BTC SELL IDEAWe are seeing price pull back to a HL - mitigation happened on lower time frames. We entered a sell after our previous ctl broke on 1st entry then got stopped out. We drew another trend line & price seems to be breaking clean only risking 0.8%. Learning how to control my sizing when coming across these types of ideas, price hit .618 fib level & is now getting ready to head down to 100k - even 90k depending on how price unfolds.
Crypto market
Last bounce for the weekStill have today and Tomorrow to close out the week so hopefully it will be clean and close in our direction. 3 weeks of breakout, Monday triggered the other direction but Wednesday started to go down and in Friday it became 3 days of breakout to the low . Saturday’s Asia open above yesterday’s session lowest high , pull back into it and I got an entry. 3 weeks of breakout + 3 day of breakout+ session turnover. Let see what happen. Either hit my SL or today closes in profit and I move stop to break even , the maximum hold is next Monday’s Asia open
Boom📉 SOLUSD Reversion Entry – Capturing the Recovery
This chart shows a textbook example of how the ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion Strategy can help identify panic-driven lows and offer early reversal signals for a clean intraday recovery.
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🟢 Signal Breakdown:
1. Sharp Drop into Oversold Territory
Solana (SOLUSD) experienced a large, fast selloff, breaking multiple support levels and triggering a flush in price. This type of move often represents emotional or news-driven liquidation — perfect for statistical reversion setups.
2. First “UP” Signal Printed at the Low
The strategy fired a buy signal just as price reached peak selling pressure:
• Price closed well below the lower volatility band
• RSI reached an extreme oversold zone
• The reversal candle marked the turning point
3. Second “UP” Signal on Confirmation
A follow-up signal printed one candle later, offering traders a second chance to enter the reversal with RSI already starting to recover upward.
4. Bounce Followed Shortly After
Price rallied from the lows, recovering several dollars in value and offering a strong mean reversion trade with limited downside risk.
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✅ How Traders Could Have Used This Setup:
• Wait for the first “UP” label to print on a fast drop — especially after a vertical move like this
• Confirm with RSI turning up from deeply oversold conditions
• Use the low of the signal bar as your stop
• Target previous minor support/resistance or the moving average reversion zone as your first TP
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💡 Why This Worked:
The trade worked well because:
• It was a statistical outlier move (rare volatility event)
• Volume and momentum exhaustion were confirmed by RSI
• The script visually identified the moment where price had likely stretched too far
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This is exactly what the ELFIEDT strategy is designed for — catching those high-stress extremes where most traders panic, but structured reversion logic finds opportunity.
BTCUSD - LONGS📉 BTCUSD Reversion Setup – After the Drop
This dual-timeframe view of BTCUSD shows how the ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion Strategy identified an excellent buy opportunity following a sharp selloff — with signals printing on both the 1H and 15min charts, offering strong confluence for a recovery play.
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🟢 Here’s What Happened:
1. High-Volatility Drop Into Oversold Levels
BTC saw an aggressive downward move, likely driven by news or a liquidation event. Price pushed deep below the lower statistical deviation bands, entering a classic mean reversion zone.
2. 1H Timeframe – Strong “UP” Signal
The 1-hour chart printed a clean “UP” signal right after the bottom formed. This confirmed that the move had extended far beyond normal volatility and that RSI was signaling exhaustion.
3. 15min Timeframe – Supporting Signal with Early RSI Recovery
Shortly before the 1H signal, the 15min chart had already printed an “UP” signal of its own — with RSI sharply recovering from deeply oversold conditions. This served as an early entry signal, with the higher timeframe confirming the broader move.
4. Sharp Bounce Followed
After the signals aligned, BTCUSD quickly rallied over $2,000 off the lows, offering a clean and profitable reversion move.
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✅ How to Use This Type of Setup:
• Watch for aggressive price drops or spikes that push outside statistical volatility bands.
• Look for an “UP” or “DOWN” signal on the lower timeframe (15min) for early entry opportunities.
• Then look for confirmation on the higher timeframe (1H) to strengthen your confidence in the trade.
• RSI recovery across both timeframes adds a momentum-based edge to the mean reversion logic.
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🎯 Why This Worked:
This trade worked because multiple signals lined up at once:
• Deep price extension
• Oversold RSI
• Volume-driven spike
• Multi-timeframe signal agreement
This confluence increases the probability of success and helps avoid false entries during volatility.
Crypto Total Market Cap (TOTAL) – Retest or Reversal?I’ve been watching TOTAL closely, and we’re currently sitting right inside a pullback zone between $2.9T and $3.12T — a critical psychological area to monitor.
✅ On the 2-month chart, structure still holds strong. Price action remains bullish overall, with higher lows continuing to form. This zone looks like a healthy pullback rather than a breakdown.
⚠️ However, when we scale up to the 12-month chart, momentum appears to be slowing down. This doesn’t mean we’re bearish just yet, but it does mean we need to be cautious and patient. With 6 months left before the yearly candle closes, that close will be crucial in determining if TOTAL is ready to break new highs above $3.73T (previous high) or consolidate further.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Support zone: $2.90T to $3.12T
Resistance/Retest target: $3.73T
Psychological floor: $2.65T
Until we close above that previous high, we remain in a waiting zone. If this structure holds, the next leg could be explosive — but patience and precision are key. 🧠📈
When the range compresses, the breakout doesn’t ask — it takesThis isn’t a chop. It’s a setup. AVAX just printed the kind of consolidation Smart Money wants to see before delivery.
The setup:
After the impulsive drop, price carved out a micro-range with well-defined boundaries — compression structure nested inside inefficiency. The FVG above (marked in purple) hasn’t been mitigated, and price is now pressing upward into that void with rising volume.
But that’s not where the trade is. The real trade is in the retracement.
I’m watching for one of two entries:
Either we drive into the FVG first, then sweep back into the range floor to trap late longs
Or we sweep range low one more time, then rip straight into the imbalance
Either way, the invalidation is clean — below the swing low, under 18.66.
Execution plan:
Entry: 18.70–18.90 zone (post-sweep or reaction)
TP1: 19.80 fill (FVG midpoint)
TP2: 20.54 clean inefficiency clearance
Nothing about this is forced. Price is telling the story. I’m just listening.
Final thought:
“The range isn’t random. It’s the disguise Smart Money uses before they move size.”
$FHE 6h chart setup. The ASX:FHE 6h chart is showing a potential breakout setup.
Price has held strong at the $0.06963–$0.07132 support zone and is now testing the descending trendline resistance around $0.07600.
A breakout above this level could trigger a 54% rally toward $0.112.
Watch closely, a move above the trendline may signal a strong bullish reversal.
DYRO, NFA
Compression, rejection, and the trap belowPEPE isn’t random here — it’s in a calculated drawdown. Not a dump — a design. What looks like weakness is really compression into a reactive pocket.
The logic:
Price is descending inside a compression channel. But the real interest lies lower — specifically around the FVG and the untouched demand range down to 0.0000089. That’s the key.
The 0.0000103 zone is a surface-level fib level (0.382), but the deeper intention is beneath it — where Smart Money will want to accumulate before running it back into inefficiency.
Above us? There’s a massive void sitting between 0.0000115 and 0.0000126. That’s the draw — but not before a deeper sweep to fuel it.
Two key paths:
Ideal: Full sweep of 0.0000089 demand → strong reversal → drive back into the .5/.618 fib cluster near 0.0000115–0.0000126
If front-run: Hold near current level (0.0000103) and deliver into the FVG gap above
Anything below 0.0000083? That’s your invalidation. Until then, compression is the setup.
Final thought:
“Smart Money doesn’t chase the wick. It sets the trap — then steps in with size.”
#BTC is approaching the S/R conversion zone📊#BTC is approaching the S/R conversion zone⚠️
🧠Yesterday's long orders were swept after moving up the SL, because the support zone near 106500-107500 was broken, and the support zone turned into a resistance zone.
➡️If the price rebounds here again, it may be resisted. Therefore, we can look for some short signals to participate.
➡️If we still want to continue to rise, we can only remain optimistic after breaking through the support-resistance conversion zone and stabilizing.
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
ETH ANALYSIS📊 #ETH Analysis : Update
✅As we said earlier, #ETH performed same. Now we can see that #ETH is trading in a bullish flag pattern and its a bullish pattern. We could expect around 10% bullish move if it sustain above its major support.
👀Current Price: $2555
🚀 Target Price: $2815
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #ETH price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#ETH #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
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