weak breakout with low volume = lower conviction 🚀 Final Take ✔ Classic breakout continuation pattern ✔ High potential with great R:R profile ✔ Let trend do the work, but stay disciplined!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ProfittoPath