Falling Wedge Breakout Could Spark 100% RallyASX:FHE ’s price action on the 4-hour chart reveals a falling wedge pattern, a bullish setup often preceding sharp reversals in low-cap altcoins. The token is trading at $0.00000079, with the wedge’s upper trendline near $0.00000085 and support at $0.00000070. Falling wedges typically form during consolidation after a downtrend, and ASX:FHE ’s declining volume within the pattern supports this thesis. The Bollinger Bands are contracting, indicating low volatility and a potential breakout.
A breakout above $0.00000085, confirmed by a 4-hour close and a volume spike, could propel ASX:FHE to $0.0000016, a 100% gain, aligning with the pattern’s measured target (wedge height projected upward). The MACD is showing early signs of bullish convergence, with the signal line flattening below zero. However, low liquidity (24-hour volume ~$0) increases the risk of whipsaws, and a false breakout could see prices drop to $0.00000060. Sentiment for low-cap tokens is cautious, but a broader altcoin rally could catalyze ASX:FHE ’s move.
Actionable Insight:
Enter long on a confirmed breakout above $0.00000085 with volume. Target $0.0000016, with a stop-loss below $0.00000070. Monitor Bitcoin’s trend, as altcoins often follow BTC’s lead. Check MEXC’s order book for liquidity before trading.
Chart Setup:
Timeframe: 4-hour
Indicators: Bollinger Bands, MACD, Volume
Levels: Support ($0.00000070), Resistance ($0.00000085, $0.0000016)
Crypto market
Oversold RSI Signals Potential Reversal at Key SuppotASX:FHE is currently trading at $0.000000790640, near historical lows, with a market cap of just $79 and negligible 24-hour volume (CoinBrain). On the daily chart, ASX:FHE appears to be testing a critical support zone around $0.00000075-$0.00000080, a level that has held during previous sell-offs. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is deep in oversold territory at 25, suggesting selling pressure may be exhausted. A bullish divergence is forming, with price making lower lows while RSI shows higher lows, hinting at weakening bearish momentum.
The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) sits at $0.00000095, acting as dynamic resistance. A break above this level could trigger a short-term rally toward $0.0000012, a 50% move from current prices, aligning with the 200-day EMA. Volume remains thin, typical for micro-cap tokens, but a spike in buying volume could confirm the reversal. On the downside, a break below $0.00000075 risks further capitulation to $0.00000050, though low liquidity makes precise targets tricky.
Actionable Insight:
Watch for a daily close above $0.00000095 with increased volume to confirm bullish momentum. Set stop-loss below $0.00000075 to manage downside risk. High volatility expected, so position size cautiously. Use MEXC or other low-liquidity exchanges for real-time data.
Chart Setup:
Timeframe: Daily
Indicators: RSI (14), 50-day EMA, 200-day EMA, Volume
Levels: Support ($0.00000075), Resistance ($0.00000095, $0.0000012)
the metric is now at average valuesThe Pareto Principle states that 20% of efforts bring 80% of results. Currently, 20% of the network's offerings are at a loss, while 80% remain profitable. When the share of coins in profit exceeded 95-98%, the market became overheated and profit-taking began (yellow bars).
After the all-time high (ATH), the market cooled down, and the metric is now at average values.
Gold is cooling, digital gold = Going UPNow you can safely make a long. When real gold "cools down", digital gold starts to grow. I wrote about this yesterday:
Russia accumulated gold in 2019
Gold bull run by 2020
Russia started a war in 2022
China has been actively buying gold lately
A new war will start in 2026-27 from China
We all want peace.
Gold always predicted chaos
My observations, long term. The purpose of this analysis is less of a predictive nature but rather more of a record of common sense thought and observations.
I don't think anyone really knows beyond a shadow of a doubt what Bitcoin will do next. The best we can do is look back at it's history and try to make sense of it in order to gain common sense ideas about what we can expect. My main mode of operation is trend lines, sometimes dozens of them. And I have here on the weekly chart a long term resistance (July 2016) and support (Jan 2020) marked in blue. And some time ago I drew the red and yellow short term support lines and extended them just to see what would happen.
As you can see in the chart, Bitcoin has broken the yellow line and attempted to cross back above it, and I'm not ruling that option out just yet, however when I look at this on a smaller time frame the price action looks like it's trying to flip the yellow into resistance. This scenario makes sense for a couple of quick reasons, the first being common sense in that the yellow line is extremely steep and one would have to wonder how long BTC can keep pace with it. The second reason is that the RSI is showing a head and shoulders pattern, as I've circled below the candlestick chart. However I think even the red short term trend line eventually will prove to be too steep of a climb to keep pace with as well, and it too will eventually be tested.
On the bullish outlook, BTC came down to retest the previous ATH at around 74K and bounced from it. In doing so, it completed the necessary distance for the double top and theoretically could continue its run up beyond 110K. It also touched the lower boundaries of Bollinger Bands (I'm limited to 2 instruments on the free acct. , so check for yourself) on several mid to long term time frames, increasing the possibility of a bullish continuation from there.
However, I lean more toward the bearish scenario for reasons I stated above. And because it's been a while since BTC touched its long term support (marked in blue) and history does repeat itself. I however do agree that the 40K area would be difficult to reach because of demand expected near the 68K, 53K and 49K zones.
This is not a trade suggestion or advice of any kind, however the best action at this point is to be patient and take a wait and see approach until price action makes a more definitive confirmation of either bullish or bearish trend to come.
OntologyGas —Praying For A Long-Term Bull Market (4,000%+ Pot)Another interesting chart. Just a slight increase in trading volume last week but this increase is the highest volume since April 2024.
Last week, OntologyGas (ONGUSDT) activated a support level from December 2020. This same low back in December 2020 was followed by a 2,000% advance. From bottom to top, in the 2021 bull market, ONGUSDT grew an incredible 9,000%+. We have a long long-term higher low. On the medium term and normal long-term, there has been a breach of all support.
The August 2024 low and support was taken out easily and even the 2023 support zone was broken. ONGUSDT only bottomed after going as far back as December 2020 and this is good and I will explain why.
It is good news because we know the low is in. That's the only reason. Oh wait, another reason; because we can buy and hold easily and enjoy maximum growth. That's the best part.
The more than four years strong low has no bearish volume, instead, a green reversal candle and the next candle which is the current active candle is full green and going up. This means the reversal signal is in and confirmed. This means OntologyGas is set to grow.
» Once we hit bottom... Hit follow!
434 days lasted the last bullish cycle. The period we are seeing now, 2023, 2024 is nothing compared to the conditions the market was in pre-2021. The market was good to us pre-2025.
Pre-2021, the market was brutal and a major crash happened, we all know about it, before the bullish phase. Pre-2025, the market was quite friendly, sideways we a stable base and some bullish waves. Now, in 2025, we are seeing a strong correction before the major bull market run. But this correction is nothing compared to what happened before 2021. So conditions are much better now.
The market is holding better. Fundamentals are better and everything continues to improve on the side of Crypto. We can assume that the bull market will be better, growth will be better and hopefully extended but that's me trying to impose my believe on the market; anything goes.
The low for ONGUSDT is not like DGBUSDT. The low happened last week. Just a year, 365 days of growth, would put a new All-Time High in April 2026. Six months you ask? That would be November 2025.
I don't even want to think about it. I don't want to see a rush run develop in six months. I want a full flown bull market lasting 2 years or 3 years or more.
We want money and for this to be possible we need to adapt, to develop and to grow. If things move to fast, it will be another "it happened; it is over; back to boring again." No, let's hold these Cryptocurrencies long-term.
Namaste.
Do You Know the Difference Between an Indicator and a Strategy?A lot of traders jump into Pine Script or apply a script on TradingView without understanding one key difference:
Indicators and Strategies are not the same — especially when it comes to real-time performance and backtesting.
---
What’s the Key Difference?
Indicators
Indicators are visual tools designed to help you analyze price action in real time . They do not track trade performance or simulate trades automatically.
You can use them to:
- Generate signals
- Stack confluences
- Set custom alerts
- Overlay custom visuals on charts
Best for: Chart analysis, signal confirmation, and manual or semi-automated alerts.
---
Strategies
Strategies are built for backtesting . They simulate how your trade logic would have performed historically, using `strategy.entry`, `strategy.exit`, and related functions.
They automatically calculate:
- Hypothetical P&L
- Win/loss ratio
- Drawdowns
Best for: Validating trade logic, optimizing entries and exits, performance tracking.
---
But Here’s the Catch
Many traders assume that once a strategy backtest looks good, it will behave exactly the same in live trading. This assumption can lead to poor decision-making.
❌ Why Forward Testing Isn't Perfect
When you set alerts based on a strategy, you're asking a backtest engine to behave like a live trading engine — and that’s not what it was designed for.
TradingView strategies:
- Only execute on candle close
- Do not simulate intrabar price action
- Do not account for slippage
- Do not reflect real-time market volatility
So:
- Your strategy alert may fire late compared to actual price movement
- Your SL/TP may be hit within a candle, but the strategy won’t know until close
- You may see better backtest results than what happens live
---
Takeaway
If you're using strategies with alerts, it’s critical to understand these constraints:
TradingView’s strategy engine is optimized for historical testing, not for real-time execution. It provides insight into the validity of your logic — but it’s not a replacement for a live execution engine.
Best Practice Recommendations:
- Always forward-test on a demo or paper account first
- Monitor how alerts perform in real-time
- Be ready to adjust parameters based on your asset and timeframe
If you need better responsiveness or real-time adaptability, consider using indicators to generate your alerts. Indicators react to price in real time and are often more suitable for live market conditions.
---
Final Note
Some strategies are built with these limitations in mind. They can still be useful in real-time trading as long as you're aware of how they work.
Transparency is key. Backtesting is a guide, not a guarantee.
Trade smart, stay informed.
Feel free to reach out if you have questions or insights to share!
NEO/USDTKey Level Zone: 5.430 - 5.460
HMT v8 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity.
HMT (High Momentum Trending):
HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards.
Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note :
Role of Key Levels:
- These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns.
- Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa).
My Trading Rules
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%.
- Leverage: 5x.
Exit Strategy
Profit-Taking:
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike.
- Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
- If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
Sharing this with love!
HMT v2.0:
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
HMT v6 :
Date : 15/02/2025
- Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
HMT v7 :
Date : 20/03/2025
- Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment
HMT v8 :
Date : 16/04/2025
- Fully restructured strategy logic
BTC Usdt Crypto Short p.Dragon BTC: Strengthening, but Outflows Slow Down
Funding remains neutral, institutional activity is moderate
📉 Exchange Reserves: 2.4297M BTC (–0.11%)
💵 USD Reserves: $203.3B (–1.42%)
📥 Inflow: +27.09K BTC (+0.9%)
📤 Outflow: +29.68K BTC (+0.81%)
⚖️ Netflow: –2.58K BTC ➜ Still outflow, but weakening
🔎 Market Outlook:
BTC is in an accumulation phase but lacks strong impulsive demand
ETH is losing activity but supported by stable volume
XRP / TRX / SOL are overheated — potential for pullback / profit-taking
BNB showing surging activity and volume — watch for breakout towards $600+
DigiByte Will Launch The 2025 Bull Market (1,150% Potential)This is a strange pattern. DGBBTC hit bottom in October 2024, that's actually a long time ago. All this time, this trading pair has been printing and producing a bottom. It has been consolidating while slowly growing from its base.
I found this pair, once more. I looked at the chart and I got the feeling that it is so close...
I no longer remember what it feels like to see a BTC pair going up, it's been so long. But many of these pairs can grow 5X, 10X, 20X or more. COTIBTC is an example that I shared just a day ago. In 2021, it grew 23X against Bitcoin. How much will DigiByte grow?
This is a friendly reminder and trading alert. It is getting very close.
It is not me, it is what I see coming from the chart.
This time around I don't think the growth is months away. The entire market can take months to be fully green, this I can give. May full green, late May 2025 is easy to see, but now? No. But not DigiByte, it is getting so close that the bullish breakout here might happen within days.
The thing about these trading pairs, is that once they start going for real there is no going back, next time you look it will be trading above 20-30 sats, and that's the lowest possible entry, after the break.
Ok. Timing is right. The time is ripe.
I guess we will have to wait and see based on the results.
» DigiByte vs Bitcoin (DGB) has a nice and easy 1,150% potential for growth in the coming months. Just the initial bullish breakout can produce 100% or more.
Namaste.
SHELL/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.1160 - 0.1170
HMT v8 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity.
HMT (High Momentum Trending):
HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards.
Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note :
Role of Key Levels:
- These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns.
- Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa).
My Trading Rules
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%.
- Leverage: 5x.
Exit Strategy
Profit-Taking:
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike.
- Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
- If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
Sharing this with love!
HMT v2.0:
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
HMT v6 :
Date : 15/02/2025
- Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
HMT v7 :
Date : 20/03/2025
- Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment
HMT v8 :
Date : 16/04/2025
- Fully restructured strategy logic
BTCUSD Chart - Potential Short OpportunityThe provided description outlines a technical analysis perspective on the BTCUSD (Bitcoin against the US Dollar) chart, suggesting a potential short selling opportunity based on the interaction with multiple long-term downward trendlines and a recent break of a short-term trendline.
The chart shows the BTCUSD touched multiple long-term downwards trendlines, also the short term trendline has broken for potential short opportunity. it may falls further 71-66K to support of previous highs, and to where the previous trend has begin.
Buying opportunity in CSPR (1D)We have a strong move origin and a fresh, unmitigated support trading range on the chart.
Previously, there was also a bullish CH, and a good time correction has formed. If the price reaches the Demand zone, we will look for buy/long positions.
Targets are marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
ETH | Position SetupNew safe setup based on fundamentals & market structure.
🧠 Ethereum is still the market’s tech locomotive — accumulating capital, awaiting major updates (ETF, staking, etc.).
Entry: $1,600
DCA: $1,155
Estimated liquidation: ~$790
⚙️ Execution:
30% at market
50% limit buy
20% margin addition
🎯 Take-Profit Strategy:
TP1: $2,066 (+78%) → 20%
TP2: $2,486 (+156%) → 30%
TP3: $3,050 (+263%) → 40%
TP4: open → 10%
⭐️ High R/R setup with max drawdown control and clean 3.3x potential.
ETH Next AnalysisETH Next Analysis
From Mr Martin Date 16 Wednesday 2025
From our past analysis ETH Has Strong reactions after testing key level FVG IT tested after seems as falling pattern to downside price will decline from 1710.00
Currently ETH Price move at 1610and is expected lower again which is test resistance 1710 after we see decline and move to downside then targets will be 1511 / 1450
PS Support with like and comments for more analysis to share with you.