BTCUSD 4hr Technical Analysis : Rejects $110K - Next TargetsOverview:
Bitcoin is currently undergoing a significant technical correction after rejecting a strong resistance level. The 4-hour chart shows a decisive bearish breakdown, suggesting that the bulls are losing control and sellers are gaining momentum. As the price continues to fall, all eyes are now on the major support levels that could trigger a potential reversal—or further acceleration to the downside.
📊 Technical Breakdown:
1. Major Resistance Zone (~$110,000 – $111,000):
This zone has acted as a strong supply area, where price has repeatedly failed to break through. Multiple rejections from this zone confirm it as a key distribution area, where large sellers are stepping in. The repeated failure to close above it shows market exhaustion at the highs.
Multiple candle wicks and strong bearish closes around this area.
Bull traps occurred after brief moves above this resistance, followed by sharp sell-offs.
2. Trendline Breakout:
Previously, BTC had been respecting a rising ascending trendline, which served as dynamic support throughout the last rally. Recently, price broke below this trendline with strong bearish momentum.
This marks a break in market structure.
The trendline retest acted as resistance—textbook confirmation of the trend shift.
3. QFL (Quantity Following Line) Breakdown:
The QFL zone, typically a bullish defense level, has failed to hold. This breakdown confirmed that bulls lost a critical level of control.
Price briefly retested the QFL from below before continuing downward.
This zone now acts as resistance, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
🔻 Downside Targets & Reversal Zones:
✅ Reversal Zone 1 (~$106,000):
This minor support level provided minimal reaction and was quickly breached.
Lack of volume or candle confirmation suggests weak buying interest here.
✅ Next Reversal Zone 2 (~$104,000):
This zone has historical importance as a short-term demand area.
Monitor closely for bullish candlestick patterns, volume spikes, or bullish divergences to assess potential bounce scenarios.
✅ Major Support Zone (~$102,000 – $100,000):
This is the most critical level in the near term.
Historically, price has reversed strongly from this zone, indicating strong buyer interest.
If price breaks and closes below this level, expect a high-probability continuation towards the $98,000 psychological level or lower.
🧠 Market Psychology:
The breakdown from the trendline and QFL indicates panic or profit-taking.
Many late long positions are likely being liquidated.
Smart money may be waiting at the $100K zone to accumulate, depending on market conditions and macro factors.
🎯 Trading Strategy Ideas:
🛑 For Bears (Shorts):
Stay short below $110K resistance.
Trail stop-loss above QFL zone or trendline breakdown.
Look to take profit at $104K and $102K zones.
Add to positions on confirmed bearish retests of broken supports.
📈 For Bulls (Longs):
Wait for clear confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, double bottom, RSI divergence) near $104K or $102K before entering.
Avoid catching falling knives—patience is key.
Consider scaling in with smaller position sizes and tight stops.
Watch for a reclaim of the QFL zone or a strong bounce from the $100K psychological level.
🧭 Bias: Bearish
Structure: Lower highs & lower lows.
Momentum: Selling volume increasing, bulls losing steam.
Invalidation: A strong daily close above $111K would flip bias back to neutral/bullish.
🧩 Final Thoughts:
Bitcoin is currently in a fragile state as it retraces from a failed breakout. With multiple key support zones ahead, the next few sessions will be critical in determining whether bulls can reclaim control or if we see deeper downside movement. Watch for signs of exhaustion from sellers or fresh accumulation zones to position accordingly.
Crypto market
Bearish Pressure with Key Resistance at $1.00
The price is trading in the lower half of the Bollinger Bands, suggesting weakness.
Support Levels: Around $0.85 - $0.90 (Recent lows)
Resistance Levels: Around $1.00 - $1.10 (Bollinger mid-band & psychological level)
Bearish Bias: The price remains below the moving average and in the lower Bollinger Band range.
Potential Reversal: If price breaks above $1.00 with increasing volume, it could signal an uptrend reversal.
Is MATIC Nearing a Bottom or More Downside Ahead ?
Lower Highs & Lower Lows: The price consistently prints lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish structure.
The price is moving along the lower band, indicating persistent bearish pressure.
The middle band (moving average) is acting as a resistance level.
Support: Around $0.20 - $0.21 (current price zone), as it appears to be stabilizing near the lower Bollinger Band.
Resistance: Near $0.28 - $0.30 (middle Bollinger Band) and a stronger resistance at $0.35.
Volume has been relatively low, suggesting weak buying interest.
If $0.20 breaks down, the next strong support might be around $0.15.
BTC Eyes $105,119 Support Before Targeting $112,000FenzoFx—Bitcoin is trading just below the previous monthly high at $109,110.0, while the Stochastic remains overbought for the third consecutive day, signaling short-term overheating.
Although the broader trend is bullish, a pullback toward the anchored VWAP at $105,119.0 is expected. This level may offer a low-risk reentry, with a potential move toward the all-time high at $112,000.0.
AAVE 2100$Aave
AAVE is the largest decentralized non-custodial liquidity market protocol on Ethereum Virtual Machine.
The currency has been moving in an upward trend since its launch.
This is in conjunction with ongoing development of the currency and a strong team.
The currency is considered non-inflationary.
Circulating Supply
AAVE 15.17M
(94.8% of Max Supply)
Monitor prices closely to benefit.
I wish everyone abundant profits.
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Skeptic | Dogwifhat (WIF): Precision Triggers for Spot & FuturesWelcome, traders, Its Skeptic! 😎 Is Dogwifhat (WIF) the next meme coin rocket or a risky gamble? I’m diving into a pro-level breakdown of WIF, the Solana-based meme coin with a $882.06M market cap, ranked #75 globally. This analysis covers recent performance, ecosystem strengths, and technical triggers for spot and futures trading, grounded in cycle-based strategies. Trade with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. Let’s dissect WIF! 🚖
📰 Recent Performance & Key Events
Dogwifhat (WIF) , a Solana-based meme coin launched in late 2023, trades at 0.886 with a $882.06M market cap, ranking #75 globally. Featuring a Shiba Inu in a pink beanie, it leverages Solana’s high-speed, low-fee blockchain and a deflationary burn mechanism with a 998.9 million token supply. Listed on major exchanges like Binance, KuCoin, and Gate.io, WIF enjoys strong liquidity. In July 2025, it’s up 5.26% in 24 hours and 24.57% over 7 days, with a 24-hour trading volume of $450M. However, it’s down 80.94% from its all-time high of $4.84 (March 31, 2024), reflecting meme coin volatility :)
Technical & Market Position
WIF benefits from Solana’s scalable ecosystem, a hub for DeFi and NFTs, with 160,000+ TPS and low fees, outpacing slower networks. Its community-driven appeal, active on X, Reddit, and Discord, fuels its momentum, with posts highlighting a cult-like following. Compared to Pepe ($4.08B market cap, 456,000+ holders, 37% holding over a year), WIF’s smaller but vocal community shows dedication. However, its lack of real-world utility and reliance on social media hype mirror Pepe’s 25.7% year-to-date drop, raising concerns about sustainability.
Risks : Speculative volatility, pump-and-dump schemes, and dependence on Solana’s performance and social media sentiment make WIF a high-risk bet. Use stop loss to manage swings.
📈 Technical Analysis
Daily Timeframe
The Weekly (HWC) is bearish, entering a major bearish trend after forming a double bottom and breaking support. However, the Daily (MWC) started an uptrend, achieving 350 % growth before correcting to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement —a healthy correction without breaking the uptrend momentum. Key support zones are $0.635–$0.679 . A break below could resume the Weekly bearish trend, so stay alert.
Spot Trigger (Long): Break above resistance at $ 1.047 , confirmed by a volume surge (ideally 2x the average of the prior 5–7 candles). Volume is critical—technical analysis is an art, not a science, so don’t fixate on exact numbers.
Key Insight: The Daily uptrend holds, but a volume spike is essential to confirm bullish moves and avoid fakeouts.
4-Hour Timeframe (Futures Triggers)
On the 4-hour chart (LWC), for longs:
Trigger: Break of the downward trendline and resistance at $ 0.958 , with volume confirmation (strong volume seen in the prior uptrend leg). Additional confirmation: RSI re-entering overbought.
Shorts: No short trigger currently. Despite the Weekly bearish HWC, the Daily MWC uptrend and strong support at $0.635–$0.679 make shorting illogical. Wait for a support break and MWC turning bearish for a safer short with better R/R.
Pro Tip: Longs are viable with volume and RSI confirmation. Avoid shorts until the MWC aligns bearish to minimize fakeout risk. Always use MAX 1%–2% risk per trade.
Final Vibe Check
This WIF breakdown delivers precise triggers for spot ($1.047) and futures ($0.958 long, no short yet), leveraging cycle-based strategies. With a bearish Weekly but bullish Daily, prioritize volume confirmation to navigate meme coin volatility. Solana’s ecosystem and exchange listings give WIF an edge, but its hype-driven nature demands caution. Want more cycle setups or another pair? Drop it in the comments! If this analysis sharpened your game, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️
💬 Let’s Talk!
Which WIF trigger are you watching? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
FUNUSDT Forming Bullish Falling WedgeFUNUSDT is starting to gain attention among traders as volume picks up and momentum begins to build. While no clear chart pattern is currently defined, the steady accumulation and price compression suggest that a breakout may be in the making. With expectations of a 60% to 70% gain, FUNToken could present a strong short-to-midterm trading opportunity, especially for those looking to capitalize on undervalued altcoins before broader market attention arrives.
Fundamentally, FUNToken positions itself within the blockchain gaming and iGaming sectors—industries forecasted for exponential growth. As crypto continues to integrate into online gaming and decentralized entertainment platforms, tokens like FUN stand to benefit significantly. Increasing investor interest reflects growing awareness of this project's utility and potential, further supported by good trading volume and recent wallet accumulation activity on-chain.
Technically, FUNUSDT is trading near key support zones, and a push through resistance levels could trigger rapid upward price movement. Traders should watch for confirmation signals such as bullish candlestick patterns, rising RSI, or a breakout above recent highs. With favorable market conditions and broader altcoin recovery underway, FUNUSDT could easily enter a high-momentum phase.
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✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin)
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Bullish Momentum Possible While LTC Holds Above $86.93Litecoin pulled back from $92.32, dipping to a key support at $88.52, backed by Anchored VWAP. Stochastic shows oversold conditions, signaling a potential rebound.
If $88.52 holds, a bullish wave toward $92.32 could follow. The outlook stays positive above $86.93;
Bitcoin Eyes Breakout if Clears $114,000📊 Market Overview:
• Bitcoin trades around $109,350, with an intraday high near $109,610
• Rosenberg Research notes BTC could rally ~6% to clear $114,000, potentially triggering a 25% rise to $143,000 on the back of ETF inflows, a weaker dollar, and Fed rate cut expectations
📉 Technical Analysis:
•Key Resistance: ~$114,000; followed by the psychological $112,000 zone .
•Nearest Support: $107,000 (prior highs/descending channel bottom) and key floor at $100,000
•EMA Levels:
o Price consolidates near 50-day EMA ($105,800), a crucial confluence zone
•Candlestick/Momentum:
o RSI near 50 (neutral),
o Flag pattern breakout suggests continuation potential
📌 Viewpoint:
Bitcoin may extend its rally if it breaks above $114,000, targeting $137,000–$143,000. If rejected, a pullback toward $107,000 is likely before bouncing.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
SELL BTC/USD at: $113,500–$114,000
🎯 TP: $110,000–$110,500
❌ SL: $114,500
BUY BTC/USD at: $107,000–$108,000
🎯 TP: $112,000–$113,000
❌ SL: $106,000
Bearish opportunityThere is a H&S pattern that is currently in play, the sell movent has already started but its still in its initial stages.
A sell position current with a stop loss slitely above 0.1875 and a take profit at 0.00712 would be most ideal.
A conservative trader can go with the most recent structure which would be a continous bearish pattern,if and only if you wait for a retest or volume to the down side and enter then but with a bigger stop loss.
BTC Wyckoff distribution idea...Based on the Wyckoff distribution methodology, the current chart suggests an upward trajectory, considering the presence of unfilled CME and FVG gaps. The anticipated scenario involves a continuation of the UT phase, potentially reaching targets around 112k/113k, followed by a correction towards the CME gap at approximately 102.5k.
Subsequently, a continuation into the UTA phase is expected, which may indicate the conclusion of the bull market.
Phemex Analysis #94: Pro Tips for Trading MooDeng (MOODENG)MooDeng ( PHEMEX:MOODENGUSDT.P ) is a playful, Solana-based meme coin inspired by a charming pygmy hippopotamus born at Thailand’s Khao Kheow Zoo. Since its debut in 2024, MOODENG has quickly captured crypto enthusiasts' imaginations, gaining prominence through explosive price surges and a rapidly growing community.
Recently, MooDeng’s market presence surged dramatically following its listing on Upbit, one of South Korea’s largest cryptocurrency exchanges. Upbit added trading pairs with KRW, BTC, and USDT, leading MOODENG’s price to spike by over 70%, while liquidity and trading volume increased by a staggering 600%, elevating its market capitalization beyond $200 million.
This newfound liquidity and heightened market attention bring exciting yet challenging trading conditions. To navigate these effectively, let’s explore several scenarios that traders should consider in the near term.
Possible Scenarios
1. Bullish Continuation (Extended Rally)
The recent Upbit listing provided significant bullish momentum, which might continue propelling MOODENG’s price upward. If buying pressure remains strong and price confidently holds above immediate support $0.165, the rally could extend toward higher resistance levels.
Pro Tips:
Monitor Key Resistance Levels: Keep an eye on critical short-term resistance zones $0.234 and $0.2676. Consider partial profit-taking at these levels to safeguard gains.
Entry and Risk Management: Look for price consolidations or small retracements as potential entry points. Always set stop-losses below recent support areas to minimize downside risk.
2. Price Consolidation (Sideways Movement)
After substantial upward movement, MooDeng might enter a period of consolidation as the market absorbs recent gains. Consolidation typically involves price fluctuating within a defined range, testing support $0.165 and resistance $0.206 repeatedly before the next significant move.
Pro Tips:
Range Trading: Implement range-trading strategies by identifying clear support and resistance levels, taking advantage of repeated price movements within these bounds.
Volume Analysis: Carefully observe trading volumes during consolidation phases. Declining volumes typically indicate a healthy pause before a potential next leg upward or downward breakout.
3. Bearish Correction (Pullback Scenario)
Following significant rallies, sharp pullbacks can occur as traders take profits, particularly in meme coins known for volatility. If MOODENG breaks below recent key support levels $0.165 with substantial trading volume, it might signal a bearish correction, returning the price toward lower support areas.
Pro Tips:
Identify Support Zones: Carefully monitor established support levels $0.133 or $0.12 for potential accumulation or buying opportunities. Significant pullbacks could present strategic entry points for long-term believers.
Stay Cautious: Avoid hastily entering trades during strong bearish momentum; instead, wait patiently for clear signs of price stabilization before taking new positions.
Conclusion
MooDeng’s recent explosive growth following the Upbit listing presents traders with numerous opportunities. By carefully monitoring outlined scenarios—considering bullish continuation, consolidation, and potential pullbacks—traders can effectively manage risk while capitalizing on MOODENG’s volatility. Stay disciplined, remain responsive to market dynamics, and always practice strategic risk management to maximize your trading success with MooDeng.
🔥 Tips:
Armed Your Trading Arsenal with advanced tools like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments at Phemex. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
$Bitcoin going to a Million $USD ? Happy 4th of July !May this 4th of July mark the Day of your Independence !
They say that the human brain has no parallels to its capacity for pattern recognition.
I say it is not the brain, but the mind that recognizes the pattern ... the consciousness behind it.
This chart shows the last 3 cycles ... we are just entering the 4th parabolic move, and I believe it will start when CRYPTOCAP:BTC crosses $113.5k USD per coin ... very soon indeed !
Many will say, but what happened to the 4 year cycle ? Isn't it scheduled to finish this October ?
Well, I am no expert but it would appear that the cycle has lenghtened, at least this time around. Proof of it is the CRYPTOCAP:ETH chart ... the second biggest crypto by market cap.
A few factors that you may consider, that perhaps affected the global business cycle, let's say they helped to delay it: the effect of Covid in 2020 and 2021, and as well the tariffs issue in 2025. What does this mean ?
Well, physically it means that with the economies running very slow in these two mentioned instances, the ECONOMIC WORK globally stalled.
Is it therefore any surprise that the "cycle" lenghtened, or slowed, this time around ?
Let's see what happens when the BBB makes BRRRR ... !
Enjoy !
Btc Wyckoff distribution Based on the Wyckoff distribution methodology, the current chart suggests an upward trajectory, considering the presence of unfilled CME and FVG gaps. The anticipated scenario involves a continuation of the UT phase, potentially reaching targets around 112k/113k, followed by a correction towards the CME gap at approximately 102.5k. Subsequently, a continuation into the UTA phase is expected, which may indicate the conclusion of the bull market.
$wif got in on that retest
targeting $1.5-$1.8 for now as we pump 7% and reclaim key level
fireworks incoming as for most of the coins
will try and time the cycle and rotate
for now memes , large caps , mid caps then maybe micro cap exposure or get ready to short alts or long bitty for its bounce from range low
am of the mind that dominace has had its run and we for a distribution range which is our alt season ... took only 4 years to materalise so step on the gas people .. then we bleed and wait for 80% correction to buy back in a few years .. this is where i stand so for now time to make it all back and more cycles get more and more interesting so dont be shocked if things moves quicker the same way they make us cry on the way down they should overextend on the way up.. well most of them ! have a nice day people and remove that self doubt yolo