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USDT.D - The dominance of real moneyThe dominance of the dollar over cryptocurrencies is a real indicator of the growth status of ETH! The last wave of correction and decline is happening now! Pay attention to the accumulation zone before the Bitcoin price drops/inflates. Money is being transferred to BTC=>ETH=>ALT=>USDT=>BTC and so on in a circle, during the active participation phase of DOU, money is being transferred to ETH and beyond, so be vigilant In addition, I would like to draw your attention to the BTC.D indicator.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by SHARK1318
A New Approach to Market Analysis: How IA Simplifies TradingClarity on the Chart. Smart Trading Decisions Approaches to Market Analysis and the Challenges Traders Face When we first start trading and investing, we encounter various methods for predicting price movements. Over time—and with enough persistence, patience, and experience—we find the approach that helps us make profitable trades. Among the most popular are oscillators and channel indicators, Dow Theory, Elliott Waves, Fibonacci levels, supply and demand, Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), Market Auction Theory, and concepts like Inner Circle Trader/Smart Money Concept (ICT/SMC). Many traders combine elements from different methods to build a strategy that works best for them. However, the road to consistent profits is rarely easy—most face similar challenges. 🔹 Lack of Knowledge and Experience Complexity of Technical Analysis: Too many tools, conflicting signals on different timeframes, and unclear logic can be overwhelming. No Clear Trading Plan: Many traders rely on intuition or others' advice instead of having a structured strategy. Poor Risk Management: Ignoring capital and risk controls leads to losses. Emotional Decision-Making: Fear and greed get in the way of sound decisions. 🔹 Time Constraints Trading Takes Time: Analyzing charts, scanning assets, and finding entry points all require time and focus. Slow Learning Curve: Gaining consistent results takes years of practice and study. Can Trading Be Made Simpler and More Effective? ________________________________________ A New Perspective: The Concept of Initiative Analysis (IA) Today I’d like to present Initiative Analysis —a concept that: ✅ Simplifies how you understand technical analysis ✅ Speeds up learning through a structured approach ✅ Reduces time spent on daily analysis ✅ Provides elements of a working trading strategy What is IA? Imagine looking at your chart and instead of seeing just candles, you see blocks of directional movement—called initiatives. An initiative is the action of buyers or sellers that causes price movement. It is limited by both price range and time, which helps clearly identify who dominates the market at any given moment. • If buyers dominate, price rises. These phases are shown with blue zones. • If sellers dominate, price falls. These are shown with red zones. This visual method allows you to not just see price movements, but also the underlying battle between buyers and sellers as it unfolds. How IA Differs from Traditional Analysis To understand how IA stands out, think about the classic tools traders use: • Candle patterns (e.g., hammer, doji, engulfing) • Chart figures (e.g., head and shoulders, double top, flag) • Indicators (e.g., oscillators, moving averages, channels) • Elliott Waves, Market Profile, Order Flow • Smart Money Concepts (ICT/SMC) These tools often focus on outcomes and results. Some attempt to capture the "fight" between buyers and sellers within fixed time intervals (like hourly or daily candles). Elliott Wave Theory, for example, offers a cyclical interpretation through structured wave sequences. IA, by contrast, focuses on identifying and visualizing real-time initiative without forcing a pre-defined structure. Another key distinction: IA allows for initiative shifts within a range—a buyer-to-seller transition can occur without breaking range boundaries, as often happens in sideways markets. This new method offers a fresh lens for viewing market dynamics. Instead of dividing charts by time or volume, candles are grouped by initiative blocks, each with its own duration. Comparing these blocks helps you "read" the market—who is gaining strength and who is losing it. Even more importantly, this approach can help predict shifts in market control and estimate potential price targets. Look at these charts 📉 Trend When one side controls the market strongly, we see a single background color in price ranges. In this case, it makes sense to look for trades in the direction of the move. But it’s important to check the higher timeframe for confirmation (!). In the chart: A blue target line means a bullish target (thin line = 1H, thick = 1D). A red target line means a bearish target (same logic for thickness). Targets are calculated using a custom method that includes the initiative range, candle structure inside the initiative, and traded volumes. Once a candle crosses the target line, the target is considered reached. If a new target appears, it will be shown. If the price leaves the buyer zone, the blue target disappears until the price returns. Same rule for seller zones. 📉 Sideways Market (Range) If the chart background changes between red and blue in one price range, it means the market is in consolidation (sideways) — temporary balance between buyers and sellers. In this case, targets also switch: blue = buy target, red= sell target. 🔀 Transitional Phase Sometimes, two price zones may appear at the same time — one above (buyers), one below (sellers). This is a transition period. It may turn into a sideways range or develop into a trend. During transitions: It’s better to avoid trading. Check who controlled the price before, and who is in control on the higher timeframe (this is always important). For example, if sellers were in control before, and the higher timeframe confirms it, sellers are likely to stay dominant. However, a short-term bounce or trend reversal is possible. With IA You Can: ✅ Identify buyer/seller initiative in real time ✅ Anticipate initiative shifts ✅ Visualize control zones and key levels ✅ Compare strength between buyers and sellers ✅ Forecast potential price targets IA lets you objectively assess market dynamics, identify the dominant side, and estimate the most probable direction. ________________________________________ How IA Helps Solve Key Trading Challenges 📌 Complex Analysis → Simplified visual zones make market context easy to read—even for beginners. 📌 Lack of Strategy → IA covers 3 of the 5 essential trading questions (direction, entry zone, and target), and can be combined with other tools or techniques to answer the remaining two: entry timing and stop-loss placement: Trade direction: Buy in a buyer block, sell in a seller block. Entry zone: Buy below 50% of a buyer block, sell above 50% of a seller block. Profit-taking: Estimate target using visualized zones. While IA gives market context, final decisions still depend on patterns, volume, and risk management. 📌 Time Management → Visual structure saves hours of scanning and comparing charts. “Now I scan for trade setups in 15 minutes, just by checking the visual layout. Before, I’d spend hours deciding if an asset was trending or in a range.” — trader review. 📌 Learning Speed → Think of it like driving: learning on a modern automatic car is much easier than on a 50-year-old manual. You don’t need to know how the transmission works—just how to drive. Same with IA. It’s not an autopilot, but a powerful navigator that helps you orient in the market. IA simplifies analysis, but the trader is still responsible for decisions, risk, and mindset. Fewer tools = faster learning. You don’t need to know how indicators are built—just how to use them. IA focuses your attention on what matters. It reduces noise and highlights structure. ________________________________________ Final Thoughts IA introduces a new way of analyzing markets—not just reading the result, but watching the fight unfold in real time. It helps traders make more confident decisions, simplifies analysis, and adds structure to the chaos of the market. Clarity on the Chart. Smart Trading Decisions. If this approach speaks to you—share the article, leave a comment, and stay tuned for more insights in upcoming posts!
Education
by AlexeyWolf
BTC/USD Expected to Rise: A Swing Trading Strategy AnalysisIntroduction Swing trading is a popular trading approach that aims to capture short- to medium-term price movements in financial markets. For Bitcoin (BTC/USD), traders often rely on key technical indicators such as moving averages, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Fibonacci retracements, and candlestick patterns to predict price swings. Based on a combination of these indicators, BTC/USD is showing strong signs of an upward move, making it an attractive opportunity for swing traders. Technical Analysis Supporting BTC/USD’s Upward Move BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 1. Moving Averages Crossovers One of the fundamental indicators used in swing trading is the moving average crossover strategy. If the short-term moving average (e.g., the 20-day EMA) crosses above a long-term moving average (e.g., the 50-day EMA), it signals bullish momentum. Recent BTC/USD charts indicate a bullish crossover, suggesting an uptrend is likely to continue. 2. Relative Strength Index (RSI) Confirmation The RSI measures momentum and identifies overbought or oversold conditions. If RSI is above 50 and rising, it confirms strength in buying pressure. If RSI was oversold (below 30) and starts moving upward, it signals a potential reversal. BTC/USD recently bounced from an oversold region, indicating growing buying interest. 3. Fibonacci Retracement Levels Acting as Support Swing traders use Fibonacci retracement levels to identify potential support and resistance zones. BTC/USD recently retraced to the 0.618 Fibonacci level, which often acts as a strong support zone before an upward continuation. 4. Bullish Candlestick Formations Candlestick patterns help traders predict price direction. A bullish engulfing candle or hammer near key support levels reinforces an uptrend. BTC/USD recently printed a bullish engulfing candle, a strong indication that buyers are in control. 5. Increasing Volume and Market Sentiment Volume analysis is crucial in swing trading. A rise in volume alongside bullish price action confirms genuine buying interest. Current BTC/USD trading volume supports an upward movement, reinforcing positive market sentiment. Fundamental Factors Supporting BTC/USD Upside Beyond technical analysis, fundamental catalysts are contributing to Bitcoin’s expected rally: Institutional Adoption: More firms are integrating Bitcoin into their portfolios. Upcoming Halving Event: Historically, BTC rallies before and after halving cycles. Macroeconomic Factors: Inflation and fiat currency devaluation increase demand for Bitcoin as a hedge. Trading Plan for Swing Traders For traders looking to capitalize on BTC/USD’s expected rise, here’s a suggested plan: Entry Point: Around the 50-day EMA or Fibonacci support level. Stop Loss: Below recent swing low to manage risk. Target Price: Previous resistance levels or recent swing highs. Trailing Stop: To lock in profits as the price moves upward. Conclusion Based on swing trading indicators, BTC/USD is showing strong bullish signals, making it an attractive trade opportunity. However, risk management remains crucial, and traders should continuously monitor market conditions. If BTC continues to hold key support levels while maintaining upward momentum, it could reach higher resistance zones in the near term.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by baladeva
BTC/USDT Bearish Breakdown – Short Setup Targeting 73KBitcoin is forming lower highs within a descending wedge pattern, failing to reclaim the key resistance zone around 89K. The price is consistently rejecting from the upper wedge trendline, with weak bullish momentum as shown by flat RSI (~48) and ADX convergence. A breakdown from the current structure could trigger a bearish move. Volume is decreasing on upswings, while red candles dominate near EMA clusters. The 200 EMA and the previous support near 85.3K has now flipped into resistance. Entry: 85,389 Stop Loss: 89,000 (above wedge resistance and last swing high) Target: 73,000 (near key horizontal support + wedge bottom projection) Bearish confirmation increases below 84K with strong volume. Risk management essential as volatility remains high. Watching for confluence from macro and ETF flows.
Short
by MyTradingJournal6th
IS THE "GOLDEN HOUR" FOR A 20% BTC SHORT DROP APPROACHING?IS THE "GOLDEN HOUR" FOR A 20% BTC SHORT DROP APPROACHING? Hello everyone, Yesterday, I provided you all with a detailed and comprehensive analysis of the events BTC will experience in April. After the March candle closed and the April candle opened, things have become quite clear and well-defined. However, in the "BTC April Analysis" post, the monthly candle and the overview mapping for D1 (daily) and W (weekly) timeframes had some broad leaps. It’s not detailed enough for precise actions—it gives us a nearly complete framework, but there are still some rough edges. To make it more polished, we need a highly detailed analysis with a refined level of completion to guide specific actions. That’s why today, I’m bringing you a new analysis with the theme: "The Golden Hour for BTC’s SHORT Point – A 20% Value Drop?" Why 20%, and Is 20% Too Much? As shown in the analysis chart, one thing is very clear: BTC is currently in an upward correction phase. This upward correction started from two zones: Zone 1: From 80,000$ to 88,000$. Zone 2: From 81,600$ to the current level of slightly above 85,300$. In each phase, we’ve been able to catch the turning points and the starts of new waves. Back to the main question: From which zone will BTC drop to which zone, and why would it lose 20% of its value from that point? Right now, BTC hasn’t confirmed a drop, but there are key price zones emerging for us to monitor: Zone 1: 87,600$ Zone 2: 88,800$ Zone 3: 92,000$ Current Situation Analysis Current BTC price: 85,000$. These zones are quite close to the upper peak zones. This is the second upward wave, so we need to be very cautious because an "earthquake and tsunami" could hit soon without prior warning. Think of it like climbing a mountain: At the base, we can’t see the peak. But as we climb closer to the top, the peak gradually comes into view. Right now, it’s clearly visible. From the peak zones (87,600$, 88,800$, or 92,000$), BTC could drop to a target zone around 70,000$. This is the zone where we identify the drop as approximately 20%. Market Capitalization: If BTC drops 20%, the crypto market cap (currently around 2-3 trillion USD, depending on the time) could lose 15-20%, as BTC accounts for about 50-60% of the total market cap. The exact percentage depends on the broader market’s reaction. Altcoins: Altcoins typically experience stronger volatility than BTC. If BTC drops 20%, altcoins could fall 30-50% or more, especially smaller coins. Stronger altcoins (like ETH) might only drop 20-25%, but most will be hit harder. Conclusion BTC is currently in an upward correction phase, but signs suggest that the "Golden Hour" for a SHORT entry with a 20% drop could be approaching. Keep a close eye on the peak zones (87,600$, 88,800$, 92,000$) and prepare to act when the price hits these levels. Enjoy the analysis, everyone!
Short
by rainbow_sniper
1
Price drops down from key support/resistanceUsing the Smoothed Heikin Ashi candles (HODL Flip V2) indicator by R.S. with settings of 6:6 for the input settings ADAUST was already an active short bias using a 1D chart. This is my first step before I look for short-only opportunities to trade in smaller timeframes like the 1H or 4H To be honest, I was busy and placed a very small short yesterday and then got quite busy with other stuff. I noticed the price had moved up against me so I added to my short to average my entry higher, place a SL and went to bed. Today I happened to check the 4H chart and see the price had moved up bounced off resistance and was heading down in my favor now. Suffice it to say, but this was a major support/resistance I can see has been respected over the last 18 days+ Therefore, even if the price forms an inverse head and shoulders and moves back up ultimately, I think a quick 2.6% move for a short will happen first as a worst case scenario. Or, we get some more world news that spooks markets again and we get some wind behind all markets falling like April 2 and we get the best trade of the month;-)
Short
by Silverbacked_Gorilla
BTC/USDT 15-Minute Chart Analysis🚀 BTC/USDT 15-Minute Chart Analysis 🏆 🔍 Market Overview: The chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) price action on a 15-minute timeframe with key resistance & support levels, along with potential trade triggers. 📌 Key Observations: 📈 Strong Resistance (🚧 85,339.85 USDT) 🔥 Major hurdle for buyers! A breakout above this could ignite a rally. 🚀 If BTC closes above this level with volume, we might see a strong uptrend. 🛑 Important Support (🔵 84,727.22 - 84,912.40 USDT) 🛡️ Holding this zone is crucial for bulls to maintain momentum. ❌ Losing this support could trigger a bearish move. 📊 Moving Averages (7, 25, 99 SMA): 🟡 Short-Term SMA (7): Price is testing this moving average. 🔵 Medium-Term SMA (25): Acting as dynamic support. 🟢 Long-Term SMA (99): Still bullish, showing an uptrend bias. ⚡ Trade Triggers: ✅ Long Trigger (📈💰) - If BTC breaks 85,339.85 USDT with volume → 🚀 BUY Opportunity! ❌ Short Trigger (📉🔻) - If BTC drops below 84,727.22 USDT → 🏴‍☠️ Short setup possible! 📢 Trading Strategy: 💎 Bullish Plan: Watch for a breakout above 85,339.85 USDT with strong volume → 🎯 Targets: 85,500+ USDT. ⚠️ Bearish Plan: If BTC breaks below 84,727.22 USDT, look for a drop to 84,498.52 USDT or lower. 🔥 Final Thoughts: Bitcoin is in a critical decision zone! 🎯 Breakout = Bullish Rally! ❌ Breakdown = Bearish Move! 📢 Stay Alert! Volume Confirmation is Key! 🎯
by Alireza-Abedi
Returning Bounce for AI16ZA16Z/USDT looks like it’s forming a classic cup and handle pattern, with the cup already well-shaped and price going for round 4 testing resistance at $0.22. A healthy pullback would sett up a potential breakout. If it clears $0.225 with strong volume, the measured move suggests a run toward $0.26-$0.30. RSI isn’t fully overheated yet, but a rejection here without solid support could see the pattern fail below $0.185. If BTC stays stable, this setup has a decent chance of playing out. If not, well, it can join the pile of crushed dreams 2025 has produced.
Long
by CryptoGhee
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Short Trade Setup: Resistance Rejection & TargThis chart is a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 15-minute price chart from TradingView, showing a potential short trade setup based on technical analysis. Here’s a breakdown of the key elements: 1. Resistance Zone & Short Setup The purple highlighted area represents a resistance level around $85,358. Price is consolidating within this resistance zone, suggesting a potential reversal. The expected scenario involves a price rejection from this resistance, leading to a downward move. 2. Moving Averages EMA (200, blue line) at $83,433: A long-term trend indicator suggesting a strong support zone. EMA (30, red line) at $84,657: A short-term trend indicator, currently above the price, indicating a potential bearish setup if the price moves below it. 3. Target & Stop-Loss Le
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
Bitcoin is the future. Bitcoin’s poised to reshape human evolution, turbocharging AI’s wildest ideas and our escape from Earth before it craters. Right now, BTC’s at $85K, with a market cap of $1.69 trillion—62.53% of the $2.7T crypto pie. That’s chump change next to the world’s $100T-plus economy, but the runway’s insane. If BTC hits $1M—a 12x jump—it’s $20T (with ~20M coins circulating, minus lost ones). At $5M, it’s $100T. The dollar’s the global king, sure, but it’s bleeding—every human wants money, and BTC’s the only game that can’t be diluted. Trillions are itching to ditch fiat, and when they do, it’ll move fast as hell. Picture a “God candle”—a 50% monthly spike from $85K to $127K—igniting a violent upheaval on the charts. The world’s pivoting to BTC because the dollar’s a crumbling giant, and we all crave wealth that holds. This is evolution’s next gear. AI’s cooking up genius—rockets on fusion steroids, space stations with gravity gyms, arks hauling gear to Mars—but it’s pricey. A single Starship launch? $90M. Orbital habitats? Billions. Trillions to colonize off-world. Fiat’s a house of cards; the dollar’s GETTEX:36T debt bomb could blow mid-flight. BTC’s different—21 million coins, no printer in sight. Its $1.69T cap today is just the start; if half the world’s $100T piles in, we’re at $50T. That funds AI’s dreams without begging suits or banks. Every human—traders in Tokyo, farmers in Peru—will chase BTC, because it’s money no one can fake. Crowdfund a lunar base: 0.01 BTC from a kid, 1,000 BTC from a whale, no Fed cut. Why the rush? Earth’s on borrowed time—climate chaos, resource wars, sun’s eventual roast. The dollar’s global lead is why everyone’s exposed; when it stumbles, BTC shines. A breakout’s coming—monthly candles doubling as fiat flees. New billionaires bloom (1,000 BTC at $1M = SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B ); trillionaires might too (Satoshi?). This isn’t just cash—it’s a lifeline. Without BTC, we’re trapped in boom-bust narcissism, dollar-doomed. With it, wealth flows to builders—AI-guided rocket nerds, not Wall Street. Humans evolve from greedy tribes to a species that banks on math, not trust. Everyone wants money; BTC’s the answer. We’ll build massive—space cities, starships—because the world’s $100T will back it, hard and fast. Right now, BTC’s at $85K, with a market cap of $1.69 trillion. That’s chump change next to the world’s $100T-plus economy, but the runway’s insane. The dollar’s the global king, sure, but it’s bleeding—every human wants money, and BTC’s the only money that can’t be diluted. Trillions are itching to ditch fiat, and when they do, it’ll move fast as hell. The world’s pivoting to BTC because the dollar’s a crumbling giant, and we all crave wealth that holds. This is evolution’s next gear. AI’s cooking up genius—rockets on fusion steroids, space stations with gravity gyms, arks hauling gear to Mars—but it’s pricey. A single Starship launch? $90M. Orbital habitats? Billions. Trillions to colonize off-world. Fiat’s a house of cards; the dollar’s GETTEX:36T debt bomb could blow mid-flight. BTC’s different—21 million coins, no printer in sight. Its $1.69T cap today is just the start; if half the world’s $100T piles in, we’re at $50T. That funds AI’s dreams without begging suits or banks. Every human—traders in Tokyo, farmers in Peru—will chase BTC, because it’s money no one can fake. The dollar’s global lead is why everyone’s exposed; when it stumbles, BTC shines. A breakout’s coming—monthly candles doubling as fiat flees. New billionaires bloom; trillionaires might be made. This isn’t just cash—it’s a lifeline. Without BTC, we’re trapped in boom-bust narcissism, dollar-doomed. With it, wealth flows to builders—AI-guided rocket nerds, not Wall Street. Humans evolve from greedy tribes to a species that banks on math, not trust. Everyone wants money; BTC’s the answer. We’ll build massive—space cities, starships—because the world’s $100T will back it, hard and fast.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by LewkP_FX
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends, # Bearish >> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. As we explained in my previous idea about Reaching to 85k~85.5k, we have already got it successfully, till now not clear to break this zone, >> I have two scenarios: 1st: Breakout this area 85k~85.5k, we will go to the area around 87.3k~88.3k, maybe to create the wave A in the final Green wave C. 2nd: down from this zone or 85.7 will may lead to create the white micro wave x in the Green wave B, Or the Blue the wave A in the final Green wave C keep like and support me to continue, See you soon! Thanks, Bros
by MASCryptoAna
$LAYER could shoot up to $2 to $2.50Solayer (LAYER) is standing out strongly, forming a series of higher lows while maintaining its parabolic curve. Among the altcoins, LAYER has been one that is consistently trending upward, as is evident in its chart. $1.60 appears to be the immediate hurdle, acting as resistance. I expect a massive breakout if we can manage to surpass this level. Alternatively, if we can stay above $1.20, might pave the way up to $2, potentially extending as high as $2.50 (short term)
by Tealstreet