Bitcoin Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
On the Bitcoin chart, we see the formation of a complete Elliott wave pattern. These waves from 1 to 3 or C are quite clear and we can even count its sub-waves.
Now a 3-wave ABC has formed. We cannot be exactly sure that this is a complete zigzag because wave C can be extended and the price will fall further.
But we consider it wave 4 assuming that this zigzag is completed.
So we will wait for the formation of an upward wave in the form of wave 5.
The target is first $86,500 and then $88,000.
Good luck and be profitable.
Crypto market
ANKR/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.01655 - 0.01665
HMT v8 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity.
HMT (High Momentum Trending):
HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards.
Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note :
Role of Key Levels:
- These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns.
- Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa).
My Trading Rules
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%.
- Leverage: 5x.
Exit Strategy
Profit-Taking:
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike.
- Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
- If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
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HMT v2.0:
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
HMT v6 :
Date : 15/02/2025
- Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
HMT v7 :
Date : 20/03/2025
- Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment
HMT v8 :
Date : 16/04/2025
- Fully restructured strategy logic
BTCUSD next move(expecting a bearish move)(16-04-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for BTCUSD (16-04-2025) (MID TERM)
Current price- 83,800
wait for the break-out
"if Price stay below 85,800 then next target is 81800, 79,800 and 76000 above that 88,000.
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position.
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Waiting for a big boost for the market, over 90K BTC💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE (April 16)
First of all, congratulations to the investors. Everything went according to our trading plan and we had very good comments. Specifically, yesterday the price fell from the 86k area straight to 83k. We had more than 3000 prices together. Today's BTC trading plan did not change much.
NOTABLE NEWS ABOUT BTC:
According to Bloomberg, Bitcoin (BTC) mining hardware manufacturer Bitdeer is preparing to launch its own mining operation in the United States (US). The company intends to speed up the shipment of equipment following President Donald Trump's announcement of a 90-day tariff suspension. In addition, the pressure from tariffs has led to a decrease in Bitcoin mining hashrate among miners in the United States over the past month.
TECHNICAL VIEW
Bitcoin has faced multiple rejections around the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $85,000 since Sunday. On Tuesday, BTC attempted to break above this level but was rejected and fell 1.12%. At the time of writing on Wednesday, the price was hovering around $83,500.
If BTC closes above $85,000 on a daily basis, it could extend its rally to the psychologically important $90,000 level. A successful close above this level could extend the rally to test the March 2 high of $95,000.
Please continue to pay attention to the 84.2k resistance zone, this is an important resistance zone before we DCA to higher and more important areas
==> Comments are for reference only. Wish investors successful trading
The Ultimate Guide to Smart Money ReversalsLet’s cut to it. Most retail traders get caught chasing moves that were never meant for them. They’re entering late, reacting to structure breaks without context, or fading moves without understanding what’s really happening behind the price.
If you're trying to trade like smart money on the reversal, at the turn then you need to know when the game is flipping. That’s where the Market Structure Shift (MSS) comes in. But not just any MSS. I'm talking about MSS that follow a liquidity sweep and are driven by real displacementnot weak candles, not in consolidation. Real intent. Real shift.
Here’s how I approach it.
What Actually Counts as a Market Structure Shift?
Everyone talks about market structure higher highs, lower lows, etc. But structure breaks alone don’t mean anything. A valid MSS isn’t just about breaking a swing point. It’s why it broke and how it broke that matters.
I only consider a shift valid when three things are in place:
Liquidity has been taken (above a high or below a low).
The shift is caused by a displacement candle that clearly shows urgency.
The move happens with strength, not during chop or consolidation.
If you don’t have all three, it’s just noise.
Liquidity Comes First
Everything starts with a liquidity sweep. That’s the trap.
Price has to reach into a pool of liquidity usually above equal highs, clean swing highs, or below clean lows to grab those orders, and reject. That rejection is key. It shows smart money is offloading positions into retail breakouts or stop hunts.
Without a sweep, I don’t care what breaks. No liquidity = no reversal setup.
So the first thing I do is mark out obvious liquidity levels. Equal highs, equal lows, trendline touches anywhere retail is likely to have their stops sitting. That’s where the fuel is.
Then Comes Displacement
After the sweep, I want to see displacement a sharp, aggressive move in the opposite direction.
Not a weak pullback. Not a slow grind. A real candle that shows intent.
Displacement is always obvious. You’ll get a clean candle, often engulfing multiple others, that breaks structure and leaves behind an imbalance what we call a Fair Value Gap (FVG). That imbalance is the signature of smart money hitting the market hard enough to leave a gap in the order flow.
If the candle’s weak, or if it happens during consolidation, I skip it. Displacement is what separates real reversals from fakeouts.
Here is a clean example of what it should look like.
Confirming the Shift
Once displacement confirms intent, I check if it actually broke structure.
That means:
In an uptrend, I want to see price break a previous higher low after sweeping a high.
In a downtrend, I want price to break a lower high after sweeping a low.
When that happens, that’s your MSS. Price has grabbed liquidity, shown displacement, and broken a key point in the structure. At that point, we’ve got a confirmed shift in control.
Entries, Stops, and Targets
Here’s how I trade it.
After the MSS, I wait for price to pull back into the origin of the move. Usually, that’s going to be one of two things:
The Fair Value Gap (imbalance left by the displacement candle)
Or the MSS line itself (Shown on the example)
Once price comes back into that zone, that’s where I’m interested in getting in.
Stop loss always goes just above the high (for shorts) or below the low (for longs) of the displacement candle that caused the MSS. You’re giving it room to breathe, but keeping it tight enough to protect capital.
Targets are straightforward: go for the next pool of liquidity. That means swing lows (sell-side) if you’re short, or swing highs (buy-side) if you’re long. That’s where price is most likely to be drawn next.
A Clean Bearish Example
Let’s say price is trending up, putting in higher highs and higher lows. Then it takes out a recent swing high liquidity swept.
Immediately after that, a strong bearish candle drops and breaks the most recent higher low. That candle leaves an imbalance behind—perfect.
Now I’ve got:
✅ Liquidity sweep
✅ Displacement
✅ Break of structure
I mark out the FVG / MSS line, wait for price to retrace back into it, and enter the short. My stop goes above the displacement candle high. My target? The next clean swing low. That's the next spot where stops are resting where the market is drawn.
A Few Things to Watch Out For
This method works, but only if you’re strict about the rules.
Don’t take MSS setups in consolidation. Wait for clean, impulsive breaks.
If the shift happens without displacement or imbalance, skip it. It’s not clean.
Be realistic with stops. Tight is good, but don’t choke the trade. Give it the structure it needs.
The biggest mistake I see? Traders jump in too early trying to front-run the shift before displacement confirms it. Let the story unfold. Wait for the sweep. Wait for the candle that slaps the market and breaks structure. That’s your edge.
As shown here, the first "MSS" is invalid and not the A+ setup you're looking for.
Final Thoughts
Trading smart money reversals is about reading intent. You’re not just looking at price, you’re understanding why it moved the way it did.
When you combine a liquidity grab, displacement, and a break in structure, you're aligning with institutional activity. You're trading at the turn when smart money flips the script and leaves everyone else chasing.
This isn’t about trading every break. It’s about knowing which breaks matter.
Keep it clean. Stay patient. Follow the flow.
__________________________________________
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Ethereum (ETH): Buyers Losing Dominance....Might Fall To $1,400Ethereum might see one nasty fall pretty soon with the current dominance that sellers are showing on the markets.
Despite having a HUGE CME gap, we do not see any signs of recovery after yesterday's choppy movement, where price got rejected from 100EMA.
If we see further pressure from sellers just like that, we will see $1400 pretty soon, leaving the CME gap for later.
Swallow Academy
UFT - Opportunity or time to forget?Recent set of delistings (Binance as biggest) completly crushed the UFT price. Now we can see descending triangle pattern where price broke to the downside.
Technical target for this pattern is 1:1 move meassured from top to bottom of triangle. So price can dip a bit more but we are already creating oversold conditions which I believe will resolve in bounce up to test breakout range and then likely test of bottom again.
We can start thinking about bull scenario only once/if price wicks wave X pivot and corrects back to form higher low (ideally holds above triangle pattern).
DeGRAM | SOLUSD Testing the Demand Zone📊 Technical Analysis
Support and Uptrend
SOL/USDT has formed higher lows along the uptrend line and is now testing the $120-125 support area.
Resistance area
Key resistance is at $135; a breakout could trigger an acceleration of the upside.
Outlook Scenario
Price may retest the $135 level in the near term, with bullish momentum strengthening.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Solana is gaining momentum thanks to growing DeFi volume and high developer activity, which boosts investor confidence.
✨ Summary
Technical and fundamental signals coincide - watch $135 for breakout confirmation.
-------------------
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Bitcoin Facing Rejection Around the $86K Marker.
Based on Daily TF chart key level to watch is $84.5K.
The Case of bulls and bears:
If bulls fail to reclaim and hold above this 84.5K level, we could see a potential drop toward the FWB:67K – GETTEX:59K zone. Re-capturing 84.5k level pump target 88k to 99k level.
What’s especially worth watching now is the MACD:
Will it cross above the zero line, hinting at renewed bullish momentum,
or will it roll below and confirm a stronger downtrend continuation?
No predictions here — just sticking to the trend and watching price action unfold.
Supply and Demand by Thapelo Consolidation and Expansion
The markets either do one of two things: Price either consolidates or expands.
Consolidation: a period in the market where price is moving calm which moves in a range known as the dealing range. We will be able to identify a clear high and low to this range.
You have probably heard of the term range bound, ranging, or consolidating. This means that price is typically staying in one area, and just moving sideways, rather than up or down.
The range can be tight (meaning a spread of only a few pounds), or the range can be loose (meaning a spread of hundreds of thousands of pounds from range high to low. This partly will come down to the timeframe implemented.
Expansion: a period in the market where price is moving aggressively in one direction or the other. We will see an impulsive move to the upside, or an impulsive move to the downside, where price will give us large candle bodies or wicks. This is known as expansion.
DeGRAM | XRPUSD Retest of Support Level📊 Technical Analysis
Breakout from wedge
XRP/USDT broke above a descending wedge, confirming support near $2.00.
Key resistance
The next target is $2.30, aligned with the upper resistance trendline.
Predictive scenario
If support holds, XRP could climb toward $2.30 with room for further upside if broken.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Ripple gains momentum as legal clarity improves. Positive sentiment around altcoins and rising market activity support a bullish outlook.
✨ Summary
XRP’s breakout and legal tailwinds point to continued growth. Watch $2.30 for potential breakout confirmation.
-------------------
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Ethereum H4 | Potential bearish reversalEthereum (ETH/USD) could rise towards a multi-swing-high resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1,674.75 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 1,770.00 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 1,399.55 which is a multi-swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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Bearish Trend Persists: Litecoin Targets $71.0FenzoFx—Litecoin is trading at $75.9 after closing below $76.4 and testing it as resistance. The Stochastic Oscillator signals oversold conditions, suggesting a possible price bounce, although the bearish trend persists below $80.0.
If the bearish momentum continues, the next target could be $71.0.
Alternatively, stabilization above $80.0 may extend gains toward $88.5.
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#MEME/USDT#MEME
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.001424.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, which supports the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.001452
First target: 0.001496
Second target: 0.001537
Third target: 0.001586
TOTAL Crypto Market Cap Monthly Candle Close numbers & sequence
This is the TOTAL version of the Bitcoin chart I post every month
It is not always the same but, on average, it has the same Candle colour but not always the same Size, due to influences of ALT coins.
But what I want to draw your attention to is where that arrow is pointing.
We have just had a RED Febuary and March candle close.
This has only ever happened ONCE before.
Late 2019 - Early 2020
Infact, in 2019 we had Dec RED, Jan GREEN, Feb RED, March RED
And currently we have Dec RED, Jan GREEN, Feb RED, March RED,
The 2020 March RED was the Covid dive, that was swiftly recovered
Currently we have the "Trump Tariff Dive"
In so many ways, we are repeating the early 2020 Sequence in the TOTAL Cap
The Bitcoin Chart however, seems to be repeating the 2017 Sequence.
In 2020, TOTAL market Ca [pApril and May both closed GREEN. while en-route to a New ATH in March 2021.
A New cycle ATH in early 2026 is entirely possible though it would be Very Much out of sequence.
Things are different in many way with Crypto now...We are under new Regimes..
Discount Nothing
Interesting days indeed
#SXP/USDT#SXP
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to continue upwards
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100 again
We have a descending trend on the RSI indicator that supports the rise by breaking it upwards
We have a support area at the lower limit of the channel at a price of 0.1970
Entry price 0.2094
First target 0.2147
Second target 0.2234
Third target 0.2320
#JTO/USDT#JTO
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 1.57.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 1.60
First target: 1.64
Second target: 1.70
Third target: 1.76
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Formed a Rising Bottom📊 Technical Analysis
Breakout formation
BTC/USDT bounced from strong support, forming higher lows and testing the resistance line.
Key resistance
The main resistance zone is at $92,000; a breakout here could trigger strong upward momentum.
Predictive scenario
The price is likely to continue rising toward resistance with a potential breakout if momentum holds.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Cooling U.S. inflation and Fed pause support risk assets. Over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B in BTC ETF inflows and fading tariff tensions add bullish pressure. On-chain data shows whales accumulating BTC.
✨ Summary
Technical setup aligns with improving fundamentals. A break above GETTEX:92K could lead to a sharp BTC rally. Monitor macro data and ETF flows.
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#INJ/USDT#INJ
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 7.50.
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 7.71
First target: 7.92
Second target: 8.42
Third target: 8.90