VOXEL - got the bounce what now?VOXEL bounced as expected and got rejected at the previous support range. What now? We have seen similar move from OM before it blasted toward new ATH. If VOXEL is to copy that move it must now create higher low on local level and then do strong push up to breakout of diagonal resistance line and push past all other S/R ranges, ideally flipping them into support on the way up. Target for that impulse move would be fibb 0.886/ATH range.
Crypto market
VIC - rejected by neckline, H&S activatedVIC did bounce up but got strong rejection at the neckline thus confirming H&S pattern. Note we still have active bullish divergence and are close to oversold range so this might have been fakeout. So if shorting do it with thight stop loss - note if we break diagonal resistance line of right shoulder then H&S pattern is invalidated and we go for test pivot at 2$ range.
Altcoins (Market Cap) - Excluding Top 10 Coins - Inverted H&SBullish setup on the daily chart. CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS have once again made a inverted head & shoulders pattern which is a bullish reversal pattern. With the yellow chart below showing the Global M2 Liquidity index breaking out aswell. With more money in circulation, the propabilty is that more money will enter the market over time. Although, there can be latency.
For now I will trust the patterns in the chart of Others and follow it to see IF we can confirm the Inverse H&S. We have to break the neckline which should be around 310-325 B for June and July. But still, after that we need a pullback to confirm that neckline and make it support for continueation.
It´s a very interesting world right now. And much can happen. But IF this break out. It would probably be one of the most explosive bull markets to remember for a long time.. I myself are holding quality coins and tokens. Im not in memecoins, whats so ever. With the adoption happening right now in crypto I don´t believe that is the right market to be in right now.
Nothing on this profile should be interpreted as financial advice. Always do your own research and investment decisions. Im only expressing my thoughts and beliefs. Nothing else. Crypto is a risky business but It also has a lot of reward If being right. I can´t find equal yield in any other markets for now. If you know any, plz comment below =)
BINANCE:BTCUSD
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
MARKETSCOM:ETHEREUM
BINANCE:SOLUSD
BINANCE:SUIUSD
ICEUS:DXY
XAIUSDT / LONG / 12.06.25⬆️ Buy XAIUSDT, 12.06.25
💰 Entry: 0.06687
🎯 Target: 0.14819
⛔️ Stop: 0.05947
Reasons for entry:
— 1D
Price in consolidation for more than 1 day
Correction into the discount zone
— 1H
Divergence in long, exit from correction
Decrease in volumes during correction
Predominance of volumes for purchase
— 5m
Breakdown of the structure with correction into the discount zone
Strategy: medium-term, breakout
PS:
Breakdown for 5 minutes, more conservatively wait for 15 minutes for the structure breakdown.
Bitcoin double top?It looks like we might be seeing a double top formation, and with lower lows and reduced trading volumes, the positive momentum is running out. The yellow line at the top represents my sell line and is based on a long-term trend dating back to 2015. This line accurately predicted the recent all-time high (ATH) within $50. Although Bitcoin can break through this line, it often doesn’t hold for long.
If the price does break through, the next ATH could be approximately 113700 USD. However, that could mean only small returns with the risk of a pullback to $40k. I’m a BTC bull, but you need to consider having more liquidity during the correction.
The news surrounding Bitcoin is very positive, yet it isn't reacting with enough momentum to reach the values suggested by bullish analysts. Many retail investors are currently focused on paying for living expenses rather than investing. In my opinion, the bull cycle may be nearing its end. The recent head and shoulders pattern that broke to the downside is concerning, although it was somewhat saved by institutions buying more.
This trend could continue, but it's important to note that miners are selling, which is another indicator of a market top, and the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) is high.
Bitcoin - Breakout incoming towards $115k?Introduction
Bitcoin (BTC) has been consolidating just below a key resistance level over the past several days. This period of sideways movement, without any significant pullbacks, reflects notable strength in the market. Such price behavior often precedes a strong directional move, and in this case, the technical setup continues to favor the possibility of a bullish breakout.
1H BullFlag Pattern
On the 1-hour timeframe, BTC is forming a well-defined bull flag pattern, which is typically a bullish continuation signal. This flag began to develop after BTC surged from approximately $105,000 to $110,000, creating the flagpole that represents the initial wave of upward momentum.
Since that move, price has entered a consolidation phase, forming the flag portion of the pattern with declining volume and tighter price action. If BTC breaks out above the upper boundary of this flag, the measured move target projects a rally toward the $115,000 level. Reaching this target would represent a new all-time high for Bitcoin, signaling a continuation of the broader uptrend.
4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), Downside Scenario
Although the overall structure favors a bullish outcome, it is important to acknowledge the potential for a short-term retracement. On the 4-hour chart, there is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $105,700 and $106,800. If BTC fails to break out immediately, this zone becomes a logical area to monitor.
Price may revisit this imbalance to fill the gap left behind by the recent upward move. A dip into this area could present a strong opportunity for long entries, particularly if buyers step in with conviction. Filling this FVG would allow for a more balanced structure before BTC attempts a sustained move higher.
Conclusion
BTC continues to show impressive resilience as it consolidates near its prior highs. The presence of a bull flag on the lower timeframes, coupled with minimal downside volatility, suggests that a breakout above resistance is becoming increasingly likely.
However, reclaiming the previous all-time high remains a critical step before targeting the projected $115,000 level. How BTC reacts to that key resistance area will provide important insight into the strength of this rally.
At this stage, the bullish case remains the higher probability scenario, while any short-term pullback into the FVG zone could offer a healthy reset and a potential long setup for continuation toward new highs.
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ACX/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.1820 - 0.1850
LMT v2.0 detected.
The setup looks promising—price previously trended upward with rising volume and momentum, then retested this zone cleanly. This presents an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity if momentum continues to align.
Introducing LMT (Levels & Momentum Trading)
- Over the past 3 years, I’ve refined my approach to focus more sharply on the single most important element in any trade: the KEY LEVEL.
- While HMT (High Momentum Trading) served me well—combining trend, momentum, volume, and structure across multiple timeframes—I realized that consistently identifying and respecting these critical price zones is what truly separates good trades from great ones.
- That insight led to the evolution of HMT into LMT – Levels & Momentum Trading.
Why the Change? (From HMT to LMT)
Switching from High Momentum Trading (HMT) to Levels & Momentum Trading (LMT) improves precision, risk control, and confidence by:
- Clearer Entries & Stops: Defined key levels make it easier to plan entries, stop-losses, and position sizing—no more guesswork.
- Better Signal Quality: Momentum is now always checked against a support or resistance zone—if it aligns, it's a stronger setup.
- Improved Reward-to-Risk: All trades are anchored to key levels, making it easier to calculate and manage risk effectively.
- Stronger Confidence: With clear invalidation points beyond key levels, it's easier to trust the plan and stay disciplined—even in tough markets.
Whenever I share a signal, it’s because:
- A high‐probability key level has been identified on a higher timeframe.
- Lower‐timeframe momentum, market structure and volume suggest continuation or reversal is imminent.
- The reward‐to‐risk (based on that key level) meets my criteria for a disciplined entry.
***Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note: The Role of Key Levels
- Holding a key level zone: If price respects the key level zone, momentum often carries the trend in the expected direction. That’s when we look to enter, with stop-loss placed just beyond the zone with some buffer.
- Breaking a key level zone: A definitive break signals a potential stop‐out for trend traders. For reversal traders, it’s a cue to consider switching direction—price often retests broken zones as new support or resistance.
My Trading Rules (Unchanged)
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%
- Leverage: 5x
Exit Strategy / Profit Taking
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically sell 50% during a high‐volume spike.
- Move stop‐loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 R:R.
- Exit at breakeven if momentum fades or divergence appears.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. LMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
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From HMT to LMT: A Brief Version History
HM Signal :
Date: 17/08/2023
- Early concept identifying high momentum pullbacks within strong uptrends
- Triggered after a prior wave up with rising volume and momentum
- Focused on healthy retracements into support for optimal reward-to-risk setups
HMT v1.0:
Date: 18/10/2024
- Initial release of the High Momentum Trading framework
- Combined multi-timeframe trend, volume, and momentum analysis.
- Focused on identifying strong trending moves high momentum
HMT v2.0:
Date: 17/12/2024
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
Date: 23/12/2024
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
Date: 31/12/2024
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
Date: 05/01/2025
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
Date: 06/01/2025
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
HMT v6 :
Date : 15/02/2025
- Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
HMT v7 :
Date : 20/03/2025
- Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment
HMT v8 :
Date : 16/04/2025
- Fully restructured strategy logic
HMT v8.1 :
Date : 18/04/2025
- Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency
LMT v1.0 :
Date : 06/06/2025
- Rebranded to emphasize key levels + momentum as the core framework
LMT v2.0
Date: 11/06/2025
- Fully restructured lower timeframe (LTF) momentum logic
- Enhanced entry timing for better precision and alignment with key levels
BTC CAN PUMP AGAIN AFTER A SHORT REST Bitcoin had a very strong pump from the 101 to 110k range. In my opinion, the third wave that I identified on the chart is complete and now the price can start pumping again by returning to 107k. The 107k range is an important range because the bottom of the main channel is at this price and it is also a good range for the fourth Elliott wave.
BTC/USD 4H Trade Setup – Demand Zone Reversal Play🔵 1. Demand Zone 🧲💎
📍 Range: 100,418.83 – 102,253.51
🟦 Strong support zone
💡 This is where buyers are expected to step in
📉 Price is currently testing this zone — potential reversal area
🚀 2. Entry Point 🎯
📍 Zone: 102,232.52 – 102,264.33
✅ Just above demand zone for safe entry
🧘♂️ Wait for bullish confirmation (wick rejections, engulfing candles)
🛑 3. Stop Loss 🔻
📍 Zone: 100,498.77 – 100,538.74
🔒 Below demand zone — protects you from false breakouts
⛔ Invalidates setup if price breaks below this level
🎯 4. Target Point 💰
📍 Target: 108,800.00
🧱 Major resistance zone
📈 Offers a solid Risk/Reward setup (approx. 1:4)
🪜 Possible take-profit scaling around 108,656.78 – 109,256.50
🔁 5. CHoCH – Change of Character 🔄
📍 Confirmed structural break above a lower high
🕵️♂️ Indicates shift from bearish to bullish
🔁 Needs confirmation with higher low near demand zone
📏 6. EMA 70 (Exponential Moving Average) 📉
📍 Level: 106,849.30
🔴 Price is currently below EMA = short-term bearish
🧗♂️ Reclaiming the EMA will strengthen the bullish bias
✅ Quick Summary with Emojis
📌 Plan:
🔵 Buy near: 102,250
🛑 Stop Loss: 100,500
🎯 Take Profit: 108,800
📊 Trend:
🔻 Bearish short-term (below EMA)
🔁 Potential reversal from demand zone
⚠️ Watch For:
🔍 Bullish confirmation at demand zone
🔄 Reclaim of EMA (106.8k)
🧱 Resistance near 108.8k
$BTC Rejected at Key Resistance – Global War Concerns Pressure P
Bitcoin failed to break above the $110K resistance, facing sharp rejection for the third time. Rising global war tensions have triggered risk-off sentiment across markets, and Bitcoin is now showing signs of a deeper pullback.
🔸 Key Support Zone at 99K – 100K:
This zone is the last strong support holding the bullish structure. A break below it could trigger a larger correction. Eyes on this zone for possible bounce or breakdown.
🔸 Upside Target: 110k+ (Invalidated)
Unless BTC reclaims $110K with strong momentum, upside targets are currently paused.
🔸 Risk Level at 99K:
A daily close below $99K would confirm bearish momentum and open room toward $90K next.
🔸 Outlooks:
Stay cautious due to macro instability (global war risk).
🔹 If price bounces near $99K → short-term long trades possible.
🔹 If it breaks below $99K → prepare for continuation to $90K.
Avoid heavy exposure until the trend clears.